Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It is now a 33% chance on the betting markets that there’ll be

2»

Comments

  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,158
    edited October 2018
    kingbongo said:

    I enjoyed watching that Apple product launch more than Spreadsheet Phil at the same time yesterday. Pretty sure Tim Cook's announcements will improve my life more than Phil's, too.

    What new Apple product/function/feature?
    Both the Mac mini and the MacBook Air are spot on for what I need. I'm currently working with a couple of old Mac minis but they're starting to show their age.

    Francis - well, depends what you want to do with it; I do a reasonably unique combination of *nix-based programming, graphic design, and Xcode, and the Mac is the only platform that offers two of those (no Adobe Illustrator on Linux, no *nix on Windows - the Ubuntu-lite doesn't really hack it for the stuff I need to do) let alone the third.
    Software tools...what are they...I saw some videos of legendary hacker and brains behind a competitor to Tesla’s “self-driving “ car George hotz....he uses VIM for everything....no VS, xCode, JetBrains for him! He has literally coded a load of deep learning AI that is basically as good as Tesla in a crap text editor

    The man is more bonkers than his hero Elon musk after an evening with joe rogan.
    VIM is a great text editor. I miss it now. Way fancier than vi.
    we coded most of Barclay’s Capital’s trading interfaces in vi - no VIM bollocks, proper vi. As far as I know my code is still processing millions of pounds of trading in various exotic instruments - I wish we’d had IntelliJ! We did it in vi because our boss was a cheapskate not because it was hardcore
    These day for the cheapstakes out there atom is the way forward.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426
    I would like some of whatever Mr Bennathon QC is smoking:

    Russell Bishop trial: Girl's father accused of killings
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-sussex-46032500

    You wonder if he's fully thought through the implications of saying that.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208
    Pulpstar said:

    Scott_P said:
    That sounds like good news for Cruz on the surface to me.
    I wouldn't think so. Hispanics typically break 2:1 for the Democrats and they really hate Trump, even those supporting the Republicans

    http://www.pewhispanic.org/2018/10/25/hispanic-voters-and-the-2018-midterm-elections/
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,621
    edited October 2018
    Pulpstar said:

    If the UK government reaches a deal with the EU, but parliament rejects the deal, then I think an election is quite possible. A 33% chance sounds too high, though.

    Better off to bet on the midterms at the moment I think !
    I'm betting on the Republicans winning Senate seats in N Dakota, Missouri and Nevada to offset my bet on a "no majority"under Betfair terms which wins if Democrats get 47-50 seats (I think). I've also laid Republicans in Arizona at 1.9 following you.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,176
    edb said:

    More likely to vote as well?

    Still seems a little odd as a targeting strategy.

    Yes, and a sizeable majority would be remainers.

    It also might have been done with a view to softening the blow of future interest rate rises.
  • kingbongokingbongo Posts: 393

    kingbongo said:

    I enjoyed watching that Apple product launch more than Spreadsheet Phil at the same time yesterday. Pretty sure Tim Cook's announcements will improve my life more than Phil's, too.

    What new Apple product/function/feature?
    Both the Mac mini and the MacBook Air are spot on for what I need. I'm currently working with a couple of old Mac minis but they're starting to show their age.

    Francis - well, depends what you want to do with it; I do a reasonably unique combination of *nix-based programming, graphic design, and Xcode, and the Mac is the only platform that offers two of those (no Adobe Illustrator on Linux, no *nix on Windows - the Ubuntu-lite doesn't really hack it for the stuff I need to do) let alone the third.
    Software tools...what are they...I saw some videos of legendary hacker and brains behind a competitor to Tesla’s “self-driving “ car George hotz....he uses VIM for everything....no VS, xCode, JetBrains for him! He has literally coded a load of deep learning AI that is basically as good as Tesla in a crap text editor

    The man is more bonkers than his hero Elon musk after an evening with joe rogan.
    VIM is a great text editor. I miss it now. Way fancier than vi.
    we coded most of Barclay’s Capital’s trading interfaces in vi - no VIM bollocks, proper vi. As far as I know my code is still processing millions of pounds of trading in various exotic instruments - I wish we’d had IntelliJ! We did it in vi because our boss was a cheapskate not because it was hardcore
    These day for the cheapstakes out there atom is the way forward.
    yeah I like Atom - now ensconced in academia I get intellij free from jetbrain but most of my students use atom or vs code
  • NorthofStokeNorthofStoke Posts: 1,758

    kingbongo said:

    I enjoyed watching that Apple product launch more than Spreadsheet Phil at the same time yesterday. Pretty sure Tim Cook's announcements will improve my life more than Phil's, too.

    What new Apple product/function/feature?
    Both the Mac mini and the MacBook Air are spot on for what I need. I'm currently working with a couple of old Mac minis but they're starting to show their age.

