At a GE I would expect 2% of that Green total to switch to Labour.
We come to an electoral pact in our household to help achieve that.
So do you live with 50 (or more!) of your nearest & dearest?
Every little helps! Last year our vote exchange was in place for the locals and Euros. However for the GE it was clearly a lost cause so no point bothering.
Picking Corbyn over Burnham after Miliband's 2015 defeat cost Labour almost a decade further out of power
But Burnham wasn't/ isn't very good either. Granted streets ahead of Corbyn, but would he have beaten May in the postponed 2020 election. I am not sure.
He would not have beaten Boris most likely last time but he might have beaten May
Johnson would have remained a failed former FS without GE2017.
And if Theresa May had remained PM and not delivered Brexit by then Burnham may well have been elected PM last May
With Cameron's 2015 majority intact she could have completed the Brexit she desired. Johnson would be nowhere to be seen.
Rogers said: “Several very senior sources in capitals have told me they believe Johnson will await clarity on the presidential election result before finally deciding whether to jump to ‘no deal’ with the EU, or to conclude that this is just too risky with Biden heading for the White House, and hence live with some highly suboptimal (for Johnson) skinny free-trade agreement.”
...“I don’t think either Biden or his core team are anti-British, but I think they are unimpressed by both Johnson and his top team,” he said.
“They believe him to have been an early and vigorous supporter of Trump, and that Brexiteer thinking – which they think has damaged the unity of the west – has many parallels with Trumpism. So I really doubt there will be much warmth in the personal relationship. And Biden’s would simply not be an administration which viewed European integration as a negative.
“The UK’s absence from the EU will make it clearly less influential because it can no longer lead European thinking on the geo-strategic issues which will matter hugely to Biden. So [Biden] will put Berlin and Paris – and indeed Brussels – back at the heart of US thinking: not uncritically, because the US will still have serious issues with EU approaches on economic and security issues.”
...Jonathan Powell, who served as a diplomat in Washington in the 1990s before becoming Tony Blair’s chief of staff and taking control of negotiations that led to the Good Friday agreement, said Biden believed Johnson had imperilled the Irish peace process. He said: “Biden is very proud of his Irish antecedents. He has always been active on Northern Ireland since before I was in Washington. He takes a close interest in the Northern Irish peace process and sees it as an outrage that Johnson has in his cavalier manner threatened peace in Northern Ireland for so little reason. So that is going to be chalked up against him.”
In Washington there are plenty of foreign policy advisers around Biden who worked in the Obama administration and have not forgiven Johnson for his “part-Kenyan” comments. The camp sees Johnson as part of the same populist phenomenon that brought Trump to power. And from the Democrats’ point of view, the UK outside the EU will make it less important as a partner on the world stage." https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/oct/24/johnson-will-wait-for-us-election-result-before-no-deal-brexit-decision
Make no mistake. The Republican justices here are voting for the end of Federalism
The law is pretty clear on this, I thought: if it's postmarked on or before election day, it's counted.
If votes are seen to be not counted I can foresee trouble. This isn't 2000 any more.
Clearly Republicans are getting so desperate that they are willing to throw their Public Relations 101 textbooks right out the window - then go jumping out after them.
Strange how they lack the cool confidence of some of our leading PBers. Perhaps they simply do NOT understand just how well they are (said to be) polling?
PB Zooming First Tuesday After the First Monday in November is great idea.
Some quick questions:
1. for more technically-challenged, what is best way to obtain, install and use (for this particular meeting) Zoom?
2. how long do you need to set up Zoom and get reasonably up to speed.
3. what are some basic operational does & don'ts for PB Zoom meetup? For example, is the advice to use headphones to keep down extraneous noise? And how can common Zooming faux pas be avoided?
4. will there still be provision for standard PBing on this site, and how can it be integrated with PB Zoom (provided that's actually a good thing to do)?
5. how long is PB Zooming likely to last? And, given time change, what's time diff on Nov 3 between London & NYC?
Apologize for my crass ignorance & inexperience, but am a true techno-peasant!
It's an app you download. It's very easy. Keep muted by default so you won't be overheard placing Hawaiian pizza orders on the other line.
