politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On Betfair Starmer becomes the 26% favourite to be next PM
Now that the LAB leadership is settled Starmer has edged up further in the betting for next PM. Clearly he is the main alternative to Johnson but so much could happen between now and the next general election.
Carragher is in the wrong. Premier League clubs pay billions every single year to the Exchequer in taxes. This scheme was set up for all businesses affected not just some and they are affected. They're at risk of losing tens or hundreds of millions in revenue so why besides the green eyed monster should they pay taxes but not get what those taxes are paying for right now?
As someone also with a name people frequently get letters transposed in, I feel like Keir is probably inured to being annoyed by such confusion.
I think some people are doing it on purpose now 😉
Personally as someone whose first and surname can be spelt wrong I am not engaging in that game. Though if I do I'll make it obvious and name him after the car brand.
On a night where the lock down seems to be weighing particularly heavily the story of Bill Gates and the vaccines on the last thread really cheered me up. He is the best chance of beating this. He gets things done.
One thing which might boost Starmer's chances of getting to No 10 is that of the 3 post WW2 Labour leaders of the opposition who fought a general election after more than 10 years of the Tories in power, Wilson, Kinnock and Blair, 2/3 of them won
These plots, as stated yesterday, depend entirely on the baseline. It thus always has to be put in that context and not over-interpreted (as the tweet does!!).
Has anyone seen any modelling of the impact on tax receipts if so many not working, not spending and companies not turning a profit? We are spectacularly fucked in a new and interesting way.
You are wasting your time BigG, PT couldn't see any problem with 3000 fans coming over from the Madrid virus hotspot to watch a game of football in Liverpool on March 11th when Coronorvirus was already rampaging across Europe,
I note the Public Health director of Liverpool Council has gone on record a couple of days ago arguing what a mistake it was for Liverpool to have gone on with that game.
Carragher is in the wrong. Premier League clubs pay billions every single year to the Exchequer in taxes. This scheme was set up for all businesses affected not just some and they are affected. They're at risk of losing tens or hundreds of millions in revenue so why besides the green eyed monster should they pay taxes but not get what those taxes are paying for right now?
I don't know what Kier Starmer sounds like. Never heard him interviewed or a speech. Haven't been going out there to avoid him, but equally can't be bothered to seek out something to watch. Never heard RLB either. I've heard Lisa Nandy and Emily Thornberry quite a lot. The latter before the leadership election, the former only during it.
These plots, as stated yesterday, depend entirely on the baseline. It thus always has to be put in that context and not over-interpreted (as the tweet does!!).
Doesn't it also keep changing? I thought it started on 50 deaths? Now its 3.
These plots, as stated yesterday, depend entirely on the baseline. It thus always has to be put in that context and not over-interpreted (as the tweet does!!).
Doesn't it also keep changing? I thought it started on 50 deaths? Now its 3.
You are wasting your time BigG, PT couldn't see any problem with 3000 fans coming over from the Madrid virus hotspot to watch a game of football in Liverpool on March 11th when Coronorvirus was already rampaging across Europe,
I note the Public Health director of Liverpool Council has gone on record a couple of days ago arguing what a mistake it was for Liverpool to have gone on with that game.
What I actually said was that it was the responsibility of the scientists advising the government to advise whether the games should go ahead or not and if they don't think it is safe they should say so.
It's not the job of a football club to make those decisions it's the responsibility of the government to do so.
I also said that if tourists shouldn't be coming from Spain that should apply to all tourists not just Madrid fans.
Asked for the impossible by the sound of it, ppe and testing fair points to make. Setting up vaccination centres however is a daft call to make when we don't have a vaccine
When all of this is over though, do people think football / sport in general will be taken a lot (or even just a bit) less seriously?
No. Sport is a universal human endeavour, people care about it more than a lot things that technically are a lot less important. All that has happened is actually important things push it down our priorities, but it'll be back as it ever was.
On that note, my daughter is called Keira, and spelt that way, so this should be easy for me. Regrettably I have a work colleague called Kieran, so I'm sure trouble lies ahead somewhere.
Andrew Adonis correctly pointed out the poor record of Labour party leaders since its formation, with only three winning a majority (Which I assume are Attlee, Wilson and Blair.
On that subject, I'm sure I recall just after Hague lost in 2001 and resigned that it was said he was the first Conservative party leader EVER to not become Prime Minister. Haven't checked Wiki to confirm but it certainly sounds plausible.
He was swiftly followed by Duncan-Smith and Howard, who also continued his run, but then Cameron, May and Johnson have all reverted to type and become Prime Minister as well as leader of the party.
When you look back through history you are reminded just how poorly the parties OTHER than the Conservative party have done, certainly since World War I.
On that note, my daughter is called Keira, and spelt that way, so this should be easy for me. Regrettably I have a work colleague called Kieran, so I'm sure trouble lies ahead somewhere.
You begin to wonder whether some hawks want a war to reset the economy.
It's incredible really because my wife works on medical journals and she says the level of transparency from Chinese doctors is really quite incredible...I've posted this a number of times, but people seem to think the Chinese are sitting on a monumental cover up....
I think this crisis is beyond the capacity of some countries to manage...Iran...and there will be many more....
You begin to wonder whether some hawks want a war to reset the economy.
It's incredible really because my wife works on medical journals and she says the level of transparency from Chinese doctors is really quite incredible...I've posted this a number of times, but people seem to think the Chinese are sitting on a monumental cover up....
I think this crisis is beyond the capacity of some countries to manage...Iran...and there will be many more....
So Italy hopefully appears to have peaked at around 4000 cases in ICU. How many ICU beds do we have in the UK?
I think about 5000 where available, with more being added
We had 7000 at the start with about 80-85% being used....
