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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why the Tory plotters wanting to oust May need have no worries

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  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,406
    Labour - the pro-business party under Corbyn.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,609
    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    Lord Sugar says if he were May he would call a general election which would lead to Corbyn becoming PM and facing to deal with Brexit.

    The result would be such a disaster the Tories would be back in power in 5 years time
    https://mobile.twitter.com/Lord_Sugar/status/929986069545832449

    Too clever by half.
    Perhaps but there is an argument for saying it would have been better for the Tories had Kinnock become PM in 1992
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,406
    edited November 2017
    IanB2 said:

    DavidL said:

    This thread is now approximately 4 hours old. In that time the EU has, on average sold us £2.7m more than we have sold them (£5bn a month/31/24).

    Or to put it another way the entire annual GDP per head of 77 Britons has been spent to keep citizens of the EU in their jobs. I am sure the thank you cards are in the post as they go to work this Monday morning, work that might not exist if it was not for their right to trade freely with the UK.

    Many economists will tell you that trade benefits the buyer, who has something s/he would otherwise not have access to at that price. The seller can always find another customer.
    Trade benefits buyers and sellers as long as it is voluntary.

    Edit - on average/overall etc.
    Obviously it's possible to make a bad trade.
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    A black cat went past us, and then another that looked just like it.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,737
    edited November 2017
    HYUFD said:

    If May does stand down and Green is not able to succeed her for whatever reason, who becomes acting PM?

    She would stay PM until a new one is elected, she would just step down as Tory leader until a new leader and hence a new PM, is elected

    That would take us over the cliff edge though, wouldn't it, as May would be a complete lame duck with a one way ticket out of power. There would be at least a two or three month inter-regnum, which would take us to the spring of 2018. On that basis, it seems inconceivable that she will go until there is more certainty in the negotiations with the EU27.

  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,287
    edited November 2017
    Fat_Steve said:

    IanB2 said:

    DavidL said:

    This thread is now approximately 4 hours old. In that time the EU has, on average sold us £2.7m more than we have sold them (£5bn a month/31/24).

    Or to put it another way the entire annual GDP per head of 77 Britons has been spent to keep citizens of the EU in their jobs. I am sure the thank you cards are in the post as they go to work this Monday morning, work that might not exist if it was not for their right to trade freely with the UK.

    Many economists will tell you that trade benefits the buyer, who has something s/he would otherwise not have access to at that price. The seller can always find another customer.
    Always ? Is that as in always-in-every-case ?
    Working in manufacturing must be piss-easy then. I had no idea.
    It was an argument made by an economist a few months back when the subject was again in the news that I am remembering. It goes back to the case made for free trade by Adam Smith and Ricardo - essentially that trade allows a country to access more efficient/economic production of the good from elsewhere in the world - quotes from the aforementioned, respectively:

    “If a foreign country can supply us with a commodity cheaper than we ourselves can make it, better buy it of them with some part of the produce of our own industry, employed in a way in which we have some advantage.”

    “Under a system of perfectly free commerce, each country naturally devotes its capital and labour to such employments as are most beneficial to each. This pursuit of individual advantage is admirably connected with the universal good of the whole.”


    I am not an expert, but it does appear that the theory rests upon a country having some other activity that is competitive to redeploy the resources toward.

    The key takeaway from the article as I remember it was that the points being made by some leavers about trade were overly simplistic.
  • Last night I expressed the hope that I may be able to pen my 10,000 post following my bi lateral hernia surgery two weeks today.

    I just want to say I was so grateful to those of you who sent good wishes for my op and recovery.

    This forum has a quality that is often overlooked by intense partisan debate but basically most posters are able to rise above and show great kindness.

    I managed to catch up the posts from last night this morning and just want to say thank you to those I have not had the opportunity to do so.
  • Mr. NorthWales, hope the operation goes well.
  • “If there are places where the role of the court will make it better or easier for us to have the right relationship in the future I would be open to that.”

    Makes sense to me.

  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,484

    Last night I expressed the hope that I may be able to pen my 10,000 post following my bi lateral hernia surgery two weeks today.

    I just want to say I was so grateful to those of you who sent good wishes for my op and recovery.

    This forum has a quality that is often overlooked by intense partisan debate but basically most posters are able to rise above and show great kindness.

    I managed to catch up the posts from last night this morning and just want to say thank you to those I have not had the opportunity to do so.

