I was panicking over Biden and that turned out alright.
Just how red are you with Bloomberg?
2.5k
If it helps, I don't think Bloomberg will win anything: and I'm puzzled as to why he is so short in the betting. There is either some secret polling nobody's told us about, or he's betting on himself. There are several precedents for the latter, the latest of which was the Leadsom Whale of 2019. So if I was in your position I would not be as glum.
When Cameron said Cummings was a psychopath turns out Dave was underselling it.
Dave hates AV:
Allowing people into the UK parliament who did not finish first in their constituency was described by David Cameron as creating a "Parliament full of second-choices who no one really wanted but didn't really object to either." - David Cameron. "Why keeping first past the post is vital for democracy." Daily Telegraph. 30 Apr 2011
@TheScreamingEagles off politics you said recently that if Liverpool didn't release Mo Salah for Egypt in the Olympics then he could be suspended from playing for Liverpool - but this report seems to indicate that Liverpool are under no obligation to release him and its a decision for him and the club to decide upon? https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/51483484
Are you sure about the suspension? There's no threat of it in this article.
There was a piece on the Echo site a while back, I’ll try and dig it out.
If the Echo said that I think they are confused. I believe the rule is that any under-23 player selected for the Olympics is suspended from playing for their club for the duration of the Olympics but this rule does not apply to over-age players. As Salah is 27 he is an over-age player so would not be suspended if Liverpool refuse to release him.
When Cameron said Cummings was a psychopath turns out Dave was underselling it.
Dave hates AV:
Allowing people into the UK parliament who did not finish first in their constituency was described by David Cameron as creating a "Parliament full of second-choices who no one really wanted but didn't really object to either." - David Cameron. "Why keeping first past the post is vital for democracy." Daily Telegraph. 30 Apr 2011
How many times are you going to post that Captain Non Sequitur?
@TheScreamingEagles off politics you said recently that if Liverpool didn't release Mo Salah for Egypt in the Olympics then he could be suspended from playing for Liverpool - but this report seems to indicate that Liverpool are under no obligation to release him and its a decision for him and the club to decide upon? https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/51483484
Are you sure about the suspension? There's no threat of it in this article.
There was a piece on the Echo site a while back, I’ll try and dig it out.
If the Echo said that I think they are confused. I believe the rule is that any under-23 player selected for the Olympics is suspended from playing for their club for the duration of the Olympics but this rule does not apply to over-age players. As Salah is 27 he is an over-age player so would not be suspended if Liverpool refuse to release him.
When Cameron said Cummings was a psychopath turns out Dave was underselling it.
Dave hates AV:
Allowing people into the UK parliament who did not finish first in their constituency was described by David Cameron as creating a "Parliament full of second-choices who no one really wanted but didn't really object to either." - David Cameron. "Why keeping first past the post is vital for democracy." Daily Telegraph. 30 Apr 2011
How many times are you going to post that Captain Non Sequitur?
@TheScreamingEagles off politics you said recently that if Liverpool didn't release Mo Salah for Egypt in the Olympics then he could be suspended from playing for Liverpool - but this report seems to indicate that Liverpool are under no obligation to release him and its a decision for him and the club to decide upon? https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/51483484
Are you sure about the suspension? There's no threat of it in this article.
There was a piece on the Echo site a while back, I’ll try and dig it out.
If the Echo said that I think they are confused. I believe the rule is that any under-23 player selected for the Olympics is suspended from playing for their club for the duration of the Olympics but this rule does not apply to over-age players. As Salah is 27 he is an over-age player so would not be suspended if Liverpool refuse to release him.
Makes sense.
I think it will come down to what Salah wants. If he wants to play in the Olympics I don't think Liverpool would refuse to release him. You don't piss off your stars like that.
Looks like a massive No 10 power grab to neutralise the power of the Treasury (which no doubt was trying to block some of Boris's spending plans)
About time, frankly. The status of 'The Treasury' as the real power in the UK government has led to endless friction and internal sabotage over the years.
I bet Boris said: 'Did you think my title of First Lord of the Treasury was just for show?'
