politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Kamala Harris, betting favourite for the Democratic nomination, chooses today, Martin Luther King Day, to launch her campaign
JUST IN: @KamalaHarris on announcing she will be running for president in 2020: "I feel a responsibility to stand up and fight for who we are." https://t.co/qUX1sERxxZ pic.twitter.com/NcSHFTRIny
He also underestimates the appeal of no deal as it would bring the "Brexit yes or no" domination of the news to an end.
God, yes. I'm a political nerd, and I'm abso-fucking-lutely fed up with Brexit. The appeal of a 'simple' solution leading to it all going away is strong.
No deal, of course, would ironically lead to Brexit fall-out dominating the news for the next 2 years as a minimum. May's deal would (I think) be an all-round damp squib, news-wise.
Startling quote from Tusk cited in the Guardian blog (from a forthcoming BBC documentary):
"I asked David Cameron, ‘Why did you decide on this referendum, this – it’s so dangerous, so even stupid, you know,’ and, he told me - and I was really amazed and even shocked - that the only reason was his own party, [He told me] he felt really safe, because he thought at the same time that there’s no risk of a referendum, because, his coalition partner, the Liberals, would block this idea of a referendum. But then, surprisingly, he won and there was no coalition partner. So paradoxically David Cameron became the real victim of his own victory."
Startling quote from Tusk cited in the Guardian blog (from a forthcoming BBC documentary):
"I asked David Cameron, ‘Why did you decide on this referendum, this – it’s so dangerous, so even stupid, you know,’ and, he told me - and I was really amazed and even shocked - that the only reason was his own party, [He told me] he felt really safe, because he thought at the same time that there’s no risk of a referendum, because, his coalition partner, the Liberals, would block this idea of a referendum. But then, surprisingly, he won and there was no coalition partner. So paradoxically David Cameron became the real victim of his own victory."
About time someone took a stand over Israel competing in European sporting and cultural events, eh, Nick?
I think we had this discussion before, but Deal minus backstop isn't going to get the votes from her party. The backstop is only one issue, Tory MPs have lots of other objections.
I think it will. JRM, Boris and many others have said they could back the deal without the backstop. There would only be diehard Remainers left blocking the deal in an attempt to get s referendum (but thus risking no deal) if the leavers fall into line to get Brexit over the line.
Can you name a single Leaver who has said they would oppose the deal even if the backstop were removed?
I said name a Leaver; under what definition of the word is Guto a Leaver? He's a hardline Remainer who wants another referendum over any form of Brexit.
FPT: yes sorry, I misread. Subsequent posts from me mention Redwood, Lamont and Baker as all opposing May deal even if backstop is removed. Redwood on his blog estimates she would only get half of MPs onboard if she ditched the backstop.
Isn't one of the Castro brothers missing from that list?
I assume that you will be backing Putin's man in the White House.
I have always been an Anyone But Trump GOPer, if that is what you are getting at. I have understood his appeal to those who feel unserved by the political establishment, been appalled at those who dismissed him as an idiot, and always warned about underestimating him, but I have never supported him. Check my posts. My man was Kasich throughout the primaries.
The only time I have come close to announcing support for him was joking "Vote for Trump, He'll be easier to impeach" That may well turn out to be prescient.
Startling quote from Tusk cited in the Guardian blog (from a forthcoming BBC documentary):
"I asked David Cameron, ‘Why did you decide on this referendum, this – it’s so dangerous, so even stupid, you know,’ and, he told me - and I was really amazed and even shocked - that the only reason was his own party, [He told me] he felt really safe, because he thought at the same time that there’s no risk of a referendum, because, his coalition partner, the Liberals, would block this idea of a referendum. But then, surprisingly, he won and there was no coalition partner. So paradoxically David Cameron became the real victim of his own victory."
Didn't we already know this?
What's worse is that the whole way Brexit has been handled by May since she became PM has been put the interests of the Tory party first.
Startling quote from Tusk cited in the Guardian blog (from a forthcoming BBC documentary):
"I asked David Cameron, ‘Why did you decide on this referendum, this – it’s so dangerous, so even stupid, you know,’ and, he told me - and I was really amazed and even shocked - that the only reason was his own party, [He told me] he felt really safe, because he thought at the same time that there’s no risk of a referendum, because, his coalition partner, the Liberals, would block this idea of a referendum. But then, surprisingly, he won and there was no coalition partner. So paradoxically David Cameron became the real victim of his own victory."