    My very best wishes to you. I hope all goes well, the recovery is speedy and you are back here commenting asap.
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,406
    IanB2 said:

    Fat_Steve said:

    IanB2 said:

    DavidL said:

    This thread is now approximately 4 hours old. In that time the EU has, on average sold us £2.7m more than we have sold them (£5bn a month/31/24).

    Or to put it another way the entire annual GDP per head of 77 Britons has been spent to keep citizens of the EU in their jobs. I am sure the thank you cards are in the post as they go to work this Monday morning, work that might not exist if it was not for their right to trade freely with the UK.

    Many economists will tell you that trade benefits the buyer, who has something s/he would otherwise not have access to at that price. The seller can always find another customer.
    Always ? Is that as in always-in-every-case ?
    Working in manufacturing must be piss-easy then. I had no idea.
    It was an argument made by an economist a few months back when the subject was again in the news that I am remembering. It goes back to the case made for free trade by Adam Smith and Ricardo - essentially that trade allows a country to access more efficient/economic production of the good from elsewhere in the world - quotes from the aforementioned, respectively:

    “If a foreign country can supply us with a commodity cheaper than we ourselves can make it, better buy it of them with some part of the produce of our own industry, employed in a way in which we have some advantage.”

    “Under a system of perfectly free commerce, each country naturally devotes its capital and labour to such employments as are most beneficial to each. This pursuit of individual advantage is admirably connected with the universal good of the whole.”


    I am not an expert, but it does appear that the theory rests upon a country having some other activity that is competitive to redeploy the resources toward.

    The key takeaway from the article as I remember it was that the points being made by some leavers about trade were overly simplistic.
    Actually the theory of comparative advantage is even stronger in that even if one country is better than another country at producing all goods, it will still be beneficial for them to trade.
  • Mr. NorthWales, hope the operation goes well.

    Thank you - I did have a repair in 1973 but it is beginning to fail and also a problem on the other side. I do remember the 1973 op largely as I was in hospital for 10 days whereas in two weeks it is a day operation.

    The main inconvenience is having 2 weeks plus without driving so some minor disruption for my odd occassion collecting my grandchildren from school
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,406

    Mr. NorthWales, hope the operation goes well.

    Thank you - I did have a repair in 1973 but it is beginning to fail and also a problem on the other side. I do remember the 1973 op largely as I was in hospital for 10 days whereas in two weeks it is a day operation.

    The main inconvenience is having 2 weeks plus without driving so some minor disruption for my odd occassion collecting my grandchildren from school
    Best of luck!
  • Cyclefree said:

    Last night I expressed the hope that I may be able to pen my 10,000 post following my bi lateral hernia surgery two weeks today.

    I just want to say I was so grateful to those of you who sent good wishes for my op and recovery.

    This forum has a quality that is often overlooked by intense partisan debate but basically most posters are able to rise above and show great kindness.

    I managed to catch up the posts from last night this morning and just want to say thank you to those I have not had the opportunity to do so.

    My very best wishes to you. I hope all goes well, the recovery is speedy and you are back here commenting asap.
    Thank you. It was suggested last night that in my recovery period I should aim for 20,000 posts rather than the modest 10,000 but that will depend whether Brexit etc are resolved by the end of this month
  • HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    Lord Sugar says if he were May he would call a general election which would lead to Corbyn becoming PM and facing to deal with Brexit.

    The result would be such a disaster the Tories would be back in power in 5 years time
    https://mobile.twitter.com/Lord_Sugar/status/929986069545832449

    Too clever by half.
    Perhaps but there is an argument for saying it would have been better for the Tories had Kinnock become PM in 1992
    Knowing May's knack of pulling disaster from the jaws of victory, she would follow Sugar's advice, call an election and narrowly win again.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,287

    Mr. NorthWales, hope the operation goes well.

    Thank you - I did have a repair in 1973 but it is beginning to fail and also a problem on the other side. I do remember the 1973 op largely as I was in hospital for 10 days whereas in two weeks it is a day operation.

    The main inconvenience is having 2 weeks plus without driving so some minor disruption for my odd occassion collecting my grandchildren from school
    The approach to hernia operations has changed dramatically since then. The traditional view that you need to rest up after such an operation has changed and now every attempt is (should be) made to get the patient physically active as soon as possible after the op. Being able to send people home early is a spin off benefit for the hospital, and the American private chain that pioneered the new approach made a lot of money out of it.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,397

    Last night I expressed the hope that I may be able to pen my 10,000 post following my bi lateral hernia surgery two weeks today.

