I hope you all had as much fun as Michael Gove had this weekend – politicalbetting.com
Comments
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I guess the idea was a gentleman's agreement to never allow the nationalists set the agenda...Andy_JS said:
It all depends on whether the parties change their minds about forming coalitions. If they don't, the Conservatives will form the next government if they manage to get one more seat than the Liberals, regardless of how far they are from a majority. That seems weird from the perspective of other countries but it's what they've always done in Canada, so far.rcs1000 said:
I don't think that there's really a 13% chance of the Libs getting a majority. Indeed I would say it's probably slightly more likely (55%) that the Cons are the largest party.Andy_JS said:Eric Grenier's assessment of the situation.
"What are the chances of each party winning:
13% Probability of the Liberals winning a majority
46% Probability of the Liberals winning the most seats but not a majority
37% Probability of the Conservatives winning the most seats but not a majority
4% Probability of the Conservatives winning a majority"
https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada/
"Older, less-educated Canadians going Conservative"
https://www.thewrit.ca/p/how-erin-otoole-is-carving-a-path
But because the NDP will get 35 to 40 seats, and they're to the Left of the Libs, there is relatively little chance that the Cons will be able to form the next government.
The temptation - if you are Trudeau and the Libs + NDP make up a majority - is to say "fuck it".0 -
For once, the Daily Mail not on the side of the hysterics:
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9939825/Most-mutated-Covid-variant-far-EXTINCT-scientist-claims.html0 -
From your Mail link:-CarlottaVance said:For once, the Daily Mail not on the side of the hysterics:
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9939825/Most-mutated-Covid-variant-far-EXTINCT-scientist-claims.html
Some experts raised fears that C.1.2 was more transmissible than other strains
But experts said today there was no sign the mutant strain was spreading
And they said it may even have gone extinct amid the spread of the Delta strain
Huzzah for Delta!0 -
Quite a roll call of the dead:DecrepiterJohnL said:
From your Mail link:-CarlottaVance said:For once, the Daily Mail not on the side of the hysterics:
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9939825/Most-mutated-Covid-variant-far-EXTINCT-scientist-claims.html
Some experts raised fears that C.1.2 was more transmissible than other strains
But experts said today there was no sign the mutant strain was spreading
And they said it may even have gone extinct amid the spread of the Delta strain
Huzzah for Delta!
PHE considers a variant as 'provisionally extinct' if there have been no cases of it recorded in Britain or elsewhere in the world for 12 weeks.
The Liverpool variant (A.23.1 with E484K), the Bristol variant (B.1.1.7 with E484K) and the and the Antigua variant (B.1.324.1 with E484K) have all already been listed as extinct.2 -
New thread.0
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Greta's off Nippy's Christmas card list:
Campaigner Greta Thunberg says she doesn't regard Scotland as a world leader on climate change......
On the Scottish Greens' deal to enter government, she said some politicians were "less worse" than others.
But she said tackling climate change was not as easy as voting for a green party....
The Scottish government has previously described its climate change legislation as "world leading."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-583870170
