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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Jacob Rees-Mogg now clear betting favourite to be next CON lea
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Jacob Rees-Mogg now clear betting favourite to be next CON leader
The latest betting chart from Betdata.io is above and shows Jacob Rees-Mogg now clear favourite to succeed TMay but a 14% chance is not that strong. He’s the third Tory to have been favourite since the general election and who knows others could follow.
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An early Christmas gift for Labour.
Okay, look. I’m not the first person to say this, and I certainly won’t be the last. But iOS 11 is bad. The new operating system has turned my phone into a bug-infested carcass of its former self, and the frustration of trying to use it sometimes makes me want to die, too.
https://gizmodo.com/ios-11-is-killing-me-1820480836
If it all goes pear shaped for May soon, Davis will be PM until a younger leader steps up for the next election.
*insert obligatory Brexit observation here*
Or at least become favourite so I can lay her nicely.
I just know something major is going to happen in politics tonight.
The gaming companies are taking the piss, they continually have the need to release massive patches in the first few days after release, as people find all the bugs in production.
http://mashable.com/2017/11/16/pringles-thanksgiving-dinner-chips/?utm_cid=hp-h-1#Wb9emjm2iuqT
https://twitter.com/ElectoralCommUK/status/931501694998990848
The gaming community have gone absolutely feral, and Disney, who obviously own the rights to Star Wars, have had to get on the blower to tell them to shut down the whole micro-transaction system as it is a total PR disaster.
Ask anyone with kids about in-app purchases on mobile too, it’s possible to run up a bill of hundreds or even thousands of pounds in under an hour on a misconfigured device.
Why don't they just make it significantly more, rather than the use of a deposit system, to combat time wasters?
I gave up on IPhones, the first model, in 2007 which, unlike others at the time, didn't have 3g and there was no facility to copy/cut/paste - vital if you are trying to manage PB from your phone.
And by goodies, we aren't talking cosmetic stuff (which I never understand paying for), rather in order to be able to actually play Yoda, Hans Solo etc.
+1
I started with iPhone and switched to Android, they simply have more flexibility if you want to do anything more complex.
There may have been sone which closed under Thatcher and perhaps I was wrong on that, ie falling rolls, some becoming private schools etc. However the fall was negligible with 3.4% in grammars in 1990 compared to 4.5% in 1979 so the majority of grammars Thatcher inherited stayed open during her premiership. Compare that to the period after Wilson got in, Wilson of course being the prime driver of comprehensive education, when the proportion educated in grammars fell by 80% from 25.7% in 1965 to only 4.5% on 1979. If Thatcher had allowed that trend to continue there would have been no grammars left by 1990.
Having stopped the rot and in her latter years become a vocal supporter with Graham Brady of the Grammar Schools Association by 2016 we now have the situation where 5.2% of state pupils are in grammars compared to 4.5% in 1979 so the numbers in grammars have actually now increased since the late 1970s.
http://www.bbc.com/sport/tennis/42014694
Most of the PB threads I write and publish are done on an iPhone.
Ditto most of my comments.
"This intriguing alliance between the pro-European, moderate Rudd and the keepers of the Thatcherite flame might serve her well in a future Tory leadership contest."
http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/budget-2017-philip-hammond-chancellor-tory-mps-hopeful-conservative-backbenchers-revolt-infighting-a8060951.html
https://techcrunch.com/2017/11/17/apple-pushes-homepod-release-to-early-2018/
New laptops are almost universally terrible, from all manufacturers. Completely unserviceable and held together with glue to save space and weight.
Mr. Z, I agree entirely on the deposit. The Electoral Commission seems to be either naive, or stupid. Or both.
On transactions: there's been a huge backlash against their last minute inclusion in Shadow of War, which had been shaping up to be a total success.
However, I saw a Gamespot Lobby video a few weeks ago which revealed the scale of the micro-transaction bullshit mountain. Upon checking just now (numbers are around 15.30), Activision, over a year, got $3.6bn from them. Huge amounts are being made, and unless gamers vote with their wallets, it'll just get worse.
There's also an interesting point about whether loot crates should count as gambling.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X2zZiaeY1r0
As far as I can see it that sort of balance extends to every country involved. A reasonably organised solution works best for all. That's still a big playing field though.
Old ROMs are a great and cheap way to game.
Davis v Rudd would not inspire anyone. I believe it will be someone who is not in the picture but of the leavers Gove is the best qualified and very intelligent
Also good locals for the conservatives with a conservative gain from labour and running them close in Darlington. It does make you wonder if parts of the Country see labour as trying to frustrate the process and they may be getting very annoyed with the EU demands
The unseriousness is disgusting and yes, a national disgrace.
Good luck with any kind of US trade deal if we mess around with Ireland. There's this thing called the Irish American lobby and it will ensure that nothing gets through Congress.
Gove is toxic with the public and polls abysmally which is why he failed to reach the final 2 with MPs in 2016, he is a competent Cabinet Minister but will not be PM
Yet again, the EU seems to have given many people learned helplessness about what should be a very basic function of the state.
JRM has some tricks up his sleeve. Don't assume everyone will keep to the position on the EU that they're adopting now.
The "we're so hard we'll take no deal if we can't get what we want" will change, and when it does it will change fast. There's got to be a deal, or a reversal of the decision to leave - that's obvious. The latter could involve EU reform. Easy to imagine Macron being the big face of that. Sorry Bulgaria, sorry Romania, sorry Poland. Though I think catastrophe is most likely.
Ireland: fascinating how almost all politicians in Britain and Ireland say it's essential to avoid a hard border, but none of them have a problem with the big high wall in Belfast that separates Catholics and Protestants. A hard border in Ireland won't be the problem it's billed as. I've been wondering who Leo Varadkar is getting his orders from. While his record shows a few anti-Trump words, it also shows that he trained for his political career in the US. We aren't in the Dave's Deal, butter-up-the-Lithuanians-and-everyone-else-too stage any more, and Dublin won't be allowed to hold Britain to ransom.
Theresa May? Out in December or January I reckon, but before the end of March.
There is, of course, one country that does suffer more than Ireland as the result of a chaotic Brexit and I am sitting in the middle of it. Should there be No Deal, we leave the EU and more than 750 trade and regulatory agreements that are related to our membership. The Irish stay in every single one.
Before the Troubles began we had a customs frontier and the Common Travel Area at the same time.
Saying that there should be controls on the Irish side only is clearly mad.
But I do think it's relevant: being PM is hard physical work and I would rather the job were done by someone younger (and someone who's more of a team player, for that matter).
It might also be worth investigating the status of the 1965 UK-Ireland trade treaty.
Tonights narrative on the broadcast channels shows an EU and Ireland unwilling to compromise and it is not a good look. Many will be thinking of telling the EU to ..