Boris Johnson evidently wanted Sajid Javid out. Don't be fooled into thinking this is Dominic Cummings' work.
I wonder if we'll eventually settle into a Trumpist rhythm of having a reshuffle every couple of months due to some sacking or other. Boris seems to like a good purge.
When Cameron said Cummings was a psychopath turns out Dave was underselling it.
Dave hates AV:
Allowing people into the UK parliament who did not finish first in their constituency was described by David Cameron as creating a "Parliament full of second-choices who no one really wanted but didn't really object to either." - David Cameron. "Why keeping first past the post is vital for democracy." Daily Telegraph. 30 Apr 2011
How many times are you going to post that Captain Non Sequitur?
You denying that your hearthrob Dave hates your flagship method of voting reform?
Papers are saying Javid was told he had to fire all his advisers and accept those chosen by #10. Standing by his staff is worthy of respect.
I'm being stupid in hoping Priti Patel gets demoted/sacked aren't I? She was a headline seeking failure at dfid when not lying and undermining her leader.
I just can't help but hope that Boris will see a kindred ultra ambitious soul and think, can't be having her too prominent...
the latest poll for South Carolina (pre-Iowa, just, so treat with care), has Steyer second on 19%
It would be fun watching Bloomberg lose the billionaire lane
I've got some big green next to Steyer so that'd be good. He does seem to have almost solely camped out South Carolina though so not sure how he is doing elsewhere.
Whilst I am concerned about the stability of the government I can't say that I haven't been a bit disappointed by the Saj. His Autumn Statement last year was an embarrassing affair where he frankly looked out of his depth. Stealing Boris's thunder on HS2 was simply stupid. He has shown no imagination or insight into our underlying problems with excessive consumption, consumer debt, balance of payments etc. or willingness to bring forward tax reform. The Chancellor should be a proper heavyweight like Lawson, Howe, Clarke even Brown, lord help us shaping the government. He seemed a bit lightweight to me. A pity.
When Cameron said Cummings was a psychopath turns out Dave was underselling it.
Dave hates AV:
Allowing people into the UK parliament who did not finish first in their constituency was described by David Cameron as creating a "Parliament full of second-choices who no one really wanted but didn't really object to either." - David Cameron. "Why keeping first past the post is vital for democracy." Daily Telegraph. 30 Apr 2011
How many times are you going to post that Captain Non Sequitur?
"Gentlemen, this is the day you will always remember as the day you almost caught Captain Sunil Prasannan!"
Papers are saying Javid was told he had to fire all his advisers and accept those chosen by #10. Standing by his staff is worthy of respect.
I don't think I have ever heard anybody say anything bad about Javid. He seems a thoroughly decent man. The main criticism seems to be he is rather boring.
When Cameron said Cummings was a psychopath turns out Dave was underselling it.
Dave hates AV:
Allowing people into the UK parliament who did not finish first in their constituency was described by David Cameron as creating a "Parliament full of second-choices who no one really wanted but didn't really object to either." - David Cameron. "Why keeping first past the post is vital for democracy." Daily Telegraph. 30 Apr 2011
How many times are you going to post that Captain Non Sequitur?
You denying that your hearthrob Dave hates your flagship method of voting reform?
No, Dave also thought pineapple was an acceptable topping on pizza. George is a Chelsea fan, I was prepared to overlook those minor flaws for the greater good.
I'm baffled by the surprise. So far the reshuffle is entirely consistent with all of Boris Johnson's past work. The wailing and lamentations of Conservatives just shows they have allowed themselves to be blinded by Brexit. Everything is about Boris Johnson. Get used to it.
Papers are saying Javid was told he had to fire all his advisers and accept those chosen by #10. Standing by his staff is worthy of respect.
I don't think I have ever heard anybody say anything bad about Javid. He seems a thoroughly decent man. The main criticism seems to be he is rather boring.
He did seem to care about balancing the budget. Cummings really wants to go full Trumpian on a spending spree.