    I just want to say I was so grateful to those of you who sent good wishes for my op and recovery.

    This forum has a quality that is often overlooked by intense partisan debate but basically most posters are able to rise above and show great kindness.

    I managed to catch up the posts from last night this morning and just want to say thank you to those I have not had the opportunity to do so.

    -----

    @Cyclefree: My very best wishes to you. I hope all goes well, the recovery is speedy and you are back here commenting asap.

    +10 000 !

  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,255



    What Green actually said:

    "More importantly, the police have never suggested to me that improper material was found on my parliamentary computer, nor did I have a 'private' computer, as has been claimed.

    "The allegations about the material and computer, now nine years old, are false, disreputable political smears from a discredited police officer acting in flagrant breach of his duty to keep the details of police investigations confidential, and amount to little more than an unscrupulous character assassination."

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/damian-green-porn-computer-pc-allegations-sexual-harassment-cabinet-office-amber-rudd-theresa-may-a8038891.html

    The Times running exactly what they ran yesterday in the Sunday Times.

    As I've said before, in theory I could send porn as an attachment to an e-mail to every Labour MP. Even if they deleted it, presumably Top Forensic Coppers could still, er, retrieve it from their recycle bin, open it - and lo, they have found porn on their computers.

    Now, I'm not suggesting that a well dodgy cop could send such an e-mail for Top Forensic Coppers to find. And lo! they can say they found porn on a House of Commons computer in the office of a specific MP. But given events around that time, nothing much would surprise me.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    DavidL said:

    This thread is now approximately 4 hours old. In that time the EU has, on average sold us £2.7m more than we have sold them (£5bn a month/31/24).

    Or to put it another way the entire annual GDP per head of 77 Britons has been spent to keep citizens of the EU in their jobs. I am sure the thank you cards are in the post as they go to work this Monday morning, work that might not exist if it was not for their right to trade freely with the UK.

    I'm filing this one away for SindyRef2 threads.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,397
    HYUFD said:

    Lord Sugar says if he were May he would call a general election which would lead to Corbyn becoming PM and facing to deal with Brexit.

    The result would be such a disaster the Tories would be back in power in 5 years time
    https://mobile.twitter.com/Lord_Sugar/status/929986069545832449

    -----

    @Sean_F Too clever by half.

    There's a deal here. No Corbyn for no Brexit. But that would be too clever by half.
  • F1: now a problem connecting to the chat server... I'm less than thrilled with Betfair.

    Hamilton started the race, and he didn't finish on the podium. There's no justifiable reason for voiding the bet.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,587
    Yorkcity said:



    It hasn’t been established that Green “lied”. Quick claimed porn had been on “Green’s” computer. It was an “office” computer and the police say it’s impossible to tell who accessed it. If they didn’t tell Green about it, how is he supposed to know about it?

    I did not know they had no personal log in requirements to their office computers.Was that the situation back then ? Seems very lackadaisical if so.
    On a point of fact, Commons computers do require a personal login. That doesn't mean that owners of Commons IDs don't lend them, though they shouldn't, and of course MPs's staff have their own IDs. It would be unusual for staff to use the MP's computer, even with their own ID, but I suppose they might. It's all a bit nebulous, frankly, and I think only Green's ferocious reaction has given it any legs at all. I don't think this should lead to any consequences.
  • IanB2 said:

    Mr. NorthWales, hope the operation goes well.

    Thank you - I did have a repair in 1973 but it is beginning to fail and also a problem on the other side. I do remember the 1973 op largely as I was in hospital for 10 days whereas in two weeks it is a day operation.

    The main inconvenience is having 2 weeks plus without driving so some minor disruption for my odd occassion collecting my grandchildren from school
    The approach to hernia operations has changed dramatically since then. The traditional view that you need to rest up after such an operation has changed and now every attempt is (should be) made to get the patient physically active as soon as possible after the op. Being able to send people home early is a spin off benefit for the hospital, and the American private chain that pioneered the new approach made a lot of money out of it.
    Yes I agree. However, in 1973 they were dragging me out of bed the next day and it was very uncomfortable. They persisted despite my protestations for days but the irony was that a doctor in the next door bed refused to be cajooled ( as he was a doctor and knew best) only for him to suffer a deep vein thrombosis.

