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  • malcolmg said:

    Morning G, He is the type that give the Tories such a bad name.
    We are in the same party but are very different, HYUFD is on the right, I am on the left of the party
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,151

    It's been like that up to a point for a long time. There's a little estate in Broxtowe where people are really seriously poor. Lots of single parents, some elderly people down on their luck, some drug-dealers, nothing much to do. Most people living there are better off under Labour governments, but by and large they don't vote - life is rough, politics is for other people. What's changing is that a proportion of them voted Brexit and have now moved on to voting Tory.

    It's a problem for the left that the people we think we're about helping are mostly disengaged. Just as in the US the Democrats look for votes from schoolteachers more thantrailer parks, in Britain Labour has rarely done much to try to mobilise the very poor, simply because it's so difficult - I often puzzled over it, and tried many times to interest that estate, but they were perfectly politely just not interested. At election time, it was always more promising to canvass an area with more people in work and getting something out of life.

    I'm not proud of it, and one can argue that if the Tories win desperate Northern seats we had it coming. But I don't think they'll be happy with a Tory government either. A grim life is a grim life, and the differences that we all make are on the margins.
    It would be interesting (from an election anorak point of view) to be in Australia on election day in a similar sort of place and watching almost everyone going to vote under their compulsory voting system.
  • You saying Marr is not a serious interview?
    Id put facing him as about average. Maybe harder than Richard and Judy, much easier than Neill, Paxman, Ridge, Boulton, Burley or Sackur.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,583
    edited December 2019
    malcolmg said:

    Morning G, He is the type that give the Tories such a bad name.
    If I am annoying you Malc G I know I am doing something right
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,967
    Sandpit said:

    On topic, great piece @Cyclefree. While I disagree with Ken Clarke on the subject of the EU, I agree wholeheartedly with pretty much everything else he’s ever said.

    (Nice photo BTW).

    Doesn't that make you stop and think? ;)
  • malcolmg said:

    That is just puerile bollox, WTF does "recognise" mean. You halfwit , I bet the 14M give more to charity than the 6 tossers.
    Acknowledge the existence and validity of.
  • Yep.
    That's why I don't have a postal vote. On at least two occasions I have made my decision on the day (1992 GE and EURef). I think we should have early voting in person like in some American states
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,953

    That is pure bias. Marr has been widely condemned for his interview and I wanted Boris put under pressure but not by a hysterical interviewer

    I would just like to put on record that I have great reservations about Boris and in common with the vast majority I wish the choice was not between Boris or Corbyn

    Corbyn is the reason I support Boris and the only reason. It is greater than Brexit for me

    I hope if Boris wins he introduces more liberal policies and depending on his majority agrees a sensible FTA and the country moves the dial past 24 x 7 Brexit controversies and Corbyn is consigned to history
    Corbyn is awful. Boris is awful. Only Boris can win a majority and put in place his plan to devastate the economy via no deal. Corbyn never will have the numbers to turn us into a Russian satellite state.
  • malcolmg said:

    That is just puerile bollox, WTF does "recognise" mean. You halfwit , I bet the 14M give more to charity than the 6 tossers.
    You know Maic, in years gone by I used to organise a xmas float going round town and it is a fact that in the council estates the families emptied their pockets into the collecting tins and in the wealthy areas most hid behind their curtains. It was the ordinary folk who could least afford it who gave the most
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,239

    Id put facing him as about average. Maybe harder than Richard and Judy, much easier than Neill, Paxman, Ridge, Boulton, Burley or Sackur.
    Richard can be quite the terrier though. He won't let go of a point....
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Dura_Ace said:

    The "vegan" interior was a £3k option on my Taycan. Porsche know which way the wind is blowing.
    You bought a Taycan, and paid extra to *not* have one of the best leather interiors this side of a Rolls Royce?
    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=0vq6KEOIiMg
  • HYUFD said:

    If I am annoying you Malc G I know I am doing something right
    You are not annoying me HYUFD but I have a much more compassionate attitude to helping the poor than you seem to
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,994

    You know Maic, in years gone by I used to organise a xmas float going round town and it is a fact that in the council estates the families emptied their pockets into the collecting tins and in the wealthy areas most hid behind their curtains. It was the ordinary folk who could least afford it who gave the most
    The widows mite....
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Silly sloganeering. If you have finite assets, to allocate more to those with less you necessarily have to take from those with more. There's local pockets across which that is not necessarily true, and special rules might temporarily apply to pretendy assets like money, but overall it cannot not be the case.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,794
    #voted
  • CD13CD13 Posts: 6,376
    edited December 2019
    Ms Cyclefree,

    An interesting take, and I'd agree he comes across as an avuncular uncle-figure, but there was one telling sentence … "It was notable that Clarke admitted that his generation of politicians had been perhaps too smug and confident about what they were doing and had not noticed what was happening under their noses."

