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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Joe Biden’s VP pick – we’ve now got a date
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Joe Biden’s VP pick – we’ve now got a date
This is how the Hill is reporting statement’s from the campaign:
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"Why we remember wars but forget plagues
Pandemics aren't represented in film or literature because they're too boring, too horrific and too depressing
By Sean Thomas"
https://unherd.com/2020/05/why-we-remember-wars-but-forget-plagues/
It is a remarkable feature of this Presidential election that both presumptive candidates, Trump and Biden, can be backed at odds-against. In other words, you can back both to guarantee a profit -- provided they both run. Clearly the market is worried that one or both might drop out before November.
I don't think Coronavirus lit will be filling up people's Christmas stockings this year.
Sean did miss the film Contagion, which is more like a documentary and well worth watching, as well as a host of other virus films:
https://www.glamour.com/gallery/best-virus-movies
Each time we discover a new technology, it’s a little like betting against a single number on a roulette wheel. Most of the time we win, and the technology is overall good. But each time there’s also a small chance the technology gives us more destructive power than we can handle, and we lose everything."
I saw this on https://80000hours.org/articles/extinction-risk/, which was quoted on a maths blog. I am a little worried about permanent lockdown because no species on Earth has ever done this before, which is still around.
Following this brisk prologue, Boccaccio pursues the rich people into the Tuscan countryside, and the bulk of the book is 100 ribald, funny stories told by 10 posh young survivors, as they wait out the pox. The plague is, then, merely a framework.
It’s almost as if he admires them. Kudos to him for staying in London and not buggering off to, I dunno, Durham or South Wales at the first opportunity.
The combination of changes in computing power/AI and our increased understanding of our own internal biomechanics/biochemistry make the end of humankind (or its dominance/relevance) in the next 100 years, far more than a small chance.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/cricket/52822639
Interesting to see if football clubs try likewise as I suggested they should earlier in the week. It can be done safely and bring in over half their ticket income for League 1/2 clubs, obviously less relevant in the prem where TV money dominates.
Agree with your reasoning but not AK, who presents a bit of a problem for black voters. If I had to guess, I'd say KH but wouldn't bet at the odds.
Stay well. Keep washing those paws!
PtP
People will have to pay more, but go less often, which fits in with the limited capacity.
Sorry about missing the glitch as a result of 'predictive' text, by the way!
COVID-19 serology at population scale: SARS-CoV-2-specific antibody responses in saliva
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.24.20112300v1.full.pdf
https://twitter.com/afneil/status/1265887385688170497
I’m expecting a much younger running mate. Much. Though the risk is that she’ll look like a trophy bride, which I’m sure Donald Trump would have fun with.
Meanwhile in other news, a friend who stayed away from his dying mother (because its COVID right?) is going to the funeral today. His opinion of Cummings is unprintable...
https://twitter.com/michaelschwab13/status/1265344589256372227
Electronic tag for two weeks
Stay in airport hotel for two weeks at subsidised rate, say £400
And exempt countries that are low risk, block completely high risk (including USA) and quarantine the middle risk arrivals.
But we are not fussed about it, it is to placate the masses who see it as common sense. Just another folly of governing by opinion poll.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/may/28/coronavirus-infection-rate-too-high-second-wave
(The extent you which you tend towards that conclusion depends on how you see the spread and/or measures taken for suppression of coronavirus as impacting on other areas/outcomes).
However, running a quarantine after the rise and peak, during a quieter summer, to hit sports and hospitality, before a second wave comes in could be the worst possible timing.
Amendments to policy may be needed quickly, but having tests on hand with a commensurate fee may be wiser, likewise general advice to not go out much upon return.
Logic and common sense would therefore suggest a VP with actual management experience such as Whitmer but logic and common sense seem to have little to do with these selections.
There is a slow dawning comprehension that we face an economic catastrophe in this country but so does the United States. With over 100k dead already and probably the best part of another 100k to come they face very similar dilemmas about how to return to normal, what key industries to support, how to fund this etc. By January most of the decisions will have been made by Trump but clearing up his mess is going to make Hercules work in the Sisyphean stables look like a bit of spring cleaning. The US desperately needed a Bill Clinton but have got Joe Biden. Its going to be a very rough ride.
In other countries you are escorted from the plane and essentially locked up in a quarantine hotel room. In the UK, "quarantine" is designed to shut up Farage and sound tough to Brexiteers rather than have a function as actual quarantine.
And then there’s Boccaccio’s Decameron.
https://twitter.com/Keir_Starmer/status/1265893315486126081
However, unless you genuinely believe that the travel to Durham was for any other reason than concern for how he and his wife would cope with their child if they both became seriously ill, then most of the cases of people complaining that they followed the rules when he didn’t are probably actually probably not directly comparable.
Interestingly I recall somebody in this site WAS in a very similar situation and was out of their mind with how they would cope (whether they theoretically had such a parental “option” I don’t know).
I note that his wife's article about their illness has been referred
https://twitter.com/mediaguardian/status/1265886406980722689
https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1265891476241866753
Her husband on the other hand....
It didn't have to be that way.
I have no doubt that the wolves in the Tory Party will be waiting for the next sign of weakness to finish off the hapless Boris.
They have succeeded instead in torching their hero
Heart of stone, etc...
I mean
"On Wednesday, a spokesperson for Ipso, the press regulator which covers the Spectator, told the Guardian it had received two complaints from members of the public about potential factual inaccuracies in the 1,000-word column by Wakefield"
...
"The ONS says we have the highest excess deaths."
"That can't be true, because other countries don't have the ONS..."
It's too early in the day to be that drunk.
Which ought to have made driving her potentially frail husband back to London a walk in the park. So to speak.
That might give Boris the cover to carry out some radical reforms.
All of their experience suggests we are.
They got us to vote for £350m a week for the NHS, which was stupid.
They got us to vote for Get Brexit Done, which was stupid.
Why wouldn't we fall for their latest line in bullshit?