    I intend being as active as possible but I cannot drive for between 2 and 4 weeks depending on medical approval so that means I may be able to add to my contributions to this forum


  • What Green actually said:

    "More importantly, the police have never suggested to me that improper material was found on my parliamentary computer, nor did I have a 'private' computer, as has been claimed.

    "The allegations about the material and computer, now nine years old, are false, disreputable political smears from a discredited police officer acting in flagrant breach of his duty to keep the details of police investigations confidential, and amount to little more than an unscrupulous character assassination."

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/damian-green-porn-computer-pc-allegations-sexual-harassment-cabinet-office-amber-rudd-theresa-may-a8038891.html

    The Times running exactly what they ran yesterday in the Sunday Times.

    As I've said before, in theory I could send porn as an attachment to an e-mail to every Labour MP. Even if they deleted it, presumably Top Forensic Coppers could still, er, retrieve it from their recycle bin, open it - and lo, they have found porn on their computers.

    Now, I'm not suggesting that a well dodgy cop could send such an e-mail for Top Forensic Coppers to find. And lo! they can say they found porn on a House of Commons computer in the office of a specific MP. But given events around that time, nothing much would surprise me.
    https://simple.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam's_razor
  • FF43 said:

    Last night I expressed the hope that I may be able to pen my 10,000 post following my bi lateral hernia surgery two weeks today.

    I just want to say I was so grateful to those of you who sent good wishes for my op and recovery.

    This forum has a quality that is often overlooked by intense partisan debate but basically most posters are able to rise above and show great kindness.

    I managed to catch up the posts from last night this morning and just want to say thank you to those I have not had the opportunity to do so.

    -----

    @Cyclefree: My very best wishes to you. I hope all goes well, the recovery is speedy and you are back here commenting asap.

    +10 000 !

    +1
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,609
    FF43 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Lord Sugar says if he were May he would call a general election which would lead to Corbyn becoming PM and facing to deal with Brexit.

    The result would be such a disaster the Tories would be back in power in 5 years time
    https://mobile.twitter.com/Lord_Sugar/status/929986069545832449

    -----

    @Sean_F Too clever by half.

    There's a deal here. No Corbyn for no Brexit. But that would be too clever by half.
    The Labour membership and the UK electorate would also have to agree
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,609
    edited November 2017

    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    Lord Sugar says if he were May he would call a general election which would lead to Corbyn becoming PM and facing to deal with Brexit.

    The result would be such a disaster the Tories would be back in power in 5 years time
    https://mobile.twitter.com/Lord_Sugar/status/929986069545832449

    Too clever by half.
    Perhaps but there is an argument for saying it would have been better for the Tories had Kinnock become PM in 1992
    Knowing May's knack of pulling disaster from the jaws of victory, she would follow Sugar's advice, call an election and narrowly win again.
    Then she would be Major 1992 to 1997 and we all know what happened then
  • If May does stand down and Green is not able to succeed her for whatever reason, who becomes acting PM?

    Ken Clarke.
    That's our way out of this mess ;-)
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,609

    HYUFD said:

    If May does stand down and Green is not able to succeed her for whatever reason, who becomes acting PM?

    She would stay PM until a new one is elected, she would just step down as Tory leader until a new leader and hence a new PM, is elected

    That would take us over the cliff edge though, wouldn't it, as May would be a complete lame duck with a one way ticket out of power. There would be at least a two or three month inter-regnum, which would take us to the spring of 2018. On that basis, it seems inconceivable that she will go until there is more certainty in the negotiations with the EU27.

    Probably but the scenario was based on her only staying PM for the 3 months or so of a Tory leadership election
  • None the less, it cannot fairly be claimed, if one looks back at the story of the negotiation to date, that the Government has been driven off its negotiating fundamentals: leaving the EU by the end of March, 2019; quitting the jurisdiction of the ECJ; taking back control of our borders; ending Single Market membership, and ending Customs Union membership (currently the subject of another push by the EU27 and Commission over the Irish border). Furthermore, our media is not set up to probe the differences and divisions among our negotiating partners, which are no less real for not being adequately covered. Certainly, there are aspects of the strategy that should have been handled more deftly, such as the future of EU nationals in Britain, but its essence remains intact – however much a small minority of Conservative MPs, and others, might wish it to be otherwise.

    https://www.conservativehome.com/thetorydiary/2017/11/mays-eu-negotiating-position-has-been-more-consistent-than-some-claim-or-you-may-think.html
  • CD13CD13 Posts: 6,367
    Mr Observer,

    ' “If there are places where the role of the court will make it better or easier for us to have the right relationship in the future I would be open to that.”