Julian Castro also running. Only Latino in the field and immigration looks set to be a big issue, maybe even the issue. And yes, I've backed him at tantalisingly long odds...
He also underestimates the appeal of no deal as it would bring the "Brexit yes or no" domination of the news to an end.
God, yes. I'm a political nerd, and I'm abso-fucking-lutely fed up with Brexit. The appeal of a 'simple' solution leading to it all going away is strong.
No deal, of course, would ironically lead to Brexit fall-out dominating the news for the next 2 years as a minimum. May's deal would (I think) be an all-round damp squib, news-wise.
No deal is also the only thing that frightens the EU. We have to mean it and if necessary go through with it. Joe public understands when you negotiate anything you have to be willing to walk away and the other side need to believe you will. We will.
Startling quote from Tusk cited in the Guardian blog (from a forthcoming BBC documentary):
"I asked David Cameron, ‘Why did you decide on this referendum, this – it’s so dangerous, so even stupid, you know,’ and, he told me - and I was really amazed and even shocked - that the only reason was his own party, [He told me] he felt really safe, because he thought at the same time that there’s no risk of a referendum, because, his coalition partner, the Liberals, would block this idea of a referendum. But then, surprisingly, he won and there was no coalition partner. So paradoxically David Cameron became the real victim of his own victory."
As I've stated continually for the last 2 years - it's all Osbourne's fault for destroying the Lib Dems in 2015....
He also underestimates the appeal of no deal as it would bring the "Brexit yes or no" domination of the news to an end.
God, yes. I'm a political nerd, and I'm abso-fucking-lutely fed up with Brexit. The appeal of a 'simple' solution leading to it all going away is strong.
No deal, of course, would ironically lead to Brexit fall-out dominating the news for the next 2 years as a minimum. May's deal would (I think) be an all-round damp squib, news-wise.
No deal is also the only thing that frightens the EU. We have to mean it and if necessary go through with it. Joe public understands when you negotiate anything you have to be willing to walk away and the other side need to believe you will. We will.
What makes you think that the EU is frightened of No Deal?
Startling quote from Tusk cited in the Guardian blog (from a forthcoming BBC documentary):
"I asked David Cameron, ‘Why did you decide on this referendum, this – it’s so dangerous, so even stupid, you know,’ and, he told me - and I was really amazed and even shocked - that the only reason was his own party, [He told me] he felt really safe, because he thought at the same time that there’s no risk of a referendum, because, his coalition partner, the Liberals, would block this idea of a referendum. But then, surprisingly, he won and there was no coalition partner. So paradoxically David Cameron became the real victim of his own victory."
Didn't we already know this?
What's worse is that the whole way Brexit has been handled by May since she became PM has been put the interests of the Tory party first.
I wouldn't be surprised if there is not an element of Mr Tusk padding his own foresight in retrospect here.
Hopefully he won't go to his grave without conviction. On multiple counts.
What's the betting he flees to Moscow the day before he's supposed to hand over power in 2021, and rants at his equally daft followers over twitter for the next 20 years?
He also underestimates the appeal of no deal as it would bring the "Brexit yes or no" domination of the news to an end.
God, yes. I'm a political nerd, and I'm abso-fucking-lutely fed up with Brexit. The appeal of a 'simple' solution leading to it all going away is strong.
No deal, of course, would ironically lead to Brexit fall-out dominating the news for the next 2 years as a minimum. May's deal would (I think) be an all-round damp squib, news-wise.
No deal is also the only thing that frightens the EU. We have to mean it and if necessary go through with it. Joe public understands when you negotiate anything you have to be willing to walk away and the other side need to believe you will. We will.
What makes you think that the EU is frightened of No Deal?
I accept it would be more than an unwelcome inconvenience for them, but I think part of the reason the 27 have retained their unity is that they don't believe it would be catastrophic. Maybe the Polish noises today are a sign of them blinking, but I still think a collective Gallic shrug, folded arms and people muttering "indivisible four freedoms" is the more likely response.
Startling quote from Tusk cited in the Guardian blog (from a forthcoming BBC documentary):
"I asked David Cameron, ‘Why did you decide on this referendum, this – it’s so dangerous, so even stupid, you know,’ and, he told me - and I was really amazed and even shocked - that the only reason was his own party, [He told me] he felt really safe, because he thought at the same time that there’s no risk of a referendum, because, his coalition partner, the Liberals, would block this idea of a referendum. But then, surprisingly, he won and there was no coalition partner. So paradoxically David Cameron became the real victim of his own victory."
