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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This week’s podcast focuses on Labour including why an early e
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This week’s podcast focuses on Labour including why an early election is better for the party and how it should respond to TIG
On this week’s podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by former adviser to Tony Blair and Gordon Brown, Theo Bertram.
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https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6773409/Radicalised-Islamist-inmate-screaming-Allahu-Akbar-stabs-guards-terror-incident.html
He’d previously said he might spend several hundred million to help defeat Trump - and that was the priority. I guess he made a calculation.
https://twitter.com/davidaxelrod/status/1102585627533434881
https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1103056000964354054
In some cases that might be fair enough, but I suspect most people disciplined in such situations will think they were hard done by. They're not in the best position to judge and their judgement has already proved faulty.
https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/1103057568715415553
Leadership race by proxy.
Plus, shouldn't Boris be in his home newspaper?
https://twitter.com/GuardianHeather/status/1103059556924575744
https://twitter.com/johnmcternan/status/1103058457316519941
Recent YouGov Eurotrack survey data reveals how the borders of the European Union might shift if it were up to the public in key European nations.
We asked the public in six EU member states (Britain, France, Germany, Sweden, Denmark and Finland) whether it was right or wrong to have allowed each of the current members of the EU to have joined, as well as whether countries that are not currently members should be given permission to join if they wanted to do so.
Looking first at those countries that joined in the 2004 enlargement or later shows that the admission of Romania in 2007 has proved particularly unpopular. In Germany, France, Denmark, Sweden and Finland the number of people who think that is was a mistake to allow Romania to join outnumber those that don’t by double digits.
The French and German publics also tend to think Bulgaria should not have been allowed to join, while Danes and Swedes are very evenly split on the wisdom of Bulgarian accession. Finns by contrast tend to be ok with Bulgaria’s membership.
Only in Britain is there a tendency to support both countries’ EU membership (although in the case of Romania it is still fairly weak). '
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/international/articles-reports/2019/03/05/eurotrack-it-was-mistake-admit-romania-and-bulgari
Fair is foul, and foul is fair!
Hover through the fog and filthy air!
' While the entrance of the other 11 countries to have joined since 2004 has been broadly well received, attitudes in France are far more negative across the board, to the extent that French people are evenly split on whether or not it was wrong to admit the Baltic countries, as well as Slovenia and Slovakia. '
Not quite what Roger reports is it
Making it public might be another issue though.
One problem for the government in that Sun link and in Sky News and many other outlets is that after the Prime Minister's crass intervention, everyone and their mum is talking about the 20,000 police officers cut by Theresa May.
Britain -30
Sweden -51
Denmark -59
Finland -61
France -62
Germany -65
Labour are really providing us all with a masterclass in How Not to Deal With a Problem, with a special section on How To Make It Very Much Worse.
Charlie Falconer has now the most leverage he will ever have over Labour. He should insist on having total control over the complaints and disciplinary process, with complete independent access to all servers, including those of all the email accounts used by Labour staffers and advisers, written agreement by all of them that they will provide their personal computers and phones and access to all social media accounts so that he can review all emails about, relating to or on Labour Party business, agreement that all will submit to taped interviews, full co-operation, total oversight of the disciplinary process, all necessary staff to assist him etc etc.
He has a very well paid role with a major US law firm. The last thing he needs is for his well-regarded legal reputation to be ruined a la Chakrabati by him agreeing to put his name in front of a half-arsed and insincere attempt to dig Labour out of its mess.
Also probably very harrowing. Actually, I think all jobs dealing with complaints are probably pretty unpleasant all the time, given the garbage they have to wade through.
He will need a humungous team to go through all that material.
But does it actually work ?
Are Conservative members actually impressed by what Williamson says ?
His first priority, about which he is very clear, is to defeat Trump. He’s not going to run a spoiler effort, however unkeen he might be on Bernie.
Have you even read his oped ?
At the heart of Beyond Carbon is the conviction that, as the science has made clear, every year matters. The idea of a Green New Deal — first suggested by the columnist Tom Friedman more than a decade ago — stands no chance of passage in the Senate over the next two years. But Mother Nature does not wait on our political calendar, and neither can we...
Oi - that's 34 years of my working life you've just trashed!!
But we're made of tough stuff. -
To add: they think he is a jumped up twat. Or at least sensible ones do.
Some of them would likely love for a CU agreement to be passed as it would stop the economy being trashed for which they might get the blame but would allow them even more to posture about.
Just think, a half decent labour party would be out of sight
Of course she can set her conscience at ease that she will make her position very clear to her constituency electorate and act accordingly, but I am not much moved by this 'I don't want him to PM, I just tell people to vote Labour...which will make him PM' line, and that's true of if any Tory tries a similar line.
Anyone can say they don't want him as PM, bottom line is would would her actions be? If it is a matter of having such a deep and loyal connection to the party, then I think we know the answer.
Surely the Coalition hangover is starting to wear off?
I wouldn't trust Corbyn or Milne or any of Corbyn's close advisors as far as I could throw them.
Only complete control over the entire process would do - with a final report to the entire Parliamentary party.
But that would be for Labour to surrender control over this to someone outside the Leader's team. Only organisations that are failing total melt-down or are forced to do this by outside regulators do this.
Is there nothing the douce won’t say for a headline?
Does he realise he’s suggesting imposing martial law?
I am looking forward to seeing a list of Tigger policies to see what is so different from the LDs, to see if there is any policy reason they could not bring themselves to join the existing referendum backing party, or if it really was just down to branding.
BTW Toppo, do you have any updates on the posh cars outside terraced houses research ?
I'm hoping you've been looking around the local streets and can tell us if there are any new Range Rovers parked in Oil Drum Lane.
I cannot comment as to how sensible I am.
There are between 42,000 and 48,000 £1m+ apartments currently under construction in London. If we assume that they will all come on stream between now and the end of 2020, that's an insane amount of new supply.
If you want to buy a super cool apartment in Central London, I would reckon December 2019 to Feb 2020 would be the best time. There will be some real bargains.
(And you probably don't want to work in the high end London residential construction market from about ummm... mid 2020.)
1. Chris Grayling
2. Gavin Williamson
3. Liam Fox
4. Theresa May
5. Liz Truss
6. Penny Mordaunt
7. Karen Bradley
8. Sajid Javid
9. Philip Hammond
10. Jeremy Hunt
Michael Gove and - bizarrely - Andrea Leadsom - appear to be the only competent Brexit Ministers.
#TiggeerAlert :
And so the approach to the Tiggers is not to attack them directly, they don't need to.
In the event of No Deal Brexit, I would estimate the UK economy would take a £30-40bn hit. And I'd reckon the EU would be worse off, with an impact of £50-60bn.
So, the EU takes a hit 40-50% more than we do.
But, it's also amortized over more people. In percentage terms, Ireland (by a fair margin) will be most impacted, we'll be second, and then the percentage impact on Germany, France etc will be relatively small.
'Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg has branded Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders demagogues'
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3568334/Those-promise-free-lunch-eat-breakfast-Bloomberg-brands-Trump-Sanders-demagogues-calls-White-House.html
Whatever the subject matter, you need a hide of steel, a bloody good sense of humour and a tremendous team around you. The Labour complaints team sounds utterly dysfunctional, judging by the leaks. I feel sorry for them. Whatever their failings no-one at the top has their back and they will end up being blamed. Sauve qui peut.
https://www.theverge.com/2019/2/25/18229714/cognizant-facebook-content-moderator-interviews-trauma-working-conditions-arizona
The UK government can't undo the damage to businesses of dropping out of the EU rules on double taxation and holding taxes, for example.