    Makes sense to me. '

    I've read it several times and still not quite sure what he's saying. Is it ...

    (a) If they find in our favour, we will accept it.
    (b) if they find against us, we will accept it, and do what they want so as to gain goodwill.

    How is that different to saying we will accept the decisions of a foreign court?

    Mr G, Best wishes. Hopefully, you'll soon be back doing backward somersaults.

    A bit like Labour when it comes to the EU.
  • “If there are places where the role of the court will make it better or easier for us to have the right relationship in the future I would be open to that.”

    Makes sense to me.

    US Supreme Court next?
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,720



    What Green actually said:

    "More importantly, the police have never suggested to me that improper material was found on my parliamentary computer, nor did I have a 'private' computer, as has been claimed.

    "The allegations about the material and computer, now nine years old, are false, disreputable political smears from a discredited police officer acting in flagrant breach of his duty to keep the details of police investigations confidential, and amount to little more than an unscrupulous character assassination."

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/damian-green-porn-computer-pc-allegations-sexual-harassment-cabinet-office-amber-rudd-theresa-may-a8038891.html

    The Times running exactly what they ran yesterday in the Sunday Times.

    As I've said before, in theory I could send porn as an attachment to an e-mail to every Labour MP. Even if they deleted it, presumably Top Forensic Coppers could still, er, retrieve it from their recycle bin, open it - and lo, they have found porn on their computers.

    Now, I'm not suggesting that a well dodgy cop could send such an e-mail for Top Forensic Coppers to find. And lo! they can say they found porn on a House of Commons computer in the office of a specific MP. But given events around that time, nothing much would surprise me.
    https://simple.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam's_razor
    When a person making an allegation has a very clear grudge, one should always treat the allegation with caution.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,255
    Yorkcity said:

    Damian Green is toast I think now.

    Damian Green appeared to drop his claim that there was never any porn on his seized computers yesterday and instead reiterated that police had never told him about the discovery.

    Mr Green, the first secretary of state, said a week ago that allegations that there was pornography on a computer seized from his office nine years ago were false and completely untrue.

    However, since Sir Paul Stephenson, the Metropolitan Police commissioner between 2009 and 2011, revealed at the weekend that he had also been told about the claims, Mr Green has not repeated his original denial.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/met-chief-knew-of-porn-claim-against-damian-green-l79hxw69b

    In a public sector office , you would be toast for having porn on your own work computer accessed and logged in by yourself.However this is not a normal public sector workplace.Hard to understand why Damian Green was so adamant there was no such material on there.Surely he should have said not to his knowledge.
    If they were saying it was "his" computer, he should be able to confirm it was not "his" porn....

    I'd hope we can all agree that politicised coppers with a grudge should expect a greater degree of scrutiny - and skepticism - than what they say being judged on a balance of probabilities.

    If I were in Green's position, I'd be massively pissed off. A raid occurred, aimed at an MP, in the Palace of Westminster. The background to that raid stinks, frankly. The copper undertaking the raid later gets discredited, has to leave the Force over another matter, and then embarks on a grudge against a political party. The party of that MP. For which he later has to apologise.

    Then, years later, we learn something was allegedly found in that raid (something which would not be criminal, but would be politically embarrassing). And the MP was not told about it. But it then comes out at a time when it appears his dismaissal is trying to be engineered, as part of an unrelated press campaign (aka a witch-hunt) about sexual harrassment by MPs.

    I'm not sure massively pissed off covers how I'd feel.
  • Cyclefree said:

    Last night I expressed the hope that I may be able to pen my 10,000 post following my bi lateral hernia surgery two weeks today.

    I just want to say I was so grateful to those of you who sent good wishes for my op and recovery.

    This forum has a quality that is often overlooked by intense partisan debate but basically most posters are able to rise above and show great kindness.

    I managed to catch up the posts from last night this morning and just want to say thank you to those I have not had the opportunity to do so.

    My very best wishes to you. I hope all goes well, the recovery is speedy and you are back here commenting asap.
    Succinctly and elegantly put! +1
  • CD13 said:

    Mr Observer,

    ' “If there are places where the role of the court will make it better or easier for us to have the right relationship in the future I would be open to that.”

