Thanks Mike. Now stand down and give the money to Biden.
With Buttigieg out Bloomberg is probably of the view Biden isn't up to it and Sanders is unelectable so only he can now beat Trump, whether by a comeback to win the Democratic nomination or by an independent run if Sanders gets the nomination, all funded by his vast coffers
Bloomberg despises Trump . Running as an independent would help hand him 4 more years .
Not if Bloomberg draws more Republican than Democrat voters and he increasingly despises Bernie too
House of Deputies by-election in Italy took place today
Lazio 1 constituency (it is one of the Rome city center constituencies)
Turnout: 17.66%
PD (finance minister Gualtieri) 62.24% Brothers of Italy/Lega/Forza Italia (candidate was from Brothers of Italy) 26.08% M5S 4.36% Communist Party 2.62% Power to the People 2.41% People of Families 1.32% VOLT 0.97%
2018 GE was PD (Gentiloni) 42% Centre-right 30% M5S 17%
Clear shift from M5S to PD there but central Rome is strongly left liberal anyway
Yep. They cracked down on the wild animals in circuses long ago. The bastards.
Consistent non-China growth, likely to rise when America starts trying to find people. Projecting consistent 26.5% growth (quadrupling in 6.5 days) we get:
Thanks Mike. Now stand down and give the money to Biden.
With Buttigieg out Bloomberg is probably of the view Biden isn't up to it and Sanders is unelectable so only he can now beat Trump, whether by a comeback to win the Democratic nomination or by an independent run if Sanders gets the nomination, all funded by his vast coffers
Bloomberg despises Trump . Running as an independent would help hand him 4 more years .
Not if Bloomberg draws more Republican than Democrat voters and he increasingly despises Bernie too
Stacey Abrams... but Georgia is probably out of reach, and Biden has the black vote sown up already
Klobuchar is a no, because Minnesota is unlikely to be a swing state in 2020.
What about... Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin?
It was a state Trump narrowly won last time around. And she got more votes in 2018 than Trump got in 2016.
A black woman helps him in North Carolina, Florida, Michigan.
I'm not sure it makes that much difference to be honest. (And I think NC and Florida are probably out of reach anyway. So it comes down to: would Stacey Abrams move the needs for the Dems in Michigan? And I don't she does.)
Catherine Cortez Masto is another veepstakes tip that has a lot of value in it.
That's a really good call: I think she'd probably sell well across the South West. And if the Dems flip Arizona, they need one less gain in the rust belt.
Stacey Abrams... but Georgia is probably out of reach, and Biden has the black vote sown up already
Klobuchar is a no, because Minnesota is unlikely to be a swing state in 2020.
What about... Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin?
It was a state Trump narrowly won last time around. And she got more votes in 2018 than Trump got in 2016.
A black woman helps him in North Carolina, Florida, Michigan.
I'm not sure it makes that much difference to be honest. (And I think NC and Florida are probably out of reach anyway. So it comes down to: would Stacey Abrams move the needs for the Dems in Michigan? And I don't she does.)
Biden is ahead by several points in North Carolina. And while Biden will win the black vote big, he won't generate African American turnout in the was a black VP would.
So the USA, having conducted 472 tests has found 89 cases and has had two deaths. Meanwhile the UK has conducted 11,750 tests, found 35 and so far has had no deaths.
Is COVID-19 receiving ADE from other coronaviruses? https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1286457920300344 Abstract One of the most perplexing questions regarding the current COVID-19 coronavirus epidemic is the discrepancy between the severity of cases observed in the Hubei province of China and those occurring elsewhere in the world. One possible answer is antibody dependent enhancement (ADE) of SARS-CoV-2 due to prior exposure to other coronaviruses. ADE modulates the immune response and can elicit sustained inflammation, lymphopenia, and/or cytokine storm, one or all of which have been documented in severe cases and deaths. ADE also requires prior exposure to similar antigenic epitopes, presumably circulating in local viruses, making it a possible explanation for the observed geographic limitation of severe cases and deaths....
Of course. Although he's widely hated ("Wall Street Pete"), Buttigieg has been the real star of this nomination process. He's been more articulate than any other candidate, and better organised than any bar Sanders.
If Bloomberg hadn't interjected himself into the process, then I think Buttigieg would be vying with Biden for the role of moderate going into Super Tuesday.
