The trick is to have comprehensive coverage written by people who know what they are talking about.
Last summer The Sunday Telegraph wrote on their front page about a stalking horse challenge to topple Mrs May and that many MPs were backing it.
Under the Tory rules since 1997 there's no longer an option of a stalking horse challenge, it is a simple vote of confidence.
The only online edition I subscribe to is the FT. I used to read the actual Telegraph, but tbh, if I want to read about how the EU is doomed, I don't need to pay AEP, I can just come here instead.
At the moment my betting on this market has been to lay Michelle, Oprah, Hillary and Kamala Harris (front runner on betfair somehow).
7/1 doesn't seem too bad to me tbh for Warren. She could be a unity candidate between Bernie and Hillary. She's left wing enough to enthuse the base.
I reckon it's between her, Biden, and whoever grabs the young insurgent mantle. The party establishment is not going to choose the next nominee - and the only candidate it could be of help to is Biden, who could plausibly unite the two sides of the party.
At this stage I think you have to significantly adjust for uncertainty as to whether candidates will run. Probably they don't even know for sure. I suspect Biden might not run.
I don't disagree with that. But if he does, he's likely the front runner.
I'd be very surprised if he stood. Less than 20% chance, I'd wager.
@rcs1000, £20 at those odds, if you're interested ?
If Sanders does not run Warren is the likeliest nominee in my view, she captures the populist mood of the Democratic base at the moment. However I think Trump would find her easier to beat than Biden and Sanders and early 2020 polling confirms that.
As Trump will be 74 when he seeks re election I doubt the fact Biden and Sanders are also in their 70s will have much impact. In fact challengers to a sitting President tend to be older experienced hands e.g. Romney, Kerry, Dole, Mondale, Reagan, McGovern, Goldwater etc rather than younger fresher figures likes Kennedy, Carter, Dukakis, W Bush, Obama etc who tend to challenge VPs and/or run after 8 years of the opposition party in the White House. Clinton of course only ran after 12 years of a Republican in the Oval Office
I've sprinkled a few quid around the Dems market so far. Biden, Kirsten Gillibrand, Warren, Cory Booker, Kamil Harris, Joe Kennedy.
Not much of a betting strategy at this stage. My latest gut thinking is it will be Biden, but no hard evidence for that really. Very early days.
Biden is the best Democratic candidate but the primary voters will likely pick Warren or Sanders.
Joe Kennedy May run for Senate in 2020 and try for President in 2024 if Trump is re elected or Sanders or Biden win and only serve 1 term
IF Trump is the President when peace comes to Korea and the North's nuclear threat is removed, he will win re-election whatever the Democrats say or do.
Maybe I underestimate foreign politics in regard to the USA but I would have thought it would have rested on other things, though that would get him a lot of credit.
Sky news were working very hard last night to say it was a mistake, etc - no credit to Trump at all.
The question is whether the Democrats will be smart enough to compromise and pick a candidate who can win back PA and the mid-west, even if that means they are not down with the latest and greatest identify politics.
Or (more likely) will they pick someone from their comfort zone who wins huge majorities in California and the North east and loses everywhere else. Nate Silver reckons there’s a strong chance of Trump repeating his trick from 2016 of losing the popular vote but winning the EC
Morning all,
Dems number 1 priority is to find a message/theme. What is it in a few words? We know what Trump's will be: "I'm making America great again, let me finish the job'.
From a distance, I see no sign that Dems have any idea what theirs will be.
F1: the McLaren has broken down again. Leaking oil, apparently.
Has Alonso become F1's Jonah ?
(Maybe McLaren ought to have kept the Honda engine and given him to Torro Rosso instead...)
He appears to be a great driver but a total fool in most other respects.
He was successful for so long as he was still very young and not in control. As soon as he started to make his own career decisions, everything has been a mess for him and any team connected to him, for over a decade now.
On topic. If the Dems want to appeal to blue-collar Democrats who leaked away to Trump last time, they could do the unthinkable and have a blue-collar Democrat as their candidate, rather than a latte-sipping liberal.
The trick is to have comprehensive coverage written by people who know what they are talking about.
Last summer The Sunday Telegraph wrote on their front page about a stalking horse challenge to topple Mrs May and that many MPs were backing it.
Under the Tory rules since 1997 there's no longer an option of a stalking horse challenge, it is a simple vote of confidence.
The only online edition I subscribe to is the FT. I used to read the actual Telegraph, but tbh, if I want to read about how the EU is doomed, I don't need to pay AEP, I can just come here instead.
For ages, I've been looking for a right of centre alternative to the Telegraph. The only option I can think of is the Times but it's gone downhill over the last couple of years. Any suggestions?
One clearly can't declare whether or not these allegations are absolutely true.
But... one thing which particularly irritated me was the statement from his office that the Speaker "absolutely refutes" the allegations. To refute is to demonstrate beyond a reasonable doubt that something is not true; to prove it wrong. He has done no such thing.
It also irks me that he regularly uses language in the chair when addressing individual MPs which he would rule out of order were they to use when addressing each other. A similar (thought less serious) abuse of position.
Visitors to the Meadowhall shopping centre can now enjoy a more powerful kind of retail experience, with the imminent opening of the latest Mercedes-Benz Pop Up shop in Sheffield. The store will open on Thursday 22 February - 4 April 2018.
Designed to bring Mercedes-Benz’s stunning cars to the public in a new and innovative way, the temporary installation - which is open until 4 April - features some of the brand’s most popular models, allowing customers to experience the cars up close, while also finding out more about the rest of the award-winning Mercedes-Benz range.
For those looking for something they can carry home, a range of Mercedes-Benz and smart Collection items will be available, from keyrings to baseball caps to stylish jackets and sleek luggage. Motorsport fans are also catered for, with a Formula One full size simulator on display, as well as merchandise from the MERCEDES AMG PETRONAS Formula One range.
Alongside the latest new and approved used vehicles the Pop Up shop is playing host to the latest smart models, including the new smart forfour. The rest of the exciting Mercedes-Benz range can be explored in an immersive digital environment using in-store car configurator tables.
I am surprised they don't paywall him, he gets them publicity but that doesn't translate into money (I seem to see his cartoon, for free, almost every day).
Plus they read it out on the Today prog most days.
I can't see how anyone can complain when a right wing paper espousing free market economics pays a top market rate for its talent.
The trick is to have comprehensive coverage written by people who know what they are talking about.
Last summer The Sunday Telegraph wrote on their front page about a stalking horse challenge to topple Mrs May and that many MPs were backing it.
Under the Tory rules since 1997 there's no longer an option of a stalking horse challenge, it is a simple vote of confidence.
The only online edition I subscribe to is the FT. I used to read the actual Telegraph, but tbh, if I want to read about how the EU is doomed, I don't need to pay AEP, I can just come here instead.
For ages, I've been looking for a right of centre alternative to the Telegraph. The only option I can think of is the Times but it's gone downhill over the last couple of years. Any suggestions?
The Guardian has the best journalism. I'm serious. It's also an effective echo chamber prophylaxis. My wife subscribes; I leech.
For the record, I have a very small amount of money on John Hickenlooper, who fails the "young insurgent" test, but passes the "very silly name" test.
He's won twice as Governor in a swing state, and has executive experience.
Why not?
That's the kind of profile I've been thinking could do well. I think the Dems have made a mistake running with Senators so frequently - it ties them to DC politics too much (yes, Obama won but he had exceptional campaign skills and attributes and was relatively new to Washington - and even he didn't win by all that much).
Warren will be 71 by the time of the next election, which would set another new record for the oldest-ever first-term president (though would potentially be up against Trump who, at 74, would be seeking to be the oldest person ever elected to the office). It really is time the next generation came through.
Odds do not favour the Democrats beating Trump, he is a first time President whose party has also had only 1 term in the White House and could steamroller over a younger candidate.
In fact the last candidate to beat a 1 term President after only 4 years of his party out of the Oval Office was Reagan in 1980 who was 69 and had narrowly lost the 1976 GOP primaries to Ford who then went on to lose narrowly Carter. On that basis Sanders might be the Democrats best bet given his narrow 2016 prinary loss to Hillary and her narrow general election loss to Trump
The trick is to have comprehensive coverage written by people who know what they are talking about.
Last summer The Sunday Telegraph wrote on their front page about a stalking horse challenge to topple Mrs May and that many MPs were backing it.
Under the Tory rules since 1997 there's no longer an option of a stalking horse challenge, it is a simple vote of confidence.
