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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » My New Year wish: Some interesting by-elections in NON LAB
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » My New Year wish: Some interesting by-elections in NON LAB seats
In March PB will be celebrating its tenth anniversary and in looking back over the decade it’s worth reflecting how important Westminster by-elections have been to the site’s development and growth.
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Also winning on He's quick, he's slick, he's named after a porno flick, scoring first.
Would be interesting to see if Eastleigh could be repeated for both LDs and UKIP.
I was thinking, Glenda gets a great movie offer, she decides to resign her seat, and we have a by-election.
She's a very good actress.
At the time of the by-election, every elected councillor was a LD.
http://www.spectator.co.uk/features/8849651/at-war-in-eastleigh/
What your favorite drink says about your politics, in one chart
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/govbeat/wp/2013/12/31/what-your-favorite-drink-says-about-your-politics-in-one-chart/
19:15 Man U late winner nailed on
Would Clegg take the job if offered?
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/industry/defence/10545808/India-terminates-AgustaWestland-helicopter-deal.html
I'm going for a long lie down.
Edit: Balls 2-1 now.
When we were discussing Lithuanian fire extinguishers yesterday, a number of posters took the time to make lengthy replies to a post of mine in that thread, to which I didn't reply.
Lest I be thought rude: about 5 minutes after my last post in that thread, my mother phoned me to tell me my father had died. He was 84 and the kindest man I have ever met.
So I am afraid I have been preoccupied, but thanks to those who troubled to reply. I will be back later in 2014 to argue matters out properly with all you misguided PB lefties.
Bye for now.
BJB
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-manchester-25563342
I hope your next few months pass with much love and support.
http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide/suttoncoldfield/
Part one of my big win on Tottenham this week.
I'm reinvesting my profits on West Ham getting relegated.
Plus Spurs only 2points from a Champs League Place.
Another potential winner.
And yes, Scrapheap, I accept your apology.
TSE = POTY 2014!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Not sure which race she will go in yet, but I think Annie Power could be a great bet at Cheltenham.
https://www.skybet.com/football/fa-cup/event/16042996?bsnls=1&bsopen=1&aff_id=9299
4-1 available for Spurs win today in many places once Rooney was named in the MU team...
Arsenal to win the FA Cup... you heard it hear first.
The number of such by-elections should be determined by the difference in seats between the largest party and the second party, and the frequency of by-elections determined by the marginality of the seat at the previous election.
So the most marginal constituency (in the case of 2010, it would be Warwickshire North, which had a Conservative majority of 54) would have a by-election about a month after the general election. If the by-election again makes it a close result, another by-election would follow soon thereafter. If the by-election creates a big majority, it would be safe until the next GE.
Oh dear so sorry
I'd hoped the 'big' squad of ours would show through over the frantic Xmas period and despite us having a massive number out, plus barndoor now too, it's just about done it.
Capoue coming in today was the only real option with so many of our midfielders crocked but actually was a good one.... Lamela needs to play against Arsenal now with Soldado.
Tim Sherwood is the new Roberto Di Matteo.
Spurs to win the Premier League 66/1
Just saying.
It would get away from the issue of pre election giveaway budgets, either that or we would get them each year.
It would also be interesting to see a chart of the reasons for the by-elections. There would be a hefty percentage of deaths, but also some forced (e.g. criminal conviction), ill-health, and some who resigned their seats (David Miliband / Louise Mensch).
As the late departed tim might have said: Me Me Miliband
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elections_in_the_United_States#Federal_elections
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/northkorea/10544664/Kim-Jong-un-spends-New-Years-Eve-skiing-in-his-impeccable-resort.html
To leave a PM hanging such a way was both grubby and dishonourable.
Shall we idle away the days by guessing? My guess is a Labour lead in the 4-5 range - people have been preoccupied with other things and unless they've been flooded or power-cut are feeling reasonably mellow. UKIP will probably do OK on the back of the "Bulgarians are coming" stuff. Say 37/32/14/8.
I agree with you Labour will still be at least 5% ahead, very interesting year ahead.