The problem has always been about capacity....once the health system cannot function everyone else becomes more vulnerable...the 50 year old with a heart attack, the 2 year old with sepsis......aside from Covid...there are many more ways can die without timely treatment...
You begin to wonder whether some hawks want a war to reset the economy.
It's incredible really because my wife works on medical journals and she says the level of transparency from Chinese doctors is really quite incredible...I've posted this a number of times, but people seem to think the Chinese are sitting on a monumental cover up....
I think this crisis is beyond the capacity of some countries to manage...Iran...and there will be many more....
China covered it up at the start...
And is still disappearing people
I'm not an apologist for the Chinese state...I think on Covid now they are trying to be helpful...at least their doctors are by contributing their data to journals
The oldest rule in politics. If things get really, really bad, blame foreigners.
The China push back is really quite shocking... The last thing we want after this horror show is a Cold War with China....it seems that many people do though....
You begin to wonder whether some hawks want a war to reset the economy.
Not a physical war, but it's time for the west to wage an economic war with China. Enough is enough.
Western governments will have no tax receipts. No income tax if no one earns. There is no VAT if no one spends. The is no corporation tax if there is no profit. How in the name of all that is reasonably sane fight an economic war in those circumstances?
You begin to wonder whether some hawks want a war to reset the economy.
Not a physical war, but it's time for the west to wage an economic war with China. Enough is enough.
Good luck with persuading the masses to forgo cheap electronics, clothes, tools, etc. etc.
It'll be an enduring sour note, but we're going nowhere and they know it, they have for years. One of the more odious regimes out there, but that's the world.
So Italy hopefully appears to have peaked at around 4000 cases in ICU. How many ICU beds do we have in the UK?
I think about 5000 where available, with more being added
We had 7000 at the start with about 80-85% being used....
The problem has always been about capacity....once the health system cannot function everyone else becomes more vulnerable...the 50 year old with a heart attack, the 2 year old with sepsis......aside from Covid...there are many more ways can die without timely treatment...
Yes. Plus the 1500 from the private sector that could be used. We also have > 8000 ventilators now, so fingers crossed that suffices. I'm somewhat encouraged (also, tbh, surprised!) by the latest data from London on new admissions stabilising (maybe even falling); @tyson are your nephews seeing this yet or is it all just too manic to make that sort of assessment?
The oldest rule in politics. If things get really, really bad, blame foreigners.
The China push back is really quite shocking... The last thing we want after this horror show is a Cold War with China....it seems that many people do though....
Comments
Congratulations to Keeer Starmer.
https://www.liverpoolecho.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/jamie-carragher-liverpool-furlough-staff-18044133?utm_source=linkCopy&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=sharebar
A little hop and a skip on the bones of the beardy-wonder wouldn't entirely be anathema to me.
Keir less.
As someone also with a name people frequently get letters transposed in, I feel like Keir is probably inured to being annoyed by such confusion.
Personally as someone whose first and surname can be spelt wrong I am not engaging in that game. Though if I do I'll make it obvious and name him after the car brand.
The end of the Keir show.
https://twitter.com/WhiteHouse/status/1246531400917893120?s=20
I note the Public Health director of Liverpool Council has gone on record a couple of days ago arguing what a mistake it was for Liverpool to have gone on with that game.
But I'll be interested in both what they do and the way that they do it.
https://twitter.com/andyweirauthor/status/1246472992491630592
https://twitter.com/PigsAndPolling/status/1246542759143628800?s=20
But then again, I don't see anything special about LFC it is just a business.
When all of this is over though, do people think football / sport in general will be taken a lot (or even just a bit) less seriously?
The virtual Grand National look pretty good, you probably won't have known it was virtual if it wasn't pointed out to you.
Its the same as the algebraic "proof " of 1=2
https://ballot-access.org/2020/04/02/democratic-national-committee-moves-convention-date-from-july-13-16-to-august-17-20/
Obviously COVID is the big reason, but doe sit also give more time to find an alternative to Joe? They could have just made it an virtual conference.
It's not the job of a football club to make those decisions it's the responsibility of the government to do so.
I also said that if tourists shouldn't be coming from Spain that should apply to all tourists not just Madrid fans.
On that note, my daughter is called Keira, and spelt that way, so this should be easy for me. Regrettably I have a work colleague called Kieran, so I'm sure trouble lies ahead somewhere.
Do you divide by the hypotenuse?
Andrew Adonis correctly pointed out the poor record of Labour party leaders since its formation, with only three winning a majority (Which I assume are Attlee, Wilson and Blair.
On that subject, I'm sure I recall just after Hague lost in 2001 and resigned that it was said he was the first Conservative party leader EVER to not become Prime Minister. Haven't checked Wiki to confirm but it certainly sounds plausible.
He was swiftly followed by Duncan-Smith and Howard, who also continued his run, but then Cameron, May and Johnson have all reverted to type and become Prime Minister as well as leader of the party.
When you look back through history you are reminded just how poorly the parties OTHER than the Conservative party have done, certainly since World War I.
I think this crisis is beyond the capacity of some countries to manage...Iran...and there will be many more....
China covered it up at the start...
He apologised and vowed to tackle anti semitism in the party.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8187181/Keir-Starmer-vows-stamp-anti-Semitism-poison-new-Labour-leader.html
(Because lower wages = lower tax receipts!)
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/52168692
The problem has always been about capacity....once the health system cannot function everyone else becomes more vulnerable...the 50 year old with a heart attack, the 2 year old with sepsis......aside from Covid...there are many more ways can die without timely treatment...
The China push back is really quite shocking...
The last thing we want after this horror show is a Cold War with China....it seems that many people do though....
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-51714498