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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Can Ed win support for state funding of political parties?

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    Cheers for posting that, Mr. F.

    Have UKIP been behind the Lib Dems much lately?

    Miss Plato, some of those are hilarious, some wittingly, others not.
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,755
    taffys said:

    ''Just a little reminder Britain fought Germany for three years before the USA became involved.
    Cameron should have said it in Siberia, where 20 million died, killed by ermm..Russians.''

    We have Japan to thank for the US getting into the war. Before Pearl Harbor, the mood of America was staunchly anti-fighting. Indeed, if Roosevelt hadn;t matched his opponents anti war rhetoric he might well have lost in the election leading up to it.

    Pearl Harbour convinced the Americans there was no staying out. It wasn't an option. If they didn't find war, war would find them.

    No we have Hilter to thank, the idiot declared war on the US for no reason post Pearl Harbour. If he hadn't the US would have simply gone to war in the Pacific. While this would have helped the UK which was fighting on two fronts it wouldn't have defeated Germany. It's 50:50 whether Germany or the Soviet Union would have won the European ground war.
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    I know Sea Lion was the proposed operation to invade Britain, which required the Luftwaffe to win the Battle of Britain (which, of course, they did not). Was Barbarossa the Nazi invasion of Russia?
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    edited September 2013

    Cheers for posting that, Mr. F.

    Have UKIP been behind the Lib Dems much lately?

    Miss Plato, some of those are hilarious, some wittingly, others not.

    I laughed like a drain. Most unattractive I'm sure :^ )

    And just for our Glaswegian posters

    http://www.buzzfeed.com/laureng52/25-signs-you-grew-up-in-glasgow-e4ts?utm_campaign=socialflow&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=buzzfeed
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850

    Cheers for posting that, Mr. F.

    Have UKIP been behind the Lib Dems much lately?

    Miss Plato, some of those are hilarious, some wittingly, others not.

    Populus poll in a similar way to ICM, which tends to give the Lib Dems their highest scores, and UKIP their lowest.

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    Thsi is getting into one of those ' I know more about World War 2' than you threads! Just watch Where Eagles Dare or Ice Cold in Alex!!
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    @Morris_Dancer

    Looking like Rafa V Novak for the US Open Final

    Rafa @ 10/11 looks mighty overpriced IMO.
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    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    If he hadn't the US would have simply gone to war in the Pacific.

    Disagree.

    As does Churchill. When he heard about Pearl Harbour he immediately commented 'so, we win after all'.

    After Pearl Harbor there was no way America was not going to fight Hitler.
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    Cheers for the answer, Mr. F.

    Mr. Away, indeed. We all know that knowledge of the Second Punic War is more impressive.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850
    taffys said:

    If he hadn't the US would have simply gone to war in the Pacific.

    Disagree.

    As does Churchill. When he heard about Pearl Harbour he immediately commented 'so, we win after all'.

    After Pearl Harbor there was no way America was not going to fight Hitler.

    The Japanese belief that they could simultaneously take on the United States, China, and three European states was delusional.
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    Thsi is getting into one of those ' I know more about World War 2' than you threads! Just watch Where Eagles Dare or Ice Cold in Alex!!

    Coming round to a remake of W.E.D. - "Ja Ja but I thought ze WMD was on ze other side of the gulf... ?"

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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    tim said:

    JackW said:

    tim said:

    tim said:

    Get down on your knees and thank the last govt, PB Tories

    Mark Easton ‏@BBCMarkEaston
    Despite ageing population, Eng/Wales younger than EU average: 16% aged 65+. EU 18%. Germany 21%! http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/dcp171776_325486.pdf

    Err what for ?
    Britain was facing an ageing population crisis.
    And Labour solved it, the percentage of over 65's stayed at 16% between 2001 and 2011.


    Absolutely correct apart from the fact that between before 1945 there had been no majority Labour government in office to influence birth rates.

    You'll find the discussion is about percentages not absolutes.
    Are you joining the PB Stats Geniuses Mortality team, we all lost five days trying to explain that one to the primary school intellects
    Since when have you been the arbiter of the scope of discussions? .... except of course where the need for expert knowledge of Cheshire farming is concerned !!

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    TGOHF -Remakes only work if you can improve the original . In this respect it is not possible to improve Where Eagles dare imho and so a remake would be a criminal action
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Sean_F said:

    taffys said:

    If he hadn't the US would have simply gone to war in the Pacific.

    Disagree.

    As does Churchill. When he heard about Pearl Harbour he immediately commented 'so, we win after all'.

    After Pearl Harbor there was no way America was not going to fight Hitler.

    The Japanese belief that they could simultaneously take on the United States, China, and three European states was delusional.
    Indeed so.

    If Japan had stuck to the conquest of coastal China they might have avoided a wider conflict but the American squeeze on oil led to further Japanese imperialism.

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    Remakes/reboots are overdone.