I reckon this school meals thing is just a bubble story.
Jesus, how did the Tories win an election, it's becoming very clear they hold the North in contempt and they're actively losing their votes and trying to look unappealing!
Monday am: U-turn on school meals. Monday pm: Write long begging letter to Biden saying sorry for sucking up to Trump. Monday evening: announce that world beating family xmas is on.
Tuesday am: Meet SAGE Tuesday pm: Announce family xmas is off
PB Zooming First Tuesday After the First Monday in November is great idea.
Some quick questions:
1. for more technically-challenged, what is best way to obtain, install and use (for this particular meeting) Zoom?
2. how long do you need to set up Zoom and get reasonably up to speed.
3. what are some basic operational does & don'ts for PB Zoom meetup? For example, is the advice to use headphones to keep down extraneous noise? And how can common Zooming faux pas be avoided?
4. will there still be provision for standard PBing on this site, and how can it be integrated with PB Zoom (provided that's actually a good thing to do)?
5. how long is PB Zooming likely to last? And, given time change, what's time diff on Nov 3 between London & NYC?
Apologize for my crass ignorance & inexperience, but am a true techno-peasant!
It's an app you download. It's very easy. Keep muted by default so you won't be overheard placing Hawaiian pizza orders on the other line.
For God's sake, somebody warn SeanT! Lord knows what goods & services HE might be overheard ordering for delivery to (or at) his den of iniquity . . .
Make no mistake. The Republican justices here are voting for the end of Federalism
The law is pretty clear on this, I thought: if it's postmarked on or before election day, it's counted.
If votes are seen to be not counted I can foresee trouble. This isn't 2000 any more.
Clearly Republicans are getting so desperate that they are willing to throw their Public Relations 101 textbooks right out the window - then go jumping out after them.
Strange how they lack the cool confidence of some of our leading PBers. Perhaps they simply do NOT understand just how well they are (said to be) polling?
Snippet in The Week magazine saying Gallup find record high numbers of Americans say they have become better off financially under Trump vs previous presidents. Not sure what to make of this. Like the "How do you think your neighbours will vote" thing it sounds like looking for supportive oddball polls when boring old Who you gonna vote for ones are not going your way.
2 point lead for Labour, Tories on 38 their lowest yet, their support is crumbling
Only the beginning. Wait until you see the numbers by next summer.
I expect that too, although, I suspect it remains close, with a decent Brexit deal bounce for the Conservatives which will evaporate within a couple of months, and then as you say...
2 point lead for Labour, Tories on 38 their lowest yet, their support is crumbling
Only the beginning. Wait until you see the numbers by next summer.
I expect that too, although, I suspect it remains close, with a decent Brexit deal bounce for the Conservatives which will evaporate within a couple of months, and then as you say...
Several million unemployed. Family businesses ruined. Vaccine only half effective. Months of border chaos for food and meds supplies, followed by problems with travel for summer holidays.
There's so much crap coming Johnson's (and our) way.
2 point lead for Labour, Tories on 38 their lowest yet, their support is crumbling
Only the beginning. Wait until you see the numbers by next summer.
I expect that too, although, I suspect it remains close, with a decent Brexit deal bounce for the Conservatives which will evaporate within a couple of months, and then as you say...
At the end of the day, it's going to be hard for the Conservatives to win again in 2024 after 14 years in office.
Time for a change will definitely resonate, so I view it as Labour's to lose.
However, lose they still can - and a lot can happen in the next 3.5 years.
Tory almost-landslide to out of Government, quite a way to go
Electoral Calculus gives Tories 286, Labour 277 and LDs 6 on the new Opinium numbers so even despite falling behind on voteshare the Tories would still be largest party on seats and Starmer would need both the SNP and LDs to form a government
Tory almost-landslide to out of Government, quite a way to go
Electoral Calculus gives Tories 286, Labour 277 and LDs 6 on the new Opinium numbers so even despite falling behind on voteshare the Tories would still be largest party on seats and Starmer would need both the SNP and LDs to form a government
PB Zooming First Tuesday After the First Monday in November is great idea.