He also, unlike many other candidates (cough, Amy Klobuchar, cough...) knows when to quit.
Of course. Although he's widely hated ("Wall Street Pete"), Buttigieg has been the real star of this nomination process. He's been more articulate than any other candidate, and better organised than any bar Sanders.
If Bloomberg hadn't interjected himself into the process, then I think Buttigieg would be vying with Biden for the role of moderate going into Super Tuesday.
He also, unlike many other candidates (cough, Amy Klobuchar, cough...) knows when to quit.
“Widely hated” overstates it a bit.
Klobuchar possibly agreeing with you now.... https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/01/amy-klobuchar-rally-canceled-protests-118571 Sen. Amy Klobuchar canceled a rally in her home state Sunday night as several dozen protesters chanted “Black Lives Matter,” “Klobuchar has got to go” and “Free Myon” — referencing the case of a black teenager convicted of murder after a flawed police investigation.
Basically says that White House wanted to calm markets, paint the whole thing as a third world problem, and knew it didn’t have the will to take the sorts of actions (cordoning off towns, closing facilities etc.) that other countries are taking when they find an outbreak,
http://www.koreaherald.com/view.php?ud=20200302000144 A total of 71,580 people have tested negative for the virus, with 33,799 more awaiting their test results. Some 31 patients were released from quarantine after making full recoveries.
Health authorities said the number of infections could be expected to climb in the coming days as testing of 210,000 members of the Shincheonji Church of Jesus -- the country’s biggest cluster of infections -- is still underway.
There is a greater possibility of positive results among members of the church’s Daegu branch, compared with those with no ties to the sect, according to the authorities.
Starting Monday, the government began moving patients with mild symptoms to designated community treatment centers based in nonmedical state-run facilities, for quarantine, treatment and care, in the face of a shortage of hospital beds. The patients are categorized in four groups according to their condition. ...
Of course. Although he's widely hated ("Wall Street Pete"), Buttigieg has been the real star of this nomination process. He's been more articulate than any other candidate, and better organised than any bar Sanders.
If Bloomberg hadn't interjected himself into the process, then I think Buttigieg would be vying with Biden for the role of moderate going into Super Tuesday.
He also, unlike many other candidates (cough, Amy Klobuchar, cough...) knows when to quit.
Articulate but what does (or did) Mayor Pete actually stand for?
If Mayor Pete is out then presumably his campaign will no longer object to Bernie's request to recount Iowa, which raises the question of whether Bernie does still want to recount Iowa.
Of course. Although he's widely hated ("Wall Street Pete"), Buttigieg has been the real star of this nomination process. He's been more articulate than any other candidate, and better organised than any bar Sanders.
If Bloomberg hadn't interjected himself into the process, then I think Buttigieg would be vying with Biden for the role of moderate going into Super Tuesday.
He also, unlike many other candidates (cough, Amy Klobuchar, cough...) knows when to quit.
I think he ran eight years too early. He needed some senate experience first.
Basically says that White House wanted to calm markets, paint the whole thing as a third world problem, and knew it didn’t have the will to take the sorts of actions (cordoning off towns, closing facilities etc.) that other countries are taking when they find an outbreak,
Anyhow pre-markets are now going up.
VP Pence is in charge. The same Pence who refused to act against AIDS and who voted against President Bush's rescue package in the global financial crisis. If the US response is led by a man philosophically opposed to government action then what do you (or what does Trump) expect?
Basically says that White House wanted to calm markets, paint the whole thing as a third world problem, and knew it didn’t have the will to take the sorts of actions (cordoning off towns, closing facilities etc.) that other countries are taking when they find an outbreak,
Anyhow pre-markets are now going up.
The US health care system is also completely un-designed for something of this nature
Basically says that White House wanted to calm markets, paint the whole thing as a third world problem, and knew it didn’t have the will to take the sorts of actions (cordoning off towns, closing facilities etc.) that other countries are taking when they find an outbreak,
Anyhow pre-markets are now going up.
VP Pence is in charge. The same Pence who refused to act against AIDS and who voted against President Bush's rescue package in the global financial crisis. If the US response is led by a man philosophically opposed to government action then what do you (or what does Trump) expect?