    Not seen the new Star Trek film but I cannot believe it's better than Wrath of Khan. Likewise, the original Star Wars trilogy is miles better than the prequel.
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    If my aunt had been a man she'd have been my uncle ...
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    Maybe the best thing that could have happened to the 20th century was for Germany to have won WW1.
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    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,047
    Anyone else embarrassed by Cameron's Hugh Grant like speech? The issue is whether anyone bothers to listen to us anymore. I don't know the answer, but for Cameron to go on about all the things we did in the dim and distant past is just silly. It doesn't answer the question. Maybe as a conservative he'd rather rather live in the past but for most of us it's the present and the future we care about.

    I don't know, maybe this is what voters want. A bit of silly jingoistic tub thumping pulling on the heartstrings. Personally I'd prefer a serious politician who understands what our role in the world is and how we can be effective. Has anyone considered how this will be interpreted in the rest of the world? It'll just reinforce what a joke we are, living off our past successes blithely ignoring how we'll soon be dominated by the emerging powers. I think it's unfair, most British people are far more attuned to the present than we get credit for but idiots like Cameron hardly help.
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    TGOHF -Remakes only work if you can improve the original . In this respect it is not possible to improve Where Eagles dare imho and so a remake would be a criminal action

    That hasn't stopped Hollywood before - I can see them casting Colin Farrell in the Clint role and Hugh Jackman as Burton.
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,755
    Sean_F said:

    taffys said:

    If he hadn't the US would have simply gone to war in the Pacific.

    Disagree.

    As does Churchill. When he heard about Pearl Harbour he immediately commented 'so, we win after all'.

    After Pearl Harbor there was no way America was not going to fight Hitler.

    The Japanese belief that they could simultaneously take on the United States, China, and three European states was delusional.
    Roosevelt was having a rough time giving help to the UK, post Pearl Harbour the US public and General Staff wanted all out war with Japan. While it is possible that the USA may have gone to war with Germany later it wouldn't have been in 1942 if Hitler hadn't made it easy for them, I think it's a moot point whether Hitler might have won the E Front ground war by the time they entered.
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    tessyCtessyC Posts: 106
    It is my understanding that Germany had to delay Operation Barbarossa and lose the advantage more non winter months for invasion thanks to the British frustrating the Italians in Greece, thus Germany had to step in and divert men. Don't know if the Soviets needed to thank the British or the Italians for that one.
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    If my aunt had been a man she'd have been my uncle ...

    Possibly both in some of the more rural parts of Norfolk !!

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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724

    Thsi is getting into one of those ' I know more about World War 2' than you threads! Just watch Where Eagles Dare or Ice Cold in Alex!!

    Ice Cold in Alex - no better advert for free.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gsqZDl99PNk
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850
    Three more results:-

    Northamptonshire Middleton Cheney - Con 1081, UKIP 604, Lab 221,
    Lib Dem 141.

    Daventry Ravensthorpe - Con 285, UKIP 212, Lab 93, Lib Dem 23.

    St. Edmundsbury Bardwell - Con hold (I don't have the figures).
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    TGOHF said:

    TGOHF -Remakes only work if you can improve the original . In this respect it is not possible to improve Where Eagles dare imho and so a remake would be a criminal action

    That hasn't stopped Hollywood before - I can see them casting Colin Farrell in the Clint role and Hugh Jackman as Burton.
    If only, I'm sure Hollywood would insist on at least one role be played by Julia Roberts...!
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    TGOHF said:

    TGOHF -Remakes only work if you can improve the original . In this respect it is not possible to improve Where Eagles dare imho and so a remake would be a criminal action

    That hasn't stopped Hollywood before - I can see them casting Colin Farrell in the Clint role and Hugh Jackman as Burton.
    If only, I'm sure Hollywood would insist on at least one role be played by Julia Roberts...!
    I have no objection to her playing "Heidi" the beer wench.

    https://encrypted-tbn2.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcR19FbEcJkjEY0dSwT5CNiX7c1jRPOdp1qq7db17XCgCSKCGxjg
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    tessyC said:

    It is my understanding that Germany had to delay Operation Barbarossa and lose the advantage more non winter months for invasion thanks to the British frustrating the Italians in Greece, thus Germany had to step in and divert men. Don't know if the Soviets needed to thank the British or the Italians for that one.

    There's a view that if Hitler had waited until Spring 1942 he'd have completely rolled up the Soviet Union in the following 6-8 months. Stalin never believed the Nazi's would attack despite extensive intelligence to the contrary.

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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,967

    The problem with extending people's working lives is that it denies the young opportunities.

    The same goes for immigration, hence the British Jobs speech from Brown.

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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850

    Sean_F said:

    taffys said:

    If he hadn't the US would have simply gone to war in the Pacific.

    Disagree.

    As does Churchill. When he heard about Pearl Harbour he immediately commented 'so, we win after all'.