    I may have missed it, but there was no mention of listening to the voters, only of convincing them. Politicians are convinced they are right, which makes them impervious to learning from mistakes. Even facts don't matter if they conflict with their world view.

    It's a pity the media prefers partisan voices, and worse, angry ones. The other side is evil because they disagree. I think Corbyn means well at heart - he can't help being barmy. Scientist can be biased and often are, but their mistakes eventually come back to embarrass them.

    Politicians never admit mistakes. If Brexit sees our economy race along, compared to the EU, Remainers will still claim it is lower than it would have been. If Jezza becomes PM and we turn into Venezuela, it will be the fault of the Tories, or the gnomes of Zurich, or Farmer Jones, or more likely, the USA. When you are perfect, you never make mistakes, do you?

    With education has come cynicism and MPs have yet to catch up.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    IanB2 said:

    Doesn't that make you stop and think? ;)
    LOL nope.
    Even the greatest politicians of their generation are allowed the occasional blind spot in their thinking.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,272
    Dura_Ace said:

    The "vegan" interior was a £3k option on my Taycan. Porsche know which way the wind is blowing.
    Conspicuous consumption Dura_Ace? I`m surprised at you. You winding us up?
  • eekeek Posts: 29,544

    You know Maic, in years gone by I used to organise a xmas float going round town and it is a fact that in the council estates the families emptied their pockets into the collecting tins and in the wealthy areas most hid behind their curtains. It was the ordinary folk who could least afford it who gave the most
    My wife was talking about a school in the Dales last night. As an aside for those that don't know as it's essential to the story - school trips for an educational purpose can not request payment just ask for donations.

    The trip is currently £400 short as all the poorer parents have paid but those with the fancier cars haven't. Let's just say it's not gone down well in the local villages.

    Now this trip will go ahead but with that shortfall it will be the last one.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,151
    edited December 2019
    There was a time when Ken Clarke was strongly disliked by anyone who wasn't a Conservative, particularly when he was a cigar-smoking Health Secretary at a time when there was a big campaign to get people to stop smoking. He was also criticised for being overweight at that time as well IIRC.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,009

    We are in the same party but are very different, HYUFD is on the right, I am on the left of the party
    He makes Attila the Hun look like a leftie, very sad. He better hope he does not hit a bump in life I doubt he could cope, one day he will realise that having money and despising the poor is not all life is about.
  • HYUFD said:

    Dear Ashfield, Grimsby, West Bromwich, Stoke plebs,

    I know in your ignorance you have already voted for Brexit please do not compound the problem by giving Boris Johnson a majority. Instead please vote for your left liberal woke candidate we approve of and go back to voting Labour like you usually do and then we can conveniently ignore you for the rest of the Parliament.

    Yours sincerely,

    Hugh Grant and other luvvies,

    Islington, Hampstead etc
    It clearly makes them feel better, if nothing else.
  • I see Tory Majority on Betfair has moved in a fair bit overnight (And you now need proper money going in to move it).
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,794
    eek said:

    My wife was talking about a school in the Dales last night. As an aside for those that don't know as it's essential to the story - school trips for an educational purpose can not request payment just ask for donations.

    The trip is currently £400 short as all the poorer parents have paid but those with the fancier cars haven't. Let's just say it's not gone down well in the local villages.

    Now this trip will go ahead but with that shortfall it will be the last one.
    Just don't take the kids who's parents refused to pay?
  • IshmaelZ said:

    Silly sloganeering. If you have finite assets, to allocate more to those with less you necessarily have to take from those with more. There's local pockets across which that is not necessarily true, and special rules might temporarily apply to pretendy assets like money, but overall it cannot not be the case.

    'if you have finite assets' is the key. The point is if those with more generate more assets themselves, then cutting them down cuts everyone down.
  • eek said:

    My wife was talking about a school in the Dales last night. As an aside for those that don't know as it's essential to the story - school trips for an educational purpose can not request payment just ask for donations.