The only online edition I subscribe to is the FT. I used to read the actual Telegraph, but tbh, if I want to read about how the EU is doomed, I don't need to pay AEP, I can just come here instead.
For ages, I've been looking for a right of centre alternative to the Telegraph. The only option I can think of is the Times but it's gone downhill over the last couple of years. Any suggestions?
The Guardian has the best journalism. I'm serious. It's also an effective echo chamber prophylaxis. My wife subscribes; I leech.
THE GRAUNIAD!!!!!! Really? A right of centre newspaper? My wife also subscribes and she'd be in hysterics hearing that description.
The trick is to have comprehensive coverage written by people who know what they are talking about.
Last summer The Sunday Telegraph wrote on their front page about a stalking horse challenge to topple Mrs May and that many MPs were backing it.
Under the Tory rules since 1997 there's no longer an option of a stalking horse challenge, it is a simple vote of confidence.
The only online edition I subscribe to is the FT. I used to read the actual Telegraph, but tbh, if I want to read about how the EU is doomed, I don't need to pay AEP, I can just come here instead.
For ages, I've been looking for a right of centre alternative to the Telegraph. The only option I can think of is the Times but it's gone downhill over the last couple of years. Any suggestions?
The Guardian has the best journalism. I'm serious. It's also an effective echo chamber prophylaxis. My wife subscribes; I leech.
right of center? guffaw.
It's the most read paper at the beeb - that hotbed of right of center views
On topic. If the Dems want to appeal to blue-collar Democrats who leaked away to Trump last time, they could do the unthinkable and have a blue-collar Democrat as their candidate, rather than a latte-sipping liberal.
I am surprised they don't paywall him, he gets them publicity but that doesn't translate into money (I seem to see his cartoon, for free, almost every day).
Matt's cartoon online will mean more views, which might indirectly be monetised. Certainly the Telegraph should know, because it is very easy to find out, how much difference the presence or absence of the cartoon makes -- both online and in print.
There is also the matter of soft power. The paper gains from iconic content, as does its proprietor. (Taken to extremes, this is probably why the posh papers exist at all as they have made losses for much of their existence, depending on cross-subsidy and deep pockets.)
Old hands at the paper might remember 20 or so years ago when Alex was poached *by* the Telegraph.
If you added that much demonstrable value to your employer I’m sure they would pay you as much
I'm currently undertaking our pay gap review at work.
Turns out I'm one of the problems, no one has had as many pay reviews/increases as me in the last few years.
As an aside there's a great scope for manipulating the gender pay gap figures depending on the methodology you use.
Arithmetic mean, median, or modal salaries really can distort figures.
The senior HR folks at my place of work, all women, seem in general frustrated at how poorly the pay gap is actually understood, precisely because it can be distorted and may not indicate what poor reporting thinks.
It's all about context.
Whilst there is a gender pay gap in our favour is that
1) We pay around 5% more than the average sector, and 8% more than the North West average
2) We have a generous holiday package, 28 days plus stats, and 1 day a year extra for every full year you've served (capped at 10)
3) Free creche and nursery services
4) Flexible working
5) Generous bonus packages
6) A range of discounts for the staff
7) Everyone is on above the living wage.
8) The lower paid staff get a £150 gift card each November.
All very nice GIMMICKS. The test is very simple. Do you pay men and women the same salary for the same job?
Discounts, holidays etc are not salary even if HMRC taxes them as benefits-in-kind.
Visitors to the Meadowhall shopping centre can now enjoy a more powerful kind of retail experience, with the imminent opening of the latest Mercedes-Benz Pop Up shop in Sheffield. The store will open on Thursday 22 February - 4 April 2018.
Designed to bring Mercedes-Benz’s stunning cars to the public in a new and innovative way, the temporary installation - which is open until 4 April - features some of the brand’s most popular models, allowing customers to experience the cars up close, while also finding out more about the rest of the award-winning Mercedes-Benz range.
For those looking for something they can carry home, a range of Mercedes-Benz and smart Collection items will be available, from keyrings to baseball caps to stylish jackets and sleek luggage. Motorsport fans are also catered for, with a Formula One full size simulator on display, as well as merchandise from the MERCEDES AMG PETRONAS Formula One range.
Alongside the latest new and approved used vehicles the Pop Up shop is playing host to the latest smart models, including the new smart forfour. The rest of the exciting Mercedes-Benz range can be explored in an immersive digital environment using in-store car configurator tables.
The trick is to have comprehensive coverage written by people who know what they are talking about.
Last summer The Sunday Telegraph wrote on their front page about a stalking horse challenge to topple Mrs May and that many MPs were backing it.
Under the Tory rules since 1997 there's no longer an option of a stalking horse challenge, it is a simple vote of confidence.
The only online edition I subscribe to is the FT. I used to read the actual Telegraph, but tbh, if I want to read about how the EU is doomed, I don't need to pay AEP, I can just come here instead.
For ages, I've been looking for a right of centre alternative to the Telegraph. The only option I can think of is the Times but it's gone downhill over the last couple of years. Any suggestions?
The Guardian has the best journalism. I'm serious. It's also an effective echo chamber prophylaxis. My wife subscribes; I leech.
right of center? guffaw.
It's the most read paper at the beeb - that hotbed of right of center views
oh my aching sides
He didn’t say right of centre - it’s a prophylactic for right of centre echo chambers with good journalism. I enjoy reading it, even if they are wronger than a hedgehog who tried to cross the road to Wrongville
The trick is to have comprehensive coverage written by people who know what they are talking about.
Last summer The Sunday Telegraph wrote on their front page about a stalking horse challenge to topple Mrs May and that many MPs were backing it.
Under the Tory rules since 1997 there's no longer an option of a stalking horse challenge, it is a simple vote of confidence.
The only online edition I subscribe to is the FT. I used to read the actual Telegraph, but tbh, if I want to read about how the EU is doomed, I don't need to pay AEP, I can just come here instead.
For ages, I've been looking for a right of centre alternative to the Telegraph. The only option I can think of is the Times but it's gone downhill over the last couple of years. Any suggestions?
The Guardian has the best journalism. I'm serious. It's also an effective echo chamber prophylaxis. My wife subscribes; I leech.
right of center? guffaw.
It's the most read paper at the beeb - that hotbed of right of center views
oh my aching sides
Read my post more carefully. If you're particularly partisan, then knowing thine enemy is always useful. In the Internet age our great challenge is not simply grazing content that confirms our biases. It's one of the reasons I come here. Lefties should try the Telegraph, or if they're strong, the Mail. If they want to truly taste the madness, the Express.
One clearly can't declare whether or not these allegations are absolutely true.
But... one thing which particularly irritated me was the statement from his office that the Speaker "absolutely refutes" the allegations. To refute is to demonstrate beyond a reasonable doubt that something is not true; to prove it wrong. He has done no such thing.
It also irks me that he regularly uses language in the chair when addressing individual MPs which he would rule out of order were they to use when addressing each other. A similar (thought less serious) abuse of position.
There have been several stories over the years - plus having someone painted out of a picture dare I say it, paints it's own picture
Visitors to the Meadowhall shopping centre can now enjoy a more powerful kind of retail experience, with the imminent opening of the latest Mercedes-Benz Pop Up shop in Sheffield. The store will open on Thursday 22 February - 4 April 2018.
Designed to bring Mercedes-Benz’s stunning cars to the public in a new and innovative way, the temporary installation - which is open until 4 April - features some of the brand’s most popular models, allowing customers to experience the cars up close, while also finding out more about the rest of the award-winning Mercedes-Benz range.
For those looking for something they can carry home, a range of Mercedes-Benz and smart Collection items will be available, from keyrings to baseball caps to stylish jackets and sleek luggage. Motorsport fans are also catered for, with a Formula One full size simulator on display, as well as merchandise from the MERCEDES AMG PETRONAS Formula One range.
Alongside the latest new and approved used vehicles the Pop Up shop is playing host to the latest smart models, including the new smart forfour. The rest of the exciting Mercedes-Benz range can be explored in an immersive digital environment using in-store car configurator tables.
The trick is to have comprehensive coverage written by people who know what they are talking about.
Last summer The Sunday Telegraph wrote on their front page about a stalking horse challenge to topple Mrs May and that many MPs were backing it.
Under the Tory rules since 1997 there's no longer an option of a stalking horse challenge, it is a simple vote of confidence.
