Wales border, give or take, it's a bit blurred tbh
South line is Ross on Wye to the Wash. This puts Warwick, Stratford, Cheltenham and Gloucester in the South and Hereford, Worcester, Redditch and Coventry in the Midlands.
North line is Dee to the Wash, as discussed.
East is just west of Grantham and a lazy loop to be north of Chelmsford, before hitting the Blackwater estuary.
Come. At. Me.
"Warwick, Stratford, Cheltenham and Gloucester in the South"
But by any measure, Warwick and Stratford are quintessentially Midlands.
Your problem is Northampton. Nobody wants Northampton....
Why would anyone to be fair?
I remember going to view a house in a village named East Farndon, which is a couple of miles from Market Harborough. The latter is in Leicestershire and the former in Northamptonshire. I made the mistake of saying Leicestershire to the woman who was selling the house. She was indignant and very keen to boast that East Farndon is in Northamptonhire not Leicestershire.
I remember thinking that Leicestershire must be really shit.
A curious comment. East Leicestershire is quite lovely, particularly the SE quadrant and also the Wreake valley. Keep it quiet though.
Wales border, give or take, it's a bit blurred tbh
South line is Ross on Wye to the Wash. This puts Warwick, Stratford, Cheltenham and Gloucester in the South and Hereford, Worcester, Redditch and Coventry in the Midlands.
North line is Dee to the Wash, as discussed.
East is just west of Grantham and a lazy loop to be north of Chelmsford, before hitting the Blackwater estuary.
Come. At. Me.
"Warwick, Stratford, Cheltenham and Gloucester in the South"
But by any measure, Warwick and Stratford are quintessentially Midlands.
Your problem is Northampton. Nobody wants Northampton....
"But by any measure, Warwick and Stratford are quintessentially Midlands."
hmmm, I think I'd need to hear why.
Some things just ARE.
There are no rational arguments for them to be anywhere else.
Don’t know about that. Stratford, while largely ersatz tourist shit, can also be magical. The Midlands are not magical.
Wales border, give or take, it's a bit blurred tbh
South line is Ross on Wye to the Wash. This puts Warwick, Stratford, Cheltenham and Gloucester in the South and Hereford, Worcester, Redditch and Coventry in the Midlands.
North line is Dee to the Wash, as discussed.
East is just west of Grantham and a lazy loop to be north of Chelmsford, before hitting the Blackwater estuary.
Come. At. Me.
"Warwick, Stratford, Cheltenham and Gloucester in the South"
But by any measure, Warwick and Stratford are quintessentially Midlands.
Your problem is Northampton. Nobody wants Northampton....
"But by any measure, Warwick and Stratford are quintessentially Midlands."
hmmm, I think I'd need to hear why.
If Warwick isn't Midlands, what is? And what would Warwick be if not Midlands? It's certainly not South.
Labour’s leadership race appears to be far from settled with Rebecca Long-Bailey coming out just ahead of her opponents on the basis of first preferences in a new poll of party members – with Keir Starmer close behind.
Long-Bailey, who is on the Labour left and widely seen as a Corbynite, has had a slow start to her campaign – but was still the most popular first-ranked contender in a survey of LabourList readers conducted by Survation and weighted to reflect the membership.
If the election took place today, the results of the poll suggest that Long-Bailey would win 42% of first preferences while Starmer would receive 37%. Jess Phillips is far behind on 9%, Lisa Nandy on 7% and Emily Thornberry on just 1%.
Although Starmer receives the majority of second preferences from all candidates in the race, they are not enough to eliminate Long-Bailey’s first round lead, with Long-Bailey leading 51% to 49% after second preferences are taken into account.
The Holborn and St Pancras MP, who has pitched to the left in his campaign so far, also picks up high proportions of second preferences from rivals Phillips (60%) and Nandy (63%) in the survey.
The first poll of Labour members by YouGov for the Party Members Project put Starmer ahead both in terms of first preferences and the overall result. The new research suggests there is all to play for in Labour’s leadership contest.