    After Pearl Harbor there was no way America was not going to fight Hitler.

    The Japanese belief that they could simultaneously take on the United States, China, and three European states was delusional.
    Roosevelt was having a rough time giving help to the UK, post Pearl Harbour the US public and General Staff wanted all out war with Japan. While it is possible that the USA may have gone to war with Germany later it wouldn't have been in 1942 if Hitler hadn't made it easy for them, I think it's a moot point whether Hitler might have won the E Front ground war by the time they entered.
    Once the Soviet Union failed to collapse in the first few weeks after June 22nd 1941, I don't think the Germans could have ever have won a complete victory. They might have managed a draw that left them in occupation of some parts of Soviet territory.

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    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    Thsi is getting into one of those ' I know more about World War 2' than you threads!

    Tim started it with his jibe about Cameron lecturing Russians about Nazis.
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    Lots of people have made serious errors in judging Great Britain by its size..
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    simonstclare-- Not that I condone a remake but Where Eagles Dare did have some forward progressive thinking in the original with the girls doing a good deal of Nazi wasting as well
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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,288
    taffys said:

    Thsi is getting into one of those ' I know more about World War 2' than you threads!

    Tim started it with his jibe about Cameron lecturing Russians about Nazis.

    Basil: Is there something wrong?
    Elder Herr: Will you stop talking about the war?
    Basil: Me! You started it!
    Elder Herr: We did not start it!
    Basil: Yes you did — you invaded Poland.
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    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    Stalin never believed the Nazi's would attack despite extensive intelligence to the contrary.

    Even when the offensive had started Stalin refused to believe it!
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    I know Sea Lion was the proposed operation to invade Britain, which required the Luftwaffe to win the Battle of Britain (which, of course, they did not). Was Barbarossa the Nazi invasion of Russia?

    Yep.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Barbarossa
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Sea_Lion

    Sea Lion required much more than the Luftwaffe winning the Battle of Britain. Basically, they only started implementing the plan at the last minute, and they had not prepared the necessary materials. The Rhine Barges they were planning to cross in were hardly ideal for the task.

    AFAICR, the army wanted a massively broad front with 40 divisions on the south coast, whilst the Kriegsmarine only felt they could keep a narrow channel open across the channel and supply a much smaller army. In the end the Kriegsmarine won (as they had to), after which the army were considerably less keen on the invasion.

    Hitler never really wanted to invade the UK; if he had he would have prepared (e.g. built proper landing craft) before 1939. If that had happened, we would have been in a very different situation.

    That's my reading of it, anyway.
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,205
    Timothy Snyder's book "Bloodlands" about the experience of Eastern Europe at the hands of both the Nazis and the Soviets between the end of WW1 and the end of WW2 is a very good - if harrowing - read.

    As far as those countries are concerned, the Russians have nothing to be proud about and much to be ashamed about. Their role in defeating Hitler has allowed them to obscure the very great harm they caused to the peoples of these areas both before, during and after WW2.

    One thing I learnt was that surprisingly little actual Russian territory was invaded by the Nazis. The vast majority of the fighting and suffering occurred in Byelorussia and Ukraine and Poland.
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    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    Lots of people have made serious errors in judging Great Britain by its size..

    I often think Britain's size is an understated factor in its history. Plenty of what drove the empire was simply lack of Lebensraum here for ambitious low born people.

    Would the debate on immigration today be so fierce if Britain had, say double the landmass it has?

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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,967
    How adroit.. haha

    "Putin really is a tosser," wrote Henry Smith, MP for Crawley, on Twitter.
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    simonstclare-- the original with the girls doing a good deal of Nazi wasting as well

    Good lord, I’d forgotten that bit in the film. eek – OK, Julia Roberts can stay…!
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    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,047
    taffys said:

    Stalin never believed the Nazi's would attack despite extensive intelligence to the contrary.

    Even when the offensive had started Stalin refused to believe it!

    There is something slightly comical about a man like Stalin trusting Hitler of all people.
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    General Election @UKELECTIONS2015
    Vote share from all 10 by elections

    Con 36.8% (-2.7%)
    UKIP 21.6% (+10.9%)
    Lab 19.5% (-3%)
    LD 10.8% (-4%)
    Ind 8.1% (-0.4%)
    Green 3.3% (+3%)
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    Talking of Guardian angst, the recent spate of soul-searching, backbiting, in-fighting, wonkish introspection, recriminations, and sheer unbridled looniness, over Femen has been absolutely hilarious. Here's a flavour, but there's plenty more like this:

    http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/sep/04/femen-man-topless-protests-victor-vyatski

    http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/sep/05/victory-svyatski-femen-man
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Personally I'd prefer a serious politician who understands what our role in the world is and how we can be effective.

    Ed thinks our role in the World is at home with our feet up on the sofa.

    How effective is that?
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850
    O/T we have three more Australian polls.