    Francis - well, depends what you want to do with it; I do a reasonably unique combination of *nix-based programming, graphic design, and Xcode, and the Mac is the only platform that offers two of those (no Adobe Illustrator on Linux, no *nix on Windows - the Ubuntu-lite doesn't really hack it for the stuff I need to do) let alone the third.
    Software tools...what are they...I saw some videos of legendary hacker and brains behind a competitor to Tesla’s “self-driving “ car George hotz....he uses VIM for everything....no VS, xCode, JetBrains for him! He has literally coded a load of deep learning AI that is basically as good as Tesla in a crap text editor

    The man is more bonkers than his hero Elon musk after an evening with joe rogan.
    VIM is a great text editor. I miss it now. Way fancier than vi.
    we coded most of Barclay’s Capital’s trading interfaces in vi - no VIM bollocks, proper vi. As far as I know my code is still processing millions of pounds of trading in various exotic instruments - I wish we’d had IntelliJ! We did it in vi because our boss was a cheapskate not because it was hardcore
    These day for the cheapstakes out there atom is the way forward.
    Eclipse is pretty good and very comprehensive and free.
  • FF43 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Scott_P said:
    That sounds like good news for Cruz on the surface to me.
    I wouldn't think so. Hispanics typically break 2:1 for the Democrats and they really hate Trump, even those supporting the Republicans

    http://www.pewhispanic.org/2018/10/25/hispanic-voters-and-the-2018-midterm-elections/
    Beware of the Base Rate Fallacy:

    https://theconversation.com/paradoxes-of-probability-and-other-statistical-strangeness-74440
  • RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679

    IanB2 said:

    Mr. Nabavi, if the acceptance or rejection of a deal is the purpose of a GE, why can't that be the purpose of a referendum?

    Why is it possible to hold a campaign about the deal for a GE but not for a referendum, which would be more limited as it wouldn't have to consider the full scope of an election and could focus solely on the deal, which would (as we've agreed) be at the heart of a General Election anyway?

    Because the word "Referendum" is like a red rag to a bull for the Brexiteer Ultras. The govt would be well advised to look up the old adage about tails and legs....

    Yesterday sounded like an election budget. Somebody is taking one heck of a gamble with the country's finances in order to hold the Tory party together for six months.
    So somebody has identified higher rate taxpayers as the critical swing voters?
    John McDonnell seems to have done so.
    I have a feeling that Labour's path to a majority might well be easier via seaside resorts and market towns in the south and south east than by trying to win back in Scotland. He may well know exactly what he is doing. His problem is the Brexit supporting working class voters in the Midlands and North. They are also pretty left wing and may not be keen on Corbyn and McDonnell moving to the centre.
  • FenmanFenman Posts: 1,047

    Mike Ashley’s Sports Direct has bought Evans Cycles out of administration but has warned it may have to close half the specialist retailer’s 62 stores putting hundreds of jobs at risk.

    Mike Ashley is good at that.
  • NorthofStokeNorthofStoke Posts: 1,758
    kingbongo said:

    I enjoyed watching that Apple product launch more than Spreadsheet Phil at the same time yesterday. Pretty sure Tim Cook's announcements will improve my life more than Phil's, too.

    What new Apple product/function/feature?
    Both the Mac mini and the MacBook Air are spot on for what I need. I'm currently working with a couple of old Mac minis but they're starting to show their age.

    Francis - well, depends what you want to do with it; I do a reasonably unique combination of *nix-based programming, graphic design, and Xcode, and the Mac is the only platform that offers two of those (no Adobe Illustrator on Linux, no *nix on Windows - the Ubuntu-lite doesn't really hack it for the stuff I need to do) let alone the third.
    Software tools...what are they...I saw some videos of legendary hacker and brains behind a competitor to Tesla’s “self-driving “ car George hotz....he uses VIM for everything....no VS, xCode, JetBrains for him! He has literally coded a load of deep learning AI that is basically as good as Tesla in a crap text editor

    The man is more bonkers than his hero Elon musk after an evening with joe rogan.
    VIM is a great text editor. I miss it now. Way fancier than vi.
    we coded most of Barclay’s Capital’s trading interfaces in vi - no VIM bollocks, proper vi. As far as I know my code is still processing millions of pounds of trading in various exotic instruments - I wish we’d had IntelliJ! We did it in vi because our boss was a cheapskate not because it was hardcore
    VI? PAH, Luxury! Doing an emergency code fix in ed is real programming.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Scott_P said:
    I think there have been early voting changes between 2014 and 2018 in Texas so dangerous to conpare.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426

    IanB2 said:

    Mr. Nabavi, if the acceptance or rejection of a deal is the purpose of a GE, why can't that be the purpose of a referendum?

    Why is it possible to hold a campaign about the deal for a GE but not for a referendum, which would be more limited as it wouldn't have to consider the full scope of an election and could focus solely on the deal, which would (as we've agreed) be at the heart of a General Election anyway?

    Because the word "Referendum" is like a red rag to a bull for the Brexiteer Ultras. The govt would be well advised to look up the old adage about tails and legs....

    Yesterday sounded like an election budget. Somebody is taking one heck of a gamble with the country's finances in order to hold the Tory party together for six months.
    So somebody has identified higher rate taxpayers as the critical swing voters?
    John McDonnell seems to have done so.
    I have a feeling that Labour's path to a majority might well be easier via seaside resorts and market towns in the south and south east than by trying to win back in Scotland. He may well know exactly what he is doing. His problem is the Brexit supporting working class voters in the Midlands and North. They are also pretty left wing and may not be keen on Corbyn and McDonnell moving to the centre.
    I would agree with you, insofar as I see there being little chance of winning back Scotland.

