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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The betting chances of LAB winning the next election edge down
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The betting chances of LAB winning the next election edge down to the lowest level since GE2017
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https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/09/26/skripal-hitman-unmasked-gru-colonel-awarded-russias-highest/
Labour got through the Conference without any serious own goals. The Tories have yet to so do.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/sep/26/distracted-boyfriend-meme-sexist-swedish-advertising
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-45591103
Mr C. Murray of some random place where the laws of reality don't apply.
What happens to the share holders of British Gas for example if Jezza decides to take it back into public control?
I lay, I don’t back. That way you can build up nice positions on the non-trivial possibility of a split of one or other main party (and from time to time lay that too to excitable centrist dads).
However Corbyn still has a strong chance of becoming PM with SNP support and support from the SNP on getting key legislation through.
And Labour's supporters go wild with enthusiasm until they realise the owners in question were their pension funds.
Oh no, it's all right. It says in the Telegraph that plod does know their names, and presumably decided not to announce them for, well, reasons.
So, if someone has shares in a utility company and it really did look like a Jezza government was imminent it might be an idea to "Sell, Sell, Sell" then?
Or is it several billion they haven't allowed for?
we save approx 6k a month now we are both back in the UK and working...I'd rather pay my fair share of tax rather than find some way of avoiding it. People with money hate paying taxes....
I would expect the same to happen here.
Jeff Flake had been scheduled to give a speech on the floor of the Senate and everyone anticipated a announcement that he'd be a no vote but instead it was a typical Sad Jeff Flake moment.
https://twitter.com/sajidjavid/status/1045020311207510016
Funny you say that, because I have thought last elections are linked to the next one, for example 97 especially bad for the Tories because tired and unfresh government cheated death in 92. Another example, what happened to the CDU when Kohl wasn’t being as honest as the opposition about cost of unification, in that example and Tories in ninetytwo what was said to win was remembered by voters, who react to the feeling they’ve been had.
I think the next election should Corbyn still be leader and his shadow chancellor remain in post, the manifesto will be of a very ideologically left-wing hue. Maybe they needed time to take full control of the Labour party and only now are we seeing the extremist dogma being packaged as policy.
I don't think past election campaigns can be a guide to a future contest as the dynamics will be different. Surely the type of policies being advocated will guarantee a split in the Labour party will be deeper and wider than many perceive possible.
Anti-libertarians unite?
There’s an argument on restricting or eliminating incentives to save for the wealthy (although others argue saving is intrinsically a good thing)
But are you suggesting expropriation of assets people have saved in the past? And why should that include only pension funds and not, for example, portfolios of buy to let properties?
Can I sell you some McDonnell-proof investments?
Though I don't know if it necessarily applies here, because a second referendum has been consistently denied, and I'm not sure it being said louder automatically counts toward anything.
* per last thread that description is in no way exclusionary and anyone who wishes to self identify as an excessive protestor is welcome to do so
An indivudual's pension pot would not be lost to them, simply managed by (and potentially for the benefit of) the state.
Now, I appreciate that there will be genuine concerns about future performance (although privately run pension schemes have often performed very poorly tbf) but that's not the same as expropriation.
I can’t wait for us to leave - the explanation of how this will hasten our joining the Euro will be unspoofable.
in other news:
It looks like Bellingcat is the British Fancy Bears...
It would be theft.
To join thriving Eurozone economies like Greece with 20% unemployment, Spain with 16% unemployment and Italy with 10% unemployment you mean?
In any case that is not really reality, EU officials have made clear if we voted to rejoin the EU while we would lose our rebate, fair enough as that was exclusive to the UK, we would not be required to join the Euro or Schengen which is also only fair as several existing EU nations are outside the Euro and Schengen
I still do not see a referendum - it would divide us even more if tgat is possible
If I were a hard-left Chancellor wanting to raid assets, I'd go for ISAs before pensions. But before that, income tax, inheritance tax, Corporation tax, and property taxes.
* For that matter, Spreadsheet Phil might get there first. As always, if you're a higher-rate taxpayer planning a pension contribution, best get it in before the budget, 29th October this year. Nothing to lose if you can do it!
Some people have SIPPs.
Pensions are good for society.
They are not for the benefit of the state. They are for the benefit of the individual.
http://uk.businessinsider.com/yougov-poll-voters-would-rather-remain-in-eu-than-accept-a-no-deal-brexit-2018-7
A Canada Deal has longer term viability though and is generally the most favoured form of Brexit in most polls
The 52% who voted Leave were certainly not all voting for No Deal Brexit
Interesting another report, and I cannot recall whether it was the Guardian or Sky, states that individual EU nation states are so concerned of a no deal impact that they intend doing bi lateral deals with the UK over the heads of the commission
Reality hits politics
Hell would freeze over before I trusted a government run by Corbyn with my cash.
I’m still nowhere near convinced that McMao will ever get anywhere near the treasury. But if things change, I’m going to think long and hard about my financial affairs. I don’t have any assets other than the company I founded and control entirely.
What a load of kerfuffle you Tories have landed us in...begging bowls to Trump, scrapping around for little bits of leftovers from Europe....
Wouldn't life had just been so much easier if we had been left Cammo, Osbo and Cleggy at the helm, and none off this Brexit bobbins? I'd take it
1. Gives him a source of investment to direct.
2. Stops companies pissing about with their employee's pension savings (and - sometimes - directors pissing off, having spent their employee's pension savings).
Look, I can see why you, Mortimer, glw and others might hate this. But expropriation is the wrong word to describe it.