The only online edition I subscribe to is the FT. I used to read the actual Telegraph, but tbh, if I want to read about how the EU is doomed, I don't need to pay AEP, I can just come here instead.
For ages, I've been looking for a right of centre alternative to the Telegraph. The only option I can think of is the Times but it's gone downhill over the last couple of years. Any suggestions?
The Guardian has the best journalism. I'm serious. It's also an effective echo chamber prophylaxis. My wife subscribes; I leech.
right of center? guffaw.
It's the most read paper at the beeb - that hotbed of right of center views
oh my aching sides
He didn’t say right of centre - it’s a prophylactic for right of centre echo chambers with good journalism. I enjoy reading it, even if they are wronger than a hedgehog who tried to cross the road to Wrongville
The Guardian has become more and more of a partisan outlet, deliberately misrepresenting sides it disagrees with or omitting inconvenient information. The New Statesman is far better as an objective source from the centre left.
Of course both are far better than the Independent, which has become the equivalent of Buzzfeed clickbait.
IF Trump is the President when peace comes to Korea and the North's nuclear threat is removed, he will win re-election whatever the Democrats say or do.
It's an extraordinary move masterminded by the South Koreans who, after all, have everything to gain and everything to lose. I can't help but feel NK has been offered "something" to come to the table - a relaxation or indeed the ending of sanctions from both the US and China - or some kind of guarantee of support if there were a unilateral attack from the US.
If President Moon does pull this off, he'll deserve all the plaudits going - his role would be analogous to Carter getting Sadat and Begin together. As for Trump and Kim Jong-Un, both know a place in history awaits - Trump going to meet Jong-Un isn't quite Nixon going to Beijing but it's not far off it and I can only wonder if the relationship between Trump and President Xi has played a part in this as well.
I wish all parties well - a significant easing of tensions on the Korean Peninsula will help us all.
Don't say it too loudly, and it'll certainlt send the chattering classes into a tither, but what if, what if..
'Trump was right' (on this)
He has also played a blinder on gun control; the two-pronged attack from him and big businesses has done 100 times as much as Barry "Bump stock" Obama ever did to make serious progress look possible. And that is true even if nothing specific comes of it/he didn't mean it/he says some other, contradictory things about it.
The trick is to have comprehensive coverage written by people who know what they are talking about.
Last summer The Sunday Telegraph wrote on their front page about a stalking horse challenge to topple Mrs May and that many MPs were backing it.
Under the Tory rules since 1997 there's no longer an option of a stalking horse challenge, it is a simple vote of confidence.
The only online edition I subscribe to is the FT. I used to read the actual Telegraph, but tbh, if I want to read about how the EU is doomed, I don't need to pay AEP, I can just come here instead.
For ages, I've been looking for a right of centre alternative to the Telegraph. The only option I can think of is the Times but it's gone downhill over the last couple of years. Any suggestions?
The Guardian has the best journalism. I'm serious. It's also an effective echo chamber prophylaxis. My wife subscribes; I leech.
right of center? guffaw.
It's the most read paper at the beeb - that hotbed of right of center views
oh my aching sides
Read my post more carefully. If you're particularly partisan, then knowing thine enemy is always useful. In the Internet age our great challenge is not simply grazing content that confirms our biases. It's one of the reasons I come here. Lefties should try the Telegraph, or if they're strong, the Mail. If they want to taste the madness, the Express.
The Guardian and FT do seem to be the only newspapers left. The other mainstream "newspapers" appear to be little more than click-bait as far as the online versions are concerned and I never waste my money buying the print versions.
If you added that much demonstrable value to your employer I’m sure they would pay you as much
I'm currently undertaking our pay gap review at work.
Turns out I'm one of the problems, no one has had as many pay reviews/increases as me in the last few years.
As an aside there's a great scope for manipulating the gender pay gap figures depending on the methodology you use.
Arithmetic mean, median, or modal salaries really can distort figures.
The senior HR folks at my place of work, all women, seem in general frustrated at how poorly the pay gap is actually understood, precisely because it can be distorted and may not indicate what poor reporting thinks.
It's all about context.
Whilst there is a gender pay gap in our favour is that
1) We pay around 5% more than the average sector, and 8% more than the North West average
2) We have a generous holiday package, 28 days plus stats, and 1 day a year extra for every full year you've served (capped at 10)
3) Free creche and nursery services
4) Flexible working
5) Generous bonus packages
6) A range of discounts for the staff
7) Everyone is on above the living wage.
8) The lower paid staff get a £150 gift card each November.
All very nice GIMMICKS. The test is very simple. Do you pay men and women the same salary for the same job?
Discounts, holidays etc are not salary even if HMRC taxes them as benefits-in-kind.
How many people actually have the exact same job - with the exact same experience.
Visitors to the Meadowhall shopping centre can now enjoy a more powerful kind of retail experience, with the imminent opening of the latest Mercedes-Benz Pop Up shop in Sheffield. The store will open on Thursday 22 February - 4 April 2018.
Designed to bring Mercedes-Benz’s stunning cars to the public in a new and innovative way, the temporary installation - which is open until 4 April - features some of the brand’s most popular models, allowing customers to experience the cars up close, while also finding out more about the rest of the award-winning Mercedes-Benz range.
For those looking for something they can carry home, a range of Mercedes-Benz and smart Collection items will be available, from keyrings to baseball caps to stylish jackets and sleek luggage. Motorsport fans are also catered for, with a Formula One full size simulator on display, as well as merchandise from the MERCEDES AMG PETRONAS Formula One range.
Alongside the latest new and approved used vehicles the Pop Up shop is playing host to the latest smart models, including the new smart forfour. The rest of the exciting Mercedes-Benz range can be explored in an immersive digital environment using in-store car configurator tables.
This should mean that in 2017 the trade deficit was the lowest as a percentage of GDP of any year since 1998.
We'll have to wait until the GDP report at the end of March to have that confirmed or not.
You'd have thought with all this hype around big data and AI that ONS could issue its statistics with a built-in fudge factor to cover the inevitable revision.
Visitors to the Meadowhall shopping centre can now enjoy a more powerful kind of retail experience, with the imminent opening of the latest Mercedes-Benz Pop Up shop in Sheffield. The store will open on Thursday 22 February - 4 April 2018.
Designed to bring Mercedes-Benz’s stunning cars to the public in a new and innovative way, the temporary installation - which is open until 4 April - features some of the brand’s most popular models, allowing customers to experience the cars up close, while also finding out more about the rest of the award-winning Mercedes-Benz range.
For those looking for something they can carry home, a range of Mercedes-Benz and smart Collection items will be available, from keyrings to baseball caps to stylish jackets and sleek luggage. Motorsport fans are also catered for, with a Formula One full size simulator on display, as well as merchandise from the MERCEDES AMG PETRONAS Formula One range.
Alongside the latest new and approved used vehicles the Pop Up shop is playing host to the latest smart models, including the new smart forfour. The rest of the exciting Mercedes-Benz range can be explored in an immersive digital environment using in-store car configurator tables.
IF Trump is the President when peace comes to Korea and the North's nuclear threat is removed, he will win re-election whatever the Democrats say or do.
It's an extraordinary move masterminded by the South Koreans who, after all, have everything to gain and everything to lose. I can't help but feel NK has been offered "something" to come to the table - a relaxation or indeed the ending of sanctions from both the US and China - or some kind of guarantee of support if there were a unilateral attack from the US.
If President Moon does pull this off, he'll deserve all the plaudits going - his role would be analogous to Carter getting Sadat and Begin together. As for Trump and Kim Jong-Un, both know a place in history awaits - Trump going to meet Jong-Un isn't quite Nixon going to Beijing but it's not far off it and I can only wonder if the relationship between Trump and President Xi has played a part in this as well.
I wish all parties well - a significant easing of tensions on the Korean Peninsula will help us all.
Don't say it too loudly, and it'll certainlt send the chattering classes into a tither, but what if, what if..
'Trump was right' (on this)
He has also played a blinder on gun control; the two-pronged attack from him and big businesses has done 100 times as much as Barry "Bump stock" Obama ever did to make serious progress look possible. And that is true even if nothing specific comes of it/he didn't mean it/he says some other, contradictory things about it.
Both him and big business were forced into their position by the brave survivors of the Florida attack. For high school students they absolutely mastered framing the debate for the national media. The NRA has also been kneecapped as a force after the revelations of funnelling Russian money.
This should mean that in 2017 the trade deficit was the lowest as a percentage of GDP of any year since 1998.