Some quick questions:
1. for more technically-challenged, what is best way to obtain, install and use (for this particular meeting) Zoom?
2. how long do you need to set up Zoom and get reasonably up to speed.
3. what are some basic operational does & don'ts for PB Zoom meetup? For example, is the advice to use headphones to keep down extraneous noise? And how can common Zooming faux pas be avoided?
4. will there still be provision for standard PBing on this site, and how can it be integrated with PB Zoom (provided that's actually a good thing to do)?
5. how long is PB Zooming likely to last? And, given time change, what's time diff on Nov 3 between London & NYC?
Apologize for my crass ignorance & inexperience, but am a true techno-peasant!
When I use Zoom here in Blighty I just do a google search for "Zoom" and tick "Zoom meetings". If you need to install something it'll tell you I guess. Then follow your nose, but I must mention that I have always needed an entry number to key in. I expect more and maybe more accurate info will wing its way to you from others.
Make America whole(ish) again, as maimed by our fake president.
Monday am: U-turn on school meals. Monday pm: Write long begging letter to Biden saying sorry for sucking up to Trump. Monday evening: announce that world beating family xmas is on.
Tuesday am: Meet SAGE Tuesday pm: Announce family xmas is off
I think that list would take Boris the whole week, not just Monday and Tuesday. One item each day. He doesn't like to overdo it.
Safest course for her, seeing as how we're talking about a totally done deal.
Trumpskyites will be enthused, and establishment Republicans and evangelicals (a BIG bloc in Alaska) will be propitiated. As for Democrats - a key element of Sen. Murkowski's support base (esp. Native Alaskans) - she can point out that she came to the decision slowly AND she's got a few years to do & say things they will like way better.
Tory almost-landslide to out of Government, quite a way to go
Electoral Calculus gives Tories 286, Labour 277 and LDs 6 on the new Opinium numbers so even despite falling behind on voteshare the Tories would still be largest party on seats and Starmer would need both the SNP and LDs to form a government
When I worked for Goldman Sachs, we would find ourselves on these crazy long roadshows visiting investors. You'd arrive in a City at 11pm, get four hours sleep in an expensive hotel, wake up to do calls with London, then do a breakfast presentation to 20 people, before being whisked off to the next place. I'd often awake to an alarm at 4:30am, and have no idea which city I was in.
For Trump, Pence, Biden and Harris, I imagine it's even worse: speech, press flesh, meeting with donor, calls with campaign staff, flight (where you hopefully can catch 20 winks), rinse repeat.
Her not knowing where she is is - I suspect - an occupational hazard of the last two weeks of a Presidential campaign.
Tory almost-landslide to out of Government, quite a way to go
Electoral Calculus gives Tories 286, Labour 277 and LDs 6 on the new Opinium numbers so even despite falling behind on voteshare the Tories would still be largest party on seats and Starmer would need both the SNP and LDs to form a government
Tory almost-landslide to out of Government, quite a way to go
Electoral Calculus gives Tories 286, Labour 277 and LDs 6 on the new Opinium numbers so even despite falling behind on voteshare the Tories would still be largest party on seats and Starmer would need both the SNP and LDs to form a government
When I worked for Goldman Sachs, we would find ourselves on these crazy long roadshows visiting investors. You'd arrive in a City at 11pm, get four hours sleep in an expensive hotel, wake up to do calls with London, then do a breakfast presentation to 20 people, before being whisked off to the next place. I'd often awake to an alarm at 4:30am, and have no idea which city I was in.
For Trump, Pence, Biden and Harris, I imagine it's even worse: speech, press flesh, meeting with donor, calls with campaign staff, flight (where you hopefully can catch 20 winks), rinse repeat.
Her not knowing where she is is - I suspect - an occupational hazard of the last two weeks of a Presidential campaign.
Indeed, but it is precisely the kind of gaffe that plays right into Trump's message.
2 point lead for Labour, Tories on 38 their lowest yet, their support is crumbling
Only the beginning. Wait until you see the numbers by next summer.
I expect that too, although, I suspect it remains close, with a decent Brexit deal bounce for the Conservatives which will evaporate within a couple of months, and then as you say...
