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The retirees back the Tories so expect the workers to see their taxes rise – politicalbetting.com
The retirees back the Tories so expect the workers to see their taxes rise – politicalbetting.com
The Conservatives were behind Labour among the under-65s at the last general election. This is one reason why the Tories are relaxed about raising National Insurance – a tax solely imposed on workers. https://t.co/rXU5AKD3qp pic.twitter.com/0Mhq3ropMB
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Am I the only one tiring of hearing government speakers and their apologists talking about NI rises as an alternative to tax rises?
One out of 125 embassy guards promised help to leave Afghanistan made it to UK
Exclusive: Foreign Office said guards would be given right to come to Britain, but evacuation attempt failed
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/sep/03/one-out-of-125-embassy-guards-promised-help-to-leave-afghanistan-made-it-to-uk
Germany, YouGov poll:
SPD-S&D: 25% (+1)
CDU/CSU-EPP: 20% (-2)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 15% (-1)
FDP-RE: 13%
AfD-ID: 12% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 8%
+/- vs. 20-24 Aug
Fieldwork: 27-31 August 2021
Sample size: 2,017 total respondents, 1,729 declared"
Now politics is all about taxing and cutting welfare for the other tribe - while cutting taxes and protecting/increasing welfare for your own tribe.
There must be a word for it. Clientelism?
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/jcvi-statement-september-2021-covid-19-vaccination-of-children-aged-12-to-15-years/jcvi-statement-on-covid-19-vaccination-of-children-aged-12-to-15-years-3-september-2021
Likewise Robinson.
Other than that, great post.
When the government accepts the advice of the scientists (and I agree with it), praise the government.
When the government accepts the advice of the scientists (and I don't agree with it), blame the scientists.
Advisors advise, government decide, surely. The JVCI has left it in the hands of government. If you don't like what government does, blame them. Stop bullying (independent) scientists.
That one rocks, and the lyrics are pretty edgy.
"In providing its advice, JCVI also recognises that in relation to childhood immunisation programmes, the UK public places a higher relative value on safety compared to benefits."
This time I'm expecting headline writers to be surprised by a rise in England cases despite the Scotland example.
https://twitter.com/JohnRentoul/status/1433815425171734532
Within the parameters they've been given its not unreasonable - and as they point out there may be other factors to consider beyond their remit which they have suggested the governments follow up - which they have done.
In fact, if I recall correctly, the crossover point at which more people voted Tory than Labour at the last election was somewhere in the late 30s. Between that and its (self-inflicted) Scottish calamity, Labour has enormous structural problems to overcome. There's little sign that it is in any position to do so.
Beyond that, as I said this morning, in terms of pure political expediency the Government should respond to the social care crisis by nationalising the entire cost and presenting the bill to working age taxpayers. It would be wretchedly unfair but we live in a gerontocracy now, and besides there's little point in courting the youth vote, who would mostly turn out for left-wing parties regardless. The old would be thrilled, the better-off middle-aged would grumble but look forward to receiving their fat legacies, and between them that support might be sufficient to usher in a Tory Supremacy that lasts for decades.
"People like me are denied the opportunity to contribute."
No they are not.
Surely Dom wouldn't switch sides, would he? As we speak, Starmer's posting him out an application form.
Labour would be bloody stupid to approvingly quote Dominic Cummings. The public hate him.
You need to be political obsessives, like us, to make sense of the message.
The general public would suffer cognitive dissonance if they saw that on a poster. Silly tweet by JR.
It may be for decision makers to go against a recommendation sometimes but they can.
But the unfortunate consequence of funding social care through NI is that it transfers money from the young to the old.
It is an unfortunate consequence, isn't it?
(Yes, this needs to happen, yes it will be expensive, yes we're all going to have to pay. And the longer we leave it, the worse the hole will get. But NI is a really bad way of raking the necessary money in.)
We can be fairly sure this is no longer a Bank Holiday reporting delay.
However, it may just be a blip.
Two things suggest it’s not.
Firstly, English schools started going back this week.
The % of cases first diagnosed by LFD rose from 20% last week to 23% this week.....
Second, cases in the 10-19 year age group are rising, now nearly at the 'Boardmasters peak' of 17 August.
A very slight uptick in 5-9 year olds.
Of note - cases in 40-49 and 50-59 year olds have been slowly and steadily increasing since early August...
None of this is particularly surprising - it reflect case ascertainment rather than increased transmission - as pupils test to go back to school.
However, these case numbers are higher than many of of would have liked going into the new school year.
https://twitter.com/kallmemeg/status/1433812143464386577?s=20
Both say "it's safe". So no "contradictions".
