politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » By nearly four to one those who had a view on Jenrick think he

The first thing about this YouGov polling is the large numbers of don’t knows – suggesting that what has been a huge issue in Westminster has not really cut through that much yet.
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I wonder if you asked in an opinion whether Bob Smith should resign from government what percentage would reply yes. It would be a percentage.
He should have a chat with this guy...
https://twitter.com/StephenMcGann/status/1276512015603957760
In other news:
https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/1276585792945741827?s=20
https://twitter.com/ThatTimWalker/status/1276157050440101891?s=20
Completely hopeless to try to spin this as good for Jenrick. Even 33% percent of Tory voters think he should go. But I don't mind if the government deludes themselves into thinking they can ignore this just because there are a lot of don't knows.
The weighting by party affiliation is absolute and total garbage. It throws into question any finding of that poll.
38/38/24 - Dem/GOP/Ind for the weighting is nonsense.
If he despises our "tacky little country" so much maybe he should just ignore it.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cotam_001
(Politics aside there has to be a degree of respect for the ministers that are dealing with this. I have a degree of respect for Gordon Brown for much the same reason - very reluctantly though)
https://twitter.com/RafPhotog/status/1276564282377998339
A single publicity shot.
That doesn’t mean that the standards which Jenrick fell short of are not important. Indeed you could make a case it makes them even more important. We should be able to rely on people in authority doing the right thing without troubling ourselves with the details. Our public life is diminished by Jenrick not falling on his sword. Not by much, he isn’t that important, but it is another drip. I think that we are entitled to expect better.
Meanwhile a net +35% (47% - 12%) agree that Starmer was right to sack Long-Bailey.
Once again, Starmer is on the right side of public opinion and Johnson is on the wrong side.
https://twitter.com/MarisaKabas/status/1276605932861100033
Looks like it was just an excuse to get out of their parents houses during lockdown
If it was wrong he should resign, if it was illegal he should be charged.
You can't really expect Joe Public to have a full and sophisticated view of this kind of thing. The fact that Joe doesn't shouldn't be an excuse for politcal or legal inertia.
Maybe the slavers have gone and slippery slope arguments suggesting this was never going to stop was hysterical nonsense.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Almanac_of_British_Politics
Robert Waller's constituency descriptions were always worth reading.
The UK Polling Report website also seems to be on its last legs.
Meanwhile people obsess about the day's bullshit spouting on twatter.
Saved by a drop of rain?
So the protest worked. A grand total of one statue illegally pulled down - a whole one. Now its going through legal channels.
There was only one slaver?!
The BLM rallys/riots haven't stopped, thats disappointing
Anyway **buffs nails** re header written on this on 22 June.
I was attacked by more people than I could count on here for that and was told in no uncertain terms it wouldn't stop at one illegally pulled down. That this was going to continue and continue.
Instead its stopped as soon as it started. It started at one and it stopped at one. I was right and everyone who suggested this was some Pandora's Box that would be unending protests and pulling down of statues were wrong.
Supermarkets in Australia have reintroduced limits on purchasing toilet roll amid a rise in panic-buying.
On Friday, Coles imposed a one-pack limit on toilet roll and paper towels nationwide, while Woolworths has a two-pack limit on toilet roll.
The rush was triggered by a spike in Covid-19 cases in the state of Victoria.
Prime Minister Scott Morrison said there was no reason to panic-buy.
Limits were previously imposed in March, when Australian shoppers anticipating a lockdown emptied supermarket shelves. Police were called to one store in Sydney after customers fought over toilet roll.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-australia-53196525
- Basil Fawlty.
Either way, odd if someone who criticised them for tearing the statues down now criticises them for stopping. If they are deemed wrong whatever they do, that's fairly strong evidence of prejudice.
https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1272023458839506944?s=20
https://twitter.com/Michael_Heaver/status/1276059446393933824?s=20
Pence chairs the White House Coronavirus Task Force. Not doing a "great" job, is he?
Masks could develop into a big issue.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-53191287
Back to the US election and my thoughts from the last thread.
There is a route to a Trump win which involves him recovering some ground among the white vote. He can afford to slip a little from 2016 because he has gained ten points in the Hispanic vote (NM anyone?) but the problem is the sheer numbers by which he is down among the 70% of the white vote is a concern.
The Marist poll sample splits by affiliation 38% Democrat, 31% Republican, 29% Independent and 2% other. The Independents break 47-44 for Biden.
In 2016, the party affiliation of the vote split 37% Democrat, 33% Republican and 31% Independent. The Independents split 47-42 to Trump so that's a 4% swing to Biden among the independents.
And, if so, did they suffer any life-changing effects?
Or do you think that just a wily subterfuge?
This result from the survey is of more interest (and of far greater statistical significance):
... Unexpectedly, analysis of archival samples revealed the increasing occurrence of SARS-CoV-2 genomes in samples from January 15 to March 4, 2020 (Figure 1, panels D and E). Of note, SARS-CoV-2 was detected in sewage 41 days (January 15) before the declaration of the first COVID-19 case (February 25), clearly evidencing the validity of wastewater surveillance to anticipate cases in the population. This SARS- CoV-2 early detection in sewage supports the idea that COVID-19 cases may have been present in the population before the first imported case was reported. COVID-19 carriers may have been misclassified as influenza diagnoses in primary care, boosting community transmission before public health measures were taken (11)...
Well, not quite. The 20% temporary pay cut is over. And being replaced by a 10% temporary pay cut.
Oh well, as long as your comfortable there, I am happy to be in complete disagreement
I have a garden bridge to sell, a snip at £53m.
This is unprecedented
Angela Merkel in March said that we have enough toilet paper as long as no one hamsters* it.
hamstern=to panic buy in German
The other two are reviews. No one has made any decisions. Don’t like it, vote out the good councillors of Islington and RBKC.
It is not the fundraising dinner that raiases an eyebrow. It is the aroma of possible corruption after that dinner that causes consternation.
https://twitter.com/EveryVoiceNC/status/1276535513164517376?s=19
I wonder what the split was/is for the Bournemouth beach crowd, indeed, for those in my big Tesco's who do/don't respect the arrows.