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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » What can we expect from the planned Brexit inquiry

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  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    edited March 2019

    That's not good.

    But it brings up another point: she was a barrister. Why are there so many incredibly poor-quality lawyers and barristers in parliament?
    Those who can do and those who can't teach run for Parliament.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,385
    AndyJS said:

    Watching Channel 4 News, Alistair Burt looks pretty young for someone who was first elected to Parliament in 1983.

    He does. He might be the youngest such MP, as all those who have continuously served since 1983 are older (as are all but one of the MPs who have served continuously since 1987). So it depends if any other youngsters were elected back then who have since re-entered.

    Interestingly, there are more MPs elected first in 1983 who are still around than those first elected in 1987.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,690

    Except Dylan was good before and good afterwards.
    After Johnson's Moses comment, perhaps this is more like Dylan finding religion.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,827
    dr_spyn said:

    Perhaps more tweets from his past feed were about to be made public?

    https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/1110616467618304003

    He'll be back for Jezza's second term and the house and land grabs as well as asset freezes over £1m! :D
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    I've updated the London signatures spreadsheet. The total is now 1,106,322.

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1x3eiUQFPhSbuCZEBgS_jec4d-M5xcPd48e44rs707fQ/edit#gid=0
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    kle4 said:

    He does. He might be the youngest such MP, as all those who have continuously served since 1983 are older (as are all but one of the MPs who have served continuously since 1987). So it depends if any other youngsters were elected back then who have since re-entered.

    Interestingly, there are more MPs elected first in 1983 who are still around than those first elected in 1987.
    I imagine that was true in 1989 too. I believe more were first elected in 1983 than 1987 full stop.
  • ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201
    AndyJS said:

    I've updated the London signatures spreadsheet. The total is now 1,106,322.

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1x3eiUQFPhSbuCZEBgS_jec4d-M5xcPd48e44rs707fQ/edit#gid=0

    Do we actually know that where the location tracking system logs them is actually the constituency where they vote? I assume it is based on IP address, so if they do it at work then that would be the location and if by mobile then the tower where the data is being sent/received.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    kle4 said:

    He does. He might be the youngest such MP, as all those who have continuously served since 1983 are older (as are all but one of the MPs who have served continuously since 1987). So it depends if any other youngsters were elected back then who have since re-entered.

    Interestingly, there are more MPs elected first in 1983 who are still around than those first elected in 1987.
    Interesting. Alistair Burt was responsible for removing Labour MP Frank White from the Commons in Bury North in 1938. White had performed a miracle in 1979 by holding the Bury & Radcliffe seat by 38 votes when defending a majority from 1974 of just 442.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,221

    Well, until we see where it all goes I'm on to a loser. I maintain trump has less to worry about than many many other senior figures of the last administration
    So, we're on to "whataboutery" now?
  • glwglw Posts: 10,347

    Well, until we see where it all goes I'm on to a loser. I maintain trump has less to worry about than many many other senior figures of the last administration

    FWIW I'm no Clinton fan, she got off extremely lightly for what she was doing with her communications, which came to light because she wasn't complying with the Federal Records Act and a complaint was lodged which led to the discovery of Clinton's private email server.

    If a junior member of a government department was, 1. not maintaing records, 2. conducting work through a private server, and 3. discussing classified matters on that service, they would almost certainly get the book thrown at them. People like Clinton, Trump, and many before them don't seem to have to follow the same rules that they expect the mere mortals working in government to follow.
  • mattmatt Posts: 3,789
    brendan16 said:

    Boris is doing a 'Boris live' event at Westminster central hall tonight - Charles Moore is interviewing him. It started an hour ago - tickets cost £75 for non Telegraph subscribers.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/events/event/boris-on-brexit-live/

    Boris is listed on the booking page as 'Telegraph talent'.
    A description that is accurate and yet, on balance, absolutely misleading.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Do we actually know that where the location tracking system logs them is actually the constituency where they vote? I assume it is based on IP address, so if they do it at work then that would be the location and if by mobile then the tower where the data is being sent/received.
    Isn't it based on the constituency they [claim they] are from?
  • rural_voterrural_voter Posts: 2,038

    So let's imagine that he did something other than what he did, either coming out openly in favour of Leave, or alternatively swinging the Labour leadership fully behind those seeking to alter the verdict of the referendum.

