As can be seen from the chart we have a new favourite in the betting for the Democratic nomination. The oldest man in the race, the Socialist senator from Vermont, Bernie Sanders, has now edged above Joe Biden in the betting to become the latest favourite.
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Election could be called Tomorrow or Tuesday.
What did you mean by Flybe are in trouble?
There's fewer people going on holiday in the passed few years.
Bob Dole was ancient, while Romney and Kerry were only just the wrong side of 60. Given both nominees last time around were also North of 60, it's not clear there is any real pattern here.
Most Warren voters will not go to Bloomberg.
Iran and the rising price of oil are a more likely culprit.
Edit: 5th. Forgot BMI.
But it's also worth remembering that Biden benefits most from the departures of Buttigieg, Booker, Klobuchar, Yang, and Steyer.
The moderate side of the race is much more crowded than the socialist side. This gives Sanders an advantage in the early states, but it becomes much harder for him when he (ultimately) finds himself against a single centrist.
Screw them, robbing People for decades.
Fact, not opinion.
Jeez.
This is like Corbyn all over again.
A Trump v Sanders race would be the biggest ideological divide in a US presidential race since Nixon v McGovern in 1972
I'm green on Sanders, but I certainly wouldn't be buying him here.
And Monarch (Charter Airline > Loco) and Thomas Cook (High St Holiday sales vs online) were as much victims of failing business models as anything else.
"I will abolish House of Lords if I become PM, says Rebecca Long-Bailey"
Hmm. What could this be?
I think trump wins, regardless.
Biden may be too old, but he's the best shot at this unless the kid gets some uptick in S Carolina.
The tories don't have the emotional robustness to defend such a move from the Mail Online comments section so it's not going to happen.
https://twitter.com/ChrisLu44/status/1215979385016201216
Probably news of their circulation.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J-iDJj01CvE
Give a reason for your answer..
Long Bailey, should be Long Face, she always looks miserable.
So, the average age of a Presidential nominee in the last fifty years is 60.
The average age of a Presidential candidate facing an incumbent is... 60.
Presidential candidates facing incumbents were: There is no evidence that facing an incumbent leads to (on average) older nominees.
One of those changes which has agreement from plenty on left and right but in practice has been too awkward to manage.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-51086626
So sorry to say she is being dishonest.
She's "got previous":
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/another-tall-tale-from-long-bailey-38ff9bc9j
His path to the Presidency is a lot, lot simpler than Michael Bloomberg's (being, simply, win Iowa and New Hampshire and take the moderate mantle from Biden). I would rate him as a 14-18% chance.
In fact, I would say he's passed Warren in likelihood in the last week, as she's slumped in both Iowa and NH. Although she still looks a bit skinny at 11%.
Bloomberg's only chance is if Sanders wins Iowa and New Hampshire, and every moderate performs poorly. As in, Biden second in both doesn't do it. He needs the moderates to end up with essentially no delegates. It's possible, but unlikely. That's a narrow, narrow path to the nomination.
Fianna Fáil 4/5
Fine Gael EVS
Sinn Féin 50/1
Greens 125/1
Labour 500/1
I've been 'threatened' with that, and I can think of worse fates.
And if she wants to change policy, then while she may be Continuity Corbyn (although the man himself preferred Laura Pidcock as next leader) she is perhaps not Continuity Corbynism.
https://www.newsweek.com/trump-white-house-says-its-snowing-dc-nobody-else-sees-it-1481748
https://twitter.com/pinstripedline/status/1216458478157541376?s=19
BORIS Johnson has sparked a backlash from Tory MPs after it emerged the smallprint of his deal to restore power-sharing in Northern Ireland risks opening up new Troubles probes into thousands of veterans.
The Government’s New Decade, New Approach agreement that persuaded warring Northern Irish parties to restore the Stormont executive for the first time in three years promised to deal address “legacy issues” within 100 days.
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/10723746/boris-johnson-power-share-deal-northern-ireland-veterans/
(aside: is smallprint one word now?)
Hope Sanders doesn't get it.
There are two problems with the Carrier Strike program as currently envisioned (apart from the ridiculous cost):
1. We're only playing with half a golf bag. Even when it's operational the CSG will have no offensive electronic warfare or suppression of enemy air defence capabilities. So you can only use it in permissive theatres where air dominance is established. Against contested air space without a coalition making up the gaps it's not much use.
2. The carriers have completely hollowed out the RN. As the program is highly visible it's too big to fail and has had ever possible technical and engineering resource thrown at it. This has led to the following emerging problems for the rest of the fleet:
- PIP program for T45 running way behind schedule. The first one (Dauntless) has taken nearly 6 years and isn't finished yet. There's another five to do.
- Vanguard refit is also delayed putting massive strain on the other three boats to maintain the at sea deterrent force. Victorious is soon due for refit but will have to keep patrolling in its current dilapidated date. No worries, it's only a nuclear powered boomer with live weapons on board. What could go wrong?
- The 4th Astute boat (Audacious) is two years behind schedule. The seas will be boiled dry by climate change by the time the remaining three are in service.
- T23 LIFEX is behind schedule (seeing a recurrent theme?) with 7 hulls tied up at Devonport.
- Tidespring went into Cammell Laird a year ago for hull inspection and never came out. Presume she's fucked.
- RFA Fort Victoria (vital for CSG) also went into CL for some minor work after refit and there she stays in dry dock 6 months later.
I suspect the politically expedient way out of this mess will be to hold PoW at 'extended readiness' in Pompey. ie forget about it except for stealing parts off it.
The SoS Defence Ben "Swain" Wallace is no friend of the Senior Service and will definitely shaft it if he can get away with it.
There are barely a dozen active escort vessels at the moment, and we can scarcely defend our sea lanes and shipping. And to get anywhere with any form of army we need a navy, because island.
Terrible idea.
Such is the measure of what Corbyn has achieved.
1) Blame failing business model for which you are responsible, or
2) Blame external factor for which you are not responsible (but has somehow, mysteriously not driven your rivals to the wall..)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Queen_Elizabeth-class_aircraft_carrier
“So many people vote and it doesn’t count, and we can’t go on like that - because progressive politics requires people’s votes to actually count. So I would want to look at this. The only caveat I’ve got is that I also genuinely believe that you need a representative in each area who is there to represent the people in that area and to act on their behalf."
https://twitter.com/JournoStephen/status/1216631731920437248?s=20