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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump ups the ante in Pennsylvania 18 staking a lot on his man winning tomorrow’s special election
In the early hours of Wednesday morning, UK time, I expect to be glued to CNN coverage of the results in the Pennsylvania 18th District special election. This is proving to be a massive battle and the outcome looks set to frame the narrative of how the November midterms are seen.
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1. Their candidate isn't Roy Moore
2. Donald Trump's popularity is moving in the right direction, and he's had a very good last two weeks
3. This is a very safe Republican seat
My guess is that the Republicans will hold this at a canter.
A longer term issue for The Donald is that the policies he's enacted seem to have mostly benefited the coasts, and have been less beneficial for the Rust Belt. The tariffs on steel will - of course - kill more jobs among steel consumers than they save in the steel industry.
https://global.handelsblatt.com/mobility/vw-bmw-daimler-trump-import-895206
https://twitter.com/anyabike/status/973078938720309248
https://twitter.com/NickBoles/status/958282681313386496
Least of all when he's making a very valid point about why Remain continue to make little or no progress, by repeating the same arguments and somehow expecting a different outcome.....
http://www.mexico-now.com/index.php/article/3508-production-by-german-automakers-in-mexico-increased-46-in-2017
http://www.digitalspy.com/showbiz/news/a851971/eurovision-2009-winner-alexander-rybak-representing-norway-2018/
I expect the GOP to win, but by much less than Trump - about 5%
I never got to see any of his shows, but I've known many people who have, from all classes and many segments of society, and no-one had anything negative to say about the shows. A cousin went to one with his grandparents as a teenager and appeared to love it as much as his elders.
A rare talent.
Such a fantastic array of the worlds greatest porcine crooners. Will Norwegian "Blue Spot" Ryback triumph again and bring home the bacon ?
As you say, Mr J. A rare talent.
Spurs fans of a certain age will recognise that.
I also suspect that Trump likes being out on the stump more than being President.
The idea that you might be able to take legal action because you are sacked by the leader from a shadow (unpaid) post has the attraction of novelty but few other good points. Whatever the merits of the reasons for sacking her in the first place surely the way she has reacted has ended her front bench career for the foreseeable?
(It's amazing to think we're less than two years away from the start of the 2020 Primary season. And only about 16 months from the first debates.)
Or if they have shared false stories about her via email that could in theory be a breach of the Communications Act.
In practice we all know it's because Seamus Milne is a vile and dishonest thug and has yet again monumentally cocked up.
I wonder if she might try to launch a leadership challenge? Now that would be popcorn time!
His starting point is that the deficit is going to be about £10bn less than predicted in November and growth for the coming year will be something like 0.4% more(and this from people who think they can predict GDP in 2030, never mind).The extra growth should be worth something like another £6bn or so of additional revenue so he should have about £16bn less borrowing next year than originally forecast.
If I was Chancellor (and everyone had remained in the country against their better judgment) I would bank the £10bn, spend £4bn on health, £1bn on Social care helping LA budgets where the pips are squeaking and £1bn on getting Housing Associations building that little bit quicker. The rest could wait to the budget when he can play with the tax side as well.
http://labour-uncut.co.uk/2018/03/11/three-reasons-why-jennie-formby-should-not-become-general-secretary-of-the-labour-party/
I particularly enjoyed this line:
There are currently two candidates to be Labour’s General Secretary: Unite’s Jennie Formby and Momentum’s Jon Lansman.While this might be reasonably likened to choosing for your leader between Ghengis Khan and Pol Pot, there is always a least worst option and, in these difficult times, it is important to take note which it is. Here’s why Formby should not be General Secretary.
But it goes in some depth into the really nasty side of anti-semitism in the Labour Party.
A triumphant weekend in getting the LD revival back off track.
Have a good morning everyone!
Must have been a bit tired that evening.
I remember being dragged, unwillingly, to one of his shows when I was about 12. Being something of an intellectual snob at the time, I was about as far from a fan as it's possible to be. Despite myself, I was laughing uncontrollably by the end of the show.
Ridiculously sentimental, and his jokes were rubbish, but his sheer stage presence had to be experienced live to be believed.
Every once in a while, I still find myself humming 'Crappyness, crappyness...'
"I praise the Lord, that I've been blessed
With more than my share of a penis...."
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/5782504/money-key-brexit-trade-deal/
Mr. Ace, I have Remembrance of the Daleks on VHS, as part of a 30th Anniversary Tin thingummyjig. It is a good story. Certainly better than the revisionist tosh of New Who's daleks.
