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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Henry G Manson: Main focus for LAB in North East is winning
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Henry G Manson: Main focus for LAB in North East is winning back the North Tyneside mayoralty from the Tories – not the S Shields by-election
There has been some discussion this week on the strength of didn’t women MPs in the Conservative Party and in Labour with some wondering if there will be another ‘Margaret’ in the near future. I can’t spot many, although a couple of years ago I wrote this piece asking if one newly elected female MP could be a ‘Thatcher’ to Cameron’s ‘Heath’.
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Internals showing downward drift for Labour too....
"Arguing the cuts may be unnecessary, the [Fabian] study says that, if the economy is growing by about 2 per cent annually, public spending could rise by 1 per cent a year and Labour could achieve Mr Osborne’s target of seeing debt falling by 2016-17 two years later – or sooner than 2018-19 if taxes were increased."
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/exclusive-labour-bets-the-house-with-pledge-to-outspend-tories-8579179.html
On a related note, it's always worth noting what's *not* happening. Considering that UKIP are contesting so many seats across the country this year, and that North Tyneside is one of the biggest prizes going in May, why are UKIP not putting up a candidate?
Here are some statements that different people
make about different political parties. In each
case, which party do you think it applies to
most - the Conservatives, Labour or the Liberal
Democrats?
The kind of society it wants is broadly the kind
of society I want:
Con29(+2); LAB28(-1); LD12(+1); None20(-2); DK10(-2)
It is led by people of real ability
Con20(+2); LAB14(-3); LD5(0); None47(+1); DK14(-1)
Its leaders are prepared to take tough and unpopular decisions
Con50(+2); LAB10(-1); LD4(0); None25(+1); DK12(-1)
It seems to chop and change all the time: you
can never be quite sure what it stands for
Con23(-2); LAB24(+2); LD31(+3); None9(-1); DK14(0)
Is EdM prepared to make a similar announcement in 2015?
As usual, treat such reports with caution. We're in the fog of up-to-the-minute reporting.
Shaun T's Insanity
http://live.boston.com/Event/MIT_and_Watertown_shootings
http://www.fbi.gov/news/updates-on-investigation-into-multiple-explosions-in-boston/updates-on-investigation-into-multiple-explosions-in-boston
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance/ambroseevans-pritchard/100024122/debunking-austerity-claims-makes-no-difference-to-europes-monks-and-zealots/
Records reviewed by The Associated Press show that OSHA issued the West Chemical & Fertilizer Co., as the plant was called at the time, a $30 fine for a serious violation for storage of anhydrous ammonia.
Lots happening in Boston, time for us all to put the telly on.
It's an interesting idea. But obviously depends on a growing economy and homeowners voting for more houses (and lower house prices) when the Tories might offer tax cuts instead.
Polish builders for Labour...
There are times when you suspect Dr Who was on to something and our political class are indeed a different race.
If you take that as correct, it narrows down the nature of the suspects origins.
https://twitter.com/search/realtime?q=#mitshooting&src=tren
Well, that claim was wrong.
(p.s. The opening sentence starts: 'There has been some discussion this week on the strength of didn’t women MPs in the Conservative Party and in Labour ...' ??? - may require an edit)
http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/4894271/Rolf-Harris-sex-abuse-arrest.html
And now R4 reporting as second item after Boston
I'd sit tight on exactly what it is. If you put it all together you'd be 75% down the extremist route for sure but there are inconsistencies.
Let's wait and see and hope there are no more deaths.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/england/tyne/3631916.stm
The local hacks are preening themselves in the hope of getting a job with a national news organisation.
Oh come on chaps - tear yourself away from that so we go back to the bingo.
http://www.economist.com/node/4010412
It actually fell below 70%! The record of Labour in Govt was a shocking one of a massive growth in waiting lists and a decline in house ownership.
Some would sign up for PPV just to see that.
File it under "If only"
Be as well baking pies for all for a short term consumption boost otherwise.
The problem is that unless Westminster passes serious legislation which allows them to bypass / overrule local authorities then the actual planning approvals will continue to stall as they run up against a wall of local nimbyism. Even the more modest relaxation of extension / conservatory rules is falling down as a result of this.
So what is Reward going to do? It's all very well saying 'we'll build more houses'. He can't - unless he breaks the planning system. The issue is the planning system not the willingness / enthusisam to build houses. I want to know what Labour's policy is on planning. Without one it's all hot air.
Visited an English friend of mine who bought an electric pressure cooker. I had no idea such things existed.
Quite so . Ed tried to pretend he was in second class compartment if you recall.
We're 3 years into a coalition Ben. Labour had 13 years to sort out housing. And anything else. And now - NOW - they''re starting to notice that there are problems.
They're not suitable for public office.
You must be happy with the Indy front page Ben - Ed promising that whatever George spends, he will spend more.
http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/4894271/Rolf-Harris-sex-abuse-arrest.html
"Labour is preparing to fight the 2015 election on a bold but risky pledge to spend more than the Conservatives.
Ed Miliband and Ed Balls will reject the more cautious approach – adopted by Tony Blair in 1997 – of sticking to the Tory government’s public spending limits in favour of a “new economic settlement” for Britain."
It's basically the Hollande approach - but spending more.
It's what the country needs rather than what the Tories think needs to be done to the country.
livewire.wcvb.com/Event/117th_Running_of_Boston_Marathon
http://i.imgur.com/3Bh7rkc.gif
How many divisions has the IMF got ?
Edited extra bit: no-one has.
wow
Osborne is failing (he is) so Labour must match the Tory strategy?
2015 may be a pivotal election. It should be. The edifice upon which much conservative "success" is built is not just crumbling, it is slumping into the sea.
The reason property in the UK is so expensive is because of planning. A few decades ago the proportion of a property's total value that was represented by the fact it had planning permission was MUCH lower. Today the value of land with permission vs without is hugely higher. The actual cost of labour and materials to build a house is ALOT less than the total cost including land and planning permission.
No government needs a building plan - the market will do that very forcefully for itself once the planning logjam is cleared. And once the local planning stranglehold is cleared then things like a 3rd runway, power plants, shale, HS2/3/4, etc become easier and cheaper too. All would be massively beneficial for the economy.
It is a simple ideological fight of economy vs protecting the countyside and neighbours' views. The nimby faction is winning hands down over the economy faction. The reason it is so hard is that there is huge emotion in the nimby /CPRE view. It is, as Sir Humphrey would say, a 'courageous' politician who places himself firmly on the 'economy' side of the fence. Dave is a total pantwaist and seems quite unable to legisalte or decide - there'll be no 3rd runway on his watch.
If Redward is willing to place himself in the economy camp and legislate accordingly then that will definitely be good for the economy. But he'll have every bird watcher, greenbelter, nimby, greeny knob in the land fighting him over it. So let him STFU about building and talk instead about planning - because that is the problem. Absent a planning plan then all this building waffle is just him farting into the wind.
Housebuilders sitting on huge landbanks with permission granted at the moment. Not in their interest to utilise it despite the evident social and economic need.
Well done "the market"!
Though that will change for me when I get back.