Didn't we already know this?
What's worse is that the whole way Brexit has been handled by May since she became PM has been put the interests of the Tory party first.
He also underestimates the appeal of no deal as it would bring the "Brexit yes or no" domination of the news to an end.
God, yes. I'm a political nerd, and I'm abso-fucking-lutely fed up with Brexit. The appeal of a 'simple' solution leading to it all going away is strong.
No deal, of course, would ironically lead to Brexit fall-out dominating the news for the next 2 years as a minimum. May's deal would (I think) be an all-round damp squib, news-wise.
No deal is also the only thing that frightens the EU. We have to mean it and if necessary go through with it. Joe public understands when you negotiate anything you have to be willing to walk away and the other side need to believe you will. We will.
What makes you think that the EU is frightened of No Deal?
The colour rapidly draining from Leo's face for starters. The Poles who broke ranks today to demand softening of back stop. Others will follow as it sinks it iis really happening The disruption that will follow no deal is not going to be containable to the UK. They understand this and we need to use it. T
"A second security alert is underway in Londonderry after a Royal Mail van was hijacked at gunpoint and abandoned.
Police are currently at the scene of a security alert in the Circular Road area of Londonderry, while another security alert is taking place less than a mile away on Southway."
"A second security alert is underway in Londonderry after a Royal Mail van was hijacked at gunpoint and abandoned.
Police are currently at the scene of a security alert in the Circular Road area of Londonderry, while another security alert is taking place less than a mile away on Southway."
Startling quote from Tusk cited in the Guardian blog (from a forthcoming BBC documentary):
"I asked David Cameron, ‘Why did you decide on this referendum, this – it’s so dangerous, so even stupid, you know,’ and, he told me - and I was really amazed and even shocked - that the only reason was his own party, [He told me] he felt really safe, because he thought at the same time that there’s no risk of a referendum, because, his coalition partner, the Liberals, would block this idea of a referendum. But then, surprisingly, he won and there was no coalition partner. So paradoxically David Cameron became the real victim of his own victory."
Didn't we already know this?
What's worse is that the whole way Brexit has been handled by May since she became PM has been put the interests of the Tory party first.
All 17.4 million Tory voters?
Quite.
Although perhaps she'll hang on to most of them if she does go No Deal.
"A second security alert is underway in Londonderry after a Royal Mail van was hijacked at gunpoint and abandoned.
Police are currently at the scene of a security alert in the Circular Road area of Londonderry, while another security alert is taking place less than a mile away on Southway."
He also underestimates the appeal of no deal as it would bring the "Brexit yes or no" domination of the news to an end.
God, yes. I'm a political nerd, and I'm abso-fucking-lutely fed up with Brexit. The appeal of a 'simple' solution leading to it all going away is strong.
No deal, of course, would ironically lead to Brexit fall-out dominating the news for the next 2 years as a minimum. May's deal would (I think) be an all-round damp squib, news-wise.
No deal is also the only thing that frightens the EU. We have to mean it and if necessary go through with it. Joe public understands when you negotiate anything you have to be willing to walk away and the other side need to believe you will. We will.
What makes you think that the EU is frightened of No Deal?
The colour rapidly draining from Leo's face for starters. The Poles who broke ranks today to demand softening of back stop. Others will follow as it sinks it iis really happening The disruption that will follow no deal is not going to be containable to the UK. They understand this and we need to use it. T
I think the more telling comment from Poland is the accusation Ireland are dictating to the EU
"A second security alert is underway in Londonderry after a Royal Mail van was hijacked at gunpoint and abandoned.
Police are currently at the scene of a security alert in the Circular Road area of Londonderry, while another security alert is taking place less than a mile away on Southway."
All worth it to reinstate properly bendy bananas.
You really think this is Brexit related?
No, after over a decade of relative calm, the resurgence of violence and bombs in N. Ireland at the time of intense political discord between the UK and Ireland, and the potential re-introduction of the border, is a complete coincidence.
"A second security alert is underway in Londonderry after a Royal Mail van was hijacked at gunpoint and abandoned.
Police are currently at the scene of a security alert in the Circular Road area of Londonderry, while another security alert is taking place less than a mile away on Southway."
All worth it to reinstate properly bendy bananas.
You really think this is Brexit related?