Whilst I am concerned about the stability of the government I can't say that I haven't been a bit disappointed by the Saj. His Autumn Statement last year was an embarrassing affair where he frankly looked out of his depth. Stealing Boris's thunder on HS2 was simply stupid. He has shown no imagination or insight into our underlying problems with excessive consumption, consumer debt, balance of payments etc. or willingness to bring forward tax reform. The Chancellor should be a proper heavyweight like Lawson, Howe, Clarke even Brown, lord help us shaping the government. He seemed a bit lightweight to me. A pity.
The Saj's main job was to protect Boris from accusations of Islamophobia. Now the Prime Minister will need to promote a new Muslim human shield.
What a mess, the chancellor resigning months after an election.
Sunak is a party bot who will do whatever Boris says I guess.
Totally beholden to him. We could be seeing the start of something deeply unedifying and fraught with peril for our democracy. Mobster masquerading as Affable Clown.
Joint SpAd team. Wtf is this shit. Sunak should have refused.
That actually makes some sense to me. As Cummings should know, rogue SpAds can be terribly distracting. And Sunak should be absolutely delighted to have landed this gig, strings attached or no.
Whilst I am concerned about the stability of the government I can't say that I haven't been a bit disappointed by the Saj. His Autumn Statement last year was an embarrassing affair where he frankly looked out of his depth. Stealing Boris's thunder on HS2 was simply stupid. He has shown no imagination or insight into our underlying problems with excessive consumption, consumer debt, balance of payments etc. or willingness to bring forward tax reform. The Chancellor should be a proper heavyweight like Lawson, Howe, Clarke even Brown, lord help us shaping the government. He seemed a bit lightweight to me. A pity.
Yes, he seemed unimaginative and lacking intellectual flair. Not what we need for this Parliament.
Papers are saying Javid was told he had to fire all his advisers and accept those chosen by #10. Standing by his staff is worthy of respect.
I'm being stupid in hoping Priti Patel gets demoted/sacked aren't I? She was a headline seeking failure at dfid when not lying and undermining her leader.
I just can't help but hope that Boris will see a kindred ultra ambitious soul and think, can't be having her too prominent...
Cummings has managed to completely blow up Johnson's reshuffle, or he has engineered Javid out deliberately to make way for some loon who will do as he's told by Britain's leading complexity theorist.
What you haven't considered is how this relates to China's lead in the AI gap as applied to neo-systems theory analysis.
Papers are saying Javid was told he had to fire all his advisers and accept those chosen by #10. Standing by his staff is worthy of respect.
I'm being stupid in hoping Priti Patel gets demoted/sacked aren't I? She was a headline seeking failure at dfid when not lying and undermining her leader.
I just can't help but hope that Boris will see a kindred ultra ambitious soul and think, can't be having her too prominent...
Papers are saying Javid was told he had to fire all his advisers and accept those chosen by #10. Standing by his staff is worthy of respect.
I don't think I have ever heard anybody say anything bad about Javid. He seems a thoroughly decent man. The main criticism seems to be he is rather boring.
He did seem to care about balancing the budget. Cummings really wants to go full Trumpian on a spending spree.
Huge unfunded deficit spending is the only way to make Brexit not look like an astonishingly shit idea, so if he needs to get rid of Javid to make it happen then it makes sense to do it, even if the short-term headlines are bad.
If so, that's a lay. He's not been promoted to advance his career any further than the current level.
My logic in tipping him was that if Johnson got a large majority he could probably be PM for a decade so the successor could likely be someone of the 'next generation'.
Sunak could be Chancellor for the next decade potentially if he doesn't screw this up. That would put him in prime slot to be next leader and how he got the promotion will be long, long forgotten by then.
the latest poll for South Carolina (pre-Iowa, just, so treat with care), has Steyer second on 19%
It would be fun watching Bloomberg lose the billionaire lane
I've got some big green next to Steyer so that'd be good. He does seem to have almost solely camped out South Carolina though so not sure how he is doing elsewhere.
He's doing well across super Tuesday states I think.
Boris Johnson evidently wanted Sajid Javid out. Don't be fooled into thinking this is Dominic Cummings' work.
Indeed. Javid was clearly not signed up to increasing the deficit in a way tha Boris wanted to, for that reason Boris wanted him out.