At the end of the day, it's going to be hard for the Conservatives to win again in 2024 after 14 years in office.
Time for a change will definitely resonate, so I view it as Labour's to lose.
However, lose they still can - and a lot can happen in the next 3.5 years.
And that is the point
Covid and a brexit deal will surely be history by 2022 and the upsurge in economic activity should be as marked as today's fall
Increasing jobs and new issues mean no one can tell the result of 2024
I could be persuaded to vote for Labour if Corbyn is history and they follow a social agenda and very pro business as per Nicola Sturgeon in Scotland
Mind you at my wife and my ages another four years would be gratefully received
Tory almost-landslide to out of Government, quite a way to go
Electoral Calculus gives Tories 286, Labour 277 and LDs 6 on the new Opinium numbers so even despite falling behind on voteshare the Tories would still be largest party on seats and Starmer would need both the SNP and LDs to form a government
What happened to freedom of speech? Or is it only bad when Labour says something the Tories don't like?
There is a small but significant difference between the idea of free speech and the assumption that the exercise of free speech is always a consequence free act. I am entitled to say that Hitler was right in every respect, a fine leader and a great and thoughtful writer, but I am not entitled to expect this to have no consequences with regard to my life and reputation and not entitled to expect not to be argued with and criticised.
Incidentally the 'Tory scum'/'Tory vermin' trope, now ancient and massively over used is an exceedingly bad way of persuading habitual Tory voters that Labour is a good and safe home for their vote. At this moment Labour voters won't need much persuasion. It's the millions of Tories whose votes Labour needs. Calling them scum is just a very bad idea, especially as, like Labour voters, they generally are not.
Make no mistake. The Republican justices here are voting for the end of Federalism
The law is pretty clear on this, I thought: if it's postmarked on or before election day, it's counted.
If votes are seen to be not counted I can foresee trouble. This isn't 2000 any more.
Clearly Republicans are getting so desperate that they are willing to throw their Public Relations 101 textbooks right out the window - then go jumping out after them.
Strange how they lack the cool confidence of some of our leading PBers. Perhaps they simply do NOT understand just how well they are (said to be) polling?
Snippet in The Week magazine saying Gallup find record high numbers of Americans say they have become better off financially under Trump vs previous presidents. Not sure what to make of this. Like the "How do you think your neighbours will vote" thing it sounds like looking for supportive oddball polls when boring old Who you gonna vote for ones are not going your way.
While the poll may have flaws, it's true that Trumpsky has polled better on his handling of economy than anything else, and better (until recently) than Biden & economy.
IF he was even half-way housebroken, Trumpsky would be on his way to a narrow but solid re-election after barely winning his first term, very similar to W.
Fact he's incapable of being POTUS potty-trained and still flinging his toxic pooh in all directions, is what's gonna consign him to the Toilet Bowl of History.
What happened to freedom of speech? Or is it only bad when Labour says something the Tories don't like?
There is a small but significant difference between the idea of free speech and the assumption that the exercise of free speech is always a consequence free act. I am entitled to say that Hitler was right in every respect, a fine leader and a great and thoughtful writer, but I am not entitled to expect this to have no consequences with regard to my life and reputation and not entitled to expect not to be argued with and criticised.
Incidentally the 'Tory scum'/'Tory vermin' trope, now ancient and massively over used is an exceedingly bad way of persuading habitual Tory voters that Labour is a good and safe home for their vote. At this moment Labour voters won't need much persuasion. It's the millions of Tories whose votes Labour needs. Calling them scum is just a very bad idea, especially as, like Labour voters, they generally are not.
Rayner should absolutely apologise and I said so already but my point stands.
When I worked for Goldman Sachs, we would find ourselves on these crazy long roadshows visiting investors. You'd arrive in a City at 11pm, get four hours sleep in an expensive hotel, wake up to do calls with London, then do a breakfast presentation to 20 people, before being whisked off to the next place. I'd often awake to an alarm at 4:30am, and have no idea which city I was in.
For Trump, Pence, Biden and Harris, I imagine it's even worse: speech, press flesh, meeting with donor, calls with campaign staff, flight (where you hopefully can catch 20 winks), rinse repeat.