No, after over a decade of relative calm, the resurgence of violence and bombs in N. Ireland at the time of intense political discord between the UK and Ireland, and the potential re-introduction of the border, is a complete coincidence.
Non-sarcastic response: I do.
The word relative is doing a lot of heavy lifting there.
"A second security alert is underway in Londonderry after a Royal Mail van was hijacked at gunpoint and abandoned.
Police are currently at the scene of a security alert in the Circular Road area of Londonderry, while another security alert is taking place less than a mile away on Southway."
All worth it to reinstate properly bendy bananas.
You really think this is Brexit related?
No, after over a decade of relative calm, the resurgence of violence and bombs in N. Ireland at the time of intense political discord between the UK and Ireland, and the potential re-introduction of the border, is a complete coincidence.
Non-sarcastic response: I do.
The word relative is doing a lot of heavy lifting there.
How many suspected republican/loyalist bombings have there been over the last decade? We've had multiple events this year, and it's only the 21st of January.
Startling quote from Tusk cited in the Guardian blog (from a forthcoming BBC documentary):
"I asked David Cameron, ‘Why did you decide on this referendum, this – it’s so dangerous, so even stupid, you know,’ and, he told me - and I was really amazed and even shocked - that the only reason was his own party, [He told me] he felt really safe, because he thought at the same time that there’s no risk of a referendum, because, his coalition partner, the Liberals, would block this idea of a referendum. But then, surprisingly, he won and there was no coalition partner. So paradoxically David Cameron became the real victim of his own victory."
"A second security alert is underway in Londonderry after a Royal Mail van was hijacked at gunpoint and abandoned.
Police are currently at the scene of a security alert in the Circular Road area of Londonderry, while another security alert is taking place less than a mile away on Southway."
All worth it to reinstate properly bendy bananas.
You really think this is Brexit related?
No, after over a decade of relative calm, the resurgence of violence and bombs in N. Ireland at the time of intense political discord between the UK and Ireland, and the potential re-introduction of the border, is a complete coincidence.
Non-sarcastic response: I do.
Because hijacking a Royal Mail van is all about a hard border in Ireland..... non-sarcastic eye-roll.
Much more likely to be about where the border between one drugs gang and another is.
Hopefully he won't go to his grave without conviction. On multiple counts.
What's the betting he flees to Moscow the day before he's supposed to hand over power in 2021, and rants at his equally daft followers over twitter for the next 20 years?
The Moscow connection can work the other way. Suppose Putin tires of Trump and decides to cut him loose. The KGB can release any compromising material they have.
Or they can just make it up.
Result: Washington spends the next decade in meltdown.
Startling quote from Tusk cited in the Guardian blog (from a forthcoming BBC documentary):
"I asked David Cameron, ‘Why did you decide on this referendum, this – it’s so dangerous, so even stupid, you know,’ and, he told me - and I was really amazed and even shocked - that the only reason was his own party, [He told me] he felt really safe, because he thought at the same time that there’s no risk of a referendum, because, his coalition partner, the Liberals, would block this idea of a referendum. But then, surprisingly, he won and there was no coalition partner. So paradoxically David Cameron became the real victim of his own victory."
Nothing in there is news.
To be honest there is enough to deal with than constantly going back in history which has no relevance in finding the solutions we need today. It may console some to play the blame game but that is in the past.
Concentrate on resolving the issues in front of us right now
Startling quote from Tusk cited in the Guardian blog (from a forthcoming BBC documentary):
"I asked David Cameron, ‘Why did you decide on this referendum, this – it’s so dangerous, so even stupid, you know,’ and, he told me - and I was really amazed and even shocked - that the only reason was his own party, [He told me] he felt really safe, because he thought at the same time that there’s no risk of a referendum, because, his coalition partner, the Liberals, would block this idea of a referendum. But then, surprisingly, he won and there was no coalition partner. So paradoxically David Cameron became the real victim of his own victory."
About time someone took a stand over Israel competing in European sporting and cultural events, eh, Nick?
"A second security alert is underway in Londonderry after a Royal Mail van was hijacked at gunpoint and abandoned.
Police are currently at the scene of a security alert in the Circular Road area of Londonderry, while another security alert is taking place less than a mile away on Southway."
All worth it to reinstate properly bendy bananas.
You really think this is Brexit related?
No, after over a decade of relative calm, the resurgence of violence and bombs in N. Ireland at the time of intense political discord between the UK and Ireland, and the potential re-introduction of the border, is a complete coincidence.