    I just can't see how they win the Southern market towns and the Northern marginals - some of which are very marginal. This was the strategy Theresa May followed and it turned out she offered something that didn't quite attract Northerners while firmly repelling Southerners.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208

    FF43 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Scott_P said:
    That sounds like good news for Cruz on the surface to me.
    I wouldn't think so. Hispanics typically break 2:1 for the Democrats and they really hate Trump, even those supporting the Republicans

    http://www.pewhispanic.org/2018/10/25/hispanic-voters-and-the-2018-midterm-elections/
    Beware of the Base Rate Fallacy:

    https://theconversation.com/paradoxes-of-probability-and-other-statistical-strangeness-74440
    I see what you are saying. Focus on the smaller percentage increase in white voters because the absolute numbers are bigger. Fair enough. I was concentrating on higher turnout of Hispanics as good news for O'Rourk for specific reasons. But there's another fallacy in assuming that people who haven't voted before but do so this time are the same as those that always vote. Whites are a more disparate group of voters than Hispanics and are more evenly balanced between Republicans and Democrats.

    Overall I think this is probably good news for O'Rourke, but he does have significant ground to make up.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,749
    edited October 2018

    Jobs over £40K:

    https://www.jobsite.co.uk/jobs/permanent?salary=40000&salarytypeid=1

    Jobs like Registered Nurse, Chartered Surveyor, software developers, solicitors, sales managers...

    Where are you finding yer average nurse on £40k?
    I'm not. I posted a link to jobs in that range, which includes the jobs I mentioned.
    A nurse on £40k would have a lot of responsibilities and skills. And I mean a lot.
    Including making sure the junior doctors on £60k don't make any f-ups.
    In my day the first couple of weeks in February and August could be hair-raising. Junior docs in the first few years don’t get £60k
    To be paid at £40k a Nurse would have to be upper band 7, such as an experienced Ward Sister:

    https://www.nhsemployers.org/your-workforce/pay-and-reward/agenda-for-change/pay-scales/annual

    Mrs Foxy has 25 years experience and paid as senior band 5, so about £26k WTE, though she works 60% WTE.

    A Junior doctor starts on 26k, and to reach £60k would have to be just short of Consultant and paid considerable additional duty payments.

    https://www.hospitaldr.co.uk/blogs/guidance/hospital-doctor-pay-scales-for-2016-2017-nhs-consultant
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787

    kingbongo said:

    I enjoyed watching that Apple product launch more than Spreadsheet Phil at the same time yesterday. Pretty sure Tim Cook's announcements will improve my life more than Phil's, too.

    What new Apple product/function/feature?
    Both the Mac mini and the MacBook Air are spot on for what I need. I'm currently working with a couple of old Mac minis but they're starting to show their age.

    Francis - well, depends what you want to do with it; I do a reasonably unique combination of *nix-based programming, graphic design, and Xcode, and the Mac is the only platform that offers two of those (no Adobe Illustrator on Linux, no *nix on Windows - the Ubuntu-lite doesn't really hack it for the stuff I need to do) let alone the third.
    Software tools...what are they...I saw some videos of legendary hacker and brains behind a competitor to Tesla’s “self-driving “ car George hotz....he uses VIM for everything....no VS, xCode, JetBrains for him! He has literally coded a load of deep learning AI that is basically as good as Tesla in a crap text editor

    The man is more bonkers than his hero Elon musk after an evening with joe rogan.
    VIM is a great text editor. I miss it now. Way fancier than vi.
    we coded most of Barclay’s Capital’s trading interfaces in vi - no VIM bollocks, proper vi. As far as I know my code is still processing millions of pounds of trading in various exotic instruments - I wish we’d had IntelliJ! We did it in vi because our boss was a cheapskate not because it was hardcore
    These day for the cheapstakes out there atom is the way forward.
    Eclipse is pretty good and very comprehensive and free.
    It's a bit of a Swiss Army Chainsaw though.
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787
    edited October 2018
    FF43 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Scott_P said:
    That sounds like good news for Cruz on the surface to me.
    I wouldn't think so. Hispanics typically break 2:1 for the Democrats and they really hate Trump, even those supporting the Republicans

    http://www.pewhispanic.org/2018/10/25/hispanic-voters-and-the-2018-midterm-elections/
    Cruz might be Hispanic himself but he's of Cuban descent. Most Hispanics in Mexico are either indigenous (were there when the Americans first started rocking up into the Estado Libre y Soberano de Coahuila y Tejas) or hail from other parts of Mexico. Cuban-Americans tend to the GOP because communism. Non-Cuban Hispanics tend to the Dems.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    vim is life
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936
    Alistair said:

    vim is life

    This is why I don't want a new macbook.. no escape key.
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    Fenman said:

    Mike Ashley’s Sports Direct has bought Evans Cycles out of administration but has warned it may have to close half the specialist retailer’s 62 stores putting hundreds of jobs at risk.

    Mike Ashley is good at that.
    What would you have him do? Let it go bust and let them all lose their jobs?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,749

    Fenman said:

    Mike Ashley’s Sports Direct has bought Evans Cycles out of administration but has warned it may have to close half the specialist retailer’s 62 stores putting hundreds of jobs at risk.