Yes. Thinking about the markets, I guess we can expect the next plunge when the US, and specifically its popular media, starts worrying about the crisis finally breaking back home.
At least it will put a stop to almost every American due to travel to Europe in the next four months posting questions on travel forums asking whether it is safe.
Of course. Although he's widely hated ("Wall Street Pete"), Buttigieg has been the real star of this nomination process. He's been more articulate than any other candidate, and better organised than any bar Sanders.
If Bloomberg hadn't interjected himself into the process, then I think Buttigieg would be vying with Biden for the role of moderate going into Super Tuesday.
He also, unlike many other candidates (cough, Amy Klobuchar, cough...) knows when to quit.
Articulate but what does (or did) Mayor Pete actually stand for?
He stands for what works.
He is a pragmatist.
Sadly a that's a characteristic missing from most of the rest of the Democratic field.
If Mayor Pete is out then presumably his campaign will no longer object to Bernie's request to recount Iowa, which raises the question of whether Bernie does still want to recount Iowa.
Wasn't Iowa recounted, and Mayor Pete's lead increased, last Friday?
Basically says that White House wanted to calm markets, paint the whole thing as a third world problem, and knew it didn’t have the will to take the sorts of actions (cordoning off towns, closing facilities etc.) that other countries are taking when they find an outbreak,
Anyhow pre-markets are now going up.
VP Pence is in charge. The same Pence who refused to act against AIDS and who voted against President Bush's rescue package in the global financial crisis. If the US response is led by a man philosophically opposed to government action then what do you (or what does Trump) expect?
Yes. Thinking about the markets, I guess we can expect the next plunge when the US, and specifically its popular media, starts worrying about the crisis finally breaking back home.
At least it will put a stop to almost every American due to travel to Europe in the next four months posting questions on travel forums asking whether it is safe.
Yep.
I'm anticipating a bounce for a short time then another mahooosive crash or prolonged slide as the reality grips.
Basically says that White House wanted to calm markets, paint the whole thing as a third world problem, and knew it didn’t have the will to take the sorts of actions (cordoning off towns, closing facilities etc.) that other countries are taking when they find an outbreak,
Anyhow pre-markets are now going up.
The US health care system is also completely un-designed for something of this nature
It's also the only weakness Trump has.
Survey after survey shows Americans are happy with their government regarding the economy, regarding immigration, regarding law & order, regarding foreign affairs.
The only area where they don't trust Trump is healthcare. @eadric overstates things somewhat, but this really is his Achilles heal. If the outbreak is severe, and the election is fought on healthcare, then Trump loses.
If Mayor Pete is out then presumably his campaign will no longer object to Bernie's request to recount Iowa, which raises the question of whether Bernie does still want to recount Iowa.
Wasn't Iowa recounted, and Mayor Pete's lead increased, last Friday?
I'm going by the Wikipedia page which says yes, Iowa results were certified on Saturday with a 2-delegate lead for Buttigieg but that Sanders still has an open recount challenge. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Iowa_Democratic_caucuses
Incidentally, Egypt has an insanely oversized population. 100 million??! Anyone who has been there knows it can barely support a fifth of that in any kind of comfort.
Perhaps that is why The Virus has arrived.
Though that tweet is wrong. Egypt does not have the highest population in Africa. That dubious honour goes to Nigeria with 187 million people - almost twice that of Egypt.
They have also just announced their first cases....
Edit. Apologies Nigeria is even more than I thought - 200 million is the latest estimate. 60 years ago it was 45 million.
I never said they have the highest population in Africa?
Foxy's Tweet does.
Ah, I suspect the journalisural problems which will not help. And very crowded in places.
It is woe virus whilst other African countries do not.
You follow my thoughts exactly. The only other African countries which might identify this bug are Morocco and South Africa, to my mind.
I reckon in a lot of very poor third world coudia, Pakistan, Bolivia, much of sub Saharan Africa. Will they even notice Covid?
When you think this through, containment is now really all about flattening the curve until there’s an effective anti viral treatment. That’s it. Because unless Coronavirus shrivels in the sun like the Orcs, the tide is going to break over us sooner or later. No one can win whack a mole forever.
