politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It’s the WH2016 voter segments that said they were backing Hillary but abstained that the GOP should worry about
We all recall how in much of key state polling at WH2016 that Clinton was overstated thus giving us a very false impression of what was going to happen.
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An interesting slip, and curiously apt in the case of the current POTUS.
Was the speech any good?
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/09/25/corbyn-fresh-anti-semitism-row-picture-activistwho-asked-holocaust/
(There was a good gag from a stand up comedian , whose name escapes me. In north London, you see all these blue circles, with "ABC famous bloke lived here". In south London, you see all these yellow rectangles, with "MURDER: can you help?"......)
As far as I can see that want all the benefits of the EU otherwise they would never agree to any deal that May achieves.
"Journalists from Turkey to Myanmar and Colombia are being imprisoned, harassed or sometimes killed by authoritarian governments and powerful corporate interests just for doing their job”
To which @FrancisUrquhart and@NorthofStoke replied
“But when Iran did it, I continued to do my gig on Press Tv....
I think that part of his speech must take the 2018 political hypocrisy award!”
And no mention of Russia which hardly treats its journalists with kid gloves.
Doubtless Corbyn will remember these words when British journalists seek to do their job scrutinising the Labour party and the next Labour government.
Was it not one Keir Starmer who sought to imprison journalists under an ancient law and was soundly admonished by the Court of Appeal?
I’d also like to know which corporate interests have killed and imprisoned journalists and in which countries.
I live in the Greater London suburbs, work in central London. Like many millions of others.
I think it is your poor grasp of London geography that is letting you down, to be honest.
http://mappinglondon.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/Map-of-the-Greater-London-National-Park-web.jpg
http://www.nationalparkcity.london/press/24-media/57-london-2nd-october-2017-beautiful-new-map-of-london-created-to-celebrate-the-capital-s-great-outdoors
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greater_London_Built-up_Area
Was the Supreme Leader's speech excellent, or sublime?
Labour Leavership
to describe Corbyn and McDonnell.
Thank you.
If Labour really thinks it can negotiate Brexit better than the Tories then they should be able to spell out which of the current government's red lines would no longer be red lines for a Labour government. We know what the EU's red lines are. So which, if any, would be Labour's?
They really should be able to tell us whether or not they want any or all of the following:-
- FoM
- Membership of the CU
- Membership of the SM
- Jurisdiction of the ECJ
- NI within the CU
- NI within the SM
- A customs/regulatory border between NI and the rest of the UK
- and so on.
If in reality they want the same things as the Tories, then however charmingly they behave, they will get the same answer from the EU as Mrs May has.
If Labour cannot now give straight answers to these questions then they are simply talking out of their arse.
The difficulties of the negotiations have little to do with personalities or negotiating styles and everything to do with the substance of what the British government wants and this being unacceptable to the EU given their own red lines.
https://tinyurl.com/ybbe66ut
@Tykejohnno might be interested to know that Leeds/Bradford is problematic for creating the built-up areas. The algorithms used by Ordnance Survey treat spaces enclosed by built-up areas as part of that built-up area. So Hyde Park gets counted as being in the London built-up area. The bit between Leeds and Bradford is enclosed by the same built-up area which means it too counts as being that built-up area, even though it is a rural area.
What an utter spanner
I've no idea if this is true, but it feels right.
No they don't. They just need to keep opposing and promising owls.
I've just been reading Corbyn's speech, which looks a very professionally-written job.
The Brexit positioning is interesting. Since Labour are (not unreasonably) saying that No Deal would be a disaster, how are they going to vote against any deal Theresa May might come back with? Won't they own the disaster if they do so? The implication is that they are preparing the ground to accept any deal, or at least to abstain on it, whilst no doubt saying they could have done better.
I couldn't imagine a major old-world city that has more, so it probably is true.
Who the Guardian hack or Corbo?
I don't see where the pressure will come from to vote for / abstain on the deal. The Tories have ignored everything Labour have said, with the customs union being the obvious one. I'd have thought the pressure would be on the ERG, they are in the party of Government and supposedly support Brexit. I just wonder if there might be some there who blink eventually?
Rather an odd story. What is supposed to be offensive about this poster?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-45650462
FOM is the big Labour issue. A LOT of Labour voters genuinely fed up with foreign workers reducing wages. Or in some cases just fed up with foreigners. That even the crash Brexit people say there won't be any significant change in migration must really hack them off. How any politician in any party squares off expectations with practical reality is beyond me.
1. Many Labour voters are Leave voters. "We will back a Brexit deal" is a clear message.
2. Most Labour members are Remain voters. "We won't let May crash us out or deliver a right wing wet dream deal" keeps them on board - he has to respect the majority view of the membership
3. Labour will back a move to ban the government accepting crash Brexit. I expect the meaningful vote that MPs get will do this
4. Labour will also reject whatever fudged version of Brexit May tries to cobble together - something that pro-Brexit voters also support
The calculation is that in both Blocking crash Brexit AND blocking a bullshit Brexit we can retain enough credit with both sides whilst bringing the government to a grinding halt. At which point either a fresh election or a referendum become necessary to make progress.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-45655149
.... ah, my coat.
They were brown and hopped around a lot. The pheasant obviously are distinctive even to a layman.
BTW Labour will not abstain. There would be an uprising against Corbyn and not just from the MPs. Members are very clear in their views on this one...