    Mike Ashley is good at that.
    What would you have him do? Let it go bust and let them all lose their jobs?
    It is going to be a grim winter for retail, unless the High st has a corker of a Chritmas and it is hard to see that:

    https://twitter.com/MattWhittakerRF/status/1057228809139838976?s=19
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Scott_P said:
    That sounds like good news for Cruz on the surface to me.
    I wouldn't think so. Hispanics typically break 2:1 for the Democrats and they really hate Trump, even those supporting the Republicans

    http://www.pewhispanic.org/2018/10/25/hispanic-voters-and-the-2018-midterm-elections/
    Beware of the Base Rate Fallacy:

    https://theconversation.com/paradoxes-of-probability-and-other-statistical-strangeness-74440
    I see what you are saying. Focus on the smaller percentage increase in white voters because the absolute numbers are bigger. Fair enough. I was concentrating on higher turnout of Hispanics as good news for O'Rourk for specific reasons. But there's another fallacy in assuming that people who haven't voted before but do so this time are the same as those that always vote. Whites are a more disparate group of voters than Hispanics and are more evenly balanced between Republicans and Democrats.

    Overall I think this is probably good news for O'Rourke, but he does have significant ground to make up.
    The 508% increase under of voters under 30 vs 96% of voters over 65 also sounds good for O'Rourke. But I think this is pretty much all just tea-leaf reading
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Scott_P said:
    That sounds like good news for Cruz on the surface to me.
    I wouldn't think so. Hispanics typically break 2:1 for the Democrats and they really hate Trump, even those supporting the Republicans

    http://www.pewhispanic.org/2018/10/25/hispanic-voters-and-the-2018-midterm-elections/
    Beware of the Base Rate Fallacy:

    https://theconversation.com/paradoxes-of-probability-and-other-statistical-strangeness-74440
    I see what you are saying. Focus on the smaller percentage increase in white voters because the absolute numbers are bigger. Fair enough. I was concentrating on higher turnout of Hispanics as good news for O'Rourk for specific reasons. But there's another fallacy in assuming that people who haven't voted before but do so this time are the same as those that always vote. Whites are a more disparate group of voters than Hispanics and are more evenly balanced between Republicans and Democrats.

    Overall I think this is probably good news for O'Rourke, but he does have significant ground to make up.
    The 508% increase under of voters under 30 vs 96% of voters over 65 also sounds good for O'Rourke. But I think this is pretty much all just tea-leaf reading
    Whites could go either way. It could be base turning out to defend a close race. It could be anti-Trump anti-Cruz types seeing the prospect of an upset. The Texas characteristics are normally more turnout and an electorate that is more Republican than the Texas population at large, which might suggest more of the latter than the former. Hispanics are definitely good news for the Democrats. Against this, O'Rourke has 10 points out so to make up. It's a big ask.
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    Foxy said:

    Fenman said:

    Mike Ashley’s Sports Direct has bought Evans Cycles out of administration but has warned it may have to close half the specialist retailer’s 62 stores putting hundreds of jobs at risk.

    Mike Ashley is good at that.
    What would you have him do? Let it go bust and let them all lose their jobs?
    It is going to be a grim winter for retail, unless the High st has a corker of a Chritmas and it is hard to see that:

    https://twitter.com/MattWhittakerRF/status/1057228809139838976?s=19
    AShly is saving something that would have gone bust and people try to diss him for
    it....Jeez
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,239
    RobD said:

    Alistair said:

    vim is life

    This is why I don't want a new macbook.. no escape key.
    Today's MacBook Air does have one, I think.

    (TextMate all the way for me, though.)
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,237
    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    IanB2 said:

    Mr. Nabavi, if the acceptance or rejection of a deal is the purpose of a GE, why can't that be the purpose of a referendum?

    Why is it possible to hold a campaign about the deal for a GE but not for a referendum, which would be more limited as it wouldn't have to consider the full scope of an election and could focus solely on the deal, which would (as we've agreed) be at the heart of a General Election anyway?

    Because the word "Referendum" is like a red rag to a bull for the Brexiteer Ultras. The govt would be well advised to look up the old adage about tails and legs....

    Yesterday sounded like an election budget. Somebody is taking one heck of a gamble with the country's finances in order to hold the Tory party together for six months.
    So somebody has identified higher rate taxpayers as the critical swing voters?
    John McDonnell seems to have done so.
    In parts of London and the South, they may well be.
    all those marginals in the home counties
    Overall, 14% of taxpayers are subject to the 40% rate. There are probably constituencies where that proportion reaches 30%+.
    I would have thought there were constituencies where more than half of households contained a higher rate taxpayer.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,181

    Foxy said:

    Fenman said:

    Mike Ashley’s Sports Direct has bought Evans Cycles out of administration but has warned it may have to close half the specialist retailer’s 62 stores putting hundreds of jobs at risk.

    Mike Ashley is good at that.
    What would you have him do? Let it go bust and let them all lose their jobs?
    It is going to be a grim winter for retail, unless the High st has a corker of a Chritmas and it is hard to see that:

    https://twitter.com/MattWhittakerRF/status/1057228809139838976?s=19
    AShly is saving something that would have gone bust and people try to diss him for
    it....Jeez
    He doesn't sound like a very pleasant man or boss, but I'm hard pressed to be outraged at half the jobs being at risk when apparently all of them were going to be at risk, or not even at risk, just gone.
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487

    Jobs over £40K:

    https://www.jobsite.co.uk/jobs/permanent?salary=40000&salarytypeid=1

    Jobs like Registered Nurse, Chartered Surveyor, software developers, solicitors, sales managers...