    One has the Coalition up 52/48% on 2PP. The other two have them leading 53/47%.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    taffys said:

    Stalin never believed the Nazi's would attack despite extensive intelligence to the contrary.

    Some people don't believe Assad gassed his own people
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,937
    edited September 2013

    Anyone else embarrassed by Cameron's Hugh Grant like speech? The issue is whether anyone bothers to listen to us anymore. I don't know the answer, but for Cameron to go on about all the things we did in the dim and distant past is just silly. It doesn't answer the question. Maybe as a conservative he'd rather rather live in the past but for most of us it's the present and the future we care about.

    I don't know, maybe this is what voters want. A bit of silly jingoistic tub thumping pulling on the heartstrings. Personally I'd prefer a serious politician who understands what our role in the world is and how we can be effective. Has anyone considered how this will be interpreted in the rest of the world? It'll just reinforce what a joke we are, living off our past successes blithely ignoring how we'll soon be dominated by the emerging powers. I think it's unfair, most British people are far more attuned to the present than we get credit for but idiots like Cameron hardly help.

    The point about the Hugh Grant speech was that it was made in the presence of an American president and addressed the whole poodle idea. No-one seriously believes that we are Russia's poodle. You'd have hoped that a British PM would be a bit more secure than to harp back into history, however proud we rightly are of the specific part of it referred to. And as for inventing everything; if he did say that, it's just a bit silly - even if we did!

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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    edited September 2013
    Blimey - when was the last time you saw a Rag and Bone Man?

    EDIT I thought PB had stopped Vanilla doing this? Please don't just delete my post

    https://twitter.com/KaiserChief82/status/375938169663148032/photo/1
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    Mr. Jessop, thanks.

    Mr. Taffys, not just size, but also island status. Good for defence.

    I'm reading Christopher Allmand's The Hundred Years War, and just gotten to a bit about mercenaries. Apparently the English were very dominant in the Italian 15th century mercenary scene. It wasn't just lowborn chaps, though. Lesser nobility and younger sons had prestige but little hope of a proper inheritance, which encouraged them to try and win wealth for themselves.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,307
    So is there any chance of a decider in the 20:20 series today in Leeds or is the day just a wash out?
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850

    taffys said:

    Stalin never believed the Nazi's would attack despite extensive intelligence to the contrary.

    Even when the offensive had started Stalin refused to believe it!

    There is something slightly comical about a man like Stalin trusting Hitler of all people.
    He didn't trust him. He just underestimated him. He thought that Hitler was looking for economic and territorial concessions from the Soviets, rather than aiming for their destruction.
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    Mr. L, not in Leeds itself, but the rain here has stopped after many hours of rain.
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    Anyone else on here read The Kindly Ones? Very disturbing, very powerful, very good.
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    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,901
    edited September 2013
    Cameron should have said nothing. At most a witty put down, maybe about the weather.

    Britain definitely suffers from looking back too much.

    Obviously 1939-45 is over used as an example, but the 1960s also. Personally, I am fed up of ageing rockers from 50 years ago appearing on national events.
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    GasmanGasman Posts: 132
    Back on topic, I think all the calls for state funding of parties is missing one important point - we don't actually need political parties. We need people to stand for election to become MPs, councillors, police commissioners etc but we don't seem to have any shortage of those currently. If those people want to form voluntary associations with other like minded people that is a matter for them and them alone. If these groups want to spend lots of money then they need to raise lots of money themselves. If they can't then they don't get to spend it (I can see why that concept might be tricky for some in parliament..). I can't see how we would be worse off if political parties generally went bust and disappeared.
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    If we're talking films and WW2 history I think this from Animal House is pretty good:

    Nothing is over until we decide it is! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Hell no!

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    This £5k cap Labour are proposing, does that include donations from organisations such as unions?
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    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    Mr. Taffys, not just size, but also island status. Good for defence.

    Very good point Mr Morris. Britain isn;t just small - its a small island.
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,755
    Emma Reynolds on DP - can she ever answer a question, probably one of the worst sheep I've seen on for Labour in quite a while.
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    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,047

    Anyone else embarrassed by Cameron's Hugh Grant like speech? The issue is whether anyone bothers to listen to us anymore. I don't know the answer, but for Cameron to go on about all the things we did in the dim and distant past is just silly. It doesn't answer the question. Maybe as a conservative he'd rather rather live in the past but for most of us it's the present and the future we care about.

    I don't know, maybe this is what voters want. A bit of silly jingoistic tub thumping pulling on the heartstrings. Personally I'd prefer a serious politician who understands what our role in the world is and how we can be effective. Has anyone considered how this will be interpreted in the rest of the world? It'll just reinforce what a joke we are, living off our past successes blithely ignoring how we'll soon be dominated by the emerging powers. I think it's unfair, most British people are far more attuned to the present than we get credit for but idiots like Cameron hardly help.

