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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » UK Special Elections Super Thursday 1 : February 15th 2018
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » UK Special Elections Super Thursday 1 : February 15th 2018
Higham Ferrers on Northamptonshire (Con defence) Result: Con 1,414 (57% -3% on last time), Lab 557 (22% +3% on last time), Lib Dem 336 (13% +2% on last time), UKIP 109 (4% -6% on last time), Green 81 (3%, no candidate last time) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 857 (35%) on a swing of 3% from Con to Lab
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UKIP is now around 4% and three-quarters of the other 12% have gone to the Tories, the other 3% to Labour.
OK Let's say a fifth of the Tory vote is ex-Kippers. Without them the Tories would be on 32% where they belong. Nothing to do with Corbyn.
Depressing.
UKIP only ever had a short shelf life.
http://observer.com/2018/02/new-report-reveals-jeremy-corbyn-was-a-communist-spy-in-1980s/amp/?__twitter_impression=true
the Observer FFS
https://twitter.com/gdnpolitics/status/964629154162343936
Another irony meter gone...
"He assessed Corbyn, who was known as a sharp critic of Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher and Britain’s close ties with the Americans, as “negative towards the USA, as well as the current politics of the Conservative government.” " Wow! What a revelation.
Except this one.
Wow! What a revelation.
Happy to be proven wrong, of course, if Labour and the LibDems did campaign on sound finances.
What are your credentials against that?
http://blackbag.gawker.com/the-crazy-emails-that-took-down-nsa-spook-john-schindle-1610203101
It is depressing to see no electoral comeback.
I say similar about some Labour councils. Rotherham being a not so shiny example.
My credentials are that I can read English and I can detect fake news. Did you note the jump to "In Western terms, Corbyn was a communist spy". Can you detect the logical leap?
I very much doubt that's where this story will end up however.
'Support Hillary. Save American Muslims and drone Pakistani, Syrian and Libyan Muslims instead?'
I think detecting fake news is an important life skill. There are rules of thumb you can apply. What is the original source? Is it credible? Does it have an agenda? Are there leaps of logic? Is the summary or conclusion a fair representation of the content etc? I think "detecting fake news" would be a worthwhile addition to the curriculum for school children.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5401097/amp/Jeremy-Corbyn-paid-Czech-secret-police-spy-claims.html?__twitter_impression=true
If his claims of multiple visits to the CZ embassy there will be multiple witnesses, and an MI5 file.
More likely isithat a retired Slovakian spook has just gained a more comfy retirement.
The parameters for a extinction level even on a politician's career have wildly shifted and we'd better get used to it.
Well, its a view....
https://twitter.com/ross_chmiel/status/964255904504909825
https://i.redd.it/rw4f7r9zz7g01.jpg
via
https://www.reddit.com/r/mildlyinteresting/comments/7xk1qc/if_us_presidents_had_been_women/
Now we have tinkered with education to remove the swathe of history and core literature, which means that kids cannot understand or connect with the.us or our parents - I live in Scotland where my kids (at a good school) only studied the Scottish Wars of Independence (guess who from?), the Jacobites (again, nasty English), the abolition of Slavery (good, but...) and WW2 (from a home front perspective). They have no real understanding of who they should be because they don't know where they come from. I genuinely despair.
And don't accuse me of being a little Englander or some British supremacist - I don't view history through rose coloured glasses. My core point is the famous saying "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it."
On a personal level, I also have strong family links to Iran and have distant family members who have been disappeared by the regime. It sickens me that a man paid by the despots that run that country could be British Prime Minister. How any left winger who believes in human rights can back someome who has legitimised the propaganda of such brutal theocrats is beyond me.
Good results for LD’s
The people of Northants evidently get the public service they deserve.
You need to remember that secret police are bureaucracies too
(Incidentally an I the only one who finds Barnesian's protests on fake news amusing when he's such an avid reader of Skwawkbox?)
Wouldn't say boo to a goose.
That said I believe he is the second-longest serving Italian Prime Minister so clearly he has a big following somewhere.
Rather than expanding and broadening free speech and open dialogue, it's actually become a tool for enforcing orthodoxy and amplifying opinion-based, rather than fact-based, evidence.
Actually though the last thread and this one show an interesting circling of the wagons from his admirers particularly against the depressingly few remaining clear-eyed Labour voters (look at the attacks on Joff for daring to point out that Corbyn is unfit for public office). He really does inspire passion in his supporters. It's a terrible shame that all that energy and idealism is wasted on somebody like Corbyn instead of channeled fruitfully behind an individual of ability and integrity.
Thanks for this, Mr. Hayfield. Looks like a night of sandal supremacy.
Each time he loses a feather the plunge grows closer.
It’s coming.
I think once the unelectable line went people have just started to get a bit desperate in regard to Corbyn, claiming he is a communist spy and then ranting on about Trump seems a bit ironic as well....
How much of its own history do you think a country with its own education system should teach? If you were ExiedInEire how would you expect their schools to teach your kids who they should be and where they come from?
Berlusconi is also a skilled practitioner of factional politics.
BPC is presented as a foreign chancer who exploited Native discontent to try and seize the UK crown.
It is therefore disingenuous to feign shock and surprise when the reasons for electing him leader are confirmed.
The Tory 'three quidders' helped create this monster - they have to live with the consequences. I voted for Liz Kendall. So 'not guilty m'lud'!
There are certainly elements of “Scottish” history (say the Jacobite rebellions or the Clearances) that are worthy of study in their own right.
There are others, say the Industrial Revolution, where there’s an overarching national theme to it which should form the backbone but in the detail I could see focusing on Glasgow rather than, say, Manchester would be more compelling for kids.
In other areas, though, even if it is strictly “English” rather than “Scottish” history (such as the Romans or the Tudors) there are subjects that deserve a place in the curriculum in their own right. I’d argue that they are more relevant to a Scottish kid than the doings of King David or Malcolm Canmore