    Where are you finding yer average nurse on £40k?
    I'm not. I posted a link to jobs in that range, which includes the jobs I mentioned.
    A nurse on £40k would have a lot of responsibilities and skills. And I mean a lot.
    Of course. But this is not someone that would be regarded as rich, which what the discussion was about.
    I never mentioned rich. I was making the point that describing someone in the top decile of income as Middle Class is a bit silly.
    Surely there is a large regional element? £65-75k down here doesn’t feel rich...
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,237

    We do live in a strange political climate...spreadsheet Phil tried to increase tax on higher rate self employed last year, this year he is giving them a tax cut.

    It's called learning from experience!
    The thing is we aren’t really addressing the issues (and I say that as somebody who would have paid more last year but didn’t think it was unreasonable). it just highlights that tax system is a mess. Combining NI and IC would be a good start*.

    * Yes I know oldies get hit, but can’t be beyond the wit of man to work out a solution to that.
    The solution being to allowed the ancient wrinklies to take a hit for a change?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,237

    I enjoyed watching that Apple product launch more than Spreadsheet Phil at the same time yesterday. Pretty sure Tim Cook's announcements will improve my life more than Phil's, too.

    What new Apple product/function/feature?
    Both the Mac mini and the MacBook Air are spot on for what I need. I'm currently working with a couple of old Mac minis but they're starting to show their age.

    Francis - well, depends what you want to do with it; I do a reasonably unique combination of *nix-based programming, graphic design, and Xcode, and the Mac is the only platform that offers two of those (no Adobe Illustrator on Linux, no *nix on Windows - the Ubuntu-lite doesn't really hack it for the stuff I need to do) let alone the third.
    Software tools...what are they...I saw some videos of legendary hacker and brains behind a competitor to Tesla’s “self-driving “ car George hotz....he uses VIM for everything....no VS, xCode, JetBrains for him! He has literally coded a load of deep learning AI that is basically as good as Tesla in a crap text editor

    The man is more bonkers than his hero Elon musk after an evening with joe rogan.
    To be fair, a lot of people customise their VIM so much that they have pretty much all the features of an IDE.

    Personally, I love Sublime Text - it's a perfect medium between VI/VIM and an IDE.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,237
    Sean_F said:

    The Courts would certainly strike that down. He'd need a constitutional amendment/
    Although Kavanaugh's minority decision supporting the executive order would be interesting to read.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,237
    kingbongo said:

    I enjoyed watching that Apple product launch more than Spreadsheet Phil at the same time yesterday. Pretty sure Tim Cook's announcements will improve my life more than Phil's, too.

    What new Apple product/function/feature?
    Both the Mac mini and the MacBook Air are spot on for what I need. I'm currently working with a couple of old Mac minis but they're starting to show their age.

    Francis - well, depends what you want to do with it; I do a reasonably unique combination of *nix-based programming, graphic design, and Xcode, and the Mac is the only platform that offers two of those (no Adobe Illustrator on Linux, no *nix on Windows - the Ubuntu-lite doesn't really hack it for the stuff I need to do) let alone the third.
    Software tools...what are they...I saw some videos of legendary hacker and brains behind a competitor to Tesla’s “self-driving “ car George hotz....he uses VIM for everything....no VS, xCode, JetBrains for him! He has literally coded a load of deep learning AI that is basically as good as Tesla in a crap text editor

    The man is more bonkers than his hero Elon musk after an evening with joe rogan.
    VIM is a great text editor. I miss it now. Way fancier than vi.
    we coded most of Barclay’s Capital’s trading interfaces in vi - no VIM bollocks, proper vi. As far as I know my code is still processing millions of pounds of trading in various exotic instruments - I wish we’d had IntelliJ! We did it in vi because our boss was a cheapskate not because it was hardcore
    You lucky bastard. We had edlin.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,237

    kingbongo said:

    I enjoyed watching that Apple product launch more than Spreadsheet Phil at the same time yesterday. Pretty sure Tim Cook's announcements will improve my life more than Phil's, too.

    What new Apple product/function/feature?
    Both the Mac mini and the MacBook Air are spot on for what I need. I'm currently working with a couple of old Mac minis but they're starting to show their age.

    Francis - well, depends what you want to do with it; I do a reasonably unique combination of *nix-based programming, graphic design, and Xcode, and the Mac is the only platform that offers two of those (no Adobe Illustrator on Linux, no *nix on Windows - the Ubuntu-lite doesn't really hack it for the stuff I need to do) let alone the third.
    Software tools...what are they...I saw some videos of legendary hacker and brains behind a competitor to Tesla’s “self-driving “ car George hotz....he uses VIM for everything....no VS, xCode, JetBrains for him! He has literally coded a load of deep learning AI that is basically as good as Tesla in a crap text editor

    The man is more bonkers than his hero Elon musk after an evening with joe rogan.
    VIM is a great text editor. I miss it now. Way fancier than vi.
    we coded most of Barclay’s Capital’s trading interfaces in vi - no VIM bollocks, proper vi. As far as I know my code is still processing millions of pounds of trading in various exotic instruments - I wish we’d had IntelliJ! We did it in vi because our boss was a cheapskate not because it was hardcore
    These day for the cheapstakes out there atom is the way forward.
    Eclipse is pretty good and very comprehensive and free.
    I can't afford a machine that will run Eclipse at a reasonable speed, sadly.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,728
    edited October 2018
    What, no-one's mentioned emacs yet? ;)

    Though I admit to being on the vi side of that war.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 6,823
    The Tories won’t force an election whilst JC is leader imho. Perhaps the only glue that holds them together is a sense of trying to keep him out of No.10.