Does that make him a LINO - Labour in name only? :-)
http://labour-uncut.co.uk/2010/09/21/david-miliband-has-won-says-dan-hodges/comment-page-1/#comment-5528
He's never forgiven Ed. My view at the time was that it was 50-50 which is what happened. http://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2010/09/21/charlie-whelan-goes-large-on-edm/
Sherlock was cr@p. Really, really, cr@p. In fact it's been cr@p since the very first episode - although the pilot (which they scr@pped) was excellent. It was so cr@p that Mrs J left after an hour and did not come back for twenty minutes, preferring instead to argue with someone on a blog. (*) And she's a dirty girl who really fancies Benedict Cumberbatch. (1)
It utterly wasted good actors. It is yet another example of Jessop's first (and so far only) rule of Benedict Cumberbatch: anything that Benedict Cumberbatch appears in is cr@p, but he will be the best thing in it.
(*) It is a trait we share. One day we shall find ourselves anonymously arguing with each other on some blog ...
(1): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vPpYDHQVp9c
That has to be worst troll in the history of PB.
In all seriousness, it was terrible. Really really terrible.
You're just annoyed that the plot featured the tube and not a proper train service.
They really made great TV programmes in the late 70s
Don't buy the boxed set - you can get it for nothing on YouTube
His aspiration is for an electable Labour Party.
Hence his disappointment with, lack of faith in, and, criticism of Ed Miliband.
God Sherlock was a mess. (Sorry TSE). And so many holes in the 'back from the dead' reveal. I had a less holey solution.
It provides a base for low paid and low medium paid jobs to be leveled down to. Those that will suffer are the employees that used to earn minimum wage plus 20 pc or so.
If you provide a minimum don't be shocked when it is used for leveling down.
When Sherlock was doing his mind palace/word list on John fiancée, these are the prominent words
“Only Child. Disillusioned Lib Dem. Guardian. Bakes Own Bread.”
Thanks to someone here reassuring me that it still tastes the same, I decided to open it during the Capital One Bowl this afternoon - (one of 6 football games today: how much better can it get unless the Cowboys win the Super Bowl? - I was asked by a fan, and of course I'm not one) -and I can report that it does indeed still taste just as good.
An allegedly Yorkshire product made in Poland by an American company (Kraft). I'm sure lefties could use this as proof of global warming :-)
http://www.forbes.com/sites/kashmirhill/2013/12/31/bitcoins-incredible-year/?utm_campaign=forbestwittersf&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social
Inspite of reading the article, I'm still all at sea regarding whether it's a bluff, a double bluff, the Emperors New Clothes or the real thing.
Have you heard recently from your twin and fellow expatriate, 'chemical Tim'?
Very sorry to hear your sad news.
I don't know you but I have appreciated the support of PBers at times of personal sadness in the past.
Sorry for your loss.
He writes for a right wing paper and plays to it's readership. He doesn't actually need any insiders as all he has to say is "nameless" or "one that would like to remain nameless". This did lead to the humorous episode where a "Tory source" gave him his *Ahem* marginal poll info. When a number of people asked him or the Tory Party to confirm this information.....it went all quiet. The fact that no one would back this poll up was very highlighting. For one it showed that his sources are, how can I be polite, not all he makes out. Also, his friends in the Tory Party left him to hang out to dry.
Oh, and quite a few on here hang on his every word.
All very entertaining.
I could be describing Dan Hodges. Equally I could be describing George Osborne.
One thing that I find gives me great hope and interest in the future is ......
An ANTEPOST BET!
:-)
My 2014 long term, ridiculously optimistic bet, which could make me "Rich as Creases", (pace Chris Huhne), is as follows: £12.50 each way patent with vcbet. £175 stake.
Aston Villa to win the FA Cup at 50/1. each way 1/2
Rory McIlroy to win the US Masters at 12/1 e.w. 1/2/3/4/5
Triolo Dalene to win the Grand National at 20/1 e.w. 1/2/3/4/5
The win part of the bets is worth £199,000.