We'll have to wait until the GDP report at the end of March to have that confirmed or not.
Not surprising given the restraint on consumption and the increase in production. Encouraging trends but a long way to go.
@SeanF Agreed. I was very surprised by the downward revision in the first place. Edit, back of a fag packet computation: economy = approx. £2trn. 1% =£20bn. 0.1% =£2bn. Trade revisal exceeds £2bn.
Even if they gained the Senate, it would not be enough to convict. TSE is right that it is in their interest to tie the whole Republican Party to Trump as closely as possible, so they can't distance themselves from him after 2020.
For ages, I've been looking for a right of centre alternative to the Telegraph. The only option I can think of is the Times but it's gone downhill over the last couple of years. Any suggestions?
The FT? Readership is right of centre, I assume, though the editorial line is harder to pin down (which is a good thing IMO - even though I usually agree with the Guardian I'd rather they were less predictable). If business and economics aren't your thing then it's a bit thin (though the arts section is better than one might think), but generally its articles are more judicious than the Telegraph.
If you added that much demonstrable value to your employer I’m sure they would pay you as much
I'm currently undertaking our pay gap review at work.
Turns out I'm one of the problems, no one has had as many pay reviews/increases as me in the last few years.
As an aside there's a great scope for manipulating the gender pay gap figures depending on the methodology you use.
Arithmetic mean, median, or modal salaries really can distort figures.
The senior HR folks at my place of work, all women, seem in general frustrated at how poorly the pay gap is actually understood, precisely because it can be distorted and may not indicate what poor reporting thinks.
It's all about context.
Whilst there is a gender pay gap in our favour is that
1) We pay around 5% more than the average sector, and 8% more than the North West average
2) We have a generous holiday package, 28 days plus stats, and 1 day a year extra for every full year you've served (capped at 10)
3) Free creche and nursery services
4) Flexible working
5) Generous bonus packages
6) A range of discounts for the staff
7) Everyone is on above the living wage.
8) The lower paid staff get a £150 gift card each November.
All very nice GIMMICKS. The test is very simple. Do you pay men and women the same salary for the same job?
Discounts, holidays etc are not salary even if HMRC taxes them as benefits-in-kind.
How many people actually have the exact same job - with the exact same experience.
Exactly! We are all unique snowflakes -- oh, hold on.
IF Trump is the President when peace comes to Korea and the North's nuclear threat is removed, he will win re-election whatever the Democrats say or do.
It's an extraordinary move masterminded by the South Koreans who, after all, have everything to gain and everything to lose. I can't help but feel NK has been offered "something" to come to the table - a relaxation or indeed the ending of sanctions from both the US and China - or some kind of guarantee of support if there were a unilateral attack from the US.
If President Moon does pull this off, he'll deserve all the plaudits going - his role would be analogous to Carter getting Sadat and Begin together. As for Trump and Kim Jong-Un, both know a place in history awaits - Trump going to meet Jong-Un isn't quite Nixon going to Beijing but it's not far off it and I can only wonder if the relationship between Trump and President Xi has played a part in this as well.
I wish all parties well - a significant easing of tensions on the Korean Peninsula will help us all.
Don't say it too loudly, and it'll certainlt send the chattering classes into a tither, but what if, what if..
'Trump was right' (on this)
He has also played a blinder on gun control; the two-pronged attack from him and big businesses has done 100 times as much as Barry "Bump stock" Obama ever did to make serious progress look possible. And that is true even if nothing specific comes of it/he didn't mean it/he says some other, contradictory things about it.
Visitors to the Meadowhall shopping centre can now enjoy a more powerful kind of retail experience, with the imminent opening of the latest Mercedes-Benz Pop Up shop in Sheffield. The store will open on Thursday 22 February - 4 April 2018.
Designed to bring Mercedes-Benz’s stunning cars to the public in a new and innovative way, the temporary installation - which is open until 4 April - features some of the brand’s most popular models, allowing customers to experience the cars up close, while also finding out more about the rest of the award-winning Mercedes-Benz range.
For those looking for something they can carry home, a range of Mercedes-Benz and smart Collection items will be available, from keyrings to baseball caps to stylish jackets and sleek luggage. Motorsport fans are also catered for, with a Formula One full size simulator on display, as well as merchandise from the MERCEDES AMG PETRONAS Formula One range.
Alongside the latest new and approved used vehicles the Pop Up shop is playing host to the latest smart models, including the new smart forfour. The rest of the exciting Mercedes-Benz range can be explored in an immersive digital environment using in-store car configurator tables.
For ages, I've been looking for a right of centre alternative to the Telegraph. The only option I can think of is the Times but it's gone downhill over the last couple of years. Any suggestions?
The FT? Readership is right of centre, I assume, though the editorial line is harder to pin down (which is a good thing IMO - even though I usually agree with the Guardian I'd rather they were less predictable). If business and economics aren't your thing then it's a bit thin (though the arts section is better than one might think), but generally its articles are more judicious than the Telegraph.
The FT is like the Sun. All the non-financial news is there, summarised in nice short paragraphs.
For ages, I've been looking for a right of centre alternative to the Telegraph. The only option I can think of is the Times but it's gone downhill over the last couple of years. Any suggestions?
The FT? Readership is right of centre, I assume, though the editorial line is harder to pin down (which is a good thing IMO - even though I usually agree with the Guardian I'd rather they were less predictable). If business and economics aren't your thing then it's a bit thin (though the arts section is better than one might think), but generally its articles are more judicious than the Telegraph.
The FT is like the Sun. All the non-financial news is there, summarised in nice short paragraphs.
Its coverage of the Kardashians is, in fairness, woeful. For that we must turn to the Mail. Essential reading.
The very article you quote says how Obama pushed hard for the bill in question, but that it was filibustered away by Republicans.
Yep. Most presidents only really have their first two years to get anything substantial done before they lose control of one or both houses of congress in the mid terms. By necessity Obama spent his first two years focusing on the stimulus package to prevent a second great depression and on Obamacare. By the time he had any time to spend on gun control the Democrats had lost the house and the measures could be blocked by the Republicans.
For the same reason Trump will probably find it much harder to get anything done from next January onwards.
IF Trump is the President when peace comes to Korea and the North's nuclear threat is removed, he will win re-election whatever the Democrats say or do.
It's an extraordinary move masterminded by the South Koreans who, after all, have everything to gain and everything to lose. I can't help but feel NK has been offered "something" to come to the table - a relaxation or indeed the ending of sanctions from both the US and China - or some kind of guarantee of support if there were a unilateral attack from the US.
If President Moon does pull this off, he'll deserve all the plaudits going - his role would be analogous to Carter getting Sadat and Begin together. As for Trump and Kim Jong-Un, both know a place in history awaits - Trump going to meet Jong-Un isn't quite Nixon going to Beijing but it's not far off it and I can only wonder if the relationship between Trump and President Xi has played a part in this as well.
I wish all parties well - a significant easing of tensions on the Korean Peninsula will help us all.
Don't say it too loudly, and it'll certainlt send the chattering classes into a tither, but what if, what if..
'Trump was right' (on this)
He has also played a blinder on gun control; the two-pronged attack from him and big businesses has done 100 times as much as Barry "Bump stock" Obama ever did to make serious progress look possible. And that is true even if nothing specific comes of it/he didn't mean it/he says some other, contradictory things about it.
The very article you quote says how Obama pushed hard for the bill in question, but that it was filibustered away by Republicans.
If gun control is going to happen it either needs the Republicans or an immensely powerful democrat party. Between Obamacare and attempts on gun control some on the right thought Obama was some kind of anti christ.
IF Trump is the President when peace comes to Korea and the North's nuclear threat is removed, he will win re-election whatever the Democrats say or do.
It's an extraordinary move masterminded by the South Koreans who, after all, have everything to gain and everything to lose. I can't help but feel NK has been offered "something" to come to the table - a relaxation or indeed the ending of sanctions from both the US and China - or some kind of guarantee of support if there were a unilateral attack from the US.
If President Moon does pull this off, he'll deserve all the plaudits going - his role would be analogous to Carter getting Sadat and Begin together. As for Trump and Kim Jong-Un, both know a place in history awaits - Trump going to meet Jong-Un isn't quite Nixon going to Beijing but it's not far off it and I can only wonder if the relationship between Trump and President Xi has played a part in this as well.
I wish all parties well - a significant easing of tensions on the Korean Peninsula will help us all.