    If Labour change their leader and they are slightly less loony than Uncle Jez, I think that glue might start to unstick a little, bit at that point it depends on how Labour are doing in the polls. Remember the biggest motivator for an MP is keeping their job.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,781
    rcs1000 said:

    kingbongo said:

    I enjoyed watching that Apple product launch more than Spreadsheet Phil at the same time yesterday. Pretty sure Tim Cook's announcements will improve my life more than Phil's, too.

    What new Apple product/function/feature?
    Both the Mac mini and the MacBook Air are spot on for what I need. I'm currently working with a couple of old Mac minis but they're starting to show their age.

    Francis - well, depends what you want to do with it; I do a reasonably unique combination of *nix-based programming, graphic design, and Xcode, and the Mac is the only platform that offers two of those (no Adobe Illustrator on Linux, no *nix on Windows - the Ubuntu-lite doesn't really hack it for the stuff I need to do) let alone the third.
    Software tools...what are they...I saw some videos of legendary hacker and brains behind a competitor to Tesla’s “self-driving “ car George hotz....he uses VIM for everything....no VS, xCode, JetBrains for him! He has literally coded a load of deep learning AI that is basically as good as Tesla in a crap text editor

    The man is more bonkers than his hero Elon musk after an evening with joe rogan.
    VIM is a great text editor. I miss it now. Way fancier than vi.
    we coded most of Barclay’s Capital’s trading interfaces in vi - no VIM bollocks, proper vi. As far as I know my code is still processing millions of pounds of trading in various exotic instruments - I wish we’d had IntelliJ! We did it in vi because our boss was a cheapskate not because it was hardcore
    These day for the cheapstakes out there atom is the way forward.
    Eclipse is pretty good and very comprehensive and free.
    I can't afford a machine that will run Eclipse at a reasonable speed, sadly.
    What could you do with Eclipse?
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487
    Sean

    As most will know, I’m a ‘low-tax leftie’ - the higher rate was never meant to capture teachers and planners and the like. High time it was adjusted. This is a modest change.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992

    The Tories won’t force an election whilst JC is leader imho. Perhaps the only glue that holds them together is a sense of trying to keep him out of No.10.

    If Labour change their leader and they are slightly less loony than Uncle Jez, I think that glue might start to unstick a little, bit at that point it depends on how Labour are doing in the polls. Remember the biggest motivator for an MP is keeping their job.

    You're kidding.

    If JC goes and someone less bonkers takes over they run the real risk of losing hitherto Cons voters who dislike the direction of their now ERG-infested party and might easily lend their vote to Labour.

    Me for instance.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,749

    Foxy said:

    Fenman said:

    Mike Ashley’s Sports Direct has bought Evans Cycles out of administration but has warned it may have to close half the specialist retailer’s 62 stores putting hundreds of jobs at risk.

    Mike Ashley is good at that.
    What would you have him do? Let it go bust and let them all lose their jobs?
    It is going to be a grim winter for retail, unless the High st has a corker of a Chritmas and it is hard to see that:

    https://twitter.com/MattWhittakerRF/status/1057228809139838976?s=19
    AShly is saving something that would have gone bust and people try to diss him for
    it....Jeez
    I am not dissing him, though no fan of his businesses. There is plenty of scope in downmarket retail, it seems to be middle market where the stress is. Just pointing out that if businesses are going but now, then even more will after Christmas.

    Quite glad we had Vichai rather than him as owner of the footy though! .

  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426
    TOPPING said:

    The Tories won’t force an election whilst JC is leader imho. Perhaps the only glue that holds them together is a sense of trying to keep him out of No.10.

    If Labour change their leader and they are slightly less loony than Uncle Jez, I think that glue might start to unstick a little, bit at that point it depends on how Labour are doing in the polls. Remember the biggest motivator for an MP is keeping their job.

    You're kidding.

    If JC goes and someone less bonkers takes over they run the real risk of losing hitherto Cons voters who dislike the direction of their now ERG-infested party and might easily lend their vote to Labour.

    Me for instance.
    Or me. By far the Tories' best chance of a majority is if they are up against the Jezaster.

    Whether that's in their interests, or the country's interests, is a different matter. I would say not. I think the Tories are ready for five years in opposition. But there's little danger of them going there unless somebody sane and competent is leading Labour.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Foxy said:

    Fenman said:

    Mike Ashley’s Sports Direct has bought Evans Cycles out of administration but has warned it may have to close half the specialist retailer’s 62 stores putting hundreds of jobs at risk.

    Mike Ashley is good at that.
    What would you have him do? Let it go bust and let them all lose their jobs?
    It is going to be a grim winter for retail, unless the High st has a corker of a Chritmas and it is hard to see that:

    https://twitter.com/MattWhittakerRF/status/1057228809139838976?s=19
    Although I was at Brent Cross shopping centre at the weekend and it was heaving
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487
    Charles said:

    Foxy said:

    Fenman said:

    Mike Ashley’s Sports Direct has bought Evans Cycles out of administration but has warned it may have to close half the specialist retailer’s 62 stores putting hundreds of jobs at risk.

