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Happy New Year and a big thank you – politicalbetting.com
Happy New Year and a big thank you – politicalbetting.com
On March 23rd eleven weeks away PB will be celebrating its 17th birthday making the site just about the longest lasting UK political blog.
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-55507001
Donation made, thank you for the site.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/dec/29/christmas-patients-coronavirus-intensive-care
Brexit is indubitably a British nationalist project seeking self-determination. It is done now that we are in control of our own laws now once more. There is no need to have a party pursuing Brexit because we have achieved our aims already. Though while Britons have self-determination the English, Welsh, Scots and Irish do not so their nationalism can and should continue.
However that doesn't mean an end to the need for the philosophy. If any threats to the regained self-determination arise, if people start making the argument to end self-determination, then it is reasonable to make the arguments once more in favour of self-determination. To keep it is as important as to get it.
So it has to be now. A general strike, or even the threat of it, will be enough to make Le Bossu fold on #indyref2.
Starmer however if he comes to power in 2024 after a hung parliament and reliant on support from SNP MPs is another matter
Conservatives may be unionists primarily, but they are also first and foremost largely democrats.
I don't know what will happen next if the Scots do give a majority to the SNP but I'm hopeful democracy will prevail as it did last time.
Knowing what you stand for is important. Accepting that you have lost an election is even more important.
So, ignoring for the moment the military reconnaissance trips, how well would you say you know Scotland ?
I lived in Quebec for two years, so I can tell you that your knowledge of Quebec is .... err ... minuscule.
It is perfectly possible to have voted Leave, yet believe that it is in the interests of an **independent** Wales to join the EU. In fact, that is close to my own position.
Post Covid (if ever!) I see protecting the Union as being at the top of the priority list for Johnson. He is a devolution-skeptic , hence Starmer`s new niche.
Let’s hope that 2021 is a better year than 2020 was for most of us!
I also have to get off here now. I'm trying to kick the cigs after many decades of using and I need to stay mellow and super-relaxed in order to maximize my chances. Getting into a tumble with you about whether or not EU membership constituted being oppressed by a foreign power - answer being "not" - would jeopardize the project almost before it's started.
And will be donating shortly
I renewed my family`s cards four weeks ago (despite wife saying this was pointless). I have the new cards and it turns out they will be valid until the end of 2025. Result.
I would like to show it to a friend who is skeptical about the vaccine if there's only one dose.
There will be some who share the ugly nationalism of the Duncan Smiths but a better comparison for vast majority is the Palestinians. To all intents and purposes disenfranchised and under the thumb of the Israelis. They have no rights other than those granted to them.
I can say without hesitation that HYUFD is full of hot air or to use a good Scottish word 'havering'
Considering this deal was negotiated in 11 months there's no reason a 12 month period should be insufficient next time. Rengotiating a successor trade deal would be much easier than negotiating Brexit.
It is formerly Welsh territory on which England sits.
https://wp.technologyreview.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/PFIZER_CHART_NEW.png?w=1800
The chart itself
No reason to cause a tailback in that, even when busier. Getting the ferries across will take longer than getting <10% of vehicles to undergo quick checks.
It was by far my best investment of last year. Kept me sane and healthy
It is a startling clear piece of evidence. Given the size of the trial there is not much room for questioning it.
There's just not that many people at the ports, relative to usual. It's not only the New Year break , but many people transporting goods are simply staying away for a while after the disruption 10 days back. I've also heard a few reports from people of french-derived food goods already being harder to find in the shops - whether that will continue when people are adjusted to the new regime, I don't know.
This apparent quiet at the very beginning could be very good for the government in setting an impression, though.
If we lose the election though then democracy means the election winners decide what happens next. That is democracy.
I expect when GB news comes on stream they are going to lose viewers
The best form of fitness training is the one that work for you.
I really would like to see a study of putting a random sample of the population into a Vitality type program.
Happy to convert it to a larger single amount if thats better for the site.
Sorry to disappoint you
If the SNP fail to win a majority next year then they have no right to even ask for indyref2, however if they do win a majority Boris will stick to the once in a generation 2014 referendum as per the winning 2019 Tory majority and without Westminster consent there can be no legal indyref2
https://twitter.com/Jackson_Carlaw/status/1344340749769388033?s=20
Such are the difficulties of judging the intentions and wishes of those above.
Sky were desparate for there to be big queues today because of the new customs arrangements, and really aren’t happy that things are all moving smoothly at Dover.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-55502252
I predict that 10 years from now it still tops the list.
People may be unhappy about the red tape but the idea that the border is going to collapse hopefully will just be another part of Project Fear.