Her not knowing where she is is - I suspect - an occupational hazard of the last two weeks of a Presidential campaign.
Indeed, but it is precisely the kind of gaffe that plays right into Trump's message.
You do have a point, albeit a small one. Doubtful it will be THE x-factor that swings the Buckeye State.
Which methinks Trumpsky's gonna win (again) as a) it's been trending GOP for a while; and b) Republican dirty tricks, such as sabotaging printing of absentee ballots for number of large OH counties by company flying MAGA flag on its roof.
(Yes, I know after he was caught manipulating data he’s no longer a government official.)
But they’re wildly optimistic if they think we can keep this up until December on a one week break.
I must have missed a scandal. When was Ferguson caught manipulating data? I thought he stepped down after breaking lockdown to see his girlfriend.
The normally reliable YDoethur is wrong.
I don't think Ferguson was (i) ever a government official or (ii) has been caught manipulating data (which would of course be an extremely serious matter for a scientist.)
2 point lead for Labour, Tories on 38 their lowest yet, their support is crumbling
Only the beginning. Wait until you see the numbers by next summer.
I predicted crossover this weekend following a week of out of touch government allowing Burnham and Marcus Rushford to take over the agenda
As I said earlier this week I would have voted with Labour over free schools meals but HMG should have led it
The only surprise is Labour remain static and Starmer is only 1 point ahead of Boris
The brexit negotiation needs a deal, any deal
Then time the backbenchers starting writing letters to the 1922
Thanks now Labour again voter BigG on your views on the fate of Boris
Do not put words into my mouth
Boris is not the person for todays crisis and more and more conservatives are concluding the same
I'm not sure Boris is the person for any crisis. I agree though that more conservatives increasingly moving away from him - myself and my wife for starters. Though it was a pretty crap choice at GE2019 and judging by Drakeford in Wales I think Corbyn would have been worse.
"Are we really in Cleveland? I thought this was supposed to be a Republican state?"
At least she didn't call it "the Mistake on the Lake" or start reciting lyrics of Randy Newman's ode to the Cuyahoga River: "Burn On, Big River, Burn On!"
Big G has spent the last many weeks bullying and picking on me and I'm not the only one to point it out as he's done the same to other users. I won't name them out of respect for their privacy.
I've seen Big G's type many times in my life, I know exactly what you are. You're a coward and a nasty piece of work.
So to make it clear Big G you can continue to be rude, condescending and a bully all you like but I am going to call it out from now on. I won't be responding to you for any reason, you're simply not worth the effort - bullying however is something I won't let you do to others.
When I worked for Goldman Sachs, we would find ourselves on these crazy long roadshows visiting investors. You'd arrive in a City at 11pm, get four hours sleep in an expensive hotel, wake up to do calls with London, then do a breakfast presentation to 20 people, before being whisked off to the next place. I'd often awake to an alarm at 4:30am, and have no idea which city I was in.
For Trump, Pence, Biden and Harris, I imagine it's even worse: speech, press flesh, meeting with donor, calls with campaign staff, flight (where you hopefully can catch 20 winks), rinse repeat.
Her not knowing where she is is - I suspect - an occupational hazard of the last two weeks of a Presidential campaign.
Indeed, but it is precisely the kind of gaffe that plays right into Trump's message.
Gaffes - pussygate, bigoted woman, etc. - very rarely move many votes.
(Yes, I know after he was caught manipulating data he’s no longer a government official.)
But they’re wildly optimistic if they think we can keep this up until December on a one week break.
I must have missed a scandal. When was Ferguson caught manipulating data? I thought he stepped down after breaking lockdown to see his girlfriend.
The normally reliable YDoethur is wrong.
I don't think Ferguson was (i) ever a government official or (ii) has been caught manipulating data (which would of course be an extremely serious matter for a scientist.)
"I didn't elect a scientist. I didn't elect Whitty" : Maureen of Barnsley.
Big G has spent the last many weeks bullying and picking on me and I'm not the only one to point it out as he's done the same to other users. I won't name them out of respect for their privacy.
I've seen Big G's type many times in my life, I know exactly what you are. You're a coward and a nasty piece of work.