Don't say it too loudly, and it'll certainlt send the chattering classes into a tither, but what if, what if..
'Trump was right' (on this)
He has also played a blinder on gun control; the two-pronged attack from him and big businesses has done 100 times as much as Barry "Bump stock" Obama ever did to make serious progress look possible. And that is true even if nothing specific comes of it/he didn't mean it/he says some other, contradictory things about it.
Both him and big business were forced into their position by the brave survivors of the Florida attack. For high school students they absolutely mastered framing the debate for the national media. The NRA has also been kneecapped as a force after the revelations of funnelling Russian money.
I think you might be calling time on the political influence of the NRA just a little early there...
By stereotype yes....but I refer you to the data on how newspaper readers voted in GE 2017 which was I think posted on here recently. From memory the FT readers split 40% Con, 39% Lab. That 39% of the readers of the FT were prepared to vote for Jeremy Corbyn absolutely astonished me and does show the extent to which the Tories are now disliked in some metropolitan business circles.
IF Trump is the President when peace comes to Korea and the North's nuclear threat is removed, he will win re-election whatever the Democrats say or do.
It's an extraordinary move masterminded by the South Koreans who, after all, have everything to gain and everything to lose. I can't help but feel NK has been offered "something" to come to the table - a relaxation or indeed the ending of sanctions from both the US and China - or some kind of guarantee of support if there were a unilateral attack from the US.
If President Moon does pull this off, he'll deserve all the plaudits going - his role would be analogous to Carter getting Sadat and Begin together. As for Trump and Kim Jong-Un, both know a place in history awaits - Trump going to meet Jong-Un isn't quite Nixon going to Beijing but it's not far off it and I can only wonder if the relationship between Trump and President Xi has played a part in this as well.
I wish all parties well - a significant easing of tensions on the Korean Peninsula will help us all.
Don't say it too loudly, and it'll certainlt send the chattering classes into a tither, but what if, what if..
'Trump was right' (on this)
He has also played a blinder on gun control; the two-pronged attack from him and big businesses has done 100 times as much as Barry "Bump stock" Obama ever did to make serious progress look possible. And that is true even if nothing specific comes of it/he didn't mean it/he says some other, contradictory things about it.
The very article you quote says how Obama pushed hard for the bill in question, but that it was filibustered away by Republicans.
If gun control is going to happen it either needs the Republicans or an immensely powerful democrat party. Between Obamacare and attempts on gun control some on the right thought Obama was some kind of anti christ.
All the Republicans can agree on is tax cuts and even that was a struggle. They are not going to enact gun control any time soon.
This should mean that in 2017 the trade deficit was the lowest as a percentage of GDP of any year since 1998.
We'll have to wait until the GDP report at the end of March to have that confirmed or not.
Not surprising given the restraint on consumption and the increase in production. Encouraging trends but a long way to go.
@SeanF Agreed. I was very surprised by the downward revision in the first place. Edit, back of a fag packet computation: economy = approx. £2trn. 1% =£20bn. 0.1% =£2bn. Trade revisal exceeds £2bn.
Most of the revision was in December. Most of our imports are made in October/November for the Xmas rush right? So it's a big revision in a medium sort of a number.
For the record, I have a very small amount of money on John Hickenlooper, who fails the "young insurgent" test, but passes the "very silly name" test.
He's won twice as Governor in a swing state, and has executive experience.
Why not?
That's the kind of profile I've been thinking could do well. I think the Dems have made a mistake running with Senators so frequently - it ties them to DC politics too much (yes, Obama won but he had exceptional campaign skills and attributes and was relatively new to Washington - and even he didn't win by all that much).
Warren will be 71 by the time of the next election, which would set another new record for the oldest-ever first-term president (though would potentially be up against Trump who, at 74, would be seeking to be the oldest person ever elected to the office). It really is time the next generation came through.
Odds do not favour the Democrats beating Trump, he is a first time President whose party has also had only 1 term in the White House and could steamroller over a younger candidate.
In fact the last candidate to beat a 1 term President after only 4 years of his party out of the Oval Office was Reagan in 1980 who was 69 and had narrowly lost the 1976 GOP primaries to Ford who then went on to lose narrowly Carter. On that basis Sanders might be the Democrats best bet given his narrow 2016 prinary loss to Hillary and her narrow general election loss to Trump
Sanders would be a disastrous choice. He appeals to a certain demographic but it's not one you can build an election-winning strategy around. he might be able to win back votes in the Rust Belt, playing to disenchantment with the establishment but he'll not win centrist independents. He's also far too easy for Trump to label as Commie Sanders. and I'm not sure that his campaigning style is as good as some have given him credit for - granted, it's similar to Trump's in sticking to a narrow core message, and Trump's worked, but that was down to a large extent to chance.
And that 'chance' was called Hillary: a thoroughly useless campaigner with more baggage than Terminal 5, who Trump only just beat. Any half-decent Democrat ought to be able to win back the White House against a man who has regularly plumbed new depths of unpopularity. But Sanders isn't half-decent; he's a one-trick pony. He'll also be 79 come polling day in 2020.
The trick is to have comprehensive coverage written by people who know what they are talking about.
Last summer The Sunday Telegraph wrote on their front page about a stalking horse challenge to topple Mrs May and that many MPs were backing it.
Under the Tory rules since 1997 there's no longer an option of a stalking horse challenge, it is a simple vote of confidence.
The only online edition I subscribe to is the FT. I used to read the actual Telegraph, but tbh, if I want to read about how the EU is doomed, I don't need to pay AEP, I can just come here instead.
For ages, I've been looking for a right of centre alternative to the Telegraph. The only option I can think of is the Times but it's gone downhill over the last couple of years. Any suggestions?
I think it's shocking how partisan all of the newspapers have become compared to just a few years ago. There's very little nuance in any of them these days. I remember when the Independent tried to be balanced between Conservative and Labour.
By stereotype yes....but I refer you to the data on how newspaper readers voted in GE 2017 which was I think posted on here recently. From memory the FT readers split 40% Con, 39% Lab. That 39% of the readers of the FT were prepared to vote for Jeremy Corbyn absolutely astonished me and does show the extent to which the Tories are now disliked in some metropolitan business circles.
From 'All Our War', one of Cameron's great worries was the wealthy with 'no skin in the game' who could vote Leave, with no compunction.
There's a certain level of affluence that pretty much immunises people from consequences.
By stereotype yes....but I refer you to the data on how newspaper readers voted in GE 2017 which was I think posted on here recently. From memory the FT readers split 40% Con, 39% Lab. That 39% of the readers of the FT were prepared to vote for Jeremy Corbyn absolutely astonished me and does show the extent to which the Tories are now disliked in some metropolitan business circles.
From 'All Our War', one of Cameron's great worries was the wealthy with 'no skin in the game' who could vote Leave, with no compunction.
There's a certain level of affluence that pretty much immunises people from consequences.
With a direct correlation to the willingness of that person to label anyone arguing in favour of Remain as being part of the elite.
Mr. M, applies at the lower end too. If your situation is terrible and people warn that leaving the EU will make things worse economically, it may be tempting to just laugh.
It'd be interesting to see a breakdown, perhaps by deciles, of how groups by wealth voted. I'd guess the top and bottom preferred to leave and the middle was more for remain, because they had something to lose but not enough cash to weather a storm. [Obviously, economic considerations are just one factor and others were at play too].
By stereotype yes....but I refer you to the data on how newspaper readers voted in GE 2017 which was I think posted on here recently. From memory the FT readers split 40% Con, 39% Lab. That 39% of the readers of the FT were prepared to vote for Jeremy Corbyn absolutely astonished me and does show the extent to which the Tories are now disliked in some metropolitan business circles.
From 'All Our War', one of Cameron's great worries was the wealthy with 'no skin in the game' who could vote Leave, with no compunction.
There's a certain level of affluence that pretty much immunises people from consequences.
With a direct correlation to the willingness of that person to label anyone arguing in favour of Remain as being part of the elite.
One of the oddities of our time. Even billionaires rail about the 'elite'. Presumably an updating of the zeitgeist given we needed to replace 'fairies'.
By stereotype yes....but I refer you to the data on how newspaper readers voted in GE 2017 which was I think posted on here recently. From memory the FT readers split 40% Con, 39% Lab. That 39% of the readers of the FT were prepared to vote for Jeremy Corbyn absolutely astonished me and does show the extent to which the Tories are now disliked in some metropolitan business circles.
