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Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks.
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Just seen that we (and the US) have suspended aid to the FSA (Free Syrian Army) after a new alliance of Islamist rebel groups seized numerous FSA bases.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-25331241
Mr. Eagles, without clicking I think I know what Link 30 contains. Not sure it's as good as Christopher Walken reading a children's story, though.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=GsDQ93iguP8
Although bored of Vettel victories, this did raise a smile:
twitter.com/RacingHumour/status/410500752956993536
Mr. Eagles, cheers for the Youtube link, that was very good.
This is one halving of a lead Tim isn't so keen to talk about.
That doesn't read right. It should say:
The Indian Supreme Court upholds a law which criminalises gay sex after hearing from, inter alia, a TV astrologer who told the court a 2009 ruling which repealed the law “compromises national defence since soldiers will start having sex with each other”.
Fixed
Blimey I'm shattered but I feel I should stay up for Newsnight. Lucan looks good on ITV but I'm too tired to focus on it properly.
Anything special expected on Newsnight?
Should be quite lucrative!
Christ, that's going to get me a fatwa.
Tbh I just find everything about teaching funny now. I'm quitting for a while - or for good, probably - next year anyway... exact timing depending on when they take all this metal out of my collarbone/shoulder. Hard to live out of a rucksack when you can't carry it
Barca and Celtic fans must both be screaming 'NEY-MAR GOALS!!!'
Just what is their USP going to be?
The Tories' USP will be be "cracking down" on welfare and being the party of "budget discipline".
Labour's USP will be the party of the NHS and tackling the cost of living crisis.
UKIP's USP will be cracking down on immigration and being rude to Europeans.
Those USPs are all set in stone and there's nothing any of the parties can do to change them (no matter how much posturing the Tories do on immigration and Europe, or posturing Labour do to show they're "fiscally responsible"), all the parties can do is try to convince the public that their favourite issues are the biggest issues for the country right now. But what on earth are going to be the Lib Dems' distinctive issues? In fact, Nick Clegg is trying to make a virtue of NOT having any distinctive issues with his pitch that he would just split the difference between the Tories and Labour and water down their programmes a bit, which might seem tactically clever on one level, but, in the sound and fury of an election campaign, it will probably mean they just get lost in the shuffle if they don't have anything distinctive and attention-catching to say.
http://tinyurl.com/peqce3m
Yes please!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Barely.
Still struggling on? turn to the blue side, you know it's the only way.
YouGov/Sun poll tonight: Labour lead at 6:
CON 33%, LAB 39%, LD 9%, UKIP 13%
By Christmas
2015
Yet just two months back we were going to bomb Syria to bring them to power.
Bearing in mind an earlier comment by the Prime Minister, I cut the UKIP figure to 5% and re-allocate the balance to the Conservatives as their theoretical maximum vote. With YouGov it's 41%, ICM shows 36% and Populus 35% so that's a big difference between pollsters.
Looking at the Lab+LD numbers - YouGov has 48%, ICM 49% and Populus 52%.
Just a bit of fun...
FWIW, my prediction a week ago was that the Tories would have a little bounce and it would subside and we'd back at a lead of 7ish. I'll add a further prediction: after some minor variation, it'll still be about the same in March.
Brilliant.
People keep on telling me I'm the model of integration.
twitter.com/pamela_nash/status/410819124521357312
So quite a victory for Balls there.And people think he`s going to be sacked.
I wouldn`t be surprised if HS2 is dumped in April too.
A poll of CON 29, LAB 35 would be far more interesting. Labour share still looks solid on ~39% to me. COn defo moved up a touch too.
Commies, pinkos and bleeding hearts: 48%
Facists, fox hunters and bring back the cane brigade: 46%
Bravehearts, greenies and various other loons: 6%
Progressives 48%
Tory/UKIP 46%
Blotto yet again - such is December in London.
YouGov - yet another poll bouncing around the 32/39 MOE.
There is nothing happening out there. Zero. Nilch.
@NickP
You may well be right.
The USP will be much the same as it was last time: Vote for us if you don't want to decide.
It will appeal to quite a large number of voters.
http://www.standard.co.uk/news/crime/met-chief-sir-bernard-hoganhowe-calls-for-shakeup-to-tackle-fgm-8994686.html
Lib Dems: Restraining both Labour and Tory excess
www.youtube.com/watch?v=eFQdCRQd3yg
The suspension of non lethal aid to rebels in the Northern part of Syria is not what it seems.
For a start it mentioned Northern Syria, it fails to mention the southern area adjacent to Jordan. Covert support continues there, largely in the form of training.
Anyone wonder what that British chopper grounded in the West Bank was doing?
Secondly the aid up North was fraction of that that went in South, the Turkish border front has basically been the king of hokey cokeys for Western governments who have made the in-out dance a speciality when it comes to Syria. The value in terms of Western supplied warfighting kit going in that direction hasn't been big, ever and the tap has been turned on and off multiple times.
In truth there is an understanding that the North will be left to itself. Western aims are now to set up a buffer down south and ultimately set a path to Damascus if needed.