    Mike Ashley is good at that.
    What would you have him do? Let it go bust and let them all lose their jobs?
    It is going to be a grim winter for retail, unless the High st has a corker of a Chritmas and it is hard to see that:

    https://twitter.com/MattWhittakerRF/status/1057228809139838976?s=19
    Although I was at Brent Cross shopping centre at the weekend and it was heaving
    Statistics, versus PB Tory anecdote.

    :)
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,781
    TOPPING said:

    The Tories won’t force an election whilst JC is leader imho. Perhaps the only glue that holds them together is a sense of trying to keep him out of No.10.

    If Labour change their leader and they are slightly less loony than Uncle Jez, I think that glue might start to unstick a little, bit at that point it depends on how Labour are doing in the polls. Remember the biggest motivator for an MP is keeping their job.

    You're kidding.

    If JC goes and someone less bonkers takes over they run the real risk of losing hitherto Cons voters who dislike the direction of their now ERG-infested party and might easily lend their vote to Labour.

    Me for instance.
    There are two things that the Tory MPs have to deliver - Brexit (in some manner), and not Corbyn.

    Brexit, just because of conservatism with a small c. (Self-respect)
    'Not Corbyn' because he's an idiot.

    I think that there's a good chance that #1 will pan out. I don't think there's any chance at all though that the woeful thinking that can empower Corbyn will demise when he does. Do we really have to go through the charade of a Corbyn government just to establish once again how bankrupt of practicality the left are?
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487

    The Tories won’t force an election whilst JC is leader imho. Perhaps the only glue that holds them together is a sense of trying to keep him out of No.10.

    If Labour change their leader and they are slightly less loony than Uncle Jez, I think that glue might start to unstick a little, bit at that point it depends on how Labour are doing in the polls. Remember the biggest motivator for an MP is keeping their job.

    Nope. The Jezzmeister is the gift that keeps on giving for May. Thornberry or a similarly sane and vaguely appealing leader would walk into Number 10 on the back of nice, moderate Tories lending them their vote.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Anazina said:

    Charles said:

    Foxy said:

    Fenman said:

    Mike Ashley’s Sports Direct has bought Evans Cycles out of administration but has warned it may have to close half the specialist retailer’s 62 stores putting hundreds of jobs at risk.

    Mike Ashley is good at that.
    What would you have him do? Let it go bust and let them all lose their jobs?
    It is going to be a grim winter for retail, unless the High st has a corker of a Chritmas and it is hard to see that:

    https://twitter.com/MattWhittakerRF/status/1057228809139838976?s=19
    Although I was at Brent Cross shopping centre at the weekend and it was heaving
    Statistics, versus PB Tory anecdote.

    :)
    Retail spending up 3% LTM

    Concentration in shopping centres

    Grief being caused by high rents and rates and online competition

    So fine for retail but grim for the High Street

    Basically the precise opposite of what Foxy said

    How’s that, smart arse?

  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,749
    Charles said:

    Foxy said:

    Fenman said:

    Mike Ashley’s Sports Direct has bought Evans Cycles out of administration but has warned it may have to close half the specialist retailer’s 62 stores putting hundreds of jobs at risk.

    Mike Ashley is good at that.
    What would you have him do? Let it go bust and let them all lose their jobs?
    It is going to be a grim winter for retail, unless the High st has a corker of a Chritmas and it is hard to see that:

    https://twitter.com/MattWhittakerRF/status/1057228809139838976?s=19
    Although I was at Brent Cross shopping centre at the weekend and it was heaving
    Yes, I think that we are headed to a future of a combination of destination shopping (High Cross in Leicester is busy, even Debenhams, as it is the best shopping in the East Midlands) and internet shopping. Primark, T K Max and Sports direct are busy, so there is scope at the bottom end even with very poor customer service. It is the middlemarket that will suffer, particularly outside the affluent SE.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,749
    Charles said:

    Anazina said:

    Charles said:

    Foxy said:

    Fenman said:

    Mike Ashley’s Sports Direct has bought Evans Cycles out of administration but has warned it may have to close half the specialist retailer’s 62 stores putting hundreds of jobs at risk.

    Mike Ashley is good at that.
    What would you have him do? Let it go bust and let them all lose their jobs?
    It is going to be a grim winter for retail, unless the High st has a corker of a Chritmas and it is hard to see that:

    https://twitter.com/MattWhittakerRF/status/1057228809139838976?s=19
    Although I was at Brent Cross shopping centre at the weekend and it was heaving
    Statistics, versus PB Tory anecdote.

    :)
    Retail spending up 3% LTM

    Concentration in shopping centres

    Grief being caused by high rents and rates and online competition

    So fine for retail but grim for the High Street

    Basically the precise opposite of what Foxy said

    How’s that, smart arse?

    That is far from the precise opposite of what I said!
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487
    Charles said:

    Anazina said:

    Charles said:

    Foxy said:

    Fenman said:

    Mike Ashley’s Sports Direct has bought Evans Cycles out of administration but has warned it may have to close half the specialist retailer’s 62 stores putting hundreds of jobs at risk.