Gilead have the treatment people seem hopeful about. If that one doesn’t end up working then I think it’s time to start getting quite depressed. Because then we’re waiting for a mass produced vaccine. And my uninformed gut tells me that will even harder to develop than a treatment.
Yes, all true.
Here's what I really think, right now. I've tried not to be fear-mongery today, because others object, but this is my honest point of view.
Basically, we're all gonna get this, in the end. Many if not most of us will get this in the first year. That's why the experts are saying "the worst case scenario is right".
This means tens of thousands dead, maybe hundreds of thousands, in the UK (tho one must remember 600,000 die every year in the UK, anyway).
It will be grim, and it will change the way we think and live, it will not be Doomsday. That's where I am tonight, after a few glasses of wine, as a bipolar PB-er with some vulnerable loved ones.
Of course. Although he's widely hated ("Wall Street Pete"), Buttigieg has been the real star of this nomination process. He's been more articulate than any other candidate, and better organised than any bar Sanders.
If Bloomberg hadn't interjected himself into the process, then I think Buttigieg would be vying with Biden for the role of moderate going into Super Tuesday.
He also, unlike many other candidates (cough, Amy Klobuchar, cough...) knows when to quit.
Articulate but what does (or did) Mayor Pete actually stand for?
He stands for what works.
He is a pragmatist.
Sadly a that's a characteristic missing from most of the rest of the Democratic field.
Incidentally, Egypt has an insanely oversized population. 100 million??! Anyone who has been there knows it can barely support a fifth of that in any kind of comfort.
Basically says that White House wanted to calm markets, paint the whole thing as a third world problem, and knew it didn’t have the will to take the sorts of actions (cordoning off towns, closing facilities etc.) that other countries are taking when they find an outbreak,
Anyhow pre-markets are now going up.
The US health care system is also completely un-designed for something of this nature
It's also the only weakness Trump has.
Survey after survey shows Americans are happy with their government regarding the economy, regarding immigration, regarding law & order, regarding foreign affairs.
The only area where they don't trust Trump is healthcare. @eadric overstates things somewhat, but this really is his Achilles heal. If the outbreak is severe, and the election is fought on healthcare, then Trump loses.
I can see Sanders beating Trump but I’m not sure I can see Bumbling Biden.
I think if the Dems pick Biden via some convention chicanery then Trump wins.
Basically says that White House wanted to calm markets, paint the whole thing as a third world problem, and knew it didn’t have the will to take the sorts of actions (cordoning off towns, closing facilities etc.) that other countries are taking when they find an outbreak,
Anyhow pre-markets are now going up.
VP Pence is in charge. The same Pence who refused to act against AIDS and who voted against President Bush's rescue package in the global financial crisis. If the US response is led by a man philosophically opposed to government action then what do you (or what does Trump) expect?
Yes. Thinking about the markets, I guess we can expect the next plunge when the US, and specifically its popular media, starts worrying about the crisis finally breaking back home.
At least it will put a stop to almost every American due to travel to Europe in the next four months posting questions on travel forums asking whether it is safe.
Yep.
I'm anticipating a bounce for a short time then another mahooosive crash or prolonged slide as the reality grips.
Except that it is still more likely than not that this becomes normalised as a more severe form of normal flu, and still may subside as the northern hemisphere warms, rather than hundred of thousands of bodies lying in the street as a certain PB’er delights in predicting.
The US question is whether its relative inactivity to date hides an Italian-style crisis somewhere along the west coast, remembering that isn’t that long since a Italy only had a few cases. Now that would send markets down.
I fail to see any reason whatsoever the EU should be meddling in this.
This isn't a European issue its a global one. We shouldn't have the EU as some jumped up middleman, we should be coordinating our response locally in line with global coordination via the World Health Organisation whose job it literally is to coordinate that.
Any resources going to the EU for this should be going to the WHO. It makes no difference to us whether someone carrying an epidemic bug is travelling from Milan or Cairo or Berlin or Washington or Paris or Beijing.
So you know more than those who work in the NHS ? They wanted to remain in that . Do you seriously think the public will riot if the UK stayed in this . Would this not be proper Brexit!
It would make sense
But the EU not unless you accept free movement of people
Of course. Although he's widely hated ("Wall Street Pete"), Buttigieg has been the real star of this nomination process. He's been more articulate than any other candidate, and better organised than any bar Sanders.
