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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The bookies open the Commons deal betting making rejection the

After yesterday’s historic agreement attention now turns to whether the House of Commons is going to accept what Mrs May has agreed with the EU.
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Thought that might happen.
Mueller getting closer to Nige according to latest reports that Jerome Corsi has been offered a plea bargain deal for perjury re Wikileaks and Assange...
https://twitter.com/sethabramson/status/1067082086559948801?s=21
https://twitter.com/sethabramson/status/1067083379328409602?s=21
If the deal fails. THEN you put the decision back to the people.
I expect Ken Clarke will pivot back to the people's vote after the deal is rejected.
On current numbers as advertised by the various interested groups, it looks like it will lose by well over 100.
Edit: Similarly, Labour say they are going to try to amend the bill to rule out 'no deal'. I've no idea how they could do this, but if they were successful, Leavers might prefer to back the deal rather than trash it in the hope of no deal.
Personally I expect it’ll be like 1972 all over again as Labour rebels come to the rescue of a Tory Prime Minister.
There’s an irony if that happens.
HAH !
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/margaret-thatcher-new-50-note-bank-england-scientist-shortlist-mark-carney-ada-lovelace-a8652816.html
(Thatcher won't be on any banknote in our lifetimes - she's far too polarising)
FPT: Mr. Pointer, I agree. This could still make it through the Commons.
To one extent, played right, a mammoth HoC defeat could assist May be the logic someone used to say a hung Parliament could help May in the negotiations. If after a mammoth defeat Varakar and Barnier get a fright and thing that actually a concession is needed on the subject of the backstop in order to rescue the deal then that should guarantee the deal goes through on the second go.
As it stands I think this deal is a 'bad deal' and agree with May's maxim that 'no deal is better than a bad deal'. If OTOH the backstop was fixed then the meat of the rest of the deal is acceptable. I suspect reading between the lines most Tory MPs opposed to this would agree.
Eliminate the backstop you eliminate the rebellion and ultimately we [almost] all want there to be a deal, we just disagree on how to get there.
https://twitter.com/politicshome/status/1067093123564634112
When the people had a say it was vital parliament be given the opportunity to block it. Now parliament has a say it is apparently vital that the people must be able to overturn it in favour of remaining. It seems clear that contrary to her initial claims her only principle here is that we must remain.
https://twitter.com/JGForsyth/status/1067094241854271490
Are there any leavers enthusiastic about this deal? The fact so many remainers are says a lot about how much this is a betrayal. Remainers cheering on this deal says about as much as if McDonnell was cheering on a Tory budget.
What a mess.
Different queues, not jumping the queue.
Also not possible to jump a queue that doesn't exist.
Not sure whether the speaker would allow the amendment though.
Could this be the comfort blanket the wobbly Tory Brexiters need?
Edit. Malcolm got in first!
https://twitter.com/SkySportsF1/status/1067098713502490624
But then Labour want FoM......
I thank you.