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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Looking ahead to the 2018 Nobel Peace Prize winner
I suppose it's good that they are getting rid of the nukes and all that, but it's not much good for this year's Nobel Peace Prize betting market. pic.twitter.com/o9Ahh6UQoF
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Incidentally the fear is not that Kim will do something rash but that Trump will -- in Iran.
The Time Person of the Year award is another to keep an eye on for Trump and for Kim.
If he gets the Nobel peace Prize, irony is deader than ever.
Incidentally, we now appear to have the reason why the MP for Dover was suspended from the Tories. Looks somewhat murky.
F1: forget to mention, but I'd advocate setting up hedges for the silly long odds bets, if you followed them, on the Haas/Force India drivers. At least that way if last year is repeated a profit can still be had (if Perez is leading the penultimate lap then has a gearbox failure, I'd be less than thrilled).
On-topic: I agree.
Remember, everyone ignored Pence at the Olympics.
Trump gets the credit [ a bit of Haley too! ] for persuading the Security Council to add sanctions on NK. China followed and that hurt! [ Partially, that is why Trump had to act to embarrass Haley publicly ]
Ironically, the Koreas may have stolen a march on everyone else. In fact, whatever they say, the US , China or Japan will not be too happy if their own leverage diminishes. Japan for old fears and Korea now will be a different proposition.
If Kim is clever and it looks and sounds that he is, he could play a blinder! Allow his impoverished people good wages as a labour intensive sweat-shop for the South. First only near the border regions and gradually moving northwards. This could be their Deng Hsiao Ping moment !
The world benefits from a lower military heat and the Koreas roar ahead. The neighbours and the US loses influence.
What's not to like !
With Trumpian disregard for the truth, Kim is claiming to be decommissioning it....
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/apr/29/north-korea-will-invite-foreign-observers-to-shuttering-of-nuclear-test-site
Interesting sweatshop idea. If the Kim dynasty feel they can do that whilst keeping absolute control (worth recalling that North Korea has literal concentration camps. It's an utterly brutal regime) they could go for that.
Mind you a Kim peace prize would be an interesting award for a man who assassinated his brother with chemical agents in an airport. It would give Mr Putin scope for hope!
China has shown that you can have a dictatorship and benefit from a market economy. The Kim dynasty can remain in power and the North Korean people can prosper once more (remember it used to be richer than the South) as both China and South Korea pour money in.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/apr/26/north-korea-nuclear-test-site-collapse-may-be-out-of-action-china
Under 15.5 classified drivers (5 or more retirements) 1.75
Grosjean for points 5.0 (he starts from the back).
Winning car - Mercedes 2.75
First lap leader Hamilton 5.5 Bottas 13 or lay Vettel 1.37 (it’s 2km from the start of the last straight to the line but there might be an SC).
Mentioned the Bottas lead lap 1 bet. Always a bit tricky judging/guessing that sort of thing.
Which of those have you backed?
'Work produced by a person since deceased shall not be considered for an award. If, however, a prizewinner dies before he has received the prize, then the prize may be presented.'
Not impossible, but difficult. In effect they have to be alive at the time of the nomination.
Aren’t there any spy satellites nowadays?
I'm surprised the assumption isn't that that the nuclear facility was sabotaged. The Yanks are generally assumed to be behind anything that goes wrong in communist countries.
Half the votes will already have been cast by now anyway.
They won't apply the same tests to Kim Jong-Un and, in fact, might think by doing so they are encouraging him in the right direction.
Personally, I think he may decommission "a" nuclear site but it's naive to think he's going to give them all up, and he won't.
From yesterday the Toro Rossos to score points, safety car to be deployed during the race and Raikkonen to win at long odds.
F2 sprint race in 90 mins will give an idea of the weather in Baku.
F1 bets are definitely trickier this year.
James Bond always manages to blow up the baddies' lair in the end. Just sayin'.....
He passed away on 7 March 2017, and his colleagues Weiss and Thorne won the Nobel prize in Autumn 2017. Drever really deserved to be there with them, because the whole experiment would not have worked without him. No Drever, no gravitational wave detection.
The Nobel Committee added a factotum, the American scientist Barry Barish to get the prize, along with Weiss & Thorne.
A Barish is now a generic term of disparagement in the physics community.
A Barish is someone who huffs around, adding little in terms of insight and intuition, but is ready to claim the approbation.
And of course, it is possible for there to be internal falls leaving little initial sign on the surface.
I'll get my coat...
I was working in Brussels when it was announced, at the very dark heart of the EU. The miasma & disgust with which the announcement was greeted by the underlings was palpable.
Only the top EU-antifranks were beaming.
Still, there are two institutions for which I have zero respect -- the EU and the Nobel Peace Prize. They deserve each other.
Just a note, since it got me compared to some poster called Tapestry. A number of months back I mentioned those well known giants, Moldovan banks, appeared to be large investors into Scotland and that perhaps it needed looking at since there appeared to be some interesting Russian money pumped through it.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-business-43935839
On topic, I think it'd be fair to give Trump and Kim the prize if they do pull it off. The prize isn't for being nice people, it's for making the world safer. And, reluctantly, I suspect that their mutual bellicosity may well have helped get them as far as they have. Some way to go, though!
I'm sure that the Foreign Office has a crack team working on this right now.
https://www.theguardian.com/artanddesign/gallery/2018/apr/28/the-20-photographs-of-the-week#img-1
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/04/28/sajid-javids-windrush-fury-could-have-mum-dad/
Paywalled, not quite as sensational as the headline, trying to shore up what's left of the minority tory vote on Thursday..
I am not too convinced that Trump had much to do with recent events, more the change of government in South Korea, and China finding the whole business tiresome.
Denuclearisation of the peninsula does mean US withdrawal too.
https://twitter.com/FraserNelson/status/990165374728638464?s=19
They voted Remain.
If and when denucularisation and disarming occurs then the two Korean leaders will undoubtedly have earned their prize. But I would suggest it would be better to wait for that and give the prize to someone else this year. Personally I would be pushing the King of Jordan who has given so much of his country over to refugee relief from Syria.
And before computer games and YouTube.
Although we did play pong game on a TV.
As Foxy says, there were some bad things happening, but it was all still going to get better! As per the 60’s.
It was the 80’s when things went wrong.
The Koreans are probably rightly favourites, so long as they continue to play nice. But if the Donald did bring peace to Korea, the Middle East and whatever we call Burma these days he still wouldn’t get a look in.
I’m surprised anyone takes any notice, other than as a betting opportunity.
The music was better in the 70s but not much else.
https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/comment/only-25-per-cent-of-children-walk-to-school-alone-compared-to-86-per-cent-in-1971-what-went-wrong-8452266.html
@Hepworthclare
21m21 minutes ago
Hmm.
Has Vince Cable morphed into the *Miss Havisham* of UK Politics ?
(Great Expectations)