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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » By 55% to 37% women say Kavanagh’s Supreme Court nomination should NOT be confirmed
A Quinnipiac poll just published finds finds that 48% of US voters think the U.S. Senate should reject Judge Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court, with 42% saying he should be confirmed.
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Where's that judge-led inquiry.
https://twitter.com/LPerrins/status/1046870612931747840
https://twitter.com/NRO/status/1046869879494725632
Well, I suspect if the confirmation goes ahead now it will hurt the Republicans badly at the mid-terms. If they drop him and quickly replace him with another conservative, I doubt there will be much impact on their vote.
So if you have backed the Dems (and don't give a shit what happens to the USA) I think you'd want them to stick with him.
This has swing me back from "100% nailed on will deffo be confirmed" to "maybe".
From a betting perspective today has been a roller-coaster.
I think he wants either plausible cover for a yes vote, or solid evidence to vote no, and would be equally happy with either.
He’s a fine example of nominative determinism, who still harbours Presidential ambition.
Or perhaps that is part of his reasoning at any rate.
Interesting picture choices from the editor there.
He acts like a clown, he talks like a clown, he is a clown
https://twitter.com/ILTimes/status/1046812427168493568
I cannot for the life of me imagine why Trump and the GOP would support someone who backs the latter principle.
See re Boris speech tomorrow the 'stop Boris campaign' intend infiltrating his address and booing him down.
If true could be popcorn time
Oh yeah. It's Trump.
https://www.theamericanconservative.com/larison/kavanaugh-and-the-rule-of-law/
Almost twenty years ago, the House impeached then-President Clinton for perjury and obstruction of justice. Republican members emphasized again and again the importance of upholding the rule of law, and they insisted that no one, not even the president, should be above the law. Whatever their reasons for taking that position then, they were correct. Now Kavanaugh has committed the same crime of perjury, and the very least that the Senate can do is refuse to reward him for that crime by giving him a lifetime seat on the Supreme Court. If the Senate truly valued the rule of law, Kavanaugh’s nomination would never have made it out of committee. Unless it wants to make a mockery of both the Court and the rule of law, the Senate now has to defeat Kavanaugh’s nomination....
Mrs May is turning out to be the best PM since Maggie.
However hopefully May is moving towards doing the necessary on the Irish border and the backstop it seems to get us a transition deal which must be the priority for now, we can only start thinking about FTA talks once we have that transition period confirmed
It would sail through the HOC
Cannot imagine why you didn't mention that.
Boris’s successor in the seat of Henley, John Howell MP, told The Sun: “As far as I’m concerned, Boris can just f*** off””.
Balding former Cabinet minister and May loyalist Damian Green was equally scathing.
He told activists yesterday that he will miss the “annual Boris performance” today as “sadly I’m washing my hair”.
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/7393055/boris-johnson-brexit-delay-plans/
Boris is not as old as Clarke, clearly, but just because someone was handily re-elected at previous elections does not mean they will stand again, that's a decision taking in factors far beyond 'will I even manage to win next time?'
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6228669/Home-Secretary-unveils-biggest-immigration-reform-decades.html
“With the potential for checks in the Irish Sea”.
Prepare for flying boats and seafaring customs officials.
How do they then prove workers are integrating?
Sounds like a bonfire of red tape.
To be built not set on fire.
Edit: Questions not directed at you Carlotta
He’s publicly leaving himself room to drop Kavanaugh should it become inevitable.
I think it's pretty much nailed-on that the Labour leadership will oppose the deal no matter what, but a customs union in-all-but-name might well pick off enough rebel Labour MPs to see it through Parliament.
https://www.conservativehome.com/thetorydiary/2018/10/our-next-tory-leader-survey-javid-is-up-and-johnson-down-slightly-but-the-latter-retains-a-double-figure-lead.html
Have a great nights rest everyone
Good night folks
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/10/01/would-work-prime-minister-boris-johnson-says-dup-leader-praises/
https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/
And let us not forget May is far from safe yet, let alone a deal reached.
Boris seems to me to be the sort of option you pick if you have zero time to consider anything else and you need to take a gamble on his chaotic nature and appeal. But if the Tories could just keep their shit together for 5 minutes they have time before the next election.
Won't it be funny if, in the end, it all comes back to Therea ****ing up the election that sees her downfall (if the DUP say they're pulling the plug unless Boris is installed as leader)
You reap what you sow...