If Bloomberg hadn't interjected himself into the process, then I think Buttigieg would be vying with Biden for the role of moderate going into Super Tuesday.
He also, unlike many other candidates (cough, Amy Klobuchar, cough...) knows when to quit.
Articulate but what does (or did) Mayor Pete actually stand for?
He stands for what works.
He is a pragmatist.
Sadly a that's a characteristic missing from most of the rest of the Democratic field.
Basically says that White House wanted to calm markets, paint the whole thing as a third world problem, and knew it didn’t have the will to take the sorts of actions (cordoning off towns, closing facilities etc.) that other countries are taking when they find an outbreak,
Anyhow pre-markets are now going up.
The US health care system is also completely un-designed for something of this nature
It's also the only weakness Trump has.
Survey after survey shows Americans are happy with their government regarding the economy, regarding immigration, regarding law & order, regarding foreign affairs.
The only area where they don't trust Trump is healthcare. @eadric overstates things somewhat, but this really is his Achilles heal. If the outbreak is severe, and the election is fought on healthcare, then Trump loses.
That assumes they’ll still be happy about the economy come November. That seems... questionable.
Basically says that White House wanted to calm markets, paint the whole thing as a third world problem, and knew it didn’t have the will to take the sorts of actions (cordoning off towns, closing facilities etc.) that other countries are taking when they find an outbreak,
Anyhow pre-markets are now going up.
VP Pence is in charge. The same Pence who refused to act against AIDS and who voted against President Bush's rescue package in the global financial crisis. If the US response is led by a man philosophically opposed to government action then what do you (or what does Trump) expect?
Yes. Thinking about the markets, I guess we can expect the next plunge when the US, and specifically its popular media, starts worrying about the crisis finally breaking back home.
At least it will put a stop to almost every American due to travel to Europe in the next four months posting questions on travel forums asking whether it is safe.
Yep.
I'm anticipating a bounce for a short time then another mahooosive crash or prolonged slide as the reality grips.
Except that it is still more likely than not that this becomes normalised as a more severe form of normal flu, and still may subside as the northern hemisphere warms, rather than hundred of thousands of bodies lying in the street as a certain PB’er delights in predicting.
The US question is whether its relative inactivity to date hides an Italian-style crisis somewhere along the west coast, remembering that isn’t that long since a Italy only had a few cases. Now that would send markets down.
There is a reasonable probability that it is well beyond the west coast by now.
Cementing the impression that he us actually a sensible politician. Takes some guts to pull out so close to super Tuesday even though he had so little chance now.
George Eustice may be known as George Useless among farmers, but he isn’t going to be sacked just for being dim and incompetent.
Johnson can’t afford to let people think government ministers should know what they’re doing or he will come under threat himself.
Unfair criticism of Mr Johnson who has been tirelessly working in his yellow housecoat at the Public Health England Laboratory in Colindale to win the fight against Covid 19.
I fail to see any reason whatsoever the EU should be meddling in this.
This isn't a European issue its a global one. We shouldn't have the EU as some jumped up middleman, we should be coordinating our response locally in line with global coordination via the World Health Organisation whose job it literally is to coordinate that.
Any resources going to the EU for this should be going to the WHO. It makes no difference to us whether someone carrying an epidemic bug is travelling from Milan or Cairo or Berlin or Washington or Paris or Beijing.
So you know more than those who work in the NHS ? They wanted to remain in that . Do you seriously think the public will riot if the UK stayed in this . Would this not be proper Brexit!
It would make sense
But the EU not unless you accept free movement of people
Institutional overreach
The free movement of people wouldn't have been quite so bad were it not for our need based rather than contribution based welfare system.
I fail to see any reason whatsoever the EU should be meddling in this.
This isn't a European issue its a global one. We shouldn't have the EU as some jumped up middleman, we should be coordinating our response locally in line with global coordination via the World Health Organisation whose job it literally is to coordinate that.
Any resources going to the EU for this should be going to the WHO. It makes no difference to us whether someone carrying an epidemic bug is travelling from Milan or Cairo or Berlin or Washington or Paris or Beijing.
So you know more than those who work in the NHS ? They wanted to remain in that . Do you seriously think the public will riot if the UK stayed in this . Would this not be proper Brexit!