34% of Labour members surveyed by LabourList/Survation said they had not decided who they would be voting for in the leadership election, and of those ranking candidates for leader, only 22% said they were certain that they would not change their preferences.
The LabourList/Survation poll includes Clive Lewis as a candidate, but the Norwich MP is now out of the running as he failed to secure the necessary MP and MEP nominations to continue.
Wales border, give or take, it's a bit blurred tbh
South line is Ross on Wye to the Wash. This puts Warwick, Stratford, Cheltenham and Gloucester in the South and Hereford, Worcester, Redditch and Coventry in the Midlands.
North line is Dee to the Wash, as discussed.
East is just west of Grantham and a lazy loop to be north of Chelmsford, before hitting the Blackwater estuary.
Come. At. Me.
"Warwick, Stratford, Cheltenham and Gloucester in the South"
But by any measure, Warwick and Stratford are quintessentially Midlands.
Your problem is Northampton. Nobody wants Northampton....
"But by any measure, Warwick and Stratford are quintessentially Midlands."
hmmm, I think I'd need to hear why.
If Warwick isn't Midlands, what is? And what would Warwick be if not Midlands? It's certainly not South.
Warwick, as it is now, could be anywhere between where it is now and the channel.
Labour’s leadership race appears to be far from settled with Rebecca Long-Bailey coming out just ahead of her opponents on the basis of first preferences in a new poll of party members – with Keir Starmer close behind.
Long-Bailey, who is on the Labour left and widely seen as a Corbynite, has had a slow start to her campaign – but was still the most popular first-ranked contender in a survey of LabourList readers conducted by Survation and weighted to reflect the membership.
If the election took place today, the results of the poll suggest that Long-Bailey would win 42% of first preferences while Starmer would receive 37%. Jess Phillips is far behind on 9%, Lisa Nandy on 7% and Emily Thornberry on just 1%.
Although Starmer receives the majority of second preferences from all candidates in the race, they are not enough to eliminate Long-Bailey’s first round lead, with Long-Bailey leading 51% to 49% after second preferences are taken into account.
The Holborn and St Pancras MP, who has pitched to the left in his campaign so far, also picks up high proportions of second preferences from rivals Phillips (60%) and Nandy (63%) in the survey.
The first poll of Labour members by YouGov for the Party Members Project put Starmer ahead both in terms of first preferences and the overall result. The new research suggests there is all to play for in Labour’s leadership contest.
34% of Labour members surveyed by LabourList/Survation said they had not decided who they would be voting for in the leadership election, and of those ranking candidates for leader, only 22% said they were certain that they would not change their preferences.
The LabourList/Survation poll includes Clive Lewis as a candidate, but the Norwich MP is now out of the running as he failed to secure the necessary MP and MEP nominations to continue.
Labour’s leadership race appears to be far from settled with Rebecca Long-Bailey coming out just ahead of her opponents on the basis of first preferences in a new poll of party members – with Keir Starmer close behind.
Long-Bailey, who is on the Labour left and widely seen as a Corbynite, has had a slow start to her campaign – but was still the most popular first-ranked contender in a survey of LabourList readers conducted by Survation and weighted to reflect the membership.
If the election took place today, the results of the poll suggest that Long-Bailey would win 42% of first preferences while Starmer would receive 37%. Jess Phillips is far behind on 9%, Lisa Nandy on 7% and Emily Thornberry on just 1%.
Although Starmer receives the majority of second preferences from all candidates in the race, they are not enough to eliminate Long-Bailey’s first round lead, with Long-Bailey leading 51% to 49% after second preferences are taken into account.
The Holborn and St Pancras MP, who has pitched to the left in his campaign so far, also picks up high proportions of second preferences from rivals Phillips (60%) and Nandy (63%) in the survey.
The first poll of Labour members by YouGov for the Party Members Project put Starmer ahead both in terms of first preferences and the overall result. The new research suggests there is all to play for in Labour’s leadership contest.