    The trip is currently £400 short as all the poorer parents have paid but those with the fancier cars haven't. Let's just say it's not gone down well in the local villages.

    Now this trip will go ahead but with that shortfall it will be the last one.
    As chairman of the PTA, years ago I should say, it was just the same
  • DavidL said:

    Makes Perth and north Perthshire look interesting.
    Top tip: look at leader ratings rather than VI.

    Hat-tip: OGH

    Sturgeon: positive
    Swinson: negative
    Rennie: v negative
    Leonard: v negative
    SCon leader: none
    Johnson: extraordinarily negative
    Corbyn: extraordinarily negative
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,009
    IshmaelZ said:

    Silly sloganeering. If you have finite assets, to allocate more to those with less you necessarily have to take from those with more. There's local pockets across which that is not necessarily true, and special rules might temporarily apply to pretendy assets like money, but overall it cannot not be the case.

    They seem to manage a more balanced society in the Nordic countries. Their rich people appear to be happy being just wealthy rather than wanting to have it all and have everybody else poor. The UK is a sh**hole.
  • That's why I don't have a postal vote. On at least two occasions I have made my decision on the day (1992 GE and EURef). I think we should have early voting in person like in some American states
    I doubt it affects the result very much.

    I agree with those who’ve said that early postal voters are usually the most committed core voters.

    Those who are undecided wait until the day itself, and even agitate over the decision then.
  • malcolmg said:

    He makes Attila the Hun look like a leftie, very sad. He better hope he does not hit a bump in life I doubt he could cope, one day he will realise that having money and despising the poor is not all life is about.
    Indeed
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,009
    HYUFD said:

    If I am annoying you Malc G I know I am doing something right
    You are a sad individual, devoid of any milk of human kindness, I pity you.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    Richard can be quite the terrier though. He won't let go of a point....
    That’s fair, he’s very good at the unexpectedly difficult question and knows a crap politician’s non-answer when he hears it - I believe he was a serious journalist in a previous life. See also Emma Barnett for a similar style.
    Neither are of the calibre of Andrew Neil or Stephen Sackur though.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    'if you have finite assets' is the key. The point is if those with more generate more assets themselves, then cutting them down cuts everyone down.
    As I said, generating more assets only happens in limited space/time environments.

    And I'd be interested to see what percentage of billionaires really generate assets anyway. Mobutu, Epstein, oligarchs? Whereas your sole poster boy is probably a pedlar of overpriced and inferior Henry substitutes.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,544

    As chairman of the PTA, years ago I should say, it was just the same
    As a school Governor it was the same. One person was so bad I joked that if he paid enough I would say it was sponsored by his company. As it was a tax deductible item he did actually pay for an entire trip (which allowed us to write what was previously owed off).
  • MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688
    It's well worth watching this brief Michael Crick report on Claire Wright in East Devon. Apart from anything else, it indicates how savvy people are now on Tactical Voting. This will be one of THE stories of this election.

    https://www.mailplus.co.uk/tv/the-michael-crick-report/781/our-man-visits-tory-held-exmouth-to-assess-the-threat-of-the-independents
  • Nigelb said:

    Current global meat production is undoubtedly bad for the planet.
    Without greatly reducing consumption, non-intensively farmed grass fed ruminants would not get anywhere near supplying current demand. At the moment, it’s increasing.
    It’s far more complex than that, and really orientated around all 10 billion people in the world moving to a very similar (western skewed) diet.

    Instead, we should take far greater interest in the vernacular. For example, here in the UK, moderate amounts of grass-fed lamb and beef from Welsh and Scottish uplands, and the English north, isn’t really a problem whereas we should probably be flying in a few less daily planeloads of avocados and creating pressure in Malaysia and Brazil to clear rainforest for soy.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,151

    It's well worth watching this brief Michael Crick report on Claire Wright in East Devon. Apart from anything else, it indicates how savvy people are now on Tactical Voting. This will be one of THE stories of this election.

    https://www.mailplus.co.uk/tv/the-michael-crick-report/781/our-man-visits-tory-held-exmouth-to-assess-the-threat-of-the-independents

    Thanks, interesting video. The other Michael Crick election videos are also informative.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,994

    It's well worth watching this brief Michael Crick report on Claire Wright in East Devon. Apart from anything else, it indicates how savvy people are now on Tactical Voting. This will be one of THE stories of this election.