It would make sense
But the EU not unless you accept free movement of people
Institutional overreach
The free movement of people wouldn't have been quite so bad were it not for our need based rather than contribution based welfare system.
Philip: Judging by all your posts that I have read, you will never question anything that Johnson et al do. Where is your "red line"?
George Eustice may be known as George Useless among farmers, but he isn’t going to be sacked just for being dim and incompetent.
Johnson can’t afford to let people think government ministers should know what they’re doing or he will come under threat himself.
Unfair criticism of Mr Johnson who has been tirelessly working in his yellow housecoat at the Public Health England Laboratory in Colindale to win the fight against Covid 19.
turning up to his first meeting on the matter this morning?
Basically says that White House wanted to calm markets, paint the whole thing as a third world problem, and knew it didn’t have the will to take the sorts of actions (cordoning off towns, closing facilities etc.) that other countries are taking when they find an outbreak,
Anyhow pre-markets are now going up.
VP Pence is in charge. The same Pence who refused to act against AIDS and who voted against President Bush's rescue package in the global financial crisis. If the US response is led by a man philosophically opposed to government action then what do you (or what does Trump) expect?
Yes. Thinking about the markets, I guess we can expect the next plunge when the US, and specifically its popular media, starts worrying about the crisis finally breaking back home.
At least it will put a stop to almost every American due to travel to Europe in the next four months posting questions on travel forums asking whether it is safe.
Yep.
I'm anticipating a bounce for a short time then another mahooosive crash or prolonged slide as the reality grips.
Except that it is still more likely than not that this becomes normalised as a more severe form of normal flu, and still may subside as the northern hemisphere warms, rather than hundred of thousands of bodies lying in the street as a certain PB’er delights in predicting.
The US question is whether its relative inactivity to date hides an Italian-style crisis somewhere along the west coast, remembering that isn’t that long since a Italy only had a few cases. Now that would send markets down.
There is a reasonable probability that it is well beyond the west coast by now.
For sure, there have been cases in the North East and Chicago also. But if there's a hidden Italian-style outbreak I'd have thought the odds are it'll be on the west coast.
Of course. Although he's widely hated ("Wall Street Pete"), Buttigieg has been the real star of this nomination process. He's been more articulate than any other candidate, and better organised than any bar Sanders.
If Bloomberg hadn't interjected himself into the process, then I think Buttigieg would be vying with Biden for the role of moderate going into Super Tuesday.
He also, unlike many other candidates (cough, Amy Klobuchar, cough...) knows when to quit.
Articulate but what does (or did) Mayor Pete actually stand for?
He stands for what works.
He is a pragmatist.
Sadly a that's a characteristic missing from most of the rest of the Democratic field.
Who wants a pragmatist at this moment in history?
Me.
Yes, but you’re in a small minority.
Most voters aren’t interested at the moment and it’s very difficult to win an election as one.
Comments
https://twitter.com/MikeBloomberg/status/1231999095214084098?s=20
https://twitter.com/MikeBloomberg/status/1232488774694621189?s=20
https://twitter.com/MikeBloomberg/status/1232693444780478464?s=20
https://www.straitstimes.com/world/united-states/coronavirus-time-bomb-americas-uninsured-and-brutal-work-culture
1: 25%
Consistent non-China growth, likely to rise when America starts trying to find people. Projecting consistent 26.5% growth (quadrupling in 6.5 days) we get:
2nd: 10.8k
6th (Friday): 27.5k
8th: 44k
12th: 113k
19th: 585k
Obviously it's unlikely to stick at this trend one way or another, but it's an idea of how quickly SHTF.
Keep taking his money, it's a public service.
Klobuchar is a no, because Minnesota is unlikely to be a swing state in 2020.
What about... Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin?
