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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » YouGov finds that just half of those who voted LAB at GE2017 choose Corbyn as “Best PM”
The detailed data from the latest YouGov Times poll shows that when asked just 50% those sampled who voted Labour at the last election chose Corbyn in response to who would make the Best PM.
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Which is it ? Bloomberg or the BBC guilty of fake news ?
https://twitter.com/ONS/status/1027843504184156162
Oh...
https://twitter.com/TellMamaUK/status/1027843385724424192
Apparently this cove wanted all Muslims to be gassed and to be forcibly sterilised. That's what I call a belt'n'braces approach.
Statistics - don't you love 'em. So much scope.
In Bane of Souls, a character gets sentenced for a huge variety of crimes to several hundred lashes, over a century in prison, and to be hanged (twice), after which he enquires about the order of the punishments.
Mr. Divvie, nobody's said incitement to murder should be legal.
Hopefully the more recent sterling weakness will make Q3 and 4 a bit better on the trade front.
Landlords just have to accept that the returns for this type of heritable property are going to be considerably lower going forward.
https://twitter.com/Oldfirmfacts1/status/1027849102296530944
Do you have any good numbers for the UK Trade Deficit trend?
My impression is that it is lower by 30-50% since the referendum and the subsequent fall in the pound, but the numbers are slow to come through.
https://twitter.com/wallaceme/status/1027830244231839744?s=21
Here's a little bugbear of mine: the US gives annualised quarterly growth numbers. So, instead of 0.4%, they'd announce something between 1.4% and 1.8%. This gives a little bit more granularity, as 0.4% covers a fairly wide variety of outcomes. It also leads to stupid Twitter users creating charts that show UK 2Q growth as 0.4% while the US was 4.0%.
And a little word of caution: the biggest positive in the numbers was a 0.9% construction number. Given rising UK residential inventory numbers, I fear this may turn south.
The idea that we should determine our long term course on the back of a few tenths of GDP in a very few quarters which are almost certainly wrong anyway is really, really silly. What is happening is that our economy is pottering along with modest growth, high employment, low inflation and a declining deficit. We have been on a pretty similar course since 2010. Trying to find a gotcha in these figures vis a vis Brexit one way or the other is not going to work, it just isn't there.
On the last thread @another_Richard quoted the Treasury forecasts for growth in the event of a Leave vote. They are every bit as disgraceful as the Scottish Government's White paper on Independence. They should be institutionally ashamed of allowing themselves to be used like that. As I have said before the effect of Brexit will be extremely hard to spot, it just won't make that much difference.
In other football related jokes..
https://twitter.com/SkyNews/status/1027845803384156162
The US is currently benefiting from an extremely expansionary Trump budget. If we cut taxes and increased spending, our GDP growth would grow more too. But the trade off is that we'd have a much larger deficit. (The US deficit is increasing, while ours is shrinking nicely.)
Of course just a sub sample but there is now a run of YouGovs with the Nats in the 40s and Labour way back in third. It maybe that some PB contributors have been rather overestimating the chances of a Labour revival in Scotland.
https://twitter.com/samueltombs/status/1027857245688745984?s=20
Different sectors are being affected differently.
Do they own any stores, have that much inventory lying around, or are we going to see some absolutely massive sports shops opening up in town centres?
EDIT: and added impetus for a no deal Brexit this end?
On the downside, you have to constantly keep investors happy by other means.
Seems to be more Adidas and Nike in their stores than ever - couldn't find the Mizuno trainer (Or any Mizuno at all) that I was looking for in either their Meadowhall or Drakehouse outlets.
Jimmy Jimmy Jimmy Anderson.
That is all.
Make that the "Corbyn slump".
If it is ladies choice to wear these items of clothing, then they should be treated as any other item of clothing should be, so it's just like making fun of shellsuits or puffball dresses in the past. in which case it's fine to make fun of it as a fashion statement.
On the other hand if it's not, then it's difficult to justfy it's a womens choice, as it becomes a requirement or an expectation either of religion, or culture or some mix of the two. In which case it would be wrong to mock it, but perfect ok to question it on the basis of inclusivness and if its compatible with a western liberal society.
11:09AM
scotslass said:
On topic of today's YouGov I see UKIP have reached absolute zero on the Scottish sub sample which is SNP 42%, Tory 29%, Lab 17%,Green 6% and Lib 4%.
Of course just a sub sample but there is now a run of YouGovs with the Nats in the 40s and Labour way back in third. It maybe that some PB contributors have been rather overestimating the chances of a Labour revival in Scotland.
Also I note that the strange rebirth of Tory Scotland seems not to be a blip.
As far as I can see the last full YouGov Scottish poll was at the start of June this year and was
SNP 40,Tory 27,Lab 23,Lib 7,Green 2 and UKIP 1. Suggests Labour and Liberals suffering at the hands of the SNP, Tories and Greens. UKIP from 1 to nil.
Reduced to being in management of a downward-spiralling paper. If only he had a columnist whose writing could make the news for a week, eh?
In CORNWALL?
I own two pairs currently, but they're both too old for running in.
These people don’t care what other Labour MPs think. They will never back a second referendum.
It gives the SNP 40 seats, gaining four from Lab and one from Con.
Don't bother with Kedleston. Calke Abbey is materially more interesting and very non-NT in the way in which it has been maintained (ie it has not been polished and sterilised to within an inch of its life). The gardens are not over-formal either.