I must admit I was quite sad as I retired to bed last night.
I "courted" my (also NZ-born) wife when I was living in London and she in Paris.
For maybe two years in the mid 2000s I would take the Eurostar to visit her each month (and she likewise, but in reverse).
We fell in love in Shoreditch and Charing Cross Road. But also on Rue Montorgeuil and the Parc Monceau.
Together, as young New Zealanders, we developed our love of European culture, food, history and landscape on successive holidays and through the steady accumulation of friends from every corner of the continent.
We have been to the Opera on a snowy night in Vienna. But also, we have stood on the basalt in Staffa, getting damp in the sea spray. Got lost in the Schwarzvald and sailed out of Stockholm. But also, spent long summer days walking - and drinking - in the fields and downs of Sussex, Hampshire and Kent.
Luckily we settled in the effective capital of Europe - London - where no compromise was necessary between the pursuit of career and the easy embrace of all that. Not entirely consciously, we lived a happy ecumenicalism - at "home" as New Zealanders, as British, and European. One day, perhaps, we hoped to retire at least part of the time to France.
Brexiters have been at pains throughout to maintain that "the EU is not Europe" which of course is true from a legal perspective, but hardly speaks to the heart. Regardless, much Brexit discourse seems angrily or sneeringly both anti-EU *and* anti-European - dismissive of foreign perspectives and indeed of people like me who found something quite wonderful in an Anglo-European existence.
I thought of my memories, and feelings, and considered the millions of people who must have felt similar to me. And of the many who won't quite have the same chance to feel that way.
I did not wait up for the actual countdown.
As independent Ireland takes up her seat on the @UN Security Council today, not (yet) independent Scotland is taken out of the EU against our will. Time to put ourselves in the driving seat of our own future, Scotland #indyref2
The way it work is this
- A substantial chunk of french people do much better than average. They are basically un-fireable at work, etc etc. A good friend got a vast 4 bed apartment in a very fashionable part of Paris for next to no rent. As "social housing". His family knew all the right people. He was an oil company executive.
- A bigger chunk, who aren't a part of the "thing" are much worse off than in the UK. This is why London is full of middle class French people. They like those job thingies.
- At the bottom you have the people of The Districts. Who are in the shit up to their noses.
When running a rule of thumb is you burn 1calorie for every 1kg of weight every 1km.
So weighing 75kg, I burn approx. 750calories running 10km.
Border queues will be a permanent a feature of Brexit and we will have to get used to them, as we will for all the many downsides and no upsides of our decision to leave the European Union. Eventually truckers will come back at a much higher cost to cover their waiting time and extra red tape. Importers will pass the costs on to consumers as higher prices. A chunk of exporters will find their business is no longer viable - they don't have the margin to eat the extra cost and customers are happy to buy from EU suppliers instead.
Anna Soubry was interviewed on R4 yesterday and she suggested it would be decades before the pendulum in the Tory party swung back toward the business-friendly, outward looking party she had joined when she was young.
Roger only likes to hang around with the well to do and turns his nose up at anyone else, which is why he loves it.
The effort to go x kilometres on a bike is many, many times less than the effort to run that distance.
They used to stop a few lorries under the old system anyway, looking for incorrect loads, VAT scams, overweight loads, contraband, illegal aliens and more.
Of course, now the politics is out of the way, it’s in everyone’s interest to keep the ports moving as quickly and seamlessly as possible. As someone mentioned above, if the French want to play silly buggers the lorries will over time move through Belgium or the Netherlands instead.
I just recalled a focus group which I posted as a link, predominately around some of those No voters being unaware of the implications of currency. I linked it once in fact - so what's the problem?
Aren't you meant to be winning over No voters?
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/jan/01/false-hope-pandemic-dangerous-disinformation
Full national lockdown until we at least have case numbers under control.
We previously locked down when we had lower case rates and no imminent vaccine.
Now we've got higher rates, a vaccine around the corner and a more transmissible strain.
There's nothing to be gained by Boris granting a referenum that, going by the polling numbers, he would narrowly lose. Refusing to grant section 30 powers again may increase support for independece, but if it does he's no worse off than now. But is also gives time for events to rescue the union - widending splits in the indy movement, the Salmond case bringing down Sturgeon, etc.
You don't have to HYUFD to see logic in just saying no.
You are John Smith (1656–1723) and I claim my 10 Guineas (in gold, please)
So 15 might be right depending on your fitness and your willingness to suffer. Power readings are the important numbers. Drop the watts bomb on a regular basis!