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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The danger for Leavers is if tonight’s developments provide a peg to de-legitimise the Referendum outcome
“The idea… that the campaign was legitimate is false.” A Brexit insider accuses Vote Leave of cheating – in response the PM’s political secretary denies the claims and “outs” the accuser as gay. #TheBrexitWhistleblower pic.twitter.com/srWVPtz7E8 https://t.co/Hzjfe0hxkk
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Plus Mrs May has a habit of ditching her staff to save her own skin.
That said, I don't think it is a certainty that the gulf in opinion will widen by a great deal.
Why wait?
https://twitter.com/AllieHBNews/status/977662643619205121
Had the result been the other way round, any indiscretions or discrepancies within the Remain camp would have been brushed aside.
This transatlantic desire to delegitimise results by implying that the people who voted for them were duped is doubling down on the attitude that led to the results in the first place. It can't end well.
https://twitter.com/carolecadwalla/status/977647864615710720
Besides, I though Leavers couldn’t use computers because we’re all so old?
I was amused today at the argument that everyone knew he was gay because he attended a Number 10 Pride event.
By that logic Theresa May is also gay because she attended that event too.
I suspect most parties in most elections have broken the rules. The "rules" aren't clever enough to keep up with advances in technology and campaigning.
To be honest, the democratic process has been rife with malpractice since and even before the coming of universal suffrage. Should we be bothered ? Yes and the law must constantly be updated to close down obvious loopholes.
Should we annul elections on the basis of the rules being broken ? No but if rules have been broken those involved and responsible should and must be prosecuted to the full extent of the law.
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Sunil-bar-chart.jpg
It's all far too abstract to get any significant public attention.
Full disclosure, I really dislike Stephen Parkinson, for two reasons
1) He worked for No2AV during the AV referendum.
2) Like Nick Timothy he refused to go campaigning for the Tories in the Rochester & Strood by election, so Grant Shapps blackballed both of them for standing as Tory candidates at the 2015 general election.
But one of the EU's other principles is free movement of capital.
Can anyone advise what the Government's (and EU's) position in the negotiations is on free movement of capital?
What I did get was Vote Leave ads in youtube during the final two weeks, and several suggested videos, as well as campaign material in my newsfeed.
It was always the same 3-4 videos, with some GOTV messages on polling day, and that was it.
But what do you think the average ratio of FP profiles per user is? Less than 1.1, I bet.
Hell, even I'm trying to understand it and am getting bored just researching it.
I have better things to do with my Saturday than wade through Cummings blog, which might take me until Monday.
Georgie Porgie
They were SPADs at the time and it would have violated their civil service code of conduct.
But others took leaves of absence to try and defeat TPD Reckless.
I was surprised as I wouldn't have thought she would be in a position to tie the Govt's hands but from memory what she said was 100% clear cut.
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2016/01/24/electoral-reform-might-not-be-the-panacea-the-left-think-it-is/
Healthcare is going to consume an ever greater % of national income on current trends as people live longer, and more conditions become treatable or containable, whilst also being chronic.
The long-term solution has to be to move to more flexible working for retirees with them able to take employment, pensions set at life-expectancy minus seven years, and a more mixed funding model of public, private and personal healthcare - just as we've done for pensions.
But, that's politically toxic at the moment.
The supplementary argument is the NHS is or can be used by all - on that basis I think we should all be asked to contribute.
But the same could have been said of Watergate when it forst began to break in mid-1972. Nixon was relected in that November with 60% of the popular vote but Watergate got him in the end.
I'd then encourage individuals to invest in personal healthcare savings accounts (a bit like stocks and shares ISAs) to fund major healthcare costs in their later years, either directly or by purchasing extra cover.
The NHS can then focus on general practice, A&E, and operations, and a solid safety net, all free at the point of use, but also not overstrained.
I always thought the voucher scheme from the 2005 Tory manifesto was a good idea.
We all do contribute. But I suggested a wealth tax, not income tax.
It cuts to the core of what kind of society we want to be - we could accept Scandinavian-style tax rates in return for a (possibly) world class health service or we could try to adapt the economic culture of society to put more emphasis on healthcare financial planning and perhaps less emphasis on conspicuous consumption.
Interesting debate.