They've got different jobs and they're both doing them.
Julia Hartley-Brewer
@JuliaHB1
·
34m
All credit to the members of the JCVI for not buckling under pressure from ministers, media and teaching unions. Instead they've looked at the EVIDENCE. This is what Following The Science actually means.
The JCVI have completely undermined the MHRA decision to approve it based on absolutely nothing and they're trying to force the government to not use/waste the UK vaccine stock on what they see as marginal cases and instead give it away. They've already stated their ultimate goal is for the government to give our vaccines away to the third world and that we should be wary of being a vaccinated island etc...
It's just the same as those dodgy scientists pushing their shit data models earlier this year. The government listened to them for far too long. Nate Silver had a massive go at the UK data models and the modellers pushing their pro lockdown agenda with them. Now we have a different set of scientists pushing a different political agenda. The regulator has said it's safe. Everything else is irrelevant.
Carnyx said:
» show previous quotes
My family's idea of a summer, springt and autumn holiday was a week or two in a wooden chalet right on a huge sandy beach. If you have been sandblasted on the thighs as a child in the final snowy weeks of winter, nothing compares since.
We used to go to the Isle of Man, happy days on the beach at Douglas
If its safe [it is] and beneficial [it is] they should have recommended the jab.
That they have sat on the fence is just fuelling people like JHB who don't want the jabs to go ahead.
I hope they take severe flack for this.
They've pointed out the government's path past their recommendation.
I'm not sure distributing Pfizer to 4,000 secondary schools is a trivial matter....
Sometimes the most obvious explanation is the right one.
What we haven't found out yet is who they plan to soak, and how, when the basic state pension gets uprated by 8% next Spring.
I'm coming round to the idea that Labour ought to offer lower tax rates for middle class to a) draw clear differential with the Tories b) in exchange for bringing in wealth taxation of some kind.
"The Tories want to protect the already-wealthy, we want to make you wealthy"... not sure it quite works but something along those lines.
This advice is not based on assessments of vaccine availability, future supply or costs associated with delivery of a programme.
If you think the JCVI are "liars" why not just say so?
JCVI members have been Tweeting away saying we should give jabs to other nations, which is not their remit. Hence this farcical dissembling report.
The evidence and the MHRA has said is that the vaccine is safe. The evidence as even the JCVI have had to admit is that the vaccine is effective and beneficial.
Yet still despite it being safe and beneficial they've not recommended it. Its farcical.
THREAD on Child Vax:
Interviewed on @BBCNews about the JCVI decision not to vaccinate 12-15 year olds.
This was my initial reaction - that it was out of step with most other similar countries. And that they do not seem to have considered long covid at all. 1/6
https://twitter.com/chrischirp/status/1433824021976686601?s=20
They're doing nothing more than trying to force the government into giving vaccines away instead of using them on what they view as marginal cases (12-15 year olds, boosters for 40-79 year olds).
The scientists have once again been given a bit of power and now they're trying to use it to push their own political agendas. No one voted for them and yet a regulator approved vaccine has been taken away from children who will benefit from it and is available to them in the US.
Feels like it must be possible to draw a line somewhere on property that would be acceptable to people... and as a bonus help counter an unhelpful impression that Labour is too London-centric.
lhttps://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/personalandhouseholdfinances/incomeandwealth/bulletins/totalwealthingreatbritain/april2016tomarch2018
https://www.npr.org/sections/therecord/2015/05/23/408844375/abbas-essential-influential-melancholy?t=1630685526530
Not everyone gets it, tbf, so don't beat yourself up about it.
https://www.theguardian.com/music/2016/sep/08/40-years-abba-dancing-queen-people-just-surrender-to-it
...It’s a track even the Queen is supposedly fond of boogying to (Chris Evans claimed that she told him: “I always try to dance when this song comes on because I am the Queen and I like to dance”)....
https://twitter.com/kallmemeg/status/1433820723332714497?s=20
Hope it improves his mood (and lasts long enough for him to watch live).
Is that remotely correct?
That means they must have caught covid in the first wave of Spring 2020. 1 in 1000 kids?
Hmmm...
When our wedding DJ asked for a list if sings definitely not to play it consisted of this song and this song alone.
We did basically give him a playsuit of 45 songs though. He didn't have too much room for manoeuvre.
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/jcvi-statement-september-2021-covid-19-vaccination-of-children-aged-12-to-15-years/jcvi-statement-on-covid-19-vaccination-of-children-aged-12-to-15-years-3-september-2021
Or is it just that time of day when we get the Pagel Show on BBC?