It was a state Trump narrowly won last time around. And she got more votes in 2018 than Trump got in 2016.
https://twitter.com/TheRickWilson/status/1234272013516230661?s=20
https://twitter.com/ne0liberal/status/1234290134255853568
US going to blow up over the next couple of days.
https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
Japan 6
Diamond Princess 6
France 2
USA 2
Australia 1
Philippines 1
Thailand 1
Taiwan 1
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1234326312346476544?s=20
https://twitter.com/JeremyKonyndyk/status/1234180123244580864
https://insights.som.yale.edu/insights/new-outbreaks-of-coronavirus-can-be-halted-with-isolation-measures-according-to-study
For a sufficiently large outbreak, those assumptions don’t hold.
https://twitter.com/realdanlyons/status/1232712764856115200
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1286457920300344
Abstract
One of the most perplexing questions regarding the current COVID-19 coronavirus epidemic is the discrepancy between the severity of cases observed in the Hubei province of China and those occurring elsewhere in the world. One possible answer is antibody dependent enhancement (ADE) of SARS-CoV-2 due to prior exposure to other coronaviruses. ADE modulates the immune response and can elicit sustained inflammation, lymphopenia, and/or cytokine storm, one or all of which have been documented in severe cases and deaths. ADE also requires prior exposure to similar antigenic epitopes, presumably circulating in local viruses, making it a possible explanation for the observed geographic limitation of severe cases and deaths....
https://twitter.com/jbloom_lab/status/1233819861454712833
If Bloomberg hadn't interjected himself into the process, then I think Buttigieg would be vying with Biden for the role of moderate going into Super Tuesday.
He also, unlike many other candidates (cough, Amy Klobuchar, cough...) knows when to quit.
Klobuchar possibly agreeing with you now....
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/01/amy-klobuchar-rally-canceled-protests-118571
Sen. Amy Klobuchar canceled a rally in her home state Sunday night as several dozen protesters chanted “Black Lives Matter,” “Klobuchar has got to go” and “Free Myon” — referencing the case of a black teenager convicted of murder after a flawed police investigation.
Anyhow pre-markets are now going up.
http://www.koreaherald.com/view.php?ud=20200302000144
A total of 71,580 people have tested negative for the virus, with 33,799 more awaiting their test results. Some 31 patients were released from quarantine after making full recoveries.
Health authorities said the number of infections could be expected to climb in the coming days as testing of 210,000 members of the Shincheonji Church of Jesus -- the country’s biggest cluster of infections -- is still underway.
There is a greater possibility of positive results among members of the church’s Daegu branch, compared with those with no ties to the sect, according to the authorities.
Starting Monday, the government began moving patients with mild symptoms to designated community treatment centers based in nonmedical state-run facilities, for quarantine, treatment and care, in the face of a shortage of hospital beds. The patients are categorized in four groups according to their condition. ...
https://twitter.com/jakpost/status/1234342088197726208?s=20
Contact traced to Japanese man who was detected in Malaysia
https://www.zdnet.com/article/hackers-are-actively-exploiting-zero-days-in-several-wordpress-plugins/
And he has an unpronounceable name.
Otherwise I agree.
At least it will put a stop to almost every American due to travel to Europe in the next four months posting questions on travel forums asking whether it is safe.
He is a pragmatist.
Sadly a that's a characteristic missing from most of the rest of the Democratic field.
I'm anticipating a bounce for a short time then another mahooosive crash or prolonged slide as the reality grips.
Survey after survey shows Americans are happy with their government regarding the economy, regarding immigration, regarding law & order, regarding foreign affairs.
The only area where they don't trust Trump is healthcare. @eadric overstates things somewhat, but this really is his Achilles heal. If the outbreak is severe, and the election is fought on healthcare, then Trump loses.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Iowa_Democratic_caucuses
Clever pun.
To lose a Home Secretary because she is a bully would look like a pattern.
https://hgis.uw.edu/virus/
Johnson can’t afford to let people think government ministers should know what they’re doing or he will come under threat himself.
Ticks some minority boxes but so does Pete
Performed less well in campaign
Didn’t raise much money
CA less valuable than mid West as pretty safe
I am the Punmaster General.
I think if the Dems pick Biden via some convention chicanery then Trump wins.
The US question is whether its relative inactivity to date hides an Italian-style crisis somewhere along the west coast, remembering that isn’t that long since a Italy only had a few cases. Now that would send markets down.
But the EU not unless you accept free movement of people
Institutional overreach
That seems... questionable.
Though the official spelling is Euslice.
Which is required to distinguish him from half of the cabinet.
He does need some high profile job to succeed in the meantime. He wont be s fresh face then.
Most voters aren’t interested at the moment and it’s very difficult to win an election as one.