    The point about the Hugh Grant speech was that it was made in the presence of an American president and addressed the whole poodle idea. No-one seriously believes that we are Russia's poodle. You'd have hoped that a British PM would be a bit more secure than to harp back into history, however proud we rightly are of the specific part of it referred to. And as for inventing everything; if he did say that, it's just a bit silly - even if we did!

    David Cameron is no Mrs Thatcher, he's no Tony Blair, he's not even Hugh Grant.
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    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,995
    JackW said:

    Sean_F said:

    taffys said:

    If he hadn't the US would have simply gone to war in the Pacific.

    Disagree.

    As does Churchill. When he heard about Pearl Harbour he immediately commented 'so, we win after all'.

    After Pearl Harbor there was no way America was not going to fight Hitler.

    The Japanese belief that they could simultaneously take on the United States, China, and three European states was delusional.
    Indeed so.

    If Japan had stuck to the conquest of coastal China they might have avoided a wider conflict but the American squeeze on oil led to further Japanese imperialism.

    About 5-6 years ago went to a very interesting talk, at the "Bridge on the River Kwai", where the lecturer, an Australian military historian (IIRC), made out a convincing case for Pearl Harbor being a direct result of the USA keeping Britain away from influencing Japan after WWI. We were, apparently very influential with Japanese ruling circles in the early 1900's as well as being a major trading partner, but after WWI the Americans squeezed us out and "didn't understand" the Japanese establishment's mindset.

    Comments from the better educated in modern history would be appreciated!

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    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    Britain definitely suffers from looking back too much.

    Agreed. We also suffer from not really having decided what our position in the modern world should be post WW11.

    The Syria affair shows this is getting worse, not better.
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    Cameron .. not Blair, Thatcher or Grant . Thank heaven for that.
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    taffys said:

    Lots of people have made serious errors in judging Great Britain by its size..

    I often think Britain's size is an understated factor in its history. Plenty of what drove the empire was simply lack of Lebensraum here for ambitious low born people.

    Would the debate on immigration today be so fierce if Britain had, say double the landmass it has?

    Depends if we had with more land mass,would we have more cities and towns for the immigration to be equally spread.

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    Taffy's.. All nations look to their history. It is what defines them.
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    tim said:

    Get down on your knees and thank the last govt, PB Tories

    Mark Easton ‏@BBCMarkEaston
    Despite ageing population, Eng/Wales younger than EU average: 16% aged 65+. EU 18%. Germany 21%! http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/dcp171776_325486.pdf

    And what happens when the immigrants get old? Get even more immigrants appears to be the answer.

    A human ponzi scheme to match Labour's property ponzi scheme.
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    AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    edited September 2013

    tim said:

    Get down on your knees and thank the last govt, PB Tories

    Mark Easton ‏@BBCMarkEaston
    Despite ageing population, Eng/Wales younger than EU average: 16% aged 65+. EU 18%. Germany 21%! http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/dcp171776_325486.pdf

    And what happens when the immigrants get old? Get even more immigrants appears to be the answer.

    A human ponzi scheme to match Labour's property ponzi scheme.
    Maybe Logan's Run had the right idea after all. [this is a joke]
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    JackW said:

    Sean_F said:

    taffys said:

    If he hadn't the US would have simply gone to war in the Pacific.

    Disagree.

    As does Churchill. When he heard about Pearl Harbour he immediately commented 'so, we win after all'.

    After Pearl Harbor there was no way America was not going to fight Hitler.

    The Japanese belief that they could simultaneously take on the United States, China, and three European states was delusional.
    Indeed so.

    If Japan had stuck to the conquest of coastal China they might have avoided a wider conflict but the American squeeze on oil led to further Japanese imperialism.

    About 5-6 years ago went to a very interesting talk, at the "Bridge on the River Kwai", where the lecturer, an Australian military historian (IIRC), made out a convincing case for Pearl Harbor being a direct result of the USA keeping Britain away from influencing Japan after WWI. We were, apparently very influential with Japanese ruling circles in the early 1900's as well as being a major trading partner, but after WWI the Americans squeezed us out and "didn't understand" the Japanese establishment's mindset.

    Comments from the better educated in modern history would be appreciated!

    I think that's an interesting viewpoint but IMO marginal to the principal cause which was clearly the demise of democracy in 1920's Japan and it's replacement by a expansionist military fascist junta that eventually sought raw materials through further invasions.

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    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,901

    Taffy's.. All nations look to their history. It is what defines them.

    Some countries make history rather than read it. The West was not won by looking back.
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    Taffy's.. All nations look to their history. It is what defines them.

    I agree Richard,thats why I look upon the 3 main party leaders and think 'WTF' ;-)
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Scott_P said:

    Personally I'd prefer a serious politician who understands what our role in the world is and how we can be effective.

    Ed thinks our role in the World is at home with our feet up on the sofa.