    https://www.mailplus.co.uk/tv/the-michael-crick-report/781/our-man-visits-tory-held-exmouth-to-assess-the-threat-of-the-independents

    I expect others are equally savvy in voting to keep Corbyn out.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,233
    Sandpit said:

    You bought a Taycan, and paid extra to *not* have one of the best leather interiors this side of a Rolls Royce?
    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=0vq6KEOIiMg
    Optioning Porsches to maximise their residual value is a fine art; it's very easy to over or under option them. The vegan interior ones are going to command a premium just for the novelty value - see also getting the "Mission E" wheels. I also object to hooning around in an inside out cow on ethical grounds.

    Nobody in the UK has been banned for speeding in an electric vehicle yet. Challenge accepted. 🕶️
  • It's well worth watching this brief Michael Crick report on Claire Wright in East Devon. Apart from anything else, it indicates how savvy people are now on Tactical Voting. This will be one of THE stories of this election.

    https://www.mailplus.co.uk/tv/the-michael-crick-report/781/our-man-visits-tory-held-exmouth-to-assess-the-threat-of-the-independents

    There was a discussion on 5 live this morning and a polling expert put it at 9% of the total vote
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,994
    eek said:

    As a school Governor it was the same. One person was so bad I joked that if he paid enough I would say it was sponsored by his company. As it was a tax deductible item he did actually pay for an entire trip (which allowed us to write what was previously owed off).
    I contribute to several charities but I make sure the charity gets the relevant tax relief by giving standing order, I rarely give anything to chuggers.(poppy collection excepted)

    Giving to a roadside collection is no indication of someone's charitable kindness.
  • rcs1000 said:

    The core principle, of ever closer union, was there from the start. Remember Hugh Gaitskell?
    The government pamphlet for the referendum didn't mention ever closer union
    http://www.harvard-digital.co.uk/euro/pamphlet.htm
  • As chairman of the PTA, years ago I should say, it was just the same
    That's why the rich need to be taxed, you'd never get them to part with their filthy lucre otherwise.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,314
    TimT said:

    @ RobD Thanks for the graphs you post. It struck me that a useful additional layer of analysis, rather than just looking at the voting intentions and the gap, might be a chart of the rate of Labour's closing the gap, 2017 vs now.
    @TimT - not sure what you mean by this. You want the derivative of the lead curve? :D
  • Why politicians may be in for more surprises on the EU:

    https://twitter.com/chrbennike/status/1201835499318587393?s=20
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,935
    edited December 2019

    'if you have finite assets' is the key. The point is if those with more generate more assets themselves, then cutting them down cuts everyone down.
    This sounds rather reminiscent of an inversion of the trickle-down theory. This model of understanding has not worked, as US and UK social and economic data show since the 1980s compared to Germany and Scandinavia.
  • MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688
    Andy_JS said:

    Thanks, interesting video. The other Michael Crick election videos are also informative.
    They are.

    It's getting wearisome the way in which some Tories on here are just jumping on anything and everything without first engaging their brains. It's disappointing for a site like this at which the standards are normally high.

    I'm sure it will revert later this month.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,583
    malcolmg said:

    He makes Attila the Hun look like a leftie, very sad. He better hope he does not hit a bump in life I doubt he could cope, one day he will realise that having money and despising the poor is not all life is about.
    I don't despise the poor I want to make them richer, socialists love poverty as poorer welfare dependent voters vote Labour
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,314

    Why politicians may be in for more surprises on the EU:

    https://twitter.com/chrbennike/status/1201835499318587393?s=20

    Official EU survey overestimates support for the EU? I'm shocked.
  • CD13 said:

    Ms Cyclefree,

    An interesting take, and I'd agree he comes across as an avuncular uncle-figure, but there was one telling sentence … "It was notable that Clarke admitted that his generation of politicians had been perhaps too smug and confident about what they were doing and had not noticed what was happening under their noses."

    I may have missed it, but there was no mention of listening to the voters, only of convincing them. Politicians are convinced they are right, which makes them impervious to learning from mistakes. Even facts don't matter if they conflict with their world view.

    It's a pity the media prefers partisan voices, and worse, angry ones. The other side is evil because they disagree. I think Corbyn means well at heart - he can't help being barmy. Scientist can be biased and often are, but their mistakes eventually come back to embarrass them.