Non-sarcastic response: I do.
Because hijacking a Royal Mail van is all about a hard border in Ireland..... non-sarcastic eye-roll.
Much more likely to be about where the border between one drugs gang and another is.
48 hours after a bomb goes off outside a courthouse, and is linked to dissident republicans.
It might be a coincidence, but flat out denial that's it's a possibility because you support Brexit is truly worth of an eye-roll.
Hopefully he won't go to his grave without conviction. On multiple counts.
What's the betting he flees to Moscow the day before he's supposed to hand over power in 2021, and rants at his equally daft followers over twitter for the next 20 years?
The Moscow connection can work the other way. Suppose Putin tires of Trump and decides to cut him loose. The KGB can release any compromising material they have.
Or they can just make it up.
Result: Washington spends the next decade in meltdown.
(imagines film crew with actor in a bouffant ginger wig "taking a shower" in a Moscow hotel room as we speak)
"A second security alert is underway in Londonderry after a Royal Mail van was hijacked at gunpoint and abandoned.
Police are currently at the scene of a security alert in the Circular Road area of Londonderry, while another security alert is taking place less than a mile away on Southway."
All worth it to reinstate properly bendy bananas.
You really think this is Brexit related?
No, after over a decade of relative calm, the resurgence of violence and bombs in N. Ireland at the time of intense political discord between the UK and Ireland, and the potential re-introduction of the border, is a complete coincidence.
Non-sarcastic response: I do.
Because hijacking a Royal Mail van is all about a hard border in Ireland..... non-sarcastic eye-roll.
Much more likely to be about where the border between one drugs gang and another is.
48 hours after a bomb goes off outside a courthouse, and is linked to dissident republicans.
It might be a coincidence, but flat out denial that's it's a possibility because you support Brexit is truly worth of an eye-roll.
The problem remainers have is that they can't be seen to be making the link between the two. It would give the impression that they were supporting terrorism.
Hopefully he won't go to his grave without conviction. On multiple counts.
What's the betting he flees to Moscow the day before he's supposed to hand over power in 2021, and rants at his equally daft followers over twitter for the next 20 years?
The Moscow connection can work the other way. Suppose Putin tires of Trump and decides to cut him loose. The KGB can release any compromising material they have.
Or they can just make it up.
Result: Washington spends the next decade in meltdown.
Indeed. If Moscow wants to cause unrest, and endanger or at least discredit the US political system, the best way would be to undermine Trump, leading to a close, disputed election defeat. Assuming he's not a fully-fledged asset, of course.
"A second security alert is underway in Londonderry after a Royal Mail van was hijacked at gunpoint and abandoned.
Police are currently at the scene of a security alert in the Circular Road area of Londonderry, while another security alert is taking place less than a mile away on Southway."
All worth it to reinstate properly bendy bananas.
You really think this is Brexit related?
No, after over a decade of relative calm, the resurgence of violence and bombs in N. Ireland at the time of intense political discord between the UK and Ireland, and the potential re-introduction of the border, is a complete coincidence.
Non-sarcastic response: I do.
Because hijacking a Royal Mail van is all about a hard border in Ireland..... non-sarcastic eye-roll.
Much more likely to be about where the border between one drugs gang and another is.
48 hours after a bomb goes off outside a courthouse, and is linked to dissident republicans.
It might be a coincidence, but flat out denial that's it's a possibility because you support Brexit is truly worth of an eye-roll.
You think dissident republicans arrived with Brexit?
"A second security alert is underway in Londonderry after a Royal Mail van was hijacked at gunpoint and abandoned.
Police are currently at the scene of a security alert in the Circular Road area of Londonderry, while another security alert is taking place less than a mile away on Southway."
All worth it to reinstate properly bendy bananas.
You really think this is Brexit related?
No, after over a decade of relative calm, the resurgence of violence and bombs in N. Ireland at the time of intense political discord between the UK and Ireland, and the potential re-introduction of the border, is a complete coincidence.
Non-sarcastic response: I do.
Because hijacking a Royal Mail van is all about a hard border in Ireland..... non-sarcastic eye-roll.
Much more likely to be about where the border between one drugs gang and another is.
48 hours after a bomb goes off outside a courthouse, and is linked to dissident republicans.
It might be a coincidence, but flat out denial that's it's a possibility because you support Brexit is truly worth of an eye-roll.
