politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » For the first time Scots CON leader, RDavidson, hints that Westminster might be a possiblity
Scots CON leader Ruth Davidson says she would consider standing to be an MP in future. https://t.co/YVUXkiT7Ts
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1) End WFA in England and Wales but keep it in Scotland
2) Build endless new towns - locations and financing not revealed
I wouldn't have thought that would appeal to Conservative members.
We might see exit polls just before or just after 1am.
I reckon we'll have a good idea of the result by 3am.
Stuck in a proof again so won't be up at that time for the Ashes. Just might take the gloss off England's 200 run opening partnership tomorrow morning.
Who is best placed to win the next general election will be the biggest influencer on Tory members.
Rory Stewart.
Moderate: yes
Sensible: yes
media savvy: yes
His only downside is that he's a lightweight when it comes to walking. 6,000 miles? Pah.
A belated few thoughts from me orphaned on PT
LOL
Davidson is good at opposing but parties don't win general election without policies.
There's actually an important question to answer here: what is her support like within the party's Westminster MPs? Is she well regarded by them, and would enough rally around her standard?
Scottish Parliament election, 2016: Edinburgh Central
Conservative Ruth Davidson 10,399 30.4 Increase 15.4
SNP Alison Dickie 9,789 28.6 Decrease 4.0
Labour Sarah Boyack 7,546 22.1 Decrease 9.8
Scottish Green Alison Johnstone [5] 4,644 13.6 Increase 13.6
Liberal Democrats Hannah Bettsworth 1,672 4.9 Decrease 15.6
Libertarian Tom Laird 119 0.3 N/A
One of the more remarkable results outside a by-election in recent times. Previous election the Tories were 4th in that seat.
Living in England not sure how she is treated by the Scottish media but no question the Westminster media have given her a favourable treatment up to now due to her sexuality.
That would change if she became the actual PM
The feeling I get from party members is 'Corbyn as PM, not on my watch'
I'll say a little anecdote here. A couple were walking the coast clockwise. The north coast of Scotland is fairy remote, and they got used to being in rural areas. However when they entered Aberdeen, they saw people looking at them oddly. It was only when they stopped that she realise her underwear was hanging off the back of her rucksack, drying.
I had a similar experience. All the way around the north coast, people would say hello and even invite me into their homes. They were incredibly welcoming. But when I reached Aberdeen there was a certain aloofness, a coldness.
The countryside is generally much more welcoming than cities.
And then I reached Dundee ...
But I digress.
The Tories actually do have strength in depth - there are some really experienced people in their ranks. Labour and the SNP have precisely the opposite issue - their ranks are to be hidden at all costs.
It's more she could lose her seat (I don't see the greens putting up a candidate against her next one out) and see the SCons fall from 2nd to 3rd.
She'd go from a winner to a double loser. Hardly the best way to convince one of your colleagues to give up their safe Scottish seat so Ruth can go to Westminster.
And he's just a bit too 19th Century....
Ms Davidson would make a far more electorally solid figurehead.
"the membership are behind Rees Mogg. If he gets to the final two..."
I nominate that as the Spartan "If" of 2017. The main competition being "If he even stands."
Quote
"Ruth Davidson belongs in the Lib Dems, and the majority of the membership see her as such. Discuss."
I was tempted to discuss this by writing out Section 497 of Roget's Thesaurus. I don't think many people who've met Ruth Davidson or heard her speak would recognise her as a natural Lib/Dem. And her speech went down very well indeed when she addressed a large gathering of the Conservative membership in my county (Cumbria) a couple of weeks ago.
If SLAB regain their position and the Tories go backwards in 2021, then her chances are reduced I'd presume.
I'm not a monarchist (slight republican preference), I certainly regard the union as good, but totally optional. I'm a Tory for one reason (boiled down) - smaller government.
1) End WFA in England and Wales but keep it in Scotland
2) Build endless new towns, locations and financing not revealed
Well there's also opposition to Scottish indepedence but that's not going to impress outside of Scotland and to be fair the WFA fiasco was not her idea although she certainly made it worse with the Scottish opt-out (and again she didn't reveal how that was to be financed).
Isn't Davidson rather supportative of Freedom of Movement ie uncontrolled immigration ?
If so her UK relevant policy stance is build endless new towns to house endless immigrants.
Now that might be acceptable in Scotland with lots of empty space and not many immigrants but in England it would be political suicide.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asexuality
An anecdote, if I may: at uni I knew a lad who was just not interested in girls. He would come out clubbing with us occasionally, but showed no inclination to pull. I assumed he was gay.
He wasn't. He was asexual. As far as I can tell, neither men or women floated his boat.
As it happens, he's done rather well for himself - probably because all the time and energy that he would have spent on the pull or in relationships has been more productively spent.
Might it be that all the Heath was gay comments come from people who, like me in my stupid youth, presumed people who were not having relationships with members of the opposite sex had to be gay?
major party leader
Roy Jenkins? The last thing Britain needed in the 60s and 70s was more snobbish champagne socialism.
Denis Healey on the other hand...
Heath seemed in love with himself, and attracted to no one else.
Compared with the 'favourites' he looks like a shoo-in.
Or she can be like Ken Clarke - and end her Westminster career punting for some impossible European dream. I hope the former, as she would scare to death both Labour and (especially) the LibDems.
Switch could even top first-year sales of the Wii, the company's best-selling console yet -- if momentum holds up through the holidays.
https://mobile.twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/940567812053053441
I don't always succeed, though ...
But the SCons also hit a sweet spot. They became the party of choice for voters who were pro-Union and anti-EU, enabling them to sweep the Borders and North East.
293 - 315
Par for the course so far
Oh gods! He talks about himself in the third person?
Seriously though, what a tremendous arse he is. And if Trump read that, no doubt he's think it a compliment to his tremendous ass.
Yes, there are certainly people who are asexual in the way you describe. No, Heath wasn't one of them.
He's a flaming haemorrhoid.
On topic: is Ruth Davidson the new Abigail Masham?
Though I'm suspect someone else did it sometime, somewhere first.
The man is a total arse and there is no need to try and contrive offence. He produces enough genuine affronts without inventing them.
'Orange Book' seems to be just social libralism, and I imagine 'Laws' is David Laws?
Assuming so, then I don't regard him as far from the old 'Liberal' tradition. Cable though is very far from it.