    How effective is that?
    Ed seems to be cowering behind the sofa....
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    JackW said:

    Sean_F said:

    taffys said:

    If he hadn't the US would have simply gone to war in the Pacific.

    Disagree.

    As does Churchill. When he heard about Pearl Harbour he immediately commented 'so, we win after all'.

    After Pearl Harbor there was no way America was not going to fight Hitler.

    The Japanese belief that they could simultaneously take on the United States, China, and three European states was delusional.
    Indeed so.

    If Japan had stuck to the conquest of coastal China they might have avoided a wider conflict but the American squeeze on oil led to further Japanese imperialism.

    About 5-6 years ago went to a very interesting talk, at the "Bridge on the River Kwai", where the lecturer, an Australian military historian (IIRC), made out a convincing case for Pearl Harbor being a direct result of the USA keeping Britain away from influencing Japan after WWI. We were, apparently very influential with Japanese ruling circles in the early 1900's as well as being a major trading partner, but after WWI the Americans squeezed us out and "didn't understand" the Japanese establishment's mindset.

    Comments from the better educated in modern history would be appreciated!

    Not sure I'm better educated in modern history, but I've heard that theory as well, and there is some evidence to back it up.

    For instance, the Imperial Japanese Navy won a series of staggering victories over the Russian Navy in 1904/5, during we heavily backed Japan. Many of the Japanese naval officers were trained in Britain, and many of their capital ships were constructed by companies such as Armstrongs or Vickers. You can still visit one, the Vickers-built Mikasa, at Yokosuka.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russo-Japanese_War

    Japan then they fought on the side of the Triple Entente in WW1. So British-Japanese relationships were very strong.

    The rot set in with the Militarism and ultranationalism in the late 1920s. However what Britain could have done to stop that mindset developing is another matter ...
  • Options
    Do we have no Avery today? Perhaps he's gone to join Cousin Seth on the Cleethorpes holiday.

    I was hoping for some insightful economics commentary from him now that the bank holiday distortions of 2012 are dropping out of the year on year comparisons.

    So here's a few I've done instead:

    Industrial production change to July 2013 from
    July 2012 -1.5%
    July 2007 -12.7%
    July 2003 -12.7%
    Nov 2000 -15.9% (the all time peak)
    July 1988 -2.1%

    Retail sales change to July 2013 from
    July 2012 +3.2%
    July 2007 +6.6%
    July 2003 +21.6%
    Nov 2000 +40.5%
    July 1988 +78.4%

    Yet we're still told that we need a consumer spending 'recovery'.
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    Jonathan . So are you saying that Great Briain did not make History..around the world..leaving its language and culture everywhere.. How bizarre.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929

    Do we have no Avery today? Perhaps he's gone to join Cousin Seth on the Cleethorpes holiday.

    I was hoping for some insightful economics commentary from him now that the bank holiday distortions of 2012 are dropping out of the year on year comparisons.

    So here's a few I've done instead:

    Industrial production change to July 2013 from
    July 2012 -1.5%
    July 2007 -12.7%
    July 2003 -12.7%
    Nov 2000 -15.9% (the all time peak)
    July 1988 -2.1%

    Retail sales change to July 2013 from
    July 2012 +3.2%
    July 2007 +6.6%
    July 2003 +21.6%
    Nov 2000 +40.5%
    July 1988 +78.4%

    Yet we're still told that we need a consumer spending 'recovery'.

    I'm sure he'll be here soon with the Good News soon.
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    I dont think the UK looks back more than any other country. For instance we don't have a significant national day. We build very modern buildings in the heart of London , we embrace immigration and do not try and protect a culture as such . We have world tastes in cuisine. The olympics were fun yet free of pomp. We are instinctively against protectionism etc
  • Options

    Do we have no Avery today? Perhaps he's gone to join Cousin Seth on the Cleethorpes holiday.

    I was hoping for some insightful economics commentary from him now that the bank holiday distortions of 2012 are dropping out of the year on year comparisons.

    So here's a few I've done instead:

    Industrial production change to July 2013 from
    July 2012 -1.5%
    July 2007 -12.7%
    July 2003 -12.7%
    Nov 2000 -15.9% (the all time peak)
    July 1988 -2.1%

    Retail sales change to July 2013 from
    July 2012 +3.2%
    July 2007 +6.6%
    July 2003 +21.6%
    Nov 2000 +40.5%
    July 1988 +78.4%

    Yet we're still told that we need a consumer spending 'recovery'.

    Wasn't 2000 when Brown stopped following Tory spending plans and started the current debt bubble?
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    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,901
    edited September 2013

    Jonathan . So are you saying that Great Briain did not make History..around the world..leaving its language and culture everywhere.. How bizarre.

