The rolling average of Deaths with 28 day cut off falls by 13.57 (1.09%) to 1228.141725 deaths reported today compared to 1820 last WednesdaySpring PeakNew deaths: 1224 (21 Apr)Rolling Avg: 942.43 (13 Apr)Winter PeakNew deaths: 1820 (20 Jan)Rolling Avg: 1248.43 (23 Jan) pic.twitter.com/gYrgvkTk80
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The stats from early in the first wave were all over the place due to how percentages work and so I have cut off the scaling.
There were some larger % falls at the end of the first wave but the numbers then were far more uncertain due to limited testing. Since the most recent peak the numbers have been coming down very rapidly, about 30% per week. The current stats show an increase in pace of reduction also.
Let's hope the vaccines help further with this and helps it accelerate.
What a fun week I`ve had!
I should have sought attention a week earlier but Covid blah blah.
https://twitter.com/alisonharriso16/status/1355317709605638158?s=21
My wife is 75 and am hopeful for a date soon. We live in Wales btw.
Clearly the EU needs many millions more vaccines in the near term, however there is pressure on the UK to start supplying it's spare doses from April onwards to developing nations and let the EU fend for itself because it's rich and can afford to build output.
There's a very good chance that from April we won't need ~20m Pfizer doses or ~50m AZ doses. That would be an invaluable boost to the European vaccination drive. We're going to be covered by supplies from Novavax and Moderna and long term we'll have J&J (up to 52m) + Valneva (60m) available for mutations.
The way out of this is to offer the EU our spare capacity on the basis that it funds COVAX to the same level we have. Our funding is equivalent of €4.5bn scaled to the EU vs ~€750m it has currently pledged via EU and national governments. The EU won't have anywhere it can get 70m vaccine doses from in the short term from April onwards and it will make a big difference to them and making our gift to them contingent on them properly funding COVAX makes a much, much bigger difference to developing nations than 70m doses ever could as it could be used to purchase 1.5bn additional doses of AZ vaccine or 1bn additional Novavax doses both of which are in the CEPI programme.
This way the EU gets its doses, it gets its "win" against the UK by getting UK vaccine supply it covets and the developing world gets funding for 1-1.5bn additional doses it doesn't currently have.
Anyone see any downsides?
https://twitter.com/tejmuk/status/1355485977414938627?s=21
I hope it all resolves fully.
--AS
Off raving tonite then?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-55873288
Is this normal in Wales?
https://twitter.com/thetimes/status/1355584650949910533
Mine's due soon.
The French vaccines surrendered to Covid-19, who could have predicted that.
Still, they managed to unite the Conservatives, Labour, the Lib Dems, Sinn Fein, the DUP and the Irish government. So you have to congratulate them on that unprecedented achievement.
Had Rajoy allowed a legal independence referendum in 2017 it may now not be and that poll would be for an independent state
https://www.omnicalculator.com/health/vaccine-queue-uk
'Your' doing a great job?
Heart attack cases rising.
And the EU and Jezza against Big Pharma....
Officials found dozens of firearms, thousands of rounds of ammunition, pipe bombs and manuals like The Anarchist Cookbook and US Army Improvised Munitions Handbook when they raided the home and business of Ian Rogers in California's Napa wine country earlier this month.
The 44-year-old has been charged with the unlawful possession of unregistered destructive devices.
Among the items seized by investigators was a mock credit card emblazoned with the slogan White Privilege, Trumps Everything. It bore the number 0045 - in honour, according to the FBI, of Donald Trump, the 45th president.
Rogers also had a car bumper sticker celebrating the anti-government militia the Three Percenters. The group's name refers to the belief that only 3% of American colonists fought against the British during the American Revolution.
The charges were revealed as the US Department of Homeland Security issued a warning that anger "fuelled by false narratives" could lead to some within the country to launch attacks in the coming weeks. The warning system is usually reserved for alerts to threats of terror attacks.
In court documents, the FBI alleges text messages found on Rogers' phone revealed that he believed Trump had won the 2020 election. He expressed anger towards the social media companies who had suspended the president's accounts.
He wrote: "We can attack Twitter and the Democrats easy right now."
And in another message, he said: "I want to blow up a democrat building bad. The democrats need to pay."
In other texts he referred to the "sac office" believed to be that of California Governor Gavin Newsom, and the "bird and face offices" referring to the headquarters of Twitter and Facebook.
He also wrote: "Let's see what happens, if nothing, I'm going to war" - adding: "I hope 45 goes to war, if he doesn't I will."
Rogers, who runs a car repair business called British Auto Repair, told investigators he made the pipe bombs for "entertainment purposes only".
Bomb technicians who examined the five improvised explosive devices Rogers had constructed concluded they were fully operational and could cause great bodily harm.
https://news.sky.com/story/pro-trump-supporter-charged-with-stockpiling-explosives-wanted-to-attack-democrats-12201839
My partner, as a self employed counsellor and psycotherapist, has recently been added to this group.
All we have heard is please dont conract us, we will be in touch.
But we aren't sure anyone other than HMRC knows of her occupation. Her GP certainly won't.
https://twitter.com/natev67/status/1354761258650771461?s=21
"It's like watching a car crash in slow motion," one irate EU diplomat told me. "President von der Leyen is a medical doctor. She wanted to take over the mass purchase of vaccines for all the EU - as a high-profile exercise. Normally health issues are dealt with nationally. This hasn't been a great advertisement for handing over powers to Brussels. I think that's the lesson member states will take away from this."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-55872763
It won't be Ursula even though she must have been consulted about it first, but someone at least needs to be pinned down on it.
Interestingly, the BBC story on this this morning only, as far as I could tell, referred to the Irish PM as Prime Minister, not the more common Taoiseach (Prime Minister).
There's some tossers out there who have been saying the are key workers when they aren't to get a vaccine.
Personal anecdote - Kwasi and I last met in the British Library in late '09 or early '10. Back then, it still looked more than likely that Cameron would get an overall majority. I said they would. He demurred. History has spoken and he was right.
Moral of the story is if you get big floaters in your eye go straight to Eye Casualty; don`t faff around I like did for a week thinking it wasn`t serious and being wary of catching the pox is the hosp.
https://twitter.com/scotsecofstate/status/1355197696487919620?s=21
'So preem ministeer, have yoo foond yoor veesets in Scodland interesting todday?'
'I've had a fantastic day Alister, so far in Scotland and looking really at the contribution of Scottish people.
The Scotch – what a verminous race!
Canny, pushy, chippy, they’re all over the place, Battening off us with false bonhomie, Polluting our stock, undermining our economy...'
Camera hastily switched off and BJ bundled off to learn alternative script.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-55872249
Of course you are......perhaps on paper.....and Vlad is your permanent unpaid house guest
And of course the documentary never claimed Putin owned it on paper. They went into great depth about how official ownership had changed over time and how there was a very complex network of names who owned the vieyards and shell fish processing ventures associated with it.
British Auto Repair of the Napa Valley Incorporated opened in Napa, California in August of 2005. We specialize in repairing British vehicles, mainly Land Rover and Jaguar. Our company is owned and operated by Ian Rogers, local wine country native, along with our trusted employee Michael Yokoi.
https://britishautorepair.net/about-us/
Or accuses the U.K. of charging more than they paid for the vaccines?
I suspect it will be turned into a two dose jab and will then be more or less equivalent to AZN given the technology is similar. Isn't there a trial being run to that effect?
Still, I wouldn't turn it down.