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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Monday night PB Nighthawks cafe with some positive news about a vaccine
As just about the whole world waits for a vaccine to be available there’s some positive new tonight about what’s going on in Oxford in the New York Times. The report notes that:
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And good news
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/apr/27/coronavirus-pandemic-drinking-alcohol
The more notable thing is the Yank version of The Graun saying something vaguely positive about a story connected to Britain. I'm not sure when that last happened - probably at some point prior to June 23rd 2016.
Anyhow, we can but hope that they strike it lucky: as I understand it, trying to develop a vaccine for any disease seems to involve a substantial element of luck.
https://youtu.be/22Bn8jsGI54
All they need is to change the shorts to some black ones...
And if I and hundreds of my compatriots wish to drink in a pubs beer garden celebrating Our Church of Coors Light with repeated Holy Communions of Jagerbombs into the early hours with loud music playing is that acceptable? There are more regular visitors to many a popular bar than there are to many a Church.
I see no difference between that and any other worship. Either noise regulations matter or they don't.
https://twitter.com/foxinsoxuk/status/1254756320433049602?s=09
But not Fosters. **** Fosters that is a heresy.
1) Those who have a full time position at the University of Oxford
2) Those who have a minor, part time gig at the University of Oxford
3) Those who have a full time position at Oxford Brookes University
4) Those who have a minor, part time gig at Oxford Brookes University
etc
etc
etc
4364274623834) Those who have some kind of teaching gig at Oxford Brookes, but accidentally make it seem as if they teach at Oxford University
4364274623835) Jeffery Archer
https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20200425/p2a/00m/0na/007000c
I am happy to be able to say I have 5 horse sized doses of the stuff.
However the meditation bell isn't so fecking loud that it wakes the neighbourhood.
https://twitter.com/ChrisGiles_/status/1254876273005953026
https://youtu.be/JPJqnTZgahU
That's one mean drink for next-day danger.....
Let's hope so.
Not sure how effective a paramilitary force those chubsters would make.
The 704 was a retrospective study, but interesting nonetheless.
Cures your lice at the same time. What more could a fella want?
This Oxford trial gives a very very best case scenario of a vaccine signed off in September so realistically its 12 months to go before its widespread. Which means 2m spacing buggering up so much of our lives for a long time to come. If that doesn't deserve a wee dram then what does?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r8N7BSsU5oo
It puts me in mind of New Labour’s catastrophic Foot and Mouth disease response, where they simply forgot to read the report into the 1960s outbreak, which would have told them that the pyres were unnecessary, and a whole lot of other useful information.
Though Spanish flu is not a direct equivalent of coronavirus, nevertheless I wonder if there are contemporary official reports and studies that our scientists and politicians should read.
Its like the government behavioural scientists might have known a thing or two.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cathedral_of_Light
Was that you average Nazi was a bit fat and didn't cut an altogether Aryan figure. The dark combined with the brilliant lighting (contrast) of what he wanted to show hid this...
There is someone out there who does.. they walk amongst us...
https://twitter.com/SenatorReid/status/1254836730546384897?s=20
The Government thinks us over-70s are 'vulnerable' - but this is about attitude, not age
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/men/thinking-man/government-thinks-us-over-70s-vulnerable-attitude-not-age/
I am getting a bit sick of these oldies going but but but but I am dead fit for my age I am. Great, good for you, but for CV, you are still at massive risk, so get in your bloody house and stay there.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
They are ISIS in saffron.
Raw biological age, regardless of other health or fitness is a bloody big factor in this.
What's going on? Is it the sight of the rest of the world publicly hoping for a vaccine for Covid to arrive as soon as possible that has tipped them over the edge?
Nope.
UAE figures are complete fiction too.
We also know that, according to the latest figures from Italy, the vast bulk of Covid-19 fatalities are amongst the over 70s (bring that down to the over 60s and the figure is about 96%.)
We're told that we can't ease the lockdown because it will lead to a tsunami wave of new cases, and we're told that we can't maintain the lockdown because the economy will implode. A compromise involving splitting the population in two and letting the younger age cohorts go back to something vaguely resembling normal life, whilst ordering the oldies to stay at home, might turn out to be the least worst of the available selection of bad options.
The same problems exist post-lockdown. There would have to be some huge adjustments to shield a very high % of oldies.
https://twitter.com/ClarkeMicah/status/1254789880137187328
I could imagine that Russia have done 3 million tests.
With something like this -
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ADE_651
It's a ridiculous argument, anyway. The experts are pretty clear that wearing masks would help; it's primarily a question of whether we have enough of a supply, without endangering health service workers (well, more than they already are).
Plus a side helping of whether, culturally, people have the discipline to wear them properly, or if they'll be as much harm as help if people keep taking them off to snack on the train or talk to people.
This doesn't appear to leave much in the way of other options...
It is also why I think outside of South Korea, Australia have done the best of all the developed countries. Strong links to China, huge amount of travel from citizens going to places in Asia (and the rest of the world), and densely populated in the major cities.
Also I seemed to remember a not insignificant amount of cases were linked to some Australians who had gone all the way to Italy skiing.
Perhaps in places like US, UK, Italy, it was around a lot earlier (Icelandic Recode guy was saying he thinks it was widespread in the UK a lot earlier than the stats are showing), and in Australia got lucky and didn't get it imported as quickly, but also perhaps there was an element of it not spreading as easily because of the time of year.
In terms of richer countries being more affected, I think we also need to take figures in less developed areas with a huge pinch of salt. Poorer countries are less likely to have universal healthcare, and deaths are more likely to happen at home and not show up in figures. They are also more likely to have governments with weaker independent agencies and greater ability to manipulate figures. An article in the FT showed "excess deaths" in several places which are out of all proportion with official Coronavirus deaths - there's an underestimate everywhere (care home deaths etc) but are the Ecuador official figures remotely reflective in any way? No chance.
*They rebuilt it the last time with very heavy duty reinforced concrete walls and a very light, easily replaceable roof. Apparently, if you make it too fireproof, they would come back with dynamite. So the idea is that the roof will burn and the mob will be happy.
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/25/brazil-becoming-coronavirus-hot-spot-as-testing-falters.html
Who are the tubby goons with khaki shorts and orange flags?