34% of Labour members surveyed by LabourList/Survation said they had not decided who they would be voting for in the leadership election, and of those ranking candidates for leader, only 22% said they were certain that they would not change their preferences.
The LabourList/Survation poll includes Clive Lewis as a candidate, but the Norwich MP is now out of the running as he failed to secure the necessary MP and MEP nominations to continue.
What is alarming is that there are five candidates in that race. So amazingly, Labour members think they have at least three MPs who are more useless than Richard Burgon.
London has perked up. You can ignore this if you wish, but the last time I noticed this perkiness was when London property began its last enormous bullish run. And this was, roughly from 2010 to 2017, when, if you’d bought at the right time, you’d have almost doubled yer money
I just sold my house after struggling to do so for over 2 years.
Wales border, give or take, it's a bit blurred tbh
South line is Ross on Wye to the Wash. This puts Warwick, Stratford, Cheltenham and Gloucester in the South and Hereford, Worcester, Redditch and Coventry in the Midlands.
North line is Dee to the Wash, as discussed.
East is just west of Grantham and a lazy loop to be north of Chelmsford, before hitting the Blackwater estuary.
Come. At. Me.
"Warwick, Stratford, Cheltenham and Gloucester in the South"
But by any measure, Warwick and Stratford are quintessentially Midlands.
Your problem is Northampton. Nobody wants Northampton....
Why would anyone to be fair?
I remember going to view a house in a village named East Farndon, which is a couple of miles from Market Harborough. The latter is in Leicestershire and the former in Northamptonshire. I made the mistake of saying Leicestershire to the woman who was selling the house. She was indignant and very keen to boast that East Farndon is in Northamptonhire not Leicestershire.
I remember thinking that Leicestershire must be really shit.
A curious comment. East Leicestershire is quite lovely, particularly the SE quadrant and also the Wreake valley. Keep it quiet though.
N'Hants, second most under rated county after Lincolnshire. May it stay that way.
Wow, makes Kimiko Date-Krumm look like she retired early!
I saw her play Serena Williams in her comeback at a grand slam. She lost, but was really close to winning. Playing from a different era threw Williams off completely, especially in the first set!
Talking about a different era in sports, I thought this was a fascinating example of how sport has changed thanks to data analytics. Basically as soon as data scientists had access to shot data, it became clear that the whole base strategy of every team in the NBA was wrong (too many mid range shots, when far superior statistically to attempt 3-point shots even though you miss more in raw % terms).
Football is behind the curve on this, but catching up fast now. I think in 10 years we will think how shit most teams tactics for the vast majority of the history of the game.
There is already a lot of data science in football, much of it originally motivated by betting. Whether this is good for the fan, I'm not sure, as there seems to be a lot more passing sideways now. This (originally German) book gives a wide, non-technical survey. Football Hackers: The Science and Art of a Data Revolution Biermann, Christoph https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/45029227-football-hackers
One of the worst examples of tactical ineptitude in modern football must be shooting at goal from free kicks at 25-30yd range. The conversion rate is appalling. It’s hard to imagine poorer returns from pass-and-switch alternatives.
Wow, makes Kimiko Date-Krumm look like she retired early!
I saw her play Serena Williams in her comeback at a grand slam. She lost, but was really close to winning. Playing from a different era threw Williams off completely, especially in the first set!
Talking about a different era in sports, I thought this was a fascinating example of how sport has changed thanks to data analytics. Basically as soon as data scientists had access to shot data, it became clear that the whole base strategy of every team in the NBA was wrong (too many mid range shots, when far superior statistically to attempt 3-point shots even though you miss more in raw % terms).
Football is behind the curve on this, but catching up fast now. I think in 10 years we will think how shit most teams tactics for the vast majority of the history of the game.