    Makes sense to me. '

    I've read it several times and still not quite sure what he's saying. Is it ...

    (a) If they find in our favour, we will accept it.
    (b) if they find against us, we will accept it, and do what they want so as to gain goodwill.

    How is that different to saying we will accept the decisions of a foreign court?

    Mr G, Best wishes. Hopefully, you'll soon be back doing backward somersaults.

    A bit like Labour when it comes to the EU.

    Thanks for your wishes. The one and only time I did a backward somersault was when George Best scored in extra time in the 1968 European cup final and I forgot I was sitting in a rocking chair !!
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256

    FF43 said:

    Last night I expressed the hope that I may be able to pen my 10,000 post following my bi lateral hernia surgery two weeks today.

    I just want to say I was so grateful to those of you who sent good wishes for my op and recovery.

    This forum has a quality that is often overlooked by intense partisan debate but basically most posters are able to rise above and show great kindness.

    I managed to catch up the posts from last night this morning and just want to say thank you to those I have not had the opportunity to do so.

    -----

    @Cyclefree: My very best wishes to you. I hope all goes well, the recovery is speedy and you are back here commenting asap.

    +10 000 !

    +1
    Get well soon Big-G. I hope it all goes smoothly :+1:
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,609

    IanB2 said:

    Mr. NorthWales, hope the operation goes well.

    Thank you - I did have a repair in 1973 but it is beginning to fail and also a problem on the other side. I do remember the 1973 op largely as I was in hospital for 10 days whereas in two weeks it is a day operation.

    The main inconvenience is having 2 weeks plus without driving so some minor disruption for my odd occassion collecting my grandchildren from school
    The approach to hernia operations has changed dramatically since then. The traditional view that you need to rest up after such an operation has changed and now every attempt is (should be) made to get the patient physically active as soon as possible after the op. Being able to send people home early is a spin off benefit for the hospital, and the American private chain that pioneered the new approach made a lot of money out of it.
    Yes I agree. However, in 1973 they were dragging me out of bed the next day and it was very uncomfortable. They persisted despite my protestations for days but the irony was that a doctor in the next door bed refused to be cajooled ( as he was a doctor and knew best) only for him to suffer a deep vein thrombosis.

    I intend being as active as possible but I cannot drive for between 2 and 4 weeks depending on medical approval so that means I may be able to add to my contributions to this forum
    Good luck from me too MrG
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981



    What Green actually said:

    "More importantly, the police have never suggested to me that improper material was found on my parliamentary computer, nor did I have a 'private' computer, as has been claimed.

    "The allegations about the material and computer, now nine years old, are false, disreputable political smears from a discredited police officer acting in flagrant breach of his duty to keep the details of police investigations confidential, and amount to little more than an unscrupulous character assassination."

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/damian-green-porn-computer-pc-allegations-sexual-harassment-cabinet-office-amber-rudd-theresa-may-a8038891.html

    The Times running exactly what they ran yesterday in the Sunday Times.

    As I've said before, in theory I could send porn as an attachment to an e-mail to every Labour MP. Even if they deleted it, presumably Top Forensic Coppers could still, er, retrieve it from their recycle bin, open it - and lo, they have found porn on their computers.

    Now, I'm not suggesting that a well dodgy cop could send such an e-mail for Top Forensic Coppers to find. And lo! they can say they found porn on a House of Commons computer in the office of a specific MP. But given events around that time, nothing much would surprise me.
    https://simple.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam's_razor
    Which is also how we know that the Protocols of the Elders of Zion are not forgeries. Numpty.

    Is it also the case that 97% of porn scientists believe that there was pornography on the computer?
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,397
    HYUFD said:

    FF43 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Lord Sugar says if he were May he would call a general election which would lead to Corbyn becoming PM and facing to deal with Brexit.

    The result would be such a disaster the Tories would be back in power in 5 years time
    https://mobile.twitter.com/Lord_Sugar/status/929986069545832449

    -----

    @Sean_F Too clever by half.

    There's a deal here. No Corbyn for no Brexit. But that would be too clever by half.
    The Labour membership and the UK electorate would also have to agree
    The Tories would lose their UKIP faction and gain sensible people like me., some of whom come from Labour. They would need to keep their vote numbers stable while reducing Labour ones more. It's numerically feasible, although things will never be as tidy as that.
  • Starmer struggling on Corbyn receiving money from Iran.

