Alliance have shifted from being a liberal unionist party to being little Sir Echo for Sinn Fein. They will be slaughtered in seats like East Belfast, North Down, South Antrim, East Antrim.
The Alliance lost their only Westminster seat in East Belfast back to the DUP in 2015
When the UUP stopped campaigning in East Belfast, Alliance took over their vote. Then, a lot of UUP voters were appalled to find out what type of candidate they'd been voting for.
Yes, if the Alliance is seen to be moderate nationalist rather than moderate unionist or at least non sectarian it will find itself falling well behind the SDLP and UUP never mind not being able to challenge the DUP and SF
There is a general assumption the Conservatives *will* knife May before the next election. There's an easy mechanism for the PCP to remove her, and a general agreement among MPs that she shouldn't stay.
There is a general assumption that Corbyn will not be removed, because there is actually no way to remove him. All avenues have been tried, and failed. As I have said before, I think there is a non-trivial chance he will quit next year on turning 70, but if he doesn't there's no realistic way of removing him. (I think the only person that doesn't apply to is Macdonnell - if he resigns Corbyn might well have to go too).
But i think those figures are more or less irrelevant until we have a leadership slugfest in one party or the other. If by some peculiar catastrophe Boris gets in we'll rapidly become nostalgic for May.
The Tories under Boris would face a ticking time bomb of scandal in the way the Liberals faced one under Thorpe.
I doubt that. It would have come out when he was London Mayor if so.
All counties except Armagh , Down and Antrim must have a vote. If the six counties can secede from Ireland, counties from Northern Ireland can also rejoin Ireland.
The long term solution for Northern Ireland is likely Tyrone, Fermanagh and Armagh and Derry which are Catholic majority join the Republic while Protestant majority Down and Antrim stay in the UK. Until then Stormont powersharing should be restored.
re NI my feeling is that as and when the numbers dictate it, the whole polity, will go to the Republic. Of course that will unleash hell from certain sections of society. It is also of course the desire not to rock the boat that renders the current negotiations so important.
All counties except Armagh , Down and Antrim must have a vote. If the six counties can secede from Ireland, counties from Northern Ireland can also rejoin Ireland.
The long term solution for Northern Ireland is likely Tyrone, Fermanagh and Armagh and Derry which are Catholic majority join the Republic while Protestant majority Down and Antrim stay in the UK. Until then Stormont powersharing should be restored.
I know Elon's not flavour of the month, but I for one am glad to see how the Tesla shorters' balls have been crushed recently. (I hold no position in Tesla)
If that was Musk’s objective he’s guilty of market abuse
There is a general assumption the Conservatives *will* knife May before the next election. There's an easy mechanism for the PCP to remove her, and a general agreement among MPs that she shouldn't stay.
There is a general assumption that Corbyn will not be removed, because there is actually no way to remove him. All avenues have been tried, and failed. As I have said before, I think there is a non-trivial chance he will quit next year on turning 70, but if he doesn't there's no realistic way of removing him. (I think the only person that doesn't apply to is Macdonnell - if he resigns Corbyn might well have to go too).
But i think those figures are more or less irrelevant until we have a leadership slugfest in one party or the other. If by some peculiar catastrophe Boris gets in we'll rapidly become nostalgic for May.
The Tories under Boris would face a ticking time bomb of scandal in the way the Liberals faced one under Thorpe.
Thorpe was the most electorally successful Liberal leader since Lloyd George and 4 years after his trial the SDP Liberal Alliance got 23%.
Though I doubt Boris will be accused of orchestrating a murder plot
... but was only a couple of notches down with the Darius Guppie affair, so who knows? Over the last few weeks Boris has played an absolute blinder. The resignation and now the niqab dog whistling is a stroke of genius, endearing him not only to the right of the party but also to the majority of the electorate. It is a little bit naughty, but Machiavellian gold!
As I have frequently said as long as you have charisma skeletons in your closet rarely matter in politics unless they really are so big nobody could escape them
Aren't the Muslim women who choose the extreme face wear also actually enabling the suppression of the women who don't want it but are forced into it?
And @JosiasJessop aren't you doing exactly the same by comparing your entirely voluntarily worn headgear to excuse that which I'm sure you must know is used in some cases to suppress women?
All counties except Armagh , Down and Antrim must have a vote. If the six counties can secede from Ireland, counties from Northern Ireland can also rejoin Ireland.
The long term solution for Northern Ireland is likely Tyrone, Fermanagh and Armagh and Derry which are Catholic majority join the Republic while Protestant majority Down and Antrim stay in the UK. Until then Stormont powersharing should be restored.
"Theresa May has rebuked Boris Johnson over his claim that Muslim women in burqas resemble letter boxes and bank robbers, urging the former foreign secretary to apologise after he defied an order to do so by Tory chiefs."
"..it is clear that the language that Boris used has offended people.”, Mrs May said.
For a little by time Austria wasn’t a state but merely an agglomeration of lands owned by the Hapsburgs
If they both owned the lands and administered a fairly uniform system of law in them, that is surely quite a long way towards coming to the same thing.
Not really - there wasn’t a government as such just a landowner with different feudal rights
Aren't the Muslim women who choose the extreme face wear also actually enabling the suppression of the women who don't want it but are forced into it?
And @JosiasJessop aren't you doing exactly the same by comparing your entirely voluntarily worn headgear to excuse that which I'm sure you must know is used in some cases to suppress women?
In some case it is; in others it is done out of free will. Personally as an agnostic I find it hard to believe, but nonetheless it's true. Religion can do funny things to people ...
As I've said before, I could support a ban on the Niqab , and especially the burka, in limited cases, e.g. in courts. But I fail to see how a general public ban would 'help' anyone; in fact, it would hurt many women who (mistakenly IMO) put wearing one above their own welfare.
The fact that the Anschluss ballot generally had to be filled in in plain sight of the officials, rather than in a ballot booth, helped concentrate minds somewhat, however.
All counties except Armagh , Down and Antrim must have a vote. If the six counties can secede from Ireland, counties from Northern Ireland can also rejoin Ireland.
The long term solution for Northern Ireland is likely Tyrone, Fermanagh and Armagh and Derry which are Catholic majority join the Republic while Protestant majority Down and Antrim stay in the UK. Until then Stormont powersharing should be restored.
What are you going to do with West Belfast?
Easy.
Glenavy ward connects West Belfast to Lough Neagh. You can see these on my sectarian headcount interesting maps based on the 2001 Census.
All counties except Armagh , Down and Antrim must have a vote. If the six counties can secede from Ireland, counties from Northern Ireland can also rejoin Ireland.
What do you mean "except Armagh"? Armagh is majority Catholic.
All counties except Armagh , Down and Antrim must have a vote. If the six counties can secede from Ireland, counties from Northern Ireland can also rejoin Ireland.
The long term solution for Northern Ireland is likely Tyrone, Fermanagh and Armagh and Derry which are Catholic majority join the Republic while Protestant majority Down and Antrim stay in the UK. Until then Stormont powersharing should be restored.
Comments
"..it is clear that the language that Boris used has offended people.”, Mrs May said.
As I've said before, I could support a ban on the Niqab , and especially the burka, in limited cases, e.g. in courts. But I fail to see how a general public ban would 'help' anyone; in fact, it would hurt many women who (mistakenly IMO) put wearing one above their own welfare.
Glenavy ward connects West Belfast to Lough Neagh. You can see these on my sectarian headcount interesting maps based on the 2001 Census.
http://cain.ulst.ac.uk/images/maps/map12.htm
To be fair (ugh) he was just tidying up a loose end from Bismarck
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