    The key point Richard is that when we were making History, we were thinking about the future not the past.
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    LOL

    RT @GeneralBoles: @alstewitn From what I can tell, #Labour want to bomb Moldova and line-up in a 4-3-3 against #Syria
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    Britain's attitude to religion (if there was ever a backward looking concept its religion) id refreshing in that you can ignore it and no consequence will befall you as a reuslt . Britain has one of the most modern attitudes in the world to many social issues .
  • Options

    I dont think the UK looks back more than any other country. For instance we don't have a significant national day. We build very modern buildings in the heart of London , we embrace immigration and do not try and protect a culture as such . We have world tastes in cuisine. The olympics were fun yet free of pomp. We are instinctively against protectionism etc

    I’d agree with the essence of what you say, and add, we don’t have to look too far back on our History, we are surrounded by it and see it daily in Democracy, Law, Architecture, the Commonwealth etc, etc
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    Jonathan .. You may be missing the point here.
    GB is still investing in the future, one tiny example is the much malgned Foreign Aid programme
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    tim said:

    @IpsosMORI: #IpsosTopCities: The largest ever global study on the best city to do business in, live in and visit http://t.co/jyCk2cIOUD #MRX #newMR

    If only we could stop all those immigrants coming to London it would be like it was in the seventies, so much better

    For whom? The young can't even afford to save up the deposit to rent a shared flat in London these days, let alone actually buy one.

    http://www.standard.co.uk/news/london/the-hotel-of-mum-and-dad-soaring-london-rents-force-adult-children-to-live-with-parents-8799452.html
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,111
    edited September 2013

    Anyone else on here read The Kindly Ones? Very disturbing, very powerful, very good.

    Yep, I had to re-read it after a month to check whether it was as good as I thought the first time; astonishingly assured and convincing for a young(ish) author.
    Apropos of nothing, Jonathan Littell is the son of Robert Littell, a writer I also rate highly.
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    Britain's attitude to religion (if there was ever a backward looking concept its religion) id refreshing in that you can ignore it and no consequence will befall you as a reuslt . Britain has one of the most modern attitudes in the world to many social issues .

    Lets hope that continues - particularly for religions which are growing due to immigration - like Popeism and Islam.
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,755
    tim said:

    @IpsosMORI: #IpsosTopCities: The largest ever global study on the best city to do business in, live in and visit http://t.co/jyCk2cIOUD #MRX #newMR

    If only we could stop all those immigrants coming to London it would be like it was in the seventies, so much better

    So why don't you go and live there ? You could sell up and have a one bed roomed flat and no disposable income.
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    tim.. as a part time resident in one of the most time locked cities in the country, and I am not referring to your large Cheshire estate here, you must realise that in Liverpool , time stands still.
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    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 26,641
    edited September 2013
    Useless fact:

    Anna Soubry was ITN’s correspondent at Caithness & Sutherland for the 1983 election. (It was a next day declaration).
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    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,995

    JackW said:

    Sean_F said:

    taffys said:

    If he hadn't the US would have simply gone to war in the Pacific.

    Disagree.

    As does Churchill. When he heard about Pearl Harbour he immediately commented 'so, we win after all'.

    After Pearl Harbor there was no way America was not going to fight Hitler.

    The Japanese belief that they could simultaneously take on the United States, China, and three European states was delusional.
    Indeed so.

    If Japan had stuck to the conquest of coastal China they might have avoided a wider conflict but the American squeeze on oil led to further Japanese imperialism.

    About 5-6 years ago went to a very interesting talk, at the "Bridge on the River Kwai", where the lecturer, an Australian military historian (IIRC), made out a convincing case for Pearl Harbor being a direct result of the USA keeping Britain away from influencing Japan after WWI. We were, apparently very influential with Japanese ruling circles in the early 1900's as well as being a major trading partner, but after WWI the Americans squeezed us out and "didn't understand" the Japanese establishment's mindset.

    Comments from the better educated in modern history would be appreciated!

    Not sure I'm better educated in modern history, but I've heard that theory as well, and there is some evidence to back it up.

    For instance, the Imperial Japanese Navy won a series of staggering victories over the Russian Navy in 1904/5, during we heavily backed Japan. Many of the Japanese naval officers were trained in Britain, and many of their capital ships were constructed by companies such as Armstrongs or Vickers. You can still visit one, the Vickers-built Mikasa, at Yokosuka.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russo-Japanese_War

    Japan then they fought on the side of the Triple Entente in WW1. So British-Japanese relationships were very strong.

    The rot set in with the Militarism and ultranationalism in the late 1920s. However what Britain could have done to stop that mindset developing is another matter ...
    IIRC the lecturer was of the opinion that the cultural similarities and exchanges with landed gentry in UK would have moderated the nationalism.

    However, as I said in my earlier post, it was a few years ago and a) I didn't take notes and b) we went on to one of the military cemeteries.

    The Americans on the tour were puzzled.