    Politicians never admit mistakes. If Brexit sees our economy race along, compared to the EU, Remainers will still claim it is lower than it would have been. If Jezza becomes PM and we turn into Venezuela, it will be the fault of the Tories, or the gnomes of Zurich, or Farmer Jones, or more likely, the USA. When you are perfect, you never make mistakes, do you?

    With education has come cynicism and MPs have yet to catch up.

    The problem with listening to voters is that we want better services and less taxation, we want localisation but no postcode lottery, sometimes we have to be led and convinced about what is practical not just desirable.
    Johnson has gone for the listening approach, managing by opinion poll and promising what people want to hear. We shall see if it is successful but I think it will be a disaster.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,544
    edited December 2019

    I contribute to several charities but I make sure the charity gets the relevant tax relief by giving standing order, I rarely give anything to chuggers.(poppy collection excepted)

    Giving to a roadside collection is no indication of someone's charitable kindness.
    Read what I wrote again - he wasn't willing to pay for school trips out of his money (and was willing to let other children miss out because of his stinginess),. Yet once I found a way to allow it to come from his company's marketing budget he was happy to pay.

    Charity collection is another matter entirely. If a charity uses Chuggers or door to door salesman - that's the last time they see a penny from me.
  • malcolmg said:

    You are a sad individual, devoid of any milk of human kindness, I pity you.
    That's rich coming from a Nat.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,048
    edited December 2019
    HYUFD said:

    I don't despise the poor I want to make them richer, socialists love poverty as poorer welfare dependent voters vote Labour
    It is moving to the employed voting Labour and those on state benefits and social security voting Tory.
  • HYUFD said:

    I don't despise the poor I want to make them richer, socialists love poverty as poorer welfare dependent voters vote Labour
    If you actually think that I honestly feel sorry for you. I have never met a socialist who has anything other than a burning desire to end the scourge of poverty once and for all.
  • It is moving to the employed voting Labour and those on state benefits and social security voting Tory.
    Only in Britain's Berlusconian media-politics wonderland, and in Trump's America, could this happen, as William Davies writes well today.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,314

    If you actually think that I honestly feel sorry for you. I have never met a socialist who has anything other than a burning desire to end the scourge of poverty once and for all.
    Seems interesting that Labour's policies are so focused on the middle class rather than people in poverty.
  • alb1onalb1on Posts: 698
    Charles said:

    vote Lib Dem and you too can marry Donald Trump?
    Vote Tory and you will think you have.
  • BurgessianBurgessian Posts: 2,951
    malcolmg said:

    Went well for the sub regional London Party manager's last night. Three of them screaming at her and absolutely trounced.
    https://www.heraldscotland.com/news/18077579.online-poll-think-won-stv-leaders-debate/?ref=twtrec

    PS: Cheek to call them party leaders when they are just region office managers of London parties, none of them exist as real political Scottish parties , they just steal the "Scottish" to pretend they have any Scottish content.

    Actually Nicola, who has done well in the UK debates, got gubbed in the Scottish version last night as the Scottish leaders know all about her domestic record. Having said that no-one will have watched it.
    Report here: https://www.pressandjournal.co.uk/fp/news/politics/1904632/stv-debate-analysis-less-than-comfortable-experience-for-sturgeon-as-she-battles-scottish-rivals/
  • Betfair moving in again, that's now 10 points in a day. Have we missed a new poll or has somebody seen the YouGov MRP early?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    HYUFD said:

    I don't despise the poor I want to make them richer, socialists love poverty as poorer welfare dependent voters vote Labour
    Hence Tax Credits, where the majority of the population have to pay taxes then fill in forms to be allowed to get some of it back again. Far better to just reduce the tax rate in the first place.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,314

    Betfair moving in again, that's now 10 points in a day. Have we missed a new poll or has somebody seen the YouGov MRP early?

    Which way? :o
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,583

    If you actually think that I honestly feel sorry for you. I have never met a socialist who has anything other than a burning desire to end the scourge of poverty once and for all.
    8% unemployment in 2010, 4% now, wages also going up.