The problem remainers have is that they can't be seen to be making the link between the two. It would give the impression that they were supporting terrorism.
Enabling, I'd say. Assuming you meant "leavers" there.
"A second security alert is underway in Londonderry after a Royal Mail van was hijacked at gunpoint and abandoned.
Police are currently at the scene of a security alert in the Circular Road area of Londonderry, while another security alert is taking place less than a mile away on Southway."
All worth it to reinstate properly bendy bananas.
You really think this is Brexit related?
No, after over a decade of relative calm, the resurgence of violence and bombs in N. Ireland at the time of intense political discord between the UK and Ireland, and the potential re-introduction of the border, is a complete coincidence.
Non-sarcastic response: I do.
Because hijacking a Royal Mail van is all about a hard border in Ireland..... non-sarcastic eye-roll.
Much more likely to be about where the border between one drugs gang and another is.
48 hours after a bomb goes off outside a courthouse, and is linked to dissident republicans.
It might be a coincidence, but flat out denial that's it's a possibility because you support Brexit is truly worth of an eye-roll.
You think dissident republicans arrived with Brexit?
Startling quote from Tusk cited in the Guardian blog (from a forthcoming BBC documentary):
"I asked David Cameron, ‘Why did you decide on this referendum, this – it’s so dangerous, so even stupid, you know,’ and, he told me - and I was really amazed and even shocked - that the only reason was his own party, [He told me] he felt really safe, because he thought at the same time that there’s no risk of a referendum, because, his coalition partner, the Liberals, would block this idea of a referendum. But then, surprisingly, he won and there was no coalition partner. So paradoxically David Cameron became the real victim of his own victory."
Didn't we already know this?
What's worse is that the whole way Brexit has been handled by May since she became PM has been put the interests of the Tory party first.
All 17.4 million Tory voters?
She has not given the impression of recognising that the victory was 52:48 not 70:30 or 90:10. If circa 600,000 voters had voted Remain the victory would have been for Remain. That should have led to a serious attempt to find a solution that tried to overcome divisions not cement them.
Further her concern has been to appease the ERG and DUP, both of whom are unappeasable, pocket any concessions made to them and demand more. And now that we're facing a No Deal exit, the ERG and other Leavers are, contrary to what they said at the time, saying that No Deal is what the country voted for and it will all be fine. They have turned out to be liars.
As has May. Her idea of reaching out to others is to tell them that they have to agree with her.
Startling quote from Tusk cited in the Guardian blog (from a forthcoming BBC documentary):
"I asked David Cameron, ‘Why did you decide on this referendum, this – it’s so dangerous, so even stupid, you know,’ and, he told me - and I was really amazed and even shocked - that the only reason was his own party, [He told me] he felt really safe, because he thought at the same time that there’s no risk of a referendum, because, his coalition partner, the Liberals, would block this idea of a referendum. But then, surprisingly, he won and there was no coalition partner. So paradoxically David Cameron became the real victim of his own victory."
Didn't we already know this?
What's worse is that the whole way Brexit has been handled by May since she became PM has been put the interests of the Tory party first.
All 17.4 million Tory voters?
She has not given the impression of recognising that the victory was 52:48 not 70:30 or 90:10. If circa 600,000 voters had voted Remain the victory would have been for Remain. That should have led to a serious attempt to find a solution that tried to overcome divisions not cement them.
Further her concern has been to appease the ERG and DUP, both of whom are unappeasable, pocket any concessions made to them and demand more. And now that we're facing a No Deal exit, the ERG and other Leavers are, contrary to what they said at the time, saying that No Deal is what the country voted for and it will all be fine. They have turned out to be liars.
As has May. Her idea of reaching out to others is to tell them that they have to agree with her.
Corbyn's idea of reaching out to others is to refuse to speak to them.
He also underestimates the appeal of no deal as it would bring the "Brexit yes or no" domination of the news to an end.
God, yes. I'm a political nerd, and I'm abso-fucking-lutely fed up with Brexit. The appeal of a 'simple' solution leading to it all going away is strong.
No deal, of course, would ironically lead to Brexit fall-out dominating the news for the next 2 years as a minimum. May's deal would (I think) be an all-round damp squib, news-wise.
No deal is also the only thing that frightens the EU. We have to mean it and if necessary go through with it. Joe public understands when you negotiate anything you have to be willing to walk away and the other side need to believe you will. We will.
What makes you think that the EU is frightened of No Deal?