There is already a lot of data science in football, much of it originally motivated by betting. Whether this is good for the fan, I'm not sure, as there seems to be a lot more passing sideways now. This (originally German) book gives a wide, non-technical survey. Football Hackers: The Science and Art of a Data Revolution Biermann, Christoph https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/45029227-football-hackers
One of the worst examples of tactical ineptitude in modern football must be shooting at goal from free kicks at 25-30yd range. The conversion rate is appalling. It’s hard to imagine poorer returns from pass-and-switch alternatives.
Apparently the traditional idea of getting it wide to the wingers, who run down the sideline and cross it into the box the most inefficient way of attacking.
@FrancisUrquhart - I watched that video, very interesting. I nearly choked on my dinner when he compared Lukas Podolski to Lionel Messi. To be fair, when it comes to finishing, that's probably a fair comparison.
It's basically the metric I assume that most stattos were using anyway. Output stats like goals and assists are useful to a point, but there is so much to football than the final ball/shot.
Arsenal are quite a good case study. Ten years ago we were a team of technical possession based players who were often a little toothless in the final third (van Persie's injuries didn't help). During the 2010s, beginning with the signing of Lukas Podolski, Arsenal have transitioned to a team of flat track bullies with players like Xhaka, Ozil and Aubameyang.
I woud caution about putting too much store by the Labour List poll. It has a heavy bias towards the more left-leaning part of the Labour membership. Getting a truly weighted sample from it would be very tough. Like trying to get one for the UK electorate by weighting the Telegraph or the Guardian readerships.
But Long-Bailey does enjoy huge structural advantages. As I keep saying, it's going to be close between her and Starmer. As much as I'd like to see Nandy do it, I just cannot - even though she is quite likely to make the final ballot.
Wow, makes Kimiko Date-Krumm look like she retired early!
I saw her play Serena Williams in her comeback at a grand slam. She lost, but was really close to winning. Playing from a different era threw Williams off completely, especially in the first set!
Talking about a different era in sports, I thought this was a fascinating example of how sport has changed thanks to data analytics. Basically as soon as data scientists had access to shot data, it became clear that the whole base strategy of every team in the NBA was wrong (too many mid range shots, when far superior statistically to attempt 3-point shots even though you miss more in raw % terms).
Football is behind the curve on this, but catching up fast now. I think in 10 years we will think how shit most teams tactics for the vast majority of the history of the game.
There is already a lot of data science in football, much of it originally motivated by betting. Whether this is good for the fan, I'm not sure, as there seems to be a lot more passing sideways now. This (originally German) book gives a wide, non-technical survey. Football Hackers: The Science and Art of a Data Revolution Biermann, Christoph https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/45029227-football-hackers
One of the worst examples of tactical ineptitude in modern football must be shooting at goal from free kicks at 25-30yd range. The conversion rate is appalling. It’s hard to imagine poorer returns from pass-and-switch alternatives.
Apparently the traditional idea of getting it wide to the wingers, who run down the sideline and cross it into the box the most inefficient way of attacking.
Ted Knutson was a little defensive when the interviewer mentioned TAA and Robertson. I still think getting wide a putting in a good cross is an effective approach.
Compare Aubameyang and Giroud. The former is more prolific and undoubtedly a better finisher. But I'd say the tariff on creating a scoreable chance for Aubameyang is higher than that for creating a chance for Giroud.
The Minister for Propaganda far from subtle hatchet to RLB campaign gives me nagging doubts about the way i should actually vote in the contest though.
Labour’s leadership race appears to be far from settled with Rebecca Long-Bailey coming out just ahead of her opponents on the basis of first preferences in a new poll of party members – with Keir Starmer close behind.
Long-Bailey, who is on the Labour left and widely seen as a Corbynite, has had a slow start to her campaign – but was still the most popular first-ranked contender in a survey of LabourList readers conducted by Survation and weighted to reflect the membership.
If the election took place today, the results of the poll suggest that Long-Bailey would win 42% of first preferences while Starmer would receive 37%. Jess Phillips is far behind on 9%, Lisa Nandy on 7% and Emily Thornberry on just 1%.