Wasn't there a famous incident when Norman Tebbit accused the FT of being communists and it turned out that he was more or less correct. Nothing on google maybe I'm misremembering.
By stereotype yes....but I refer you to the data on how newspaper readers voted in GE 2017 which was I think posted on here recently. From memory the FT readers split 40% Con, 39% Lab. That 39% of the readers of the FT were prepared to vote for Jeremy Corbyn absolutely astonished me and does show the extent to which the Tories are now disliked in some metropolitan business circles.
From 'All Our War', one of Cameron's great worries was the wealthy with 'no skin in the game' who could vote Leave, with no compunction.
There's a certain level of affluence that pretty much immunises people from consequences.
With a direct correlation to the willingness of that person to label anyone arguing in favour of Remain as being part of the elite.
Lots of fun to be had over NHS pay in the coming months,thanks to the Tories adding on strings to the pay offer.It is always strings that cause the trouble and the unions will force employers of the need to cut the strings out of the deal."No Strings" campaigns are part of most NHS unions' reportoire and can be a focal point to mobilise support for the NHS generally. I would not expect the trade union response to be to lay down and have their tummies tickled by this government.#NoStrings
By stereotype yes....but I refer you to the data on how newspaper readers voted in GE 2017 which was I think posted on here recently. From memory the FT readers split 40% Con, 39% Lab. That 39% of the readers of the FT were prepared to vote for Jeremy Corbyn absolutely astonished me and does show the extent to which the Tories are now disliked in some metropolitan business circles.
I'm not surprised. In the 1990s, the FT said 'vote Labour' and earlier had supported anti-Thatcher Tories. I've always thought of it as middle of the road/liberal/bourgeois, as near to the Guardian as the Torygraph. Historically the Guardian was more Liberal than Labour.
My only spending goes on Private Eye. The current issue has news on just two pages of
May's hypocritical conduct on the Worboys case Selmayr's attempt to turn himself from a civil servant into a politician Barnier's plan to become President of the Commission (he'd sack Selmayr) UNITE's desperate attempt to keep McCluskey in post and more.
It's invaluable. Otherwise I've been known to read most of the sites without a paywall including the Washington Post and NY Times.
IF Trump is the President when peace comes to Korea and the North's nuclear threat is removed, he will win re-election whatever the Democrats say or do.
It's an extraordinary move masterminded by the South Koreans who, after all, have everything to gain and everything to lose. I can't help but feel NK has been offered "something" to come to the table - a relaxation or indeed the ending of sanctions from both the US and China - or some kind of guarantee of support if there were a unilateral attack from the US.
If President Moon does pull this off, he'll deserve all the plaudits going - his role would be analogous to Carter getting Sadat and Begin together. As for Trump and Kim Jong-Un, both know a place in history awaits - Trump going to meet Jong-Un isn't quite Nixon going to Beijing but it's not far off it and I can only wonder if the relationship between Trump and President Xi has played a part in this as well.
I wish all parties well - a significant easing of tensions on the Korean Peninsula will help us all.
Don't say it too loudly, and it'll certainlt send the chattering classes into a tither, but what if, what if..
'Trump was right' (on this)
He has also played a blinder on gun control; the two-pronged attack from him and big businesses has done 100 times as much as Barry "Bump stock" Obama ever did to make serious progress look possible. And that is true even if nothing specific comes of it/he didn't mean it/he says some other, contradictory things about it.
The very article you quote says how Obama pushed hard for the bill in question, but that it was filibustered away by Republicans.
If gun control is going to happen it either needs the Republicans or an immensely powerful democrat party. Between Obamacare and attempts on gun control some on the right thought Obama was some kind of anti christ.
All the Republicans can agree on is tax cuts and even that was a struggle. They are not going to enact gun control any time soon.
No, but it's a zeitgeisty thing. It feels, for the first time, as if we might be only two or three major atrocities away from serious reform.
The trick is to have comprehensive coverage written by people who know what they are talking about.
Last summer The Sunday Telegraph wrote on their front page about a stalking horse challenge to topple Mrs May and that many MPs were backing it.
Under the Tory rules since 1997 there's no longer an option of a stalking horse challenge, it is a simple vote of confidence.
The only online edition I subscribe to is the FT. I used to read the actual Telegraph, but tbh, if I want to read about how the EU is doomed, I don't need to pay AEP, I can just come here instead.
Think yourself lucky. Put yourself in the shoes of a Labour voting Leaver who used to rely on the Guardian and the Independent/i as their main source of news (more the latter than the former as the Guardian has too much of an agenda). Now you can't pick them up without having every piece of news reported purely through a blatantly Europhile prism.
It's got to the point where I need to take out an online subscription to the Telegraph just to get an alternative point of view. For someone on the political left, that's the equivalent of having to live for three months in a brown paper bag in a septic tank, get up at six o'clock in the morning, clean the bag, eat a crust of stale bread, go to work down mill for fourteen hours a day week in-week out. etc etc
Reading the EU threads on this site isn't much better. Almost every one is written by a Remainer, even if the comments are more balanced.
The trick is to have comprehensive coverage written by people who know what they are talking about.
Last summer The Sunday Telegraph wrote on their front page about a stalking horse challenge to topple Mrs May and that many MPs were backing it.
Under the Tory rules since 1997 there's no longer an option of a stalking horse challenge, it is a simple vote of confidence.
The only online edition I subscribe to is the FT. I used to read the actual Telegraph, but tbh, if I want to read about how the EU is doomed, I don't need to pay AEP, I can just come here instead.
Think yourself lucky. Put yourself in the shoes of a Labour voting Leaver who used to rely on the Guardian and the Independent/i as their main source of news (more the latter than the former as the Guardian has too much of an agenda). Now you can't pick them up without having every piece of news reported purely through a blatantly Europhile prism.
It's got to the point where I need to take out an online subscription to the Telegraph just to get an alternative point of view. For someone on the political left, that's the equivalent of having to live for three months in a brown paper bag in a septic tank, get up at six o'clock in the morning, clean the bag, eat a crust of stale bread, go to work down mill for fourteen hours a day week in-week out. etc etc
Reading the EU threads on this site isn't much better. Almost every one is written by a Remainer, even if the comments are more balanced.
PS. Try telling the young people of today that and they'll vote Remain rather than believe you.
Fantastic trade news this morning. Good but unsurprising to see Scotland punching above its weight. Surprised to see Wales do so too (looking at export value per capita), though not yet in surplus.
Would be interested to see regional figures if they are available.
IF Trump is the President when peace comes to Korea and the North's nuclear threat is removed, he will win re-election whatever the Democrats say or do.
It's an extraordinary move masterminded by the South Koreans who, after all, have everything to gain and everything to lose. I can't help but feel NK has been offered "something" to come to the table - a relaxation or indeed the ending of sanctions from both the US and China - or some kind of guarantee of support if there were a unilateral attack from the US.
If President Moon does pull this off, he'll deserve all the plaudits going - his role would be analogous to Carter getting Sadat and Begin together. As for Trump and Kim Jong-Un, both know a place in history awaits - Trump going to meet Jong-Un isn't quite Nixon going to Beijing but it's not far off it and I can only wonder if the relationship between Trump and President Xi has played a part in this as well.
I wish all parties well - a significant easing of tensions on the Korean Peninsula will help us all.
Don't say it too loudly, and it'll certainlt send the chattering classes into a tither, but what if, what if..
'Trump was right' (on this)
He has also played a blinder on gun control; the two-pronged attack from him and big businesses has done 100 times as much as Barry "Bump stock" Obama ever did to make serious progress look possible. And that is true even if nothing specific comes of it/he didn't mean it/he says some other, contradictory things about it.
The very article you quote says how Obama pushed hard for the bill in question, but that it was filibustered away by Republicans.
If gun control is going to happen it either needs the Republicans or an immensely powerful democrat party. Between Obamacare and attempts on gun control some on the right thought Obama was some kind of anti christ.
All the Republicans can agree on is tax cuts and even that was a struggle. They are not going to enact gun control any time soon.
No, but it's a zeitgeisty thing. It feels, for the first time, as if we might be only two or three major atrocities away from serious reform.
The trick is to have comprehensive coverage written by people who know what they are talking about.
Last summer The Sunday Telegraph wrote on their front page about a stalking horse challenge to topple Mrs May and that many MPs were backing it.
Under the Tory rules since 1997 there's no longer an option of a stalking horse challenge, it is a simple vote of confidence.