So to make it clear Big G you can continue to be rude, condescending and a bully all you like but I am going to call it out from now on. I won't be responding to you for any reason, you're simply not worth the effort - bullying however is something I won't let you do to others.
You need to calm down and by the way you do not police this site
Tory almost-landslide to out of Government, quite a way to go
Electoral Calculus gives Tories 286, Labour 277 and LDs 6 on the new Opinium numbers so even despite falling behind on voteshare the Tories would still be largest party on seats and Starmer would need both the SNP and LDs to form a government
2 point lead for Labour, Tories on 38 their lowest yet, their support is crumbling
Only the beginning. Wait until you see the numbers by next summer.
I predicted crossover this weekend following a week of out of touch government allowing Burnham and Marcus Rushford to take over the agenda
As I said earlier this week I would have voted with Labour over free schools meals but HMG should have led it
The only surprise is Labour remain static and Starmer is only 1 point ahead of Boris
The brexit negotiation needs a deal, any deal
Then time the backbenchers starting writing letters to the 1922
Thanks now Labour again voter BigG on your views on the fate of Boris
Do not put words into my mouth
Boris is not the person for todays crisis and more and more conservatives are concluding the same
Sadly a lot of Tory members missed that blatantly obvious flaw when they voted for him.
To be honest he was the person for the time but covid has shown him to be unable to adapt to the leadership needed
I want him to be replaced for several reasons but as the union is important to my wife and I his toxicity in Scotland makes it more and more likely sadly
When I worked for Goldman Sachs, we would find ourselves on these crazy long roadshows visiting investors. You'd arrive in a City at 11pm, get four hours sleep in an expensive hotel, wake up to do calls with London, then do a breakfast presentation to 20 people, before being whisked off to the next place. I'd often awake to an alarm at 4:30am, and have no idea which city I was in.
For Trump, Pence, Biden and Harris, I imagine it's even worse: speech, press flesh, meeting with donor, calls with campaign staff, flight (where you hopefully can catch 20 winks), rinse repeat.
Her not knowing where she is is - I suspect - an occupational hazard of the last two weeks of a Presidential campaign.
Indeed, but it is precisely the kind of gaffe that plays right into Trump's message.
Gaffes - pussygate, bigoted woman, etc. - very rarely move many votes.
What they do have a way of doing, is diverting candidates for hours or even days from their own campaign strategy & message.
Note that the President is a master at this - against himself.
Normally I ignore congressional district polling but having that suggestion that 2016 CD polling showed Trump in a much better position than the State polling did has got me interested.
Now, I have yet to find a collation of 2016 CD polling to be able to confirm the above suggestion but what I will say is that if the current CD polling is even close to accurate then Trump is getting ROFLStomped. Districts won by the GOP by 20 points in 2016 when Trump's namen was on the ballot are within 4 now.
Basically the CD polling for 2020 looks similar to 2018 in a lot of ways.
What happened to freedom of speech? Or is it only bad when Labour says something the Tories don't like?
There is a small but significant difference between the idea of free speech and the assumption that the exercise of free speech is always a consequence free act. I am entitled to say that Hitler was right in every respect, a fine leader and a great and thoughtful writer, but I am not entitled to expect this to have no consequences with regard to my life and reputation and not entitled to expect not to be argued with and criticised.
Incidentally the 'Tory scum'/'Tory vermin' trope, now ancient and massively over used is an exceedingly bad way of persuading habitual Tory voters that Labour is a good and safe home for their vote. At this moment Labour voters won't need much persuasion. It's the millions of Tories whose votes Labour needs. Calling them scum is just a very bad idea, especially as, like Labour voters, they generally are not.
Yes but. Did they receive abuse because. A. The comments of Rayner. Or, B. Voting against free school meals?
Comments
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-54678082
One knows how not to score own goals, the other is the Prime Minister.
...“I don’t think either Biden or his core team are anti-British, but I think they are unimpressed by both Johnson and his top team,” he said.
“They believe him to have been an early and vigorous supporter of Trump, and that Brexiteer thinking – which they think has damaged the unity of the west – has many parallels with Trumpism. So I really doubt there will be much warmth in the personal relationship. And Biden’s would simply not be an administration which viewed European integration as a negative.