    It does raise the issue as to when a possible PM has been paid money by a foreign power or it's state sponsored media.

    Also has Corbyn been challenged on his connections with Iran and his meetings,

    Seems as ever that Guido had info on this
  • HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    Mr. NorthWales, hope the operation goes well.

    Thank you - I did have a repair in 1973 but it is beginning to fail and also a problem on the other side. I do remember the 1973 op largely as I was in hospital for 10 days whereas in two weeks it is a day operation.

    The main inconvenience is having 2 weeks plus without driving so some minor disruption for my odd occassion collecting my grandchildren from school
    The approach to hernia operations has changed dramatically since then. The traditional view that you need to rest up after such an operation has changed and now every attempt is (should be) made to get the patient physically active as soon as possible after the op. Being able to send people home early is a spin off benefit for the hospital, and the American private chain that pioneered the new approach made a lot of money out of it.
    Yes I agree. However, in 1973 they were dragging me out of bed the next day and it was very uncomfortable. They persisted despite my protestations for days but the irony was that a doctor in the next door bed refused to be cajooled ( as he was a doctor and knew best) only for him to suffer a deep vein thrombosis.

    I intend being as active as possible but I cannot drive for between 2 and 4 weeks depending on medical approval so that means I may be able to add to my contributions to this forum
    Good luck from me too MrG
    Thank you - sure there will still be plenty to post on
  • FF43 said:

    Last night I expressed the hope that I may be able to pen my 10,000 post following my bi lateral hernia surgery two weeks today.

    I just want to say I was so grateful to those of you who sent good wishes for my op and recovery.

    This forum has a quality that is often overlooked by intense partisan debate but basically most posters are able to rise above and show great kindness.

    I managed to catch up the posts from last night this morning and just want to say thank you to those I have not had the opportunity to do so.

    -----

    @Cyclefree: My very best wishes to you. I hope all goes well, the recovery is speedy and you are back here commenting asap.

    +10 000 !

    +1
    Get well soon Big-G. I hope it all goes smoothly :+1:
    Thanks Beverley - hope the Irish border problem is resolved to everyone's benefit
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,255

    F1: now a problem connecting to the chat server... I'm less than thrilled with Betfair.

    Hamilton started the race, and he didn't finish on the podium. There's no justifiable reason for voiding the bet.

    Er...because you won it?
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256

    Jonathan said:

    On topic


    Surely it depends on who the new leader is and how well they get on.

    For example, will the DUP and JRM hit it off?

    I'd have thought that the DUP would love JRM. His views are pretty similar to theirs on most things, it seems, except as they relate to the body of Christ during mass.

    I saw him the other day being interviewed. He is very good at answering questions and in critiquing what the "other side" has to say. Where I think he might fall down heavily is in expressing his own views. He is an uncompromising right winger and would struggle to hide that or wrap it up in the kind of language that would not scare away a lot of voters.

    Unless the DUP have mellowed a lot, then I have no doubt that to them, JRM is a papist, a soldier of Rome and not to be trusted.
  • Cyclefree said:

    Last night I expressed the hope that I may be able to pen my 10,000 post following my bi lateral hernia surgery two weeks today.

    I just want to say I was so grateful to those of you who sent good wishes for my op and recovery.

    This forum has a quality that is often overlooked by intense partisan debate but basically most posters are able to rise above and show great kindness.

    I managed to catch up the posts from last night this morning and just want to say thank you to those I have not had the opportunity to do so.

    My very best wishes to you. I hope all goes well, the recovery is speedy and you are back here commenting asap.
    Succinctly and elegantly put! +1
    +1
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,255

    Starmer struggling on Corbyn receiving money from Iran.

    It does raise the issue as to when a possible PM has been paid money by a foreign power or it's state sponsored media.

    Also has Corbyn been challenged on his connections with Iran and his meetings,

    Seems as ever that Guido had info on this

    Best wishes for the best outcome. Use your recovery time wisely.

    Like visiting Guido - so we don't have to!
  • Yorkcity said:

    Damian Green is toast I think now.

    Damian Green appeared to drop his claim that there was never any porn on his seized computers yesterday and instead reiterated that police had never told him about the discovery.

    Mr Green, the first secretary of state, said a week ago that allegations that there was pornography on a computer seized from his office nine years ago were false and completely untrue.