    In either case, we would probably be where we are now in terms of the political process, with May still flogging her dead horse of a non-Deal to a parliament of Remainers willing to have none of it as the Conservative Party falls apart. So if that were to lead to a GE it is hardly the case that he has played a blinder, because to do so he would have to lay claim to having influenced that outcome.

    Also, if we are to end up with a GE, Labour seems to be doing everything in its power to give the Conservatives a chance of still prevailing. Labour is still behind in nearly all polls at a time when the PM's plummeting favourability ratings look good only by being outstripped by those of Corbyn.
    On February's polls Electoralcalculus predicts a Tory majority of 8. Even using the March polls, he'd struggle to get anything more decisive than a C&S deal with the SNP and L.Dems. If they have any bottle, they'll force PR on him.

    I don't think anyone need fear anything. But SWP/Militant/CPGB(ML) may be gutted when the people don't vote en masse for the dictatorship of the proletariat.

    The petition's still getting 100-150 signatures per minute = ~150,000/day so it may reach 6-6.5 million = 10% of the population (15% of voters?) Not bad, given that no-one gets a polling card telling them to go and vote.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,262
    NEW THREAD comrades
  • mattmatt Posts: 3,789

    That's not good.

    But it brings up another point: she was a barrister. Why are there so many incredibly poor-quality lawyers and barristers in parliament?
    Because good lawyers can make a great deal more money and perhaps actually change more things by remaining in private practice?
  • ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201

    Isn't it based on the constituency they [claim they] are from?
    You can tell I have not put my name to it if that is the case.
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    rcs1000 said:

    So, we're on to "whataboutery" now?
    Where the hell do you get that from? I'm just saying who i think is more likely to be in hot water. I'm out though, I can't 'win' the argument unless and until the situation changes.
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    glw said:

    FWIW I'm no Clinton fan, she got off extremely lightly for what she was doing with her communications, which came to light because she wasn't complying with the Federal Records Act and a complaint was lodged which led to the discovery of Clinton's private email server.

    If a junior member of a government department was, 1. not maintaing records, 2. conducting work through a private server, and 3. discussing classified matters on that service, they would almost certainly get the book thrown at them. People like Clinton, Trump, and many before them don't seem to have to follow the same rules that they expect the mere mortals working in government to follow.
    She was lucky to have Comey as FBI director at the time for sure
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,057

    Which Labour position was he misrepresenting? A book on Labour's varying positions on Brexit would be akin to the Kama Sutra, without the sexiness but with the beards (as long as they're not Jewish beards)
    I was there for Watson's speech. He said "I would vote for Mrs May's deal", -pause-, -boos-, "if there was a people's vote to confirm it" -loud cheers. He wasn't booed personally - it was Mrs May's deal that was booed.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,505

    NEW THREAD

  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    Do we actually know that where the location tracking system logs them is actually the constituency where they vote? I assume it is based on IP address, so if they do it at work then that would be the location and if by mobile then the tower where the data is being sent/received.
    You have to enter your postcode when signing the petition.
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    Charles said:

    Why should the Cabinet Secretary resign?

    (a) for accurately reflecting a discussion in the minutes?

    (b) because he doesn’t tell cabinet ministers what to do

    I think Adonis likes the idea of unelected people telling politicians what to do
    The Cabinet Secretary should not have been present at a Conservative Party meeting. He should have made his excuses and left when a Cabinet meeting turned into a Party discussion.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,129

    Checks away from the border are already in the backstop proposal, but not in the way you think.

    Your journey from I-know-best insouciance to fanatical believer in unicorns since the referendum has been quite something to behold.
    You’re in absolutely no position whatsoever to dish out lectures on fanaticism.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,073
    Last. And just as well, on this thread.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    Barnesian said:

    FPT. In the Richmond Park by election in 2016, 1515 people voted Labour and Sarah Olney, the LD candidate overturned a 23,000 Tory majority and won by 1872 votes, thanks in part to the tactical voting by Labour supporters.

    In 2017, 5773 people voted Labour! Up from 1515. Either they were enthused by Corbyn or didn't get the message but the effect was that Sarah Olney lost by 45 votes. I don't think Labour voters will make the same mistake next time and let a Tory win.

    The major difference was the big jump in turnout - far fewer people voted at the by-election!
This discussion has been closed.