The reality of the matter is that the Islamic Front is not Al Qaeda or otherwise affiliated, it is more conservative in its format and has a fair variation it its groupings. It is by a fraction the largest singular front (because a single group it isn't) in terms of numbers c90-100k claimed. The FSA follows at around 70-80k depending on who you talk to, then follows the full on extremist groups that are fond of the publicity videos. There is also some question of whether one of the most extreme factions, ISIS, was actually in some of kind of informal partnership with Assad's regime, so much so their erstwhile sponsor, the Al Qaeda head honcho Al Zawahiri, basically said it should dissolve.
Two years ago these extremists were a mere tithe of the insurgency. The West has partially been responsible for encouraging their growth by its indecisiveness. The Islamists have got more kit ands cash. If you are in a life and death struggle and one group has the kit and cash to fight most effectively, who would you join?
For those that suggest that Western airstrikes that were averted back in August/September were going to bring the insurgents to power, they are kidding themselves. They would have hurt Assad but they wouldn't have finished him.
Music sounds Better with you?
•Rand Paul 18% (18%)
•Chris Christie 16% (15%)
•Ted Cruz 15% (7%)
•Jeb Bush 10% (16%)
•Marco Rubio 8% (11%)
•Paul Ryan 7% (12%)
•Scott Walker 5%
•Bobby Jindal 4% (4%)
•Rick Santorum 2% (6%)
•Someone else/Not sure 14% (10%)
•Chris Christie (R) 46%
•Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
•Chris Christie (R) 52%
•Andrew Cuomo (D) 33%
•Hillary Clinton 65% (63%)
•Joe Biden 12% (13%)
•Elizabeth Warren 9%
•Andrew Cuomo 3% (6%)
•Martin O’Malley 1% (1%)
•Undecided 9% (18%)
If Hillary Clinton does not run:
•Joe Biden 45%
•Elizabeth Warren 25%
•Andrew Cuomo 11%
•Martin O’Malley 4%
Republican nomination
•Chris Christie 18% (15%)
•Rand Paul 12% (9%)
•Paul Ryan 11% (13%)
•Ted Cruz 10% (7%)
•Jeb Bush 10% (10%)
•Sarah Palin 8%
•Marco Rubio 7% (12%)
•Scott Walker 4% (2%)
•Rick Santorum 4% (2%)
•Rick Perry 3% (4%)
•Undecided 13% (25%)
•Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [47%] (46%)
•Chris Christie (R) 45% [41%] (43%)
•Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [50%] (52%)
•Marco Rubio (R) 42% [38%] (40%)
•Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [48%] (54%)
•Jeb Bush (R) 41% [40%] (38%)
•Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [50%] (52%)
•Rand Paul (R) 40% [38%] (41%)
•Hillary Clinton (D) 56% [53%]
•Paul Ryan (R) 40% [37%]
•Hillary Clinton (D) 58% [52%]
•Rick Perry (R) 37% [36%]
•Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
•Ted Cruz (R) 35%
•Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
•Sarah Palin (R) 36%
Plus, even worse than just getting drowned out, the Lib Dems run the risk of just being seen as completely devoid of principles (if the quip that "Nick Clegg's only policy is that Nick Clegg should stay deputy prime minister" gains traction then that will be awful for them). That's another flaw of them being "equidistant" from the Tories and Labour, and I think most LIbDem voters (regardless of whether they sympathise more with the Tories or Labour) will be wholly unsatisfied by being told they should just go and troop in and vote LibDem again without being given any idea of what type of government their vote will be used to support.
Though I'll never forget him shagging a pig on live tv.
If it is all about "Don't let Labour ruin it again" then it will benefit the Lib Dems.
5M unemployed!!
The economy will shrink in 2013.
There will be no growth until the government changes policy.
Just hilarious.
Lab 36 Con 32 LD 11 UKIP 13
We could go further into how this business ended up falling out of British hands, but it does involve Gordon Brown and his attack on the pension funds so is perhaps best avoided.
Con 36, Lab 32, LD 13, UKIP 11
UKIP might well be lower and the LibDems higher. I'd be fairly surprised if my Con/Lab figures were miles out, but politics is full of surprises...
LAB 36
CON 35
LIB 14
KIP 11
Labour 37%
Conservatives 34%
UKIP 13%
Lib Dems 10%
Very slim majority for Labour, UKIP with a smattering of seats, LibDems losing around half their seats.
- One popular point of disagreement with Con.
- One popular point of disagreement with Lab.
- One reasonably popular point of disagreement with both.
If that's correct, it means the Labour majority - if there is one - won't be larger than about 25. So about the same as what John Major had in 1992 for the Tories.
The election will be decided (as it often is) in the Midlands, and, crucially, unlike in the Thatcher era, the Midlands is so far not experiencing any meaningful recovery at all.
http://uk.reuters.com/article/2013/12/11/uk-eu-gaza-aid-idUKBRE9BA0HR20131211
I'm hoping for 5 more of the Bown Survation constituency polls before Christmas and we'll see if the same trend is portrayed.