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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,311

    Talking of Guardian angst, the recent spate of soul-searching, backbiting, in-fighting, wonkish introspection, recriminations, and sheer unbridled looniness, over Femen has been absolutely hilarious. Here's a flavour, but there's plenty more like this:

    http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/sep/04/femen-man-topless-protests-victor-vyatski

    http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/sep/05/victory-svyatski-femen-man

    I know it's an easy target but this must rate as a classic of recent times....the comments are arguably the most satisfying I have read on a CiF piece.

    theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/aug/20/nail-bars-slavery-trafficking-vietnam
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    tim said:

    @IpsosMORI: #IpsosTopCities: The largest ever global study on the best city to do business in, live in and visit http://t.co/jyCk2cIOUD #MRX #newMR

    If only we could stop all those immigrants coming to London it would be like it was in the seventies, so much better

    The nations capital prospering under the Coalition as opposed to the uncollected rubbish filled London streets of the late seventies under Labour !!

  • Options

    Anyone else on here read The Kindly Ones? Very disturbing, very powerful, very good.

    Yep, I had to re-read it after a month to check whether it was as good as I thought the first time; astonishingly assured and convincing for a young(ish) author.
    Apropos of nothing, Jonathan Littell is the son of Robert Littell, a writer I also rate highly.

    He is American, but wrote it in French. Someone else did the translation, which for some reason I find peculiar.
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    edited September 2013
    tim said:

    TGOHF said:

    Britain's attitude to religion (if there was ever a backward looking concept its religion) id refreshing in that you can ignore it and no consequence will befall you as a reuslt . Britain has one of the most modern attitudes in the world to many social issues .

    Lets hope that continues - particularly for religions which are growing due to immigration - like Popeism and Islam.
    Moderated
    Evidence ? Link ? Defamation suit for OGH ?
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    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,995
    Totally O/T but sometimes one is really proud of cricket. Derbyshire vs Somerset, County Champoinship Div 1, but almost certainly the losers of this match play in Div2 next year.

    Debyshire require 6 runs to win, Somerset to take two wickets.

    And they've gone off for lunch!
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850
    tim said:

    @IpsosMORI: #IpsosTopCities: The largest ever global study on the best city to do business in, live in and visit http://t.co/jyCk2cIOUD #MRX #newMR

    If only we could stop all those immigrants coming to London it would be like it was in the seventies, so much better

    We had immigration to London in the Seventies.

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    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    TOPPING

    Talking of Guardian articles, Polly Toynbee is excellent in the Guardian today (yes, you read that right).

    Her article, 'whose recovery is it?' cuts to the very quick of what it will take to win in 2015. If it looks like only the rich are profiting again, the coalition is in trouble.

    There will be tax cuts for low and middle income workers before 2015. or cuts in fuel duty. Or something ordinary people notice.

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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    taffys said:

    TOPPING

    Talking of Guardian articles, Polly Toynbee is excellent in the Guardian today (yes, you read that right).

    Her article, 'whose recovery is it?' cuts to the very quick of what it will take to win in 2015. If it looks like only the rich are profiting again, the coalition is in trouble.

    There will be tax cuts for low and middle income workers before 2015. or cuts in fuel duty. Or something ordinary people notice.

    I can't bear to read her - can you give us a quote?
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    Totally O/T but sometimes one is really proud of cricket. Derbyshire vs Somerset, County Champoinship Div 1, but almost certainly the losers of this match play in Div2 next year.

    Debyshire require 6 runs to win, Somerset to take two wickets.

    And they've gone off for lunch!

    Somerset have given away 40 byes - cost em the game.
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    Jonathan . So are you saying that Great Briain did not make History..around the world..leaving its language and culture everywhere.. How bizarre.

    Jonathan . So are you saying that Great Briain did not make History..around the world..leaving its language and culture everywhere.. How bizarre.

    Britain got everywhere, hard to find countries they did not invade on a world map.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,311
    taffys said:

    TOPPING

    Talking of Guardian articles, Polly Toynbee is excellent in the Guardian today (yes, you read that right).

    Her article, 'whose recovery is it?' cuts to the very quick of what it will take to win in 2015. If it looks like only the rich are profiting again, the coalition is in trouble.

    There will be tax cuts for low and middle income workers before 2015. or cuts in fuel duty. Or something ordinary people notice.

    There will be exactly those things - the squeezed middle...living standards....these will be the battle cries going into GE2015.

    And by that time you can bet that GO will have some tax cuts to, ahem, bribe the electorate. Some feelgood stuff, a tax cut, subsidy, grant whatever it will take.

    If people aren't too sick of the govt by then, which accounts for the last two changes (97 & 10) then good old fashioned bribery is likely to work.
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    Jonathan .. You may be missing the point here.
    GB is still investing in the future, one tiny example is the much malgned Foreign Aid programme

    Borrowing foreign money to increase debt to pay for foreign aid to the very same countries, plus of course Syria, says to me that money is not needed, but ships full of excess food from Burger King and McDonalds would be a winner.
This discussion has been closed.