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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Suddenly the money’s going on 2018 being the year of the next
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Suddenly the money’s going on 2018 being the year of the next General Election
Exactly three weeks ago 2018 was rated as just a 3.8% on Betfair’s “Year of Next General Election” market. Tonight it has reached 18.3% and is now the third favourite.
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Hard to see why or how the Conservatives would want to commit electoral suicide. Change a leader perhaps but no need to revisit the ballot box until required.
Trouble is, she tried that before.
https://twitter.com/jacob_rees_mogg/status/968534387057942529
The one good thing about Mrs May calling a 2017 election is that it spared us from having a US Primary season/Presidential election in a UK general election year.
Good evening, everybody.
Labour MPs are warning Jeremy Corbyn they could quit their seats if Ken Livingstone’s suspension from the party is lifted, HuffPost has learned.
A string of backbenchers raised the issue at the weekly meeting of the Parliamentary Labour Party (PLP) on Monday, predicting “departures” of MPs and many members if allegations of anti-semitism were not fully investigated.
It emerged this weekend that no internal inquiry had yet started into remarks by Livingstone suggesting Hitler was a Zionist, despite Corbyn ordering a fresh probe 10 months ago.
With his two-year suspension from the party due to run out in April, party insiders had expressed alarm that his case was not scheduled to be heard by the ruling National Executive Committee (NEC) next month.
http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/labour-mps-warn-corbyn-of-party-resignations-if-ken-livingstone-suspension-lifted_uk_5a95c269e4b0e6a523021026?fa&utm_hp_ref=uk-homepage
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/newsbeat-43209486
(The weather one being the most read.)
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chartism#People's_Charter_of_1838
Oh, wait, no you can't, Decathlon are French and so that'll shoot up in price if we leave the customs union.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-leicestershire-43144021
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_glucx8ICVHTLfPkxkcfPFmjA3adya8Sus9K-hrXAuA/edit#
The time when the Irish question would be settled at Westminster has long passed. The Irish know that the EU will help them hold London to its Treaty obligations. Internal British politics is neither here nor there.
There's some data I need for an upcoming thread.
Some interesting big swings, and often in Leave voting areas.
Labour getting 30%+ in true blue Harborough or Huntington is truly Corbynism sweeping the nation.
Yes CIP leads on treaties (historically parliament had no say, but I think ratification is a useful innovation).
That doesn’t mean they habecthe untrammelled right to do what they like. The “divine right” of the CiP comes from the sovereign will of the people. Essentially the CiP cannot permanently alienate powers because it only has delegated authority not absolute authority.
I’d generally restrict the requirement to consult the people to constitutional change
A court filing on Tuesday showed that prosecutors working for Robert Mueller dropped some charges against Rick Gates, a former aide to the Trump campaign who previously worked as a lobbyist for pro-Russian interests, just days after he was indicted for participating in a conspiracy to hide millions of dollars in fees he was paid for lobbying work and evade US taxes.
Gates pleaded guilty last week to separate charges, filed against him in Washington DC, that he conspired against the US and lied to investigators over the course of their inquiry.
The Virginia charges were dropped against him as part of a plea agreement in which Gates is being shown leniency by prosecutors in exchange for his full cooperation.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/feb/27/rick-gates-charges-robert-mueller-russia-investigation?utm_term=Autofeed&CMP=twt_b-gdnnews#link_time=1519768956
https://twitter.com/GraemeDemianyk/status/968574349342134274
He’s now denying it was racist again.
“Why should I not support Tom Watson?” Will you give him more money? “Yes, absolutely.”
https://twitter.com/RobbieWhelan7/status/968571101612720128
There will not be a general election in 2018 -nor will there be one until 2022.
Theresa May will remain PM until after Brexit.
Mogg will not make the final two candidates for the Tory leadership when a vacancy occurs.
The Jeremy Corbyn wankathon will come to an end when he fails to become a prime minister and his supporters will look very silly.
"Last night Tom Watson said: 'My views on Press regulation are well known and have not changed. The views expressed by Max as a young man are not the views he holds now, just as the Rothermere family no longer uses its newspapers to support fascism.' "
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5441827/Did-F1-tycoon-Max-Mosley-lie-orgy-trial.html?ITO=1490&ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490
I mean what other reason explains appointing Boris Johnson, Liam Fox, and David Davis to key Brexit roles?
David Cameron rode a horse!!!!! And others, from down the years.
They were going to cost the Tories the 2015 election.
One-in-four of the mozzarella cheeses on sale in Italy are made not from milk but from industrial curd that is a foreign import, the country’s main farming association has admitted.
http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/food-and-drink/news/mozzarella-cheese-imported-curd-causes-latest-diplomatic-spat-between-italy-and-germany-a6824021.html
Fail to prepare? Prepare to fail.
After Trump's win in the USA and with Berlusconi set to return in Italy on Sunday as Kingmaker after the Italian general election, Boris with his populist, patriotic charisma is looking like the face of winning western conservatism at the moment
1.Knowsley: Lab votes 2017 = 47,351, Total votes in 2010 = 44,654.
2.L'pool Walton: 36,175 / 34,335.
3.L'pool Riverside: 40,599 / 38,801.
4.L'pool West Derby: 37,371 / 35,784.
5.Lewisham Deptford: 42,461 / 41,220.
6.Hackney South: 43,974 / 42,858.
7.Bootle: 42,259 / 41,277.
In a further 12 constituencies the Labour vote in 2017 was more than 90% the total vote in 2010.
[1] no scare quotes