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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Farage’s man’s refusal to admit defeat means Betfair Alabama punters won’t get their winnings this side of Xmas
It is now 5 days since the white supremacist, Roy Moore, lost the special election in Alabama for the US Senate.
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Also this:
https://youtu.be/9FtZkVRkusQ
Cheap modern books are badly produced. The paper doesn't have sufficient rag and then bindings are most often glued, rather than sewn.
Recommend private press books if people want books to last.
*Dusts the shelf of sixteenth century books in leather bindings and perfect condition*
On topic, he's Farage''s man? Cheeky.
Seriously though, are Moore's views really what Farage supports? He's been in the wrong country.
https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/942069289024212993
Well, it CAN be overturned. It's not yet certified, there are military ballots which could theoretically put it in recount territory, and the Moore team claim voting irregularities.
The issue is more whether it WILL be overturned, which does look so vanishingly unlikely that people (and President) aren't interested in it and the debate has moved on to the 51-49 Senate.
The result does change the dynamics of national politics a fair bit. There are a handful of swing voters in the Senate - Collins, Murkowski, McCain, Corker, Flake. Perming two of those is a hell of a lot easier than three.
Moore on the other hand is being a dick. But then if he wasn't one, he probably wouldn't have lost.
Paddy can (and do) write off early payouts on the “wrong” side of a bet to a marketing budget somewhere, but it’s their own money to spend as they please. Betfair are dealing in other people’s money on both sides of the event.
https://mobile.twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/941837751124504577
https://mobile.twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/939560995269349377
*hides from TSE*
But you wouldn't want to be thought to have to try
Winchester is the most academic - and that is a feeder for Cambridge*, the more academic university. Eton and Oxford students are ferociously bright but are trained in rhetoric and logic not academics. That's why you get so many politicians from Eton and Oxford and comparatively few from Winchester and Cambridge.
* it amuses me that when the Winchester/New and Eton/Kings links became too controversial they simply swapped - Eton is now a feeder to New and Winchester to Kings
CON 39 (-1)
LAB 41 (-1)
LD 7 (+1)
UKIP 6 (+1)
N~2,000
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/dec/16/brexit-row-leaves-voters-thinking-tories-are-more-divided-than-labour
Almost half of voters see the Conservatives as disunited (47%) compared with the 40% who see Labour as split.
The findings come after a bruising period for Theresa May’s party over Brexit. The division were exposed last week when 11 Tory MPs rebelled in a vote over the role parliament should have in approving the final Brexit deal.
Overall Labour holds a two-point lead over the Tories. Labour is down one point on a month ago at 42% while the Tories are also down one point on 39%.
The Liberal Democrats and Ukip are both up one point on 7% and 6% respectively.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/dec/16/brexit-row-leaves-voters-thinking-tories-are-more-divided-than-labour
It only costs a tiny proportion of your winnings to cash out now, insuring yourself against any funny business.
Also labour is down one to 41% not 42%
LOL.
One of the teachers shared information with other teachers. None of them passed it on to the pupils. The teacher was sacked
https://twitter.com/skynews/status/941990573006839808
But the EPL has never been like this. It’s a procession. I don’t think you need to be a United fan to regret it.
Is the pineapple on the pizza or is it a side dish? Nice to Charles enjoys a bit of peasant food.
I am sure that is where we will end up but it needs to be a process.
Less importantly, for science and Maths:
Cambridge is a great place to be a post-grad or an academic. Ghosts of great academics lurk everywhere---check out the statue of Newton in the Trinity chapel---but it is is a bleak place to be trampled by tourists.
Cal Tech is academically challenging and quite a test. Strangely its locale is relatively provincial.
MIT is great also in economics. Its location teems culturally.
Of the three, MIT manages to mix homeyness with global excellence.
https://twitter.com/bethrigby/status/942109445810769920
Brexiteers normally get called foaming or swivel-eyed when they point that out.
To link the Opinium poll and the previous thread (with thanks as always to David H), perceptions are often more important than but not necessarily related to realities. I suspect the Conservatives are well aware of the first rule of politics which is that if you don't hang together you'll all hang separately.
Disunity or the perception of disunity was, I believe, a key factor in the disastrous 92-97 Major Government but that was exacerbated by the equally inaccurate perception that, after four election victories and the miracle of 92, the party could do what it liked and still win.
We see the same now - Corbyn acts as a shield for the Conservatives and re-enforces the belief of those supporters who assert it doesn't matter how disunited the party appears, it will always win against Corbyn.
Perhaps but no Party has a divine right to rule - long periods of Conservative and Labour rule have come to ruinous ends having at times looked immortal. To simply assume that the public will always go for the Devil they know is naive and foolish.
Wilson in 64, Thatcher in 79 and Blair in 97 were all to a greater or lesser extent untried and untested. All were doubted because of their perceived inexperience and all faced experienced if not long-serving Prime Ministers (neither Home nor Callaghan had been in office three years).
To assume people won't Labour because of Corbyn would be foolish - they might vote Labour because after a dozen years (assuming it will be 2022) they will be tired of the Conservatives (despite numerous re-inventions and re-brandings) being in power and even the Conservatives will be tired of being in power (even though that's basically all they do).
If I were Corbyn or Labour, I'd be trying to build my blueprint of a post-EU 2020s Britain and trying to figure out what will work for the majority of people. That demands radical thinking but offers non-ideological alternatives which can be sold to the electorate.
Leave: 41
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-second-referendum-latest-poll-remain-ten-points-leave-bmg-a8114406.html
Boom
I think the pursuit of single global government is a terrible idea, and as naive and foolhardy as that of world socialism.
“However, readers should note that digging deeper into the data reveals that this shift has come predominantly from those who did not actually vote in the 2016 referendum, with around nine in ten Leave and Remain voters still unchanged in their view.
“Our polling suggests that about a year ago, those who did not vote in the referendum were broadly split, but today’s poll shows that they are now overwhelmingly in favour of remaining in the EU, by a margin of more than four to one.”
There must be bigger variations and it doesn't seem right to me but then I do not follow strictly
But it's only one poll for now.
We both know Brexiters are referring to the EU federalists who drive the EU's agenda when they say that. As you put it: "even I'd hesitate about abolishing all 28 countries that soon."
The debate is only about tactics: what's the maximum politically sustainable rate at which "The Dream" should be pursued, to reach the inevitable destination.
The "mad" label put back on eurosceptics in the UK is political chaff designed to disorientate the average UK voter from honing in on the evidence, until it's too late.
I truly hope Labour embrace Remaining, though. Great way to ensure their social conservative bloc vote Blue next time.
Not sure that means she's on course for a win.
Until then, it's really just a (MoE filled) barometer for public opinion on the current state of play of the negotiations.
And these people now have a veto on our Brexit deal. (In theory)
I voted LEAVE in sorrow more than anger because I like the idea of a European Union where individual countries pool aspects of their sovereignty and work together for the common good of all their citizens. Whether through NATO or other international agencies, Britain already cedes aspects of its sovereignty voluntarily.
The notion of free trade, collaborative working and a single European voice on the world stage isn't unattractive to me but that's not what the EU became. It tried to become a country in its own right and became more interested in those making money than in people in general. The social, economic and cultural catastrophe of the Single Market convinced me the "idea" had lost its way - the EU could have achieved so much more by being so much less but like all institutions once it had power it wanted more.
That doesn't discredit or diminish the dream, only the reality.
The tories not knowing what they want is more immediately pressing, but 'no preference, let's switch tack if the polls shift' is I would suggest a mite unsatisfactory on such a critical issue.
In the end, it had to be head over heart.
Remainers cheering Labour on will be just another example of it.