In Rowan County, Kentucky, Kim Davis — who made headlines for refusing to issue same-sex marriage licenses in 2015 — is currently trailing in her re-election race.
On the Kim Davis race in Rowan County, with 12 of 19 precincts reporting: Davis (R): 1783 Caudill (D): 2172@heraldleader @BGPolitics
Love the way VA is instantly called for Kaine and the initial vote has him on 25%. The most extreme example is Cook County/Illinois, but VA has massive urban-rural polarisation too.
In the Governors' races in Florida the GOP lead 52% to 46% with 2% in, in Georgia the GOP lead 76% to 23% with less than 1% in and in South Carolina the GOP lead 53% to 46% with less than 1% in
"In my home state of Florida, preliminary early exits (which, as we continue to reiterate, are fluid!) show 51 percent of voters approving of the job Trump is doing as president. If this holds, it may portend good things for Ron DeSantis and Rick Scott."
"In my home state of Florida, preliminary early exits (which, as we continue to reiterate, are fluid!) show 51 percent of voters approving of the job Trump is doing as president. If this holds, it may portend good things for Ron DeSantis and Rick Scott."
Watching CNN and Fox News side by side. It's noticeable how CNN concentrates on talking up what the Dems are doing, while Fox gives more sheer general numbers. Fox's operation is much bigger than CNN though, it has to be said.
Some areas of London seem to have become much safer than they used to be: the area of Brent around Harlesden used to be notorious but there have only been two murders in the borough as a whole over the last 18 months.
As others have noted, King's X is the obvious counter-example. Where I used to score smack or go to derelict warehouse raves there are now starry restaurants, piazzas, and St Martins School of Art, It is a miraculous transformation: King's Cross is now cited, across the world, as THE model of post-industrial urban regeneration. Architects and planners come from across the world to see what we did.
The trouble is that even as inner city areas like King's Cross, Holborn, Paddington, etc, have been reborn, the crime has merely shifted, not vanished. The inner suburbs have declined: places like Harlesden or Wembley, once tedious but safe, are now dangerous and crime-ridden.
Hey.We probs went to the same raves . You didn't hang around SOAS pool tables did you ?
Betfair, perhaps driven by the 538 forecast which has just moved bluer, now has the Demos as more likely to take the house than GOP are to keep the senate. 1/6 vs 1/5.
So far, the House results all look pretty good for the Dems, while the Senate looks poor for them.
Weirdly, 538 has IN on 84% chance of going GOP now, but their topline Senate figure has actually ticked slightly Dem. Not sure what other races the difference is coming from.
Its very dull that US just call them district # e.g. VA #7 etc....We all love the weird and wonderful constituency names in the UK.
Dunny on the Wold rules OK.
Some of the districts are so weirdly gerrymandered that it’d be next to impossible to give them meaningful geographical names. You’d have to name them by their shape: “I call upon the gentleman from A Spider F*** ing A Crab to present his bill.”
Comments
On the Kim Davis race in Rowan County, with 12 of 19 precincts reporting:
Davis (R): 1783
Caudill (D): 2172@heraldleader @BGPolitics
I blame my metropolitan education.
Not a particularly gutsy call considering it's a district that is R+40 on Cook.
GOP ahead 53% to 47% in Fla 26 and 74% to 24% in VA 7 but less than 1% in
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/11/06/us/elections/results-house-elections.html
Oh come that's a porn star name and not the real name of the Republican candidate in the Virginia 5th.
The gap in Indiana still seems ominously big, though.
Blinking early results.
In Indiana the GOP lead 58% to 38% with 8% in
I drink Canadian Club on US election nights.
"In my home state of Florida, preliminary early exits (which, as we continue to reiterate, are fluid!) show 51 percent of voters approving of the job Trump is doing as president. If this holds, it may portend good things for Ron DeSantis and Rick Scott."
To be honest, I find American whiskey pretty uninspiring.
Edit to add: though Monkey's Shoulder is quite nice.
They haven't met our @AndyJS and his spreadsheets.
I didn't say they weren't empty...
Rather you than me!
White, wealthy suburban seats are going sharply Democrat. This bodes well for the Dems in California and Texas.
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