Trouble at mill: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43367511
My wife recalls him going on until well after 1 am
As you say, his stage presence had to be experienced live, although he was good on TV.
McCoy/Aldred on the other hand. 8 episodes of which I would honestly put three as classics (Remembrance, Greatest Show in the Galaxy, Fenric) , four as well worth watching for some reason (Happiness Patrol and Battlefield have good ideas, the latter is one of my favourites simply due to the ham to ham combat of the two main nights, morgaine and both brigadiers, Ghostlight has very good ideas but what exactly is going on is beyond me on most watches and Survival is a glimpse of Eccleston and Piper almost two decades beforehand) and one that's a cheesey mess - entertaining but a mess.
As a concentrated burst of quality, those last two seasons hold up against some of the all-time classic eras.
A snippet for you:
http://www.espn.co.uk/f1/story/_/id/22721293/testing-analysis-f1-got-three-way-title-battle
GPS data indicates that despite the 0.9s difference between Vettel's lap and Ricciardo's, the Red Bull was the quicker car in all of the Circuit de Catalunya's 16 corners. That's impressive given that Ricciardo's time was set with a day's less rubber on the track and also indicates that Ferrari had its engine turned up in order to make up the difference on the straights…
Sir Ken also died in the very same house he was brought up in and had lived in for 90 years, a rarity nowadays beyond royalty and the aristocracy and farmers
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-43367267#
Not sure I believe the Red Bull is a second a lap faster than the Ferrari.
He also set the LDs against leaving the Customs Union which he said would mean leaving European friends for the 'warmonger in Washington' and the 'bully in Beijing'
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43367204
Several prominent Tory Brexiteers — one of them a household name — have told me they would indeed agree to ongoing financial contributions of even around £5billion a year if that breaks the logjam.
“It’s well worth it in terms of how much it will benefit the economy,” said the household name Brexiteer. “And we’ll get it back in increased Treasury revenue anyway.”
https://labourlist.org/2018/03/diane-abbott-will-guest-edit-labourlist/
I guess that means there will be 23 articles, with 15 being published on each of the 91 days.
https://twitter.com/NickCohen4/status/972901943403302912
Interesting the prominent Brexiteer states that better access to the SM means higher Treasury revenue. Obviouly, therefore, reduced SM access means less.
"Max Verstappen says his Red Bull outfit need to be within three tenths of pole position at this month's season-opening Australian Grand Prix to be in the fight for victory in the race."
Telling. Indicates the wick on the Renault engine cannot be turned up as much as those of other cars.
Being politically expedient, there's no point abandoning all those aged 65+ to the Conservatives and fighting with Labour for the 18-30 vote. The Conservatives will inevitably (as they did with their social care proposals in the GE campaign) alienate the older vote again and when they do there has to be an alternative for older voters.
Remaining in the Single Market while outside the EU political structures is an option but for those of us concerned about immigration unacceptable. The CU offers some options on Freedom of Movement and I'm leaning toward that only because I'm sceptical of this Government's ability to obtain trade deals better than currently available within the EU.
The only redeeming feature (unless you accept the notion all publicity is good publicity and neither Conservative nor Labour have suffered from their negative reports over the past months) is Cable won't be leading the party into the next GE and this has probably brought forward his "retirement" and the forthcoming (hopefully) leadership contest between (hopefully) Jo Swinson and Layla Moran (hopefully).
Plus it was Gerrard’s cousin who was at Hillsborough and sadly died.
In his trial leading the prosecution was Brian Leveson.
Whatever happened to him?
George Osborne has dropped "London" from the title of the Evening Standard in a signal of the paper’s ambition to have greater national and international influence.
The name change is part of a comprehensive redesign of the paper that the former chancellor of the exchequer hopes will "turn up the volume on the Evening Standard", which he began editing only 10 months ago.
It is the Standard’s first redesign in a decade and will see the paper’s business pages turned pink to make them more distinctive, and enhanced entertainment coverage that includes an "A List" column on celebrity gossip and a rebranding of the famous "Londoner’s Diary" to "The Londoner".
http://www.thedrum.com/opinion/2018/03/12/george-osborne-his-evening-standard-revamp-and-dropping-london-its-masthead
https://t.co/QAWJVKGa8h?amp=1
Sanders meanwhile campaigns in Texas in what looks like the early stages of a second Democratic Presidential primary campaign
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/43355674
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43367204
In the Liverpool Echo, Carragher claimed to be a "Bootle Red."
Gerrard's a Huyton Red, although he used to live in Formby before he went off to America..