    Labour's record speaks for itself
  • CD13CD13 Posts: 6,376
    Mr Above,

    "The problem with listening to voters is that we want better services and less taxation, "

    They do, but they are far more sensible then you imagine. They realise it has to be practicable. They also have biases, like politicians, and dislike being taken for fools. When politicians talk about communication with voters, they mean explaining why they are wrong. They may listen but they have no intention of hearing.
  • RobD said:

    Seems interesting that Labour's policies are so focused on the middle class rather than people in poverty.
    Except they're not.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,583

    It is moving to the employed voting Labour and those on state benefits and social security voting Tory.
    No most private sector workers and those with private pensions and owner occupiers vote Tory, most on benefits and welfare dependent and most public sector workers vote Labour
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,314

    Except they're not.
    All the high-profile ones are!
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,151
    Con maj has moved from 1.45 to 1.43 in just the last few minutes.

    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.136297311
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,583
    Sandpit said:

    Hence Tax Credits, where the majority of the population have to pay taxes then fill in forms to be allowed to get some of it back again. Far better to just reduce the tax rate in the first place.
    Exactly
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,151

    Betfair moving in again, that's now 10 points in a day. Have we missed a new poll or has somebody seen the YouGov MRP early?

    It's probably the fact that Labour are running out of time to close the gap. The Tories are still 10% to 11% ahead in most of the polling averages.
  • Sun leader writer now on Sky. A real working class girl?
    But I'm sure she can be relied on to tell readers what to think.
  • CD13 said:

    Mr Above,

    "The problem with listening to voters is that we want better services and less taxation, "

    They do, but they are far more sensible then you imagine. They realise it has to be practicable. They also have biases, like politicians, and dislike being taken for fools. When politicians talk about communication with voters, they mean explaining why they are wrong. They may listen but they have no intention of hearing.

    Voters arent sensible. Look at who we have chosen, our leaders on all sides are getting progressively worse. The changes we wanted, like electing party leaders one person one vote, rather than by those who know and work with them, have their career prospects in the hands of their leader, are all part of the journey we have been on making our politics and our country worse.
    I would much prefer leaders willing to lead and argue than politicians trying to please the crowd.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,314
    I think we might expect a ComRes poll tonight, if they are on a weekly schedule with the Telegraph. I thought MRP wasn't out until before the election?
  • eekeek Posts: 29,544
    Sandpit said:


    Hence Tax Credits, where the majority of the population have to pay taxes then fill in forms to be allowed to get some of it back again. Far better to just reduce the tax rate in the first place.

    Not really, you can't ask companies to collect detailed information about living (and caring) commitments to determine the amount of tax to be paid.

    The only way around it would be to move towards a different tax system where income tax and NI was paid by the employee rather than deducted by the employer. As that approach is common in the EU I really can't see it being implemented by the Tories and HMRC like the way money is paid at the moment.
  • Loving this piece! Thank you Cyclefree.
  • Labour must be green with envy seeing Boris getting all the media coverage this morning meeting and welcoming world leaders
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,151
    "Over half of English people gambled last year, survey finds
    Annual health report also found that millions are overweight and drink too much"

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2019/dec/04/over-half-of-english-people-gambled-last-year-survey-finds
  • timmotimmo Posts: 1,469
    Andy_JS said:

    Con maj has moved from 1.45 to 1.43 in just the last few minutes.

    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.136297311

    Still not down to the 1.39 it was a week ago
  • ByronicByronic Posts: 3,578
    RobD said:

    Which way? :o
    Something is definitely happening. The £ has shot up. Maybe a rumour?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Dura_Ace said:

    Optioning Porsches to maximise their residual value is a fine art; it's very easy to over or under option them. The vegan interior ones are going to command a premium just for the novelty value - see also getting the "Mission E" wheels. I also object to hooning around in an inside out cow on ethical grounds.

    Nobody in the UK has been banned for speeding in an electric vehicle yet. Challenge accepted. 🕶️
    Ha, that true, at the top level the options can make or break a car when it comes to selling it on. Ask all the Dubai dealers who ordered new Phantoms without the £30k Starlight roof option and ended up running them through auctions. Also to those who bought the late 2000s supercars with manual ‘boxes, which are now worth double the price of the crappy automatics that 90% of the new buyers went with at the time.

    Glad to see you got your licence back, good luck trying to keep it with the Taycan :)

    Anyways, this isn’t Pistonheads, back to politics!
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,131
    edited December 2019
    Andy_JS said:

    Con maj has moved from 1.45 to 1.43 in just the last few minutes.

    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.136297311

    Now 1.41....And remember it now takes proper money to shift it.
  • Betfair moving in again, that's now 10 points in a day. Have we missed a new poll or has somebody seen the YouGov MRP early?

