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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Who will be Time person of the year 2018?
I’ve been looking at William Hill’s market on who will be the Time person of the year and my tip is out of that lot is Robert Mueller at 25/1.
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Cornwall Council adds apostrophe to Land's End
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-cornwall-45499594
But this is one of those markets which it's much better not to play. The winner might not yet be listed at all.
a) Stops libelling people on twitter
b) Commercial crew is a success and Tesla heads north in value.
But not this year.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emma_González
Mueller could also make sense. Hmm. Maybe a pound a time, for each.
Edited extra bit: no Ladbrokes market?
Edited extra bit 2: whilst browsing around, surprised to see an ESports market. If anyone here follows that sort of thing, may be worth a look.
There is a lot going on there that affects the life of your average American.
Haven't they awarded it to a campaign in the past?
https://twitter.com/sapinker/status/1038805168870096896
http://www.itv.com/news/meridian/2018-09-12/route-announced-for-oxford-cambridge-expressway/
Sirotkin, 1001 (1301)
Ericsson, 751 (901)
Stroll, 301 (376)
Leclerc, 301 (376)
As I said, tiny stakes, but if it rains it's entirely possible only a few times will get out for a trundle. Forecast is for it to be dry, but the forecasts have been weirdly wrong this year.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2018/sep/12/pmqs-may-corbyn-tory-leadership-brexit-gove-issues-call-for-unity-at-brexiter-anger-against-may-intensifies-politics-live
"Our engineers mucked up and drilled a hole in a spaceship. To deflect blame, we think an American astronaut did it in space."
https://arstechnica.com/science/2018/09/the-russians-are-really-pushing-a-nasa-astronaut-sabotaged-the-iss-theory/
The Russians are going a bit crazy. I can see cooperation in space ending soon, whatever that means for the ISS.
Some people hate it because it suggests that more of the most intelligent people are men than women. Nobody, of course, has a problem with men being disproportionately violent, stupid, having learning difficulties etc.
https://www.cer.eu/in-the-press/theresa-mays-chequers-plan-may-yet-have-some-life-it
Northern Powerhouse :-)
Soyuz has been solid and reliable, but how much of that is down to luck rather than judgement. If anything like this was found in a 2020 Starliner or Crew-Dragon they'd be grounded for yonks.
I drove to near Oxford on Sunday to do a walk. It's quite slow past St Neots to the Black Cat, great along the A421 past Bedford to Milton Keynes, and after that becomes a really slow and ponderous drive.
The real reason for this new expressway is to encourage development.
https://www.lutontoday.co.uk/news/deselected-labour-councillors-in-luton-ousted-as-part-of-organised-campaign-according-to-whatsapp-message-1-8563170
The allegation here, with some evidence to back it up, is that there were organised deselections along ethnic lines (a particular Kashmiri tribe forcing out Labour councillors - judging from the name, also British Asians - from other backgrounds).
Do we have any evidence for how widespread such practices are in general?
https://waynehale.wordpress.com/2011/01/07/certifying-soyuz/
I'm minded to agree with you. People in NASA will have been having kittens over the original issue; they'll be furious over this attempt to shift the blame. Trust will be lost.
The Commission claims that since services provide much of the value of goods, if the British were free to undercut EU standards on services, they would distort the playing field for goods. But this argument is weak: most of the services that feed into the production of goods, such as marketing, design, engineering, law and accountancy, are not regulated by the EU, so there are no EU standards to undercut. In any case the EU tolerates Switzerland being in the market for goods but not services.
https://twitter.com/jessbrammar/status/1039908236726620160
One employee without security clearance is not good. Two looks like a trend.
https://twitter.com/hugorifkind/status/1039875431405707266
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ronan_Bennett
But if a man ate a lot, exercised a lot, and was ripped, would we really consider him to be bulimic? Perhaps according to the technical definition. But if he isn't, is that definition valid for women?
It's a knotty area generally. Self-reporting's ropey as hell too. I recall as a study into PMS. It had women who self-diagnosed that way keep diaries. The entries didn't tally with their self-diagnosis in a statistically significant number of cases. (Then there's overlapping conditions. Depression is very common, and more common amongst women. Insomnia is a very frequent symptom. But both are taken of symptoms of PMS. So is the women in that example suffering depression, or PMS? Is depression the condition or the result of the condition?).
A further problem is the politically charged nature of gender differences.
[For those wondering about all the gender stuff, I studied psychology at university, which had mostly female lecturers (including a charmer who once joked about only saving the girls if the theatre caught fire) and about 95% female students. Lots of gender discussion was had].
Mr. Meeks, I'll believe it when I see it.
Or, for that matter, ingroups and outgroups and the Cult.
Perversely, the very horribleness of Corbyn's Labour may be keeping some people in. Leaving aside aside Corbynites, some may want to change things (although I think that's a forlorn hope), and some may subconsciously feel that they've endured so much already that they can't bear to leave now because it means putting up with all the previous bullshit was for nothing.
Mind you seeing Faisal Islam traduced by the CAA over grounding flights was very satisfying. He needs to apologise for his nonsense but I am not holding my breath
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-45501004
Also not a surprise that the man is frequently seen alongside McDonnell and Burgon.
McDonnell is a fan of aggression towards politicians whom he opposes...
Another decent bet - which I do expect to come in - is the Democrats to take the House in November. Nate Silver now has this as an 82% probability which would make the 1.47 available on Betfair a bit of a gift.
The latest batch of polls, with the honorable exception of YouGov, give the Dems double digit leads. Nate's polling average now puts them 8.6 points ahead. That gives them the House easily. Any more puts the Senate within reach, but personally I doubt that is going to happen.
That's not to say that all measurements, or science, is useless, but that grand sweeping hypotheses that are tempting to use to explain a large number of disparate phenomena could end up obscuring more than they explain. It would be very easy to look at every gender difference and say, "that's an example of increased male variability." Most of the time it probably isn't.
In terms of psychology, something like bulemia is only a pathological condition if it is causes physical, mental, or social suffering.
malcolmg said:
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The clown just cannot help himself, watches one episode of Hogan's Heroes and becomes a Nazi expert
You are probably the expert there. I don't support a party that has the word Nationalist in it. Is Scottish Nationalism a racist endeavour ? Best ask Jezza
Look at the state of this moron , he does not even know the name of the political party and just makes it up. Even thicker than imagined, but as he will be back under his rock by now I doubt he will get it.
says it all really
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mr._Smith_Goes_to_Washington
"Europe Elects
@EuropeElects
UK, ICM Research poll:
CON-ECR: 42% (+2)
LAB-S&D: 39% (-1)
LDEM-ALDE: 8%
UKIP-EFDD: 4% (-2)
GREENS-G/EFA: 3% (+1)
Field worKk 7/09/18 – 9/09/18
Sample size: 2,051"