    Mike Ashley is good at that.
    What would you have him do? Let it go bust and let them all lose their jobs?
    It is going to be a grim winter for retail, unless the High st has a corker of a Chritmas and it is hard to see that:

    https://twitter.com/MattWhittakerRF/status/1057228809139838976?s=19
    Although I was at Brent Cross shopping centre at the weekend and it was heaving
    Statistics, versus PB Tory anecdote.

    :)
    Retail spending up 3% LTM

    Concentration in shopping centres

    Grief being caused by high rents and rates and online competition

    So fine for retail but grim for the High Street

    Basically the precise opposite of what Foxy said

    How’s that, smart arse?

    I was pulling your leg, hence the smiley
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487
    Foxy said:

    Charles said:

    Foxy said:

    Fenman said:

    Mike Ashley’s Sports Direct has bought Evans Cycles out of administration but has warned it may have to close half the specialist retailer’s 62 stores putting hundreds of jobs at risk.

    Mike Ashley is good at that.
    What would you have him do? Let it go bust and let them all lose their jobs?
    It is going to be a grim winter for retail, unless the High st has a corker of a Chritmas and it is hard to see that:

    https://twitter.com/MattWhittakerRF/status/1057228809139838976?s=19
    Although I was at Brent Cross shopping centre at the weekend and it was heaving
    Yes, I think that we are headed to a future of a combination of destination shopping (High Cross in Leicester is busy, even Debenhams, as it is the best shopping in the East Midlands) and internet shopping. Primark, T K Max and Sports direct are busy, so there is scope at the bottom end even with very poor customer service. It is the middlemarket that will suffer, particularly outside the affluent SE.
    Nottingham is by far the best retail location in the region, as you would expect from the regional capital. Places like Leicester are decent but a fair way behind.


    http://hdh.co.uk/uploads/2017/06/HDH-Vitality-Index-June-2017.pdf
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426
    Anazina said:

    Foxy said:

    Charles said:

    Foxy said:

    Fenman said:

    Mike Ashley’s Sports Direct has bought Evans Cycles out of administration but has warned it may have to close half the specialist retailer’s 62 stores putting hundreds of jobs at risk.

    Mike Ashley is good at that.
    What would you have him do? Let it go bust and let them all lose their jobs?
    It is going to be a grim winter for retail, unless the High st has a corker of a Chritmas and it is hard to see that:

    https://twitter.com/MattWhittakerRF/status/1057228809139838976?s=19
    Although I was at Brent Cross shopping centre at the weekend and it was heaving
    Yes, I think that we are headed to a future of a combination of destination shopping (High Cross in Leicester is busy, even Debenhams, as it is the best shopping in the East Midlands) and internet shopping. Primark, T K Max and Sports direct are busy, so there is scope at the bottom end even with very poor customer service. It is the middlemarket that will suffer, particularly outside the affluent SE.
    Nottingham is by far the best retail location in the region, as you would expect from the regional capital. Places like Leicester are decent but a fair way behind.


    http://hdh.co.uk/uploads/2017/06/HDH-Vitality-Index-June-2017.pdf
    Leicester? Decent? The city that made such a fuss over digging up a child murderer?
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487
    ydoethur said:

    Anazina said:

    Foxy said:

    Charles said:

    Foxy said:

    Fenman said:

    Mike Ashley’s Sports Direct has bought Evans Cycles out of administration but has warned it may have to close half the specialist retailer’s 62 stores putting hundreds of jobs at risk.

    Mike Ashley is good at that.
    What would you have him do? Let it go bust and let them all lose their jobs?
    It is going to be a grim winter for retail, unless the High st has a corker of a Chritmas and it is hard to see that:

    https://twitter.com/MattWhittakerRF/status/1057228809139838976?s=19
    Although I was at Brent Cross shopping centre at the weekend and it was heaving
    Yes, I think that we are headed to a future of a combination of destination shopping (High Cross in Leicester is busy, even Debenhams, as it is the best shopping in the East Midlands) and internet shopping. Primark, T K Max and Sports direct are busy, so there is scope at the bottom end even with very poor customer service. It is the middlemarket that will suffer, particularly outside the affluent SE.
    Nottingham is by far the best retail location in the region, as you would expect from the regional capital. Places like Leicester are decent but a fair way behind.


    http://hdh.co.uk/uploads/2017/06/HDH-Vitality-Index-June-2017.pdf
    Leicester? Decent? The city that made such a fuss over digging up a child murderer?
    I was taking in retail terms only! I am aware that it’s not the most inspiring of cities, nobody claimed it was.
  • NEW THREAD

  • NorthofStokeNorthofStoke Posts: 1,758
    Anazina said:

    The Tories won’t force an election whilst JC is leader imho. Perhaps the only glue that holds them together is a sense of trying to keep him out of No.10.

    If Labour change their leader and they are slightly less loony than Uncle Jez, I think that glue might start to unstick a little, bit at that point it depends on how Labour are doing in the polls. Remember the biggest motivator for an MP is keeping their job.

    Nope. The Jezzmeister is the gift that keeps on giving for May. Thornberry or a similarly sane and vaguely appealing leader would walk into Number 10 on the back of nice, moderate Tories lending them their vote.
    Only if the internal situation in the LP changed somewhat and that was apparent to the electorate. There are a number of potential leaders who could do well but I don't think Thornberry is one of them. She exudes a certain arrogance by overdoing the insouciant dismissal of opposing arguments, a sort of parody of a superior intellectual.
This discussion has been closed.