“The UK’s absence from the EU will make it clearly less influential because it can no longer lead European thinking on the geo-strategic issues which will matter hugely to Biden. So [Biden] will put Berlin and Paris – and indeed Brussels – back at the heart of US thinking: not uncritically, because the US will still have serious issues with EU approaches on economic and security issues.”
...Jonathan Powell, who served as a diplomat in Washington in the 1990s before becoming Tony Blair’s chief of staff and taking control of negotiations that led to the Good Friday agreement, said Biden believed Johnson had imperilled the Irish peace process. He said: “Biden is very proud of his Irish antecedents. He has always been active on Northern Ireland since before I was in Washington. He takes a close interest in the Northern Irish peace process and sees it as an outrage that Johnson has in his cavalier manner threatened peace in Northern Ireland for so little reason. So that is going to be chalked up against him.”
In Washington there are plenty of foreign policy advisers around Biden who worked in the Obama administration and have not forgiven Johnson for his “part-Kenyan” comments. The camp sees Johnson as part of the same populist phenomenon that brought Trump to power. And from the Democrats’ point of view, the UK outside the EU will make it less important as a partner on the world stage."
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/oct/24/johnson-will-wait-for-us-election-result-before-no-deal-brexit-decision
By erm...allowing a foreign electorate to decide our policy.
https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/10/supreme-court-pennsylvania-election-late-ballots.html
Strange how they lack the cool confidence of some of our leading PBers. Perhaps they simply do NOT understand just how well they are (said to be) polling?
He couldn't cut it at the Albion and they had to let him go to the Dingles.
Jesus, how did the Tories win an election, it's becoming very clear they hold the North in contempt and they're actively losing their votes and trying to look unappealing!
Monday am: U-turn on school meals.
Monday pm: Write long begging letter to Biden saying sorry for sucking up to Trump.
Monday evening: announce that world beating family xmas is on.
Tuesday am: Meet SAGE
Tuesday pm: Announce family xmas is off
Think I might come as Horace Greeley, only because I have a) beard; b) hat; and c) bald head.
AND did follow HG's famous advice to "Go West, Young Man!"
There's so much crap coming Johnson's (and our) way.
Time for a change will definitely resonate, so I view it as Labour's to lose.
However, lose they still can - and a lot can happen in the next 3.5 years.
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/usercode.py?scotcontrol=Y&CON=38&LAB=40&LIB=6&Brexit=2&Green=5&UKIP=&TVCON=&TVLAB=&TVLIB=&TVBrexit=&TVGreen=&TVUKIP=&SCOTCON=20&SCOTLAB=18.4&SCOTLIB=5.5&SCOTBrexit=1.1&SCOTGreen=1.1&SCOTUKIP=&SCOTNAT=52.6&display=AllChanged&regorseat=(none)&boundary=2019
What happened to freedom of speech? Or is it only bad when Labour says something the Tories don't like?
Or something like that.
Make America whole(ish) again, as maimed by our fake president.
https://twitter.com/ChiefMI6/status/1320056663043416064?s=20
What's so funny about this is that the Russians take this stuff semi-seriously.
Whilst you get an extra hour in bed, I will just have an extra long day.
https://twitter.com/TVNewsHQ/status/1320095239718174721
Trumpskyites will be enthused, and establishment Republicans and evangelicals (a BIG bloc in Alaska) will be propitiated. As for Democrats - a key element of Sen. Murkowski's support base (esp. Native Alaskans) - she can point out that she came to the decision slowly AND she's got a few years to do & say things they will like way better.
https://twitter.com/SpillerOfTea/status/1319945094976372737
As I said earlier this week I would have voted with Labour over free schools meals but HMG should have led it
The only surprise is Labour remain static and Starmer is only 1 point ahead of Boris
The brexit negotiation needs a deal, any deal
Then time the backbenchers starting writing letters to the 1922
Well fuck, that they are accelerating off to the moon again.