The only online edition I subscribe to is the FT. I used to read the actual Telegraph, but tbh, if I want to read about how the EU is doomed, I don't need to pay AEP, I can just come here instead.
Think yourself lucky. Put yourself in the shoes of a Labour voting Leaver who used to rely on the Guardian and the Independent/i as their main source of news (more the latter than the former as the Guardian has too much of an agenda). Now you can't pick them up without having every piece of news reported purely through a blatantly Europhile prism.
It's got to the point where I need to take out an online subscription to the Telegraph just to get an alternative point of view. For someone on the political left, that's the equivalent of having to live for three months in a brown paper bag in a septic tank, get up at six o'clock in the morning, clean the bag, eat a crust of stale bread, go to work down mill for fourteen hours a day week in-week out. etc etc
Reading the EU threads on this site isn't much better. Almost every one is written by a Remainer, even if the comments are more balanced.
"It ought to be remembered that there is nothing more difficult to take in hand, more perilous to conduct, or more uncertain in its success, than to take the lead in the introduction of a new order of things. Because the innovator has for enemies all those who have done well under the old conditions, and lukewarm defenders in those who may do well under the new. This coolness arises partly from fear of the opponents, who have the laws on their side, and partly from the incredulity of men, who do not readily believe in new things until they have had a long experience of them.”
This should mean that in 2017 the trade deficit was the lowest as a percentage of GDP of any year since 1998.
We'll have to wait until the GDP report at the end of March to have that confirmed or not.
Not surprising given the restraint on consumption and the increase in production. Encouraging trends but a long way to go.
@SeanF Agreed. I was very surprised by the downward revision in the first place. Edit, back of a fag packet computation: economy = approx. £2trn. 1% =£20bn. 0.1% =£2bn. Trade revisal exceeds £2bn.
Most of the revision was in December. Most of our imports are made in October/November for the Xmas rush right? So it's a big revision in a medium sort of a number.
Yes its odd. When you look at the chart on the ONS site the variations in previous months are all modest with a skyscraper for December. These numbers are always volatile and the ONS figures for January suggest a further slip into the red but the underlying trend is indeed hopeful.
The trick is to have comprehensive coverage written by people who know what they are talking about.
Last summer The Sunday Telegraph wrote on their front page about a stalking horse challenge to topple Mrs May and that many MPs were backing it.
Under the Tory rules since 1997 there's no longer an option of a stalking horse challenge, it is a simple vote of confidence.
The only online edition I subscribe to is the FT. I used to read the actual Telegraph, but tbh, if I want to read about how the EU is doomed, I don't need to pay AEP, I can just come here instead.
For ages, I've been looking for a right of centre alternative to the Telegraph. The only option I can think of is the Times but it's gone downhill over the last couple of years. Any suggestions?
I think it's shocking how partisan all of the newspapers have become compared to just a few years ago. There's very little nuance in any of them these days. I remember when the Independent tried to be balanced between Conservative and Labour.
I've become disappointed with the Daily Mail. Yes, it was always right wing, but back in the day it had a healthy scepticism of all politicians of whatever leaning. I know that Dacre is besotted with Theresa, but some of its recent front pages could have come out of the Tory Whips' office.
IF Trump is the President when peace comes to Korea and the North's nuclear threat is removed, he will win re-election whatever the Democrats say or do.
It's an extraordinary move masterminded by the South Koreans who, after all, have everything to gain and everything to lose. I can't help but feel NK has been offered "something" to come to the table - a relaxation or indeed the ending of sanctions from both the US and China - or some kind of guarantee of support if there were a unilateral attack from the US.
If President Moon does pull this off, he'll deserve all the plaudits going - his role would be analogous to Carter getting Sadat and Begin together. As for Trump and Kim Jong-Un, both know a place in history awaits - Trump going to meet Jong-Un isn't quite Nixon going to Beijing but it's not far off it and I can only wonder if the relationship between Trump and President Xi has played a part in this as well.
I wish all parties well - a significant easing of tensions on the Korean Peninsula will help us all.
Don't say it too loudly, and it'll certainlt send the chattering classes into a tither, but what if, what if..
'Trump was right' (on this)
He has also played a blinder on gun control; the two-pronged attack from him and big businesses has done 100 times as much as Barry "Bump stock" Obama ever did to make serious progress look possible. And that is true even if nothing specific comes of it/he didn't mean it/he says some other, contradictory things about it.
The very article you quote says how Obama pushed hard for the bill in question, but that it was filibustered away by Republicans.
If gun control is going to happen it either needs the Republicans or an immensely powerful democrat party. Between Obamacare and attempts on gun control some on the right thought Obama was some kind of anti christ.
All the Republicans can agree on is tax cuts and even that was a struggle. They are not going to enact gun control any time soon.
No, but it's a zeitgeisty thing. It feels, for the first time, as if we might be only two or three major atrocities away from serious reform.
On newspapers: I vaguely remember the Telegraph being quite good in the Worsthorne era. The collapse under the Barclays was rapid and total.
FT is good, but it some of its journalism is a little wishful. I’m not sure why - it doesn’t need “click bait”. I still rate the Times, but don’t have a subscription so my main experience is free copies on aeroplanes etc. The Guardian is of course the free go-to, but you have to wade through a mass of articles about transgenderism/polygamy/centristdads etc.
The Guardian could have a great future as the English speaking world’s liberal newspaper of choice; it would be a civic duty to sort out a viable economic model.
The trick is to have comprehensive coverage written by people who know what they are talking about.
Last summer The Sunday Telegraph wrote on their front page about a stalking horse challenge to topple Mrs May and that many MPs were backing it.
Under the Tory rules since 1997 there's no longer an option of a stalking horse challenge, it is a simple vote of confidence.
The only online edition I subscribe to is the FT. I used to read the actual Telegraph, but tbh, if I want to read about how the EU is doomed, I don't need to pay AEP, I can just come here instead.
For ages, I've been looking for a right of centre alternative to the Telegraph. The only option I can think of is the Times but it's gone downhill over the last couple of years. Any suggestions?
I think it's shocking how partisan all of the newspapers have become compared to just a few years ago. There's very little nuance in any of them these days. I remember when the Independent tried to be balanced between Conservative and Labour.
I think the clue was in the name and when Simon Kelner was editor they still had a range of views and some good opinion pieces that made it worth reading. I haven't even looked at their online site in a few years now.
Fantastic trade news this morning. Good but unsurprising to see Scotland punching above its weight. Surprised to see Wales do so too (looking at export value per capita), though not yet in surplus.
Would be interested to see regional figures if they are available.
I believe Scotland`s EU exports have increased to 49% of the total. Great that there's no threat to this growing area of our trade.
The trick is to have comprehensive coverage written by people who know what they are talking about.
Last summer The Sunday Telegraph wrote on their front page about a stalking horse challenge to topple Mrs May and that many MPs were backing it.
Under the Tory rules since 1997 there's no longer an option of a stalking horse challenge, it is a simple vote of confidence.
The only online edition I subscribe to is the FT. I used to read the actual Telegraph, but tbh, if I want to read about how the EU is doomed, I don't need to pay AEP, I can just come here instead.
Think yourself lucky. Put yourself in the shoes of a Labour voting Leaver who used to rely on the Guardian and the Independent/i as their main source of news (more the latter than the former as the Guardian has too much of an agenda). Now you can't pick them up without having every piece of news reported purely through a blatantly Europhile prism.
It's got to the point where I need to take out an online subscription to the Telegraph just to get an alternative point of view. For someone on the political left, that's the equivalent of having to live for three months in a brown paper bag in a septic tank, get up at six o'clock in the morning, clean the bag, eat a crust of stale bread, go to work down mill for fourteen hours a day week in-week out. etc etc
Reading the EU threads on this site isn't much better. Almost every one is written by a Remainer, even if the comments are more balanced.
"It ought to be remembered that there is nothing more difficult to take in hand, more perilous to conduct, or more uncertain in its success, than to take the lead in the introduction of a new order of things. Because the innovator has for enemies all those who have done well under the old conditions, and lukewarm defenders in those who may do well under the new. This coolness arises partly from fear of the opponents, who have the laws on their side, and partly from the incredulity of men, who do not readily believe in new things until they have had a long experience of them.”
The trick is to have comprehensive coverage written by people who know what they are talking about.
Last summer The Sunday Telegraph wrote on their front page about a stalking horse challenge to topple Mrs May and that many MPs were backing it.
