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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The hearing with Trump’s ex-lawyer, Michael Cohen, doesn’t bod
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The hearing with Trump’s ex-lawyer, Michael Cohen, doesn’t bode well for the President
In the US the big political news has been the appearance before a Congressional committee of Michael Cohen, Trump’s former lawyer who is set to go to prison in May after being convicted last year. The Republicans on the committee have been seeking to discredit him but his comments could have a big impact on WH2020.
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https://twitter.com/EdwardGLuce/status/1100807381905113089
He has questions to answer.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2008/feb/25/eu.liberaldemocrats
Presumably he thought it would be easily won by Remain ("In", at the time) and settle the question for a generation. In 2008, maybe it would've. Oops.
How many purists does it take to change a light bulb?
Given everything that is said about Trump, I can't see this really making that much difference. People have made up their minds about him.
Cohen is looking at his post-prison life - book deals, tv spots, a future career - of course he is going to make a big splash. Who wouldn't?
But as to credibility - I just don't know (and don't really care) - US politics is just too toxic for words.
Make it stop! Make it stop!
I have to say that it will be highly entertaining if Trump is ever interrogated in the same vain as Clinton about his past life! I could not imagine Trump having the faculties or intelligence to talk about definitions of "is" and "sexual relations" in any comparable context.
The accusation that Trump committed a criminal offence over payments
That there is an investigation into Trump himself going on. Not his campaign, not just his son, him
Felix Sater
This coming election is the Democrats to lose. The concern they have is two fold a chaotic and bitter primary with a leftist winner and a credible 3rd party candidate running. Trumps base hovers at around 38 to 40% but its firm, the Democrats are currently carrying a lot froth on their poll figures and will suffer disproportionately with a centerist 3rd party candidate based on some analysis I've looked at.
Bear in mind some Republicans are desperately looking for a spoiler to damage Trump but it actually might actually damage the Democrats.
India/Pakistan
Imran Khan is having a great conflict at the moment, domestic opinion will see Pakistan more than holding its own but he is now looking for a cessation whilst the going is good.
The problem President Trump has is that it doesn't have to make much difference.
If it means that Democrats are 1% more likely to go out and vote because they're really upset a criminal is in the White House, and if it means Republicans are 1% more likely to stay home, then he's in trouble.
I think the real trouble comes for President Trump if Fox News begins slowly withdrawing its support. I'm not suggesting they go for some Democrat, or somesuch, but if they decide the President is holed below the waterline, then they will find someone else to back. James Murdoch is no dummy: if he thinks 2020 is lost, then he will not hesitate to stick the knife in.
The bars are temples but their pearls ain't free
You'll find a god in every Tory cloister
And if you're lucky, then the god's a she
I can feel a Brexit sliding up to me
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rgc_LRjlbTU
At pub/office cricket level, the best batsmen come out first and the best bowlers bowl at them. Each played at school and might occasionally turn out for village 2nd XIs, or did so before they got fat and old. It's a decent cut-and-thrust, the fielding is sober as a judge and as tight as a Ryan Gosling suit jacket, and matters proceed at about a run a ball.
Six overs in, though, and the guys who said 'yeah, I play a bit' are facing the guys who said 'yeah, I can play a bit'. The run rate goes up, fielding becomes more - shall we say - informal and wickets fall as people give leading edges to mid-on and non-strikers construct easy 'yes - no - go back - sorry' run-outs to the fielder at backward point. Cans are opened at deep backward square
By the time we get to thirteen or fourteen overs in, though, recognised batsmen are out or retired, anyone who can bowl in a straight line is bowled out, and the comedy starts. This, of course, is where the match is actually won and lost. Up rolls someone's wife, or 9-year-old son, bowling at someone else's mate from the pub. The first two are wides. Are we playing one-day wides or test wides? Okay, it's a free hit. A hush descends. The man fielding at boot hill has no lid on but does have a pint. The batsman advances a yard out of his crease as the ball is released. It's the secret weapon. A high, non-spinning, non-flighted donkey dropper. Swing and connect, and it's in the car park. Swing and a miss, and it's a stumping, although the wicketkeeper will sportingly allow the batsman four or five seconds to recover their ground.
This continues for thirty-something balls, or until the fielding team have run out of drinks. I have been in games where we recovered from 110-0 off 10 to reach 130-7 off 20, and where we have collapsed from 57-6 to 150-8 in the same time. In each of the last 10 overs of these innings the MCC coaching manual stayed resolutely shut.
I love idiot-level cricket and if anyone has a spare spot in an office weeknight team in the Bristol area this summer I'm almost certainly available.
Awkward.
https://twitter.com/KenGude/status/1100888190540496897
https://twitter.com/KenGude/status/1100888202104197123
They ought to jointly turn their attention to the part which China has grabbed.
Change Research has it Biden 49% Trump 44% Schultz 3%, Trump 45% O'Rourke 42% Schulz 7% , Trump 45% Harris 43% Schultz 7%, Trump 45% Sanders 43% Schultz 7% and Trump 45% Warren 43% Schultz 6%, so Biden could still beat Trump even with a centrist 3rd party candidate, other candidates would not
http://emersonpolling.com/2019/02/16/majority-of-americans-disagree-with-trumps-national-emergency-despite-a-plurality-agreeing-with-border-wall-extension/
https://docsend.com/view/sxumns7
Jeremy Thorpe, who was at Oxford with Jacob Rees-Mogg's father.
TIGs voting for* hard Brexit.
They're disaster centrists, they realise the only way they get people to vote for centrism is in a no deal scenario where their opposition take the blame for no deal.
Brilliantly cynical, I just wonder whether people will fall for it.
*In a sort of a roundabout way by failing to oppose it.
Its whether its in:
The Customs Union
A Customs Union or
A Customs Arrangement
Aren't you paying attention?
A very far off day, that.
https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/02/alexandria-ocasio-cortez-michael-cohen-trump-taxes.html
The cheques were also significant, since Cohen’s testimony in of itself is insufficiently probative.
Plus the minutiae of the legal processes around Article 50 will do most folks for one life time....
Lasted a couple of seasons and three or four matches.
One highlight was giving out the star...... in his mind anyway....... batsman of our opponents 'caught behind' off the bowling of a twelve year old lad, who looked as though he was going to be good one day.One would have expected someone representing a pub called The Cricketers to have a better idea of sportsmanship!
However as I walked home, it being June in England, there was a storm and I took refuge in that pub. I was welcomed with 'It's the ump. Come on ump, no, put your money away!'
There's something about cricket!
If the Trump portrait is in his house, for example, then it become more challenging to justify
The only deal possible is the deal. Perhaps with a tweak on the backstop.
This has been clear since before xmas.
Would like to echo comments for @Drutt. Beautiful prose.
Also sums up an annual game that I play, too. Will only add that skippers are there by virtue of administrative skill (and the ability to herd cats).
Did McDonnell[sp] specify what the options would be in said referendum? The timetable?
1) Jeremy Corbyn is awesome and should be PM to negotiate a Labour Brexit that will involve unicorns, flying pigs and Richard Dawkins converting to Evangelical Christianity;
Or
2) Jeremy Corbyn is so awesome he should replace Chris Gayle as universe boss and order the EU to pay tribute to us?
Choose carefully. And remember, if you get it wrong, the Zionists will rule the world.
'Duckworth-Lewis Amendment will see UK enter permanent customs union if it’s raining on March 29th'
I am considering my options.
https://twitter.com/TheRedRoar/status/1101026875588136963?s=19