Although Starmer receives the majority of second preferences from all candidates in the race, they are not enough to eliminate Long-Bailey’s first round lead, with Long-Bailey leading 51% to 49% after second preferences are taken into account.
The Holborn and St Pancras MP, who has pitched to the left in his campaign so far, also picks up high proportions of second preferences from rivals Phillips (60%) and Nandy (63%) in the survey.
The first poll of Labour members by YouGov for the Party Members Project put Starmer ahead both in terms of first preferences and the overall result. The new research suggests there is all to play for in Labour’s leadership contest.
34% of Labour members surveyed by LabourList/Survation said they had not decided who they would be voting for in the leadership election, and of those ranking candidates for leader, only 22% said they were certain that they would not change their preferences.
The LabourList/Survation poll includes Clive Lewis as a candidate, but the Norwich MP is now out of the running as he failed to secure the necessary MP and MEP nominations to continue.
@Sunil_Prasannan ! In your capacity of God Of Trains can you tell me if, when traveling on the return leg of an off-peak return ticket, I can break my return journey over two or more days?
Generally very good at handling Neil's adversarial approach. Thoroughly refuted the accusation that she's using meaningless slogans. Lots of plenty of good examples for her positions. Strong on moving on from Brexit, on anti-Semitism.
The bad answer was to the "why are you the brave choice"? The real answer has nothing to do with identity politics. She's the only candidate who has (for years) been challenging the liberal left over our attitudes towards people with different life-experiences, and that is brave. For the Labour to change course on that will be difficult. But she's understandably concerned to diffuse any danger of this being spun as giving ground to racists, which is why I guess she answered the question that way. Have to remind myself that much of the selectorate don't really know much about her yet (e.g. firm commitment to freedom of movement, career supporting refugees), or how absurd such an interpretation would be. So maybe it makes sense to save the tough stuff for February. Frustrating though.
Wales border, give or take, it's a bit blurred tbh
South line is Ross on Wye to the Wash. This puts Warwick, Stratford, Cheltenham and Gloucester in the South and Hereford, Worcester, Redditch and Coventry in the Midlands.
North line is Dee to the Wash, as discussed.
East is just west of Grantham and a lazy loop to be north of Chelmsford, before hitting the Blackwater estuary.
Come. At. Me.
"Warwick, Stratford, Cheltenham and Gloucester in the South"
But by any measure, Warwick and Stratford are quintessentially Midlands.
Your problem is Northampton. Nobody wants Northampton....
Why would anyone to be fair?
I remember going to view a house in a village named East Farndon, which is a couple of miles from Market Harborough. The latter is in Leicestershire and the former in Northamptonshire. I made the mistake of saying Leicestershire to the woman who was selling the house. She was indignant and very keen to boast that East Farndon is in Northamptonhire not Leicestershire.
I remember thinking that Leicestershire must be really shit.
A curious comment. East Leicestershire is quite lovely, particularly the SE quadrant and also the Wreake valley. Keep it quiet though.
And home of the pork pie.
There are some nice parts of Leicestershire, particularly the north east around the Vale of Belvoir. People conflate Leicestershire (pretty in parts) with the city of Leicester (dull, drab). But Leicestershire is rather a big county.
"Bad weather and light conditions, such as fog, rain, strong wind, or dark nights, can decrease the visibility and the flying height of birds. This may result in more collisions. However, the correlation between the collisions and poor weather and light conditions has not yet been clearly identified because of the difficulty of observing birds in these conditions."
Comments
Long-Bailey, who is on the Labour left and widely seen as a Corbynite, has had a slow start to her campaign – but was still the most popular first-ranked contender in a survey of LabourList readers conducted by Survation and weighted to reflect the membership.
If the election took place today, the results of the poll suggest that Long-Bailey would win 42% of first preferences while Starmer would receive 37%. Jess Phillips is far behind on 9%, Lisa Nandy on 7% and Emily Thornberry on just 1%.