The colour rapidly draining from Leo's face for starters. The Poles who broke ranks today to demand softening of back stop. Others will follow as it sinks it iis really happening The disruption that will follow no deal is not going to be containable to the UK. They understand this and we need to use it. T
I think the more telling comment from Poland is the accusation Ireland are dictating to the EU
Probably because Poland would like to do the same.
"A second security alert is underway in Londonderry after a Royal Mail van was hijacked at gunpoint and abandoned.
Police are currently at the scene of a security alert in the Circular Road area of Londonderry, while another security alert is taking place less than a mile away on Southway."
All worth it to reinstate properly bendy bananas.
You really think this is Brexit related?
No, after over a decade of relative calm, the resurgence of violence and bombs in N. Ireland at the time of intense political discord between the UK and Ireland, and the potential re-introduction of the border, is a complete coincidence.
Non-sarcastic response: I do.
Because hijacking a Royal Mail van is all about a hard border in Ireland..... non-sarcastic eye-roll.
Much more likely to be about where the border between one drugs gang and another is.
48 hours after a bomb goes off outside a courthouse, and is linked to dissident republicans.
It might be a coincidence, but flat out denial that's it's a possibility because you support Brexit is truly worth of an eye-roll.
You think dissident republicans arrived with Brexit?
Comments
And third.
No deal, of course, would ironically lead to Brexit fall-out dominating the news for the next 2 years as a minimum. May's deal would (I think) be an all-round damp squib, news-wise.
"I asked David Cameron, ‘Why did you decide on this referendum, this – it’s so dangerous, so even stupid, you know,’ and, he told me - and I was really amazed and even shocked - that the only reason was his own party, [He told me] he felt really safe, because he thought at the same time that there’s no risk of a referendum, because, his coalition partner, the Liberals, would block this idea of a referendum. But then, surprisingly, he won and there was no coalition partner. So paradoxically David Cameron became the real victim of his own victory."
But then so was Barak.
Huzzah for Harris!
Oh.
The only time I have come close to announcing support for him was joking "Vote for Trump, He'll be easier to impeach" That may well turn out to be prescient.
What's worse is that the whole way Brexit has been handled by May since she became PM has been put the interests of the Tory party first.
If only he had never had that bacon sandwich..
"and is of Tamil and Native Indian descent. Appropriately she chose today, Martin Luther King day, for the big announcement."
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oYOZ3IzRaf4
Barak root meaning relates to blessings. Kamala to completeness
On multiple counts.
No one knows how it will end, but I believe that the probability of a no-deal Brexit is higher than you think. Much higher."
https://www.ft.com/content/d468b1f6-1b41-11e9-9e64-d150b3105d21
Except contradiction doesn't seem to bother him in the slightest, to the extent he does not even try to sell it ...
What's the betting he flees to Moscow the day before he's supposed to hand over power in 2021, and rants at his equally daft followers over twitter for the next 20 years?
(And yes, I got the Culture Club reference...)
The idea that trying to resolve why your own voters are unhappy with Europe is "stupid" is so incredibly undemocratic.
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/derry-on-alert-second-bomb-scare-as-police-clear-homes-37732335.html
"A second security alert is underway in Londonderry after a Royal Mail van was hijacked at gunpoint and abandoned.
Police are currently at the scene of a security alert in the Circular Road area of Londonderry, while another security alert is taking place less than a mile away on Southway."
Although perhaps she'll hang on to most of them if she does go No Deal.
"It's what Churchill would have done..."
Non-sarcastic response: I do.
Which will be an improvement.
Much more likely to be about where the border between one drugs gang and another is.
Or they can just make it up.
Result: Washington spends the next decade in meltdown.
Concentrate on resolving the issues in front of us right now
It might be a coincidence, but flat out denial that's it's a possibility because you support Brexit is truly worth of an eye-roll.
https://twitter.com/KamalaHarris/status/735197253153914881
Of course, if she worked for a Japanese car company she'd be Toyota Harris.
Assuming he's not a fully-fledged asset, of course.
Eye-roll.....
You are ON FIRE.
This isn't going to end well.
Further her concern has been to appease the ERG and DUP, both of whom are unappeasable, pocket any concessions made to them and demand more. And now that we're facing a No Deal exit, the ERG and other Leavers are, contrary to what they said at the time, saying that No Deal is what the country voted for and it will all be fine. They have turned out to be liars.
As has May. Her idea of reaching out to others is to tell them that they have to agree with her.