Under the Tory rules since 1997 there's no longer an option of a stalking horse challenge, it is a simple vote of confidence.
The only online edition I subscribe to is the FT. I used to read the actual Telegraph, but tbh, if I want to read about how the EU is doomed, I don't need to pay AEP, I can just come here instead.
Think yourself lucky. Put yourself in the shoes of a Labour voting Leaver who used to rely on the Guardian and the Independent/i as their main source of news (more the latter than the former as the Guardian has too much of an agenda). Now you can't pick them up without having every piece of news reported purely through a blatantly Europhile prism.
It's got to the point where I need to take out an online subscription to the Telegraph just to get an alternative point of view. For someone on the political left, that's the equivalent of having to live for three months in a brown paper bag in a septic tank, get up at six o'clock in the morning, clean the bag, eat a crust of stale bread, go to work down mill for fourteen hours a day week in-week out. etc etc
Reading the EU threads on this site isn't much better. Almost every one is written by a Remainer, even if the comments are more balanced.
"It ought to be remembered that there is nothing more difficult to take in hand, more perilous to conduct, or more uncertain in its success, than to take the lead in the introduction of a new order of things. Because the innovator has for enemies all those who have done well under the old conditions, and lukewarm defenders in those who may do well under the new. This coolness arises partly from fear of the opponents, who have the laws on their side, and partly from the incredulity of men, who do not readily believe in new things until they have had a long experience of them.”
Fantastic trade news this morning. Good but unsurprising to see Scotland punching above its weight. Surprised to see Wales do so too (looking at export value per capita), though not yet in surplus.
Would be interested to see regional figures if they are available.
I believe Scotland`s EU exports have increased to 49% of the total. Great that there's no threat to this growing area of our trade.
It's 17% as at 2016. Of course, they may have jumped by £33bn in the last year, but probably not.
Fantastic trade news this morning. Good but unsurprising to see Scotland punching above its weight. Surprised to see Wales do so too (looking at export value per capita), though not yet in surplus.
Would be interested to see regional figures if they are available.
I believe Scotland`s EU exports have increased to 49% of the total. Great that there's no threat to this growing area of our trade.
It's 17% as at 2016. Of course, they may have jumped by £33bn in the last year, but probably not.
Fantastic trade news this morning. Good but unsurprising to see Scotland punching above its weight. Surprised to see Wales do so too (looking at export value per capita), though not yet in surplus.
Would be interested to see regional figures if they are available.
I believe Scotland`s EU exports have increased to 49% of the total. Great that there's no threat to this growing area of our trade.
It's 17% as at 2016. Of course, they may have jumped by £33bn in the last year, but probably not.
Comments
Joe Kennedy May run for Senate in 2020 and try for President in 2024 if Trump is re elected or Sanders or Biden win and only serve 1 term
(Maybe McLaren ought to have kept the Honda engine and given him to Torro Rosso instead...)
What a charmer
Telegraph readers - If you are more interested in cartoons than the news, try reading Viz rather than The Telegraph.
He was successful for so long as he was still very young and not in control. As soon as he started to make his own career decisions, everything has been a mess for him and any team connected to him, for over a decade now.
But... one thing which particularly irritated me was the statement from his office that the Speaker "absolutely refutes" the allegations.
To refute is to demonstrate beyond a reasonable doubt that something is not true; to prove it wrong. He has done no such thing.
It also irks me that he regularly uses language in the chair when addressing individual MPs which he would rule out of order were they to use when addressing each other. A similar (thought less serious) abuse of position.
Designed to bring Mercedes-Benz’s stunning cars to the public in a new and innovative way, the temporary installation - which is open until 4 April - features some of the brand’s most popular models, allowing customers to experience the cars up close, while also finding out more about the rest of the award-winning Mercedes-Benz range.
For those looking for something they can carry home, a range of Mercedes-Benz and smart Collection items will be available, from keyrings to baseball caps to stylish jackets and sleek luggage. Motorsport fans are also catered for, with a Formula One full size simulator on display, as well as merchandise from the MERCEDES AMG PETRONAS Formula One range.
Alongside the latest new and approved used vehicles the Pop Up shop is playing host to the latest smart models, including the new smart forfour. The rest of the exciting Mercedes-Benz range can be explored in an immersive digital environment using in-store car configurator tables.
https://www.jct600.co.uk/news/mercedes-benz-opens-pop-up-shop-in-meadowhall/15805/newsdetail.aspx
I can't see how anyone can complain when a right wing paper espousing free market economics pays a top market rate for its talent.
https://xkcd.com/1122/
It's the most read paper at the beeb - that hotbed of right of center views
oh my aching sides
There is also the matter of soft power. The paper gains from iconic content, as does its proprietor. (Taken to extremes, this is probably why the posh papers exist at all as they have made losses for much of their existence, depending on cross-subsidy and deep pockets.)
Old hands at the paper might remember 20 or so years ago when Alex was poached *by* the Telegraph.
Discounts, holidays etc are not salary even if HMRC taxes them as benefits-in-kind.
Vandoorne managed 151 laps yesterday, without incident....
https://ukdefencejournal.org.uk/the-curious-case-of-carrier-naming-outrage/
Of course both are far better than the Independent, which has become the equivalent of Buzzfeed clickbait.
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/28/us/politics/trump-gun-control.html
https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/nationalaccounts/balanceofpayments/bulletins/uktrade/january2018
This should mean that in 2017 the trade deficit was the lowest as a percentage of GDP of any year since 1998.
We'll have to wait until the GDP report at the end of March to have that confirmed or not.
https://twitter.com/BBCDouglasF/status/971788182131036161
@SeanF Agreed. I was very surprised by the downward revision in the first place.
Edit, back of a fag packet computation: economy = approx. £2trn. 1% =£20bn. 0.1% =£2bn. Trade revisal exceeds £2bn.
https://order-order.com/2018/03/09/lager-lout-farrellys-history-commons-brawls/
For the same reason Trump will probably find it much harder to get anything done from next January onwards.
They are not going to enact gun control any time soon.
And that 'chance' was called Hillary: a thoroughly useless campaigner with more baggage than Terminal 5, who Trump only just beat. Any half-decent Democrat ought to be able to win back the White House against a man who has regularly plumbed new depths of unpopularity. But Sanders isn't half-decent; he's a one-trick pony. He'll also be 79 come polling day in 2020.
There's a certain level of affluence that pretty much immunises people from consequences.
It'd be interesting to see a breakdown, perhaps by deciles, of how groups by wealth voted. I'd guess the top and bottom preferred to leave and the middle was more for remain, because they had something to lose but not enough cash to weather a storm. [Obviously, economic considerations are just one factor and others were at play too].
Edited extra bit: F1: Haas times looking good. But seems a little odd.
I would not expect the trade union response to be to lay down and have their tummies tickled by this government.#NoStrings
My only spending goes on Private Eye. The current issue has news on just two pages of
May's hypocritical conduct on the Worboys case
Selmayr's attempt to turn himself from a civil servant into a politician
Barnier's plan to become President of the Commission (he'd sack Selmayr)
UNITE's desperate attempt to keep McCluskey in post
and more.
It's invaluable. Otherwise I've been known to read most of the sites without a paywall including the Washington Post and NY Times.
http://www.dw.com/en/top-stories/s-9097
It's got to the point where I need to take out an online subscription to the Telegraph just to get an alternative point of view. For someone on the political left, that's the equivalent of having to live for three months in a brown paper bag in a septic tank, get up at six o'clock in the morning, clean the bag, eat a crust of stale bread, go to work down mill for fourteen hours a day week in-week out. etc etc
Reading the EU threads on this site isn't much better. Almost every one is written by a Remainer, even if the comments are more balanced.
Good but unsurprising to see Scotland punching above its weight. Surprised to see Wales do so too (looking at export value per capita), though not yet in surplus.
Would be interested to see regional figures if they are available.
I vaguely remember the Telegraph being quite good in the Worsthorne era. The collapse under the Barclays was rapid and total.
FT is good, but it some of its journalism is a little wishful. I’m not sure why - it doesn’t need “click bait”. I still rate the Times, but don’t have a subscription so my main experience is free copies on aeroplanes etc. The Guardian is of course the free go-to, but you have to wade through a mass of articles about transgenderism/polygamy/centristdads etc.
The Guardian could have a great future as the English speaking world’s liberal newspaper of choice; it would be a civic duty to sort out a viable economic model.
All else is utter dross.