Although Starmer receives the majority of second preferences from all candidates in the race, they are not enough to eliminate Long-Bailey’s first round lead, with Long-Bailey leading 51% to 49% after second preferences are taken into account.
The Holborn and St Pancras MP, who has pitched to the left in his campaign so far, also picks up high proportions of second preferences from rivals Phillips (60%) and Nandy (63%) in the survey.
The first poll of Labour members by YouGov for the Party Members Project put Starmer ahead both in terms of first preferences and the overall result. The new research suggests there is all to play for in Labour’s leadership contest.
34% of Labour members surveyed by LabourList/Survation said they had not decided who they would be voting for in the leadership election, and of those ranking candidates for leader, only 22% said they were certain that they would not change their preferences.
The LabourList/Survation poll includes Clive Lewis as a candidate, but the Norwich MP is now out of the running as he failed to secure the necessary MP and MEP nominations to continue.
https://labourlist.org/2020/01/exclusive-poll-of-members-shows-leadership-race-narrowing/
Other 3 no chance
She currently has my first preference.
Lets see how she does.
Complete on Friday.
Betfair has massively overreacted to that (borderline voodoo) poll.
Outrageous that this flexibility will be denied to me post April and will do nothing for problem gamblers.
Not taking any shit from Neil.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/paultassi/2020/01/13/the-mandalorian-actor-reveals-how-much-baby-yodas-robo-puppet-costs/#22e29a0674e4
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lh1Tz3zwhFU
The Neil put down very good.
I fear she might finish 3rd but far better than RLB or SKS IMO
RLB all the negatives of Corbyn without the likeability
SKS bores the Tits off me.
I've just read a piece on possession value added:
https://www.optasportspro.com/news-analysis/blog-introducing-a-possession-value-framework/
It's basically the metric I assume that most stattos were using anyway. Output stats like goals and assists are useful to a point, but there is so much to football than the final ball/shot.
Arsenal are quite a good case study. Ten years ago we were a team of technical possession based players who were often a little toothless in the final third (van Persie's injuries didn't help). During the 2010s, beginning with the signing of Lukas Podolski, Arsenal have transitioned to a team of flat track bullies with players like Xhaka, Ozil and Aubameyang.
'the working class may be wrong about everything, but we should be nicer about it when we tell them so'
But Long-Bailey does enjoy huge structural advantages. As I keep saying, it's going to be close between her and Starmer. As much as I'd like to see Nandy do it, I just cannot - even though she is quite likely to make the final ballot.
Compare Aubameyang and Giroud. The former is more prolific and undoubtedly a better finisher. But I'd say the tariff on creating a scoreable chance for Aubameyang is higher than that for creating a chance for Giroud.
The Minister for Propaganda far from subtle hatchet to RLB campaign gives me nagging doubts about the way i should actually vote in the contest though.
Generally very good at handling Neil's adversarial approach. Thoroughly refuted the accusation that she's using meaningless slogans. Lots of plenty of good examples for her positions. Strong on moving on from Brexit, on anti-Semitism.
The bad answer was to the "why are you the brave choice"? The real answer has nothing to do with identity politics. She's the only candidate who has (for years) been challenging the liberal left over our attitudes towards people with different life-experiences, and that is brave. For the Labour to change course on that will be difficult. But she's understandably concerned to diffuse any danger of this being spun as giving ground to racists, which is why I guess she answered the question that way. Have to remind myself that much of the selectorate don't really know much about her yet (e.g. firm commitment to freedom of movement, career supporting refugees), or how absurd such an interpretation would be. So maybe it makes sense to save the tough stuff for February. Frustrating though.
NEW THREAD
No-one respects or rates her so she’s left purely with the dogmatists.
"Bad weather and light conditions, such as fog, rain, strong wind, or dark nights, can decrease the visibility and the flying height of birds. This may result in more collisions. However, the correlation between the collisions and poor weather and light conditions has not yet been clearly identified because of the difficulty of observing birds in these conditions."