    It should move in everyday unless there is a new poll telling us differently. If nothing changes the default is a tightening of the tory majority price.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,219
    Sandpit said:

    LOL nope.
    Even the greatest politicians of their generation are allowed the occasional blind spot in their thinking.
    The man who brought the Internal Market and GP Fundholding o the NHS...

    He came to talk to us at school once. Yes, very, very slippery under questioning.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,151

    Now 1.41....And remember it now takes proper money to shift it.
    Do large companies bet using Betfair Exchange? Never considered the idea before.
  • Andy_JS said:

    Con maj has moved from 1.45 to 1.43 in just the last few minutes.

    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.136297311

    Thats fallen a fair bit in the last few days from 1.5+ hasn't it. Realisation that the 2017 pattern isn't being followed?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    eek said:

    Not really, you can't ask companies to collect detailed information about living (and caring) commitments to determine the amount of tax to be paid.

    The only way around it would be to move towards a different tax system where income tax and NI was paid by the employee rather than deducted by the employer. As that approach is common in the EU I really can't see it being implemented by the Tories and HMRC like the way money is paid at the moment.
    I’d love to see a system where people have to pay their own taxes. Most people in the US have to write a cheque for the taxman every year, that should focus the mind somewhat towards what government does with the money.
    Employer NI needs to be scrapped, it’s quite literally a tax on jobs.
  • ByronicByronic Posts: 3,578
    Andy_JS said:

    It's probably the fact that Labour are running out of time to close the gap. The Tories are still 10% to 11% ahead in most of the polling averages.
    That doesn’t explain why the £ jumped significantly, against all currencies, at precisely 7.50 this morning

    Has to be a rumour of a poll.
  • 1.4 now.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,219
    Andy_JS said:

    Do large companies bet using Betfair Exchange? Never considered the idea before.
    I thought the betting companies used it routinely for mitigating their positions.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,314
    9.8 million USD has been traded on the betfair exchange for the election! :o
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,225
    edited December 2019
    MattW said:

    The man who brought the Internal Market and GP Fundholding o the NHS...

    He came to talk to us at school once. Yes, very, very slippery under questioning.
    Didn't he claim (I don't know whether that was truthful) that he did that as a compromise to prevent Thatcher introducing real privatisation?

    On topic, I don't think Clarke is a saint and I don't agree with all his views, but he is the sort of grown up politician that the past seemed to contain in greater number in positions of power and influence. You could have him in a TV debate and actually learn something and maybe change your mind. Maybe I'm looking at the past through rose tinted specs, but I don't think he was particularly outstanding in his cohort, but beats most of the front benches of either main party now (there were still plenty of good people on the backbenches in the last parliament).
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,131
    edited December 2019

    Thats fallen a fair bit in the last few days from 1.5+ hasn't it. Realisation that the 2017 pattern isn't being followed?
    Strangely we got the Sunday polls that weren't bad for the Tories and it drifted out to 1.54, we got new ones that were decent for Tories Monday a little movement in, but much increased liquidity. Now proper movement.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,095
    Byronic said:

    Something is definitely happening. The £ has shot up. Maybe a rumour?
    Land of hope and Tories
  • Anyone have a suggestion as to why Con Majority seems to be rising fast in the bookies odds today?
  • Dura_Ace said:

    Optioning Porsches to maximise their residual value is a fine art; it's very easy to over or under option them. The vegan interior ones are going to command a premium just for the novelty value - see also getting the "Mission E" wheels. I also object to hooning around in an inside out cow on ethical grounds.

    Nobody in the UK has been banned for speeding in an electric vehicle yet. Challenge accepted. 🕶️
    Vegan is in the OED as a synonym for “twat”.
  • HYUFD said:

    No most private sector workers and those with private pensions and owner occupiers vote Tory, most on benefits and welfare dependent and most public sector workers vote Labour
    I know you like your polls so ICM with the Tories leading 42-32 has:

    Full time: Tory 33 Labour 30
    Part time: Tory 27 Labour 33
    Which makes combined working: Tory 31 Labour 31

    It is retired (50:15) which gives Tories the big lead. Over 55% of social security goes to pensioners. The Tories are the party of state handouts for votes.

    https://www.icmunlimited.com/our-work/icm-voting-intentions-poll-general-election-2019-3/
This discussion has been closed.