YouGov poll restricted to England has Remain with a 10% lead if the 2016 Brexit referendum was held now – politicalbetting.com
YouGov has released details of its England only weekend poll for the Sunday Times and the panel above shows some interesting findings.
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Comments
https://www.standard.co.uk/comment/keir-starmer-labour-covid-b901186.html
Osborne's take on Sir Keir.
We have to build a new relationship with Europe from the beginning. I hope that will result in the mutual respect that would make EU membership work, but I think a lot of the country is not there yet.
This is going to end badly.
Thinking Scotland or Wales would be worse off is not the same as opposing a change of their status.
That wasn't asked.
Although, if we are going to do this, can we have a one-off poll of 'Imagine it was 1997 and you were about to vote in the general election, with Tony Blair being Leader of the Opposition and John Major as Prime Minister. How would you vote?' I kinda suspect Blair would now have a much weaker lead, but Major isn't exactly beloved by modern Tories either. The LD brand is now awful to most of the public, so I wonder what people would say?
WW2 70,000 civilian dead. In six years.
Tragic, and so many were avoidable.
Seems a lot of bloody hassle on top of the last lot of unnecessary hassle.
We're gone, honey.
Poll asking about Rejoin, if you really want to get an idea of future trends. Then add supplementaries about the Euro, etc.
Cheerio.
From case data
From hospitalisations
And that just isn't possible.
https://twitter.com/NaomiOhReally/status/1354105644270448643
https://twitter.com/NaomiOhReally/status/1354106463988424704
But this poll shows that things are unravelling in Toryland. How soon can the decent, responsible Conservatives reclaim their party? And which side will Mr Mark be on?
The fact is that conflict between countries is not helpful in times of global emergency and while it might make good click bate for the gutter press countries fighting each other does not get the economies of the world back working and people protected from covid. Only working together does that.
I am always taken by the phrase, if you want to go fast go alone, if you want to far go together. We have a long way to go so going far is the long term priority.
While not quite as stupid and ignorant as Owls with his placebo remarks last night, anyone playing down Handelsblatt's irresponsibility is being as dumb as ass.
https://twitter.com/StefanLeifert/status/1354114331584180224?s=20
Surely, someone must get sacked? Or does Germany just tolerate this kind of globally disastrous ineptitude?
And threatening counties outside the EU because we were lashing out at our own incompetence.
I think you might be a minority view.
After last night's and today's EUrophobic spasm, can't rule it out..
(Personally I think the overwhelming majority of people who went overseas during a pandemic deserve to stay out there.)
Some people will be very pleased by the use of 'Data are'.
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/vaccinations
People who have received vaccinations, by report date (daily): Number of people who have received a vaccination for COVID-19, by day on which the vaccine was reported. Data are reported daily, and include all vaccination events that are entered on the relevant system at the time of extract. This includes reported vaccines that were administered up to and including the date shown
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/jan/09/australians-stranded-overseas-say-slashing-arrival-caps-makes-returning-home-near-impossible
I'm going to move to Scotland. Decision made today. I don't have any particular region in mind, though, so would love your input on locations to help me narrow things down.
Easy access to the highlands is a must, so I'm ruling out Borders/Dumfries/Ayrshire. I like to cycle a bit, so if there's any place with lots of long-distance cycle paths that would be great. Things like segregated cycle ways next to dual carriageways are fine but I don't want to be forced to wobble along the kerb of a narrow 60mph road. I don't really need much access to cities since I work from home and I'm more into books than theatre. I'm fine with the wind and rain and dark winters and midges. Connectivity in terms of broadband is important, and in terms of parcel delivery without having to pay extra is a nice to have (not sure if that is an issue any more?)
Anything else I haven't mentioned that I should be thinking about?
Unbelievable they haven't issued an urgent retraction.
If other countries are stupid enough not to authorise, that's their problem.
(In the interests of full disclosure, I would just note that Fauci said on Sunday that he expects AZN to be authorized after J&J in the US, so it isn't just the EU that is having an issue with it.)
One is that the simple reading of this is that there's a significant sense of "this has turned out to be a bit of a cockup"; this is England, the Brexity bit of the UK. (England was 53-47 in 2016). Is that linked to the lack of a stonking Brexit Bounce in the polls? That might change if things go well, of course. But otherwise, the government has a signature achievement that isn't raising loud hosannas. Awkward.
The other is the size of gap between "rerun Leave/Remain" and "Stay out/Rejoin". Smaller than I'd have thought. 40% rejoin, and only 2% behind stay out? In England? OK, that might change subject to events and the reality of what rejoin would look like, but this is larger than I'd have expected.
And for those who want the issue to fade away? (For clarity: I'd rather gently, quietly, uncontroversially move back up Barnier's Staircase over the next decade, then see where we are as a nation.) But on these figures, that doesn't look like a goer. Sorry.
And if the journalist was right, and he was briefed by multiple sources in the German government and elsewhere.... WTAF?
Daily deaths with Covid on Death Certificate to 15/01/21 - 107,907
Weekly deaths with Covid on Death Certificate to 15/01/21 - 103,602
Open link and click on data in the two charts:
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/deaths
Secondly, if there's anyone who's completely destitute then frankly the cost of bunging them some cash every week would be infinitesimal, relative to that of locking down for another entire sodding year.
At this stage of the game, almost everyone in the land is willing to do virtually anything to be rid of the damned virus. I'm quite sure that includes making some of our own people overseas wait to come back home if there's not enough room for them all to return safely at once.
As did I.
I feel special.
Take me. I'm no Remainiac extremist or Remoaner about what happened. I voted Remain but recognized the democratic necessity to implement the result. Never held any truck with another Referendum. Always a ridiculous notion. Yet I have a new and stubborn identity - Remainer. I am still a Remainer in this sense. As defined against its opposite, Leaver. And it's such a powerful ID.
For example, thinking about moving house, the 1st thing I will check for a prospective area is how it voted in the 2016 EU Referendum. If it's Leave, and especially if it's strongly Leave, I will strike it out without a moment's further thought. Why waste time. Similarly, if I were vibrant enough to be Tinder dating, and I saw a profile which looked great except (oh no) Leaver, that would be it. Swipe left.
And something even more poignant. My son is due to get engaged soon to his sweetheart from Essex (lovely girl) and I'm delighted. But would I be quite so delighted if I had not discovered to my immense relief that she was one of the few people from her part of Essex who had voted Remain? No, I don't believe I would have been. Don't get me wrong, I wouldn't have been all arsey about it, but it would have detracted from things and been both a worry and a disappointment.
I don't say this is a good thing - it isn't - but it is a thing. That's what Brexit has done to this country and its people. The economic hit, the masses of red tape, the loss of precious freedoms is only the half of it.
If the Covid-19 vaccine becomes an annual thing like the flu vaccine, are we primus inter pares in future supplies or will we have to fight out all over. again?
https://twitter.com/Peston/status/1354019140084916225?s=20
The EU does not come out well. I particularly enjoyed this comment
https://twitter.com/Peston/status/1354019151690522624?s=20
I believe cycle routes are getting more and more developed but I haven't done much being a lazy barsteward, and none at all since my bike was nicked.
Pretty sure broadband would be ok in that area but it definitely drops off the farther north and west you go.