I think that's it, Johnson is going to want a CoE that will turn a blind eye to the amount of cash he's spending. No heavyweight Tory who is serious about fiscal responsibility is going to accept the job.
He'll end up with 3 inexperienced lightweights in the 3 main offices of state so that he and Cummings can push them around. Kudos to Javid for resigning.
"Chancellor Sunak!" "Yes, Captain Kirk?" "The Klingons are moving in. We think you should move to safer quarters" "Nonsense! I will die as a true Vulcan, just like my father Chancellor R'dmond before me."
(There is a shout from downstairs)
"Rishi! Lights out and go to sleep now!" "Sorry, mama-ji" "That boy will be the death of me"
I wonder if we haven't actually seen the last of Sajid Javid.
The PM still needs a President of COP26.....
No way. Why would Javid repay treachery with loyalty? He'd have to be a complete idiot. If he wants a way back into government then he has to weaken Dom and get him sacked from the back benches, at the rate Bozza is picking up enemies it's becoming more likely than not.
"Chancellor Sunak!" "Yes, Captain Kirk?" "The Klingons are moving in. We think you should move to safer quarters" "Nonsense! I will die as a true Vulcan, just like my father Chancellor R'dmond before me."
(There is a shout from downstairs)
"Rishi! Lights out and go to sleep now!" "Sorry, mama-ji" "That boy will be the death of me"
(The light goes out)
We've already had the Head girl give the budget up here in Scotland in even less propitious circumstances. It will be interesting to see how the head boy does as well. In fairness the presentation in Scotland was rather good given the circumstances even if the content was meh.
I will be very surprised if DC is still in post in 15 months time. In fairness he himself, in his famous advert, suggested that he might be redundant in a year or so.
Comments
Allowing people into the UK parliament who did not finish first in their constituency was described by David Cameron as creating a "Parliament full of second-choices who no one really wanted but didn't really object to either."
- David Cameron. "Why keeping first past the post is vital for democracy." Daily Telegraph. 30 Apr 2011
Sunak is a party bot who will do whatever Boris says I guess.
I think it will come down to what Salah wants. If he wants to play in the Olympics I don't think Liverpool would refuse to release him. You don't piss off your stars like that.
I bet Boris said: 'Did you think my title of First Lord of the Treasury was just for show?'
I'm being stupid in hoping Priti Patel gets demoted/sacked aren't I? She was a headline seeking failure at dfid when not lying and undermining her leader.
I just can't help but hope that Boris will see a kindred ultra ambitious soul and think, can't be having her too prominent...
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.160663234
The power of a majority of 80.
It better show results though.
As Cummings should know, rogue SpAds can be terribly distracting.
And Sunak should be absolutely delighted to have landed this gig, strings attached or no.
[I backed Mr Thompson's tip. Sorry].
Classic Do.
Wonder who the Muslim promo will be?
s=20
https://twitter.com/toadmeister/status/1227926928335802368?s=20
https://twitter.com/Andrew_Adonis/status/1227926691919560706?s=20
Sunak could be Chancellor for the next decade potentially if he doesn't screw this up. That would put him in prime slot to be next leader and how he got the promotion will be long, long forgotten by then.
Sunak went to Winchester and Lincoln College Oxford and Stanford and was a Leaver, Javid went to a comp and Exeter University and was a Remainer
He's got an 80 majority against a ramshackle opposition. I think his political base is strong enough for now.
[into intercom]
"Legislate at will, Prime Minister!"
He'll end up with 3 inexperienced lightweights in the 3 main offices of state so that he and Cummings can push them around. Kudos to Javid for resigning.
new thread
EDIT. Apparently it's Lincoln, not Magdalen. Boo.
The PM still needs a President of COP26.....
NEW THREAD
Oh deary me. What a message.
"Yes, Captain Kirk?"
"The Klingons are moving in. We think you should move to safer quarters"
"Nonsense! I will die as a true Vulcan, just like my father Chancellor R'dmond before me."
(There is a shout from downstairs)
"Rishi! Lights out and go to sleep now!"
"Sorry, mama-ji"
"That boy will be the death of me"
(The light goes out)
For reasons which may become apparent in short order (nothing to do with next PM).