politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Long-Bailey back as next LAB leader favourite in very edgy betting market
There’s been a lot more movement on the Corbyn’s successor betting market on Betfair as the betdata.io chart with Starmer now losing his lead and Long-Bailey moving again into the top slot in the betting.
Still think they'll pick the most left-wing candidate available.
What idiot thought that was a good idea.
This. One thousand times.
I cannot understand why the only declared candidate (Thornberry) is still only a 3% chance. Surely she's a similar enough prospect to Starmer, only more left (tick), closer to Corbyn (big tick) and more personality (tick, sort of)?
Is suing Flinty really that harmful to one's prospects? If so then Nandy looks great value as the only moderately comparable candidate.
I won't believe that Labour's been staked until its very last MP gets voted out - and somehow I don't see it losing the urban cores, the university towns and the seats with very high BAME votes no matter what happens.
FWIW, I expect Labour will be back in business before too many more years have passed. People will get sick of the Tories - though hopefully not until after Labour has purged its system properly of the Corbyn-Momentum Far Left - and there needs to be an Opposition.
Man City are very easy to lay at that price.
Leicester should be about 5/2 max not 7/2
Actually isn’t it worth backing Villa each way as well? Are they really offering 1/3 1-2?
Is the place book overbroke?
I wouldn't expect to see any first teamer to go in January (our owners have established that now after Mahrez and Maguire) and we may well make a couple of signings. We do have a very busy January though.
City 87% chance of making final
Or am I going mad?
Yeh, these people need better, so learn why you lost. The victims of Jezza's vanity and left wing fantasy are the poorest and the most deserving.
I think Man United have the toughest League games over the holidays, so would favour the blue side of Manchester for the final.
I cannot see value in the prices on RLB, Starmer and Nandy. They are too short and all are charisma vacuums.
Although, personally I think they'll give in eventually.
Even, Gerry Adams will NEVER be British Prime Minister.
With no internet connection.
Like much of the welfare state, the vulnerable get screwed and the chancers get away with it. Basically because the vulnerable chronic sick are not very good at working the system.
Now its one-supporter-one-vote and it doesn't matter if that supporter is a member or not. The supporters make up 100% through all sorts of means . . . members don't.
I'm still a little unclear how the registered supporter system works - AIUI, last time they changed the rules mid-contest to make them pay more than just the initial £3 to get voting rights. I believe the final rules for this contest are still TBD.
For the Scottish nationalists, the nightmarish scenario would be that Brexit kills not only corbynism but also their dream of independence, by making the rupture much harder and much more disturbing from an economic point of view, than what the voters could endure. This is all the more so because in the context of its application for membership as a dissident state, Scotland risks coming up against the Spanish veto (which will be a signal sent by Spain to Catalonia); it also risks having to commit to joining a very unpopular euro. Nationalist promises of an open border, easy membership of the EU and the maintenance of the pound sterling - or even the holding of another referendum - risk in the future being presented as unrealistic chimeras.
The defence I see as plausible is that impeachment is supposed to be for Treason and for High Crimes and Misdemeanours. And whatever you might think of the Ukraine call, it does not reach that bar.
Of course he's done a lot of other stuff since, some of it at the DPP not quite so glorious...
It was in the Times.
Good stuff it s been my favourite paper for a while.