Wonder if anyone is posting "but if we are like France then it will be a flat linear increase" tweets
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8774005/Wholl-bail-Boris-Johnson-taken-vast-pay-cut-PM.html
Lockdown now.
For Trump, Pence, Biden and Harris, I imagine it's even worse: speech, press flesh, meeting with donor, calls with campaign staff, flight (where you hopefully can catch 20 winks), rinse repeat.
Her not knowing where she is is - I suspect - an occupational hazard of the last two weeks of a Presidential campaign.
https://youtu.be/ho6jbxnxGds
Covid and a brexit deal will surely be history by 2022 and the upsurge in economic activity should be as marked as today's fall
Increasing jobs and new issues mean no one can tell the result of 2024
I could be persuaded to vote for Labour if Corbyn is history and they follow a social agenda and very pro business as per Nicola Sturgeon in Scotland
Mind you at my wife and my ages another four years would be gratefully received
Incidentally the 'Tory scum'/'Tory vermin' trope, now ancient and massively over used is an exceedingly bad way of persuading habitual Tory voters that Labour is a good and safe home for their vote. At this moment Labour voters won't need much persuasion. It's the millions of Tories whose votes Labour needs. Calling them scum is just a very bad idea, especially as, like Labour voters, they generally are not.
IF he was even half-way housebroken, Trumpsky would be on his way to a narrow but solid re-election after barely winning his first term, very similar to W.
Fact he's incapable of being POTUS potty-trained and still flinging his toxic pooh in all directions, is what's gonna consign him to the Toilet Bowl of History.
Flush! Flush!
Boris is not the person for todays crisis and more and more conservatives are concluding the same
Johnson gonna be more unpopular than Farage soon
Biden 51% (+3)
Trump 44% (-1)
Changes from 24th July.
So using the @HYUFD method, if we allocate all of the 5% others to Trump, Biden still wins.
Which methinks Trumpsky's gonna win (again) as a) it's been trending GOP for a while; and b) Republican dirty tricks, such as sabotaging printing of absentee ballots for number of large OH counties by company flying MAGA flag on its roof.
Numbers
Trump 100
Biden 0
I most certainly would vote for labour's amendment
Who do you think you are accusing me of being a liar
You have already been called out by my fellow posters when you accused me of being a liar when I voted remain
You need help
I don't think Ferguson was (i) ever a government official or (ii) has been caught manipulating data (which would of course be an extremely serious matter for a scientist.)
And you're a bully.
End of story.
You think you can come on here and tell me and others what to do and then you have the arrogance to play the victim, I won't stand for it any more.
Do you remember https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2010/apr/28/gordon-brown-penitent-bigot-gaffe-campaign
That was 100x bigger, and everyone forecast it would mean the Labour Party would do really badly in the constituency.
And they actually outperformed there.
Back in 2008, I remember this being posted on here, and people saying that it meant Obama was doomed:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=omHUsRTYFAU&ab_channel=DennisBerwyn
Absolutely yes and I said so at the time of the vote
And to rebut Horse who has called me a liar on voting remain and backing free school meals I vow it on my grandchikdrens life
I've seen Big G's type many times in my life, I know exactly what you are. You're a coward and a nasty piece of work.
We partnered with Ipsos to poll voters before and after the candidates took the stage."
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-biden-final-debate-poll/
This is an internet forum
Also I love the fact that the bit of that which presumably reflects your personal inputs begins "scotcontrol=Y".
Try the passing of the Spring equinox.
I want him to be replaced for several reasons but as the union is important to my wife and I his toxicity in Scotland makes it more and more likely sadly
Note that the President is a master at this - against himself.
Well done Andy Burnham
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/
Now, I have yet to find a collation of 2016 CD polling to be able to confirm the above suggestion but what I will say is that if the current CD polling is even close to accurate then Trump is getting ROFLStomped. Districts won by the GOP by 20 points in 2016 when Trump's namen was on the ballot are within 4 now.
Basically the CD polling for 2020 looks similar to 2018 in a lot of ways.
Now to find the 2016 CD polling.
He's unfailingly polite in my experience and I have yet to come across a lie.
A. The comments of Rayner. Or,
B. Voting against free school meals?
I suspect B is more likely.