    However, since Sir Paul Stephenson, the Metropolitan Police commissioner between 2009 and 2011, revealed at the weekend that he had also been told about the claims, Mr Green has not repeated his original denial.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/met-chief-knew-of-porn-claim-against-damian-green-l79hxw69b

    In a public sector office , you would be toast for having porn on your own work computer accessed and logged in by yourself.However this is not a normal public sector workplace.Hard to understand why Damian Green was so adamant there was no such material on there.Surely he should have said not to his knowledge.
    If they were saying it was "his" computer, he should be able to confirm it was not "his" porn....

    I'd hope we can all agree that politicised coppers with a grudge should expect a greater degree of scrutiny - and skepticism - than what they say being judged on a balance of probabilities.

    If I were in Green's position, I'd be massively pissed off. A raid occurred, aimed at an MP, in the Palace of Westminster. The background to that raid stinks, frankly. The copper undertaking the raid later gets discredited, has to leave the Force over another matter, and then embarks on a grudge against a political party. The party of that MP. For which he later has to apologise.

    Then, years later, we learn something was allegedly found in that raid (something which would not be criminal, but would be politically embarrassing). And the MP was not told about it. But it then comes out at a time when it appears his dismaissal is trying to be engineered, as part of an unrelated press campaign (aka a witch-hunt) about sexual harrassment by MPs.

    I'm not sure massively pissed off covers how I'd feel.
    And when Green does not repeat his denial verbatim the newspaper flogging it’s very lame horse leaps on this as “backing off”......
  • Sean_F said:



    What Green actually said:

    "More importantly, the police have never suggested to me that improper material was found on my parliamentary computer, nor did I have a 'private' computer, as has been claimed.

    "The allegations about the material and computer, now nine years old, are false, disreputable political smears from a discredited police officer acting in flagrant breach of his duty to keep the details of police investigations confidential, and amount to little more than an unscrupulous character assassination."

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/damian-green-porn-computer-pc-allegations-sexual-harassment-cabinet-office-amber-rudd-theresa-may-a8038891.html

    The Times running exactly what they ran yesterday in the Sunday Times.

    As I've said before, in theory I could send porn as an attachment to an e-mail to every Labour MP. Even if they deleted it, presumably Top Forensic Coppers could still, er, retrieve it from their recycle bin, open it - and lo, they have found porn on their computers.

    Now, I'm not suggesting that a well dodgy cop could send such an e-mail for Top Forensic Coppers to find. And lo! they can say they found porn on a House of Commons computer in the office of a specific MP. But given events around that time, nothing much would surprise me.
    https://simple.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam's_razor
    When a person making an allegation has a very clear grudge, one should always treat the allegation with caution.
    Especially when they’ve lied in the past and had to retract/apologise on related matters.....
  • Starmer struggling on Corbyn receiving money from Iran.

    It does raise the issue as to when a possible PM has been paid money by a foreign power or it's state sponsored media.

    Also has Corbyn been challenged on his connections with Iran and his meetings,

    Seems as ever that Guido had info on this

    If this had been Trump and RT, my god the likes of CNN and BBC would have gone into meltdown.
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256

    FF43 said:

    Last night I expressed the hope that I may be able to pen my 10,000 post following my bi lateral hernia surgery two weeks today.

    I just want to say I was so grateful to those of you who sent good wishes for my op and recovery.

    This forum has a quality that is often overlooked by intense partisan debate but basically most posters are able to rise above and show great kindness.

    I managed to catch up the posts from last night this morning and just want to say thank you to those I have not had the opportunity to do so.

    -----

    @Cyclefree: My very best wishes to you. I hope all goes well, the recovery is speedy and you are back here commenting asap.

    +10 000 !

    +1
    Get well soon Big-G. I hope it all goes smoothly :+1:
    Thanks Beverley - hope the Irish border problem is resolved to everyone's benefit
    Don't we all :)

    It was suggested last night that in my recovery period I should aim for 20,000 posts rather than the modest 10,000 but that will depend whether Brexit etc are resolved by the end of this month

    You could always stop at 9489 which is (approx) Pi ^ 8 and is only about 30 posts away

  • Ishmael_Z said:



    What Green actually said:

    "More importantly, the police have never suggested to me that improper material was found on my parliamentary computer, nor did I have a 'private' computer, as has been claimed.

    "The allegations about the material and computer, now nine years old, are false, disreputable political smears from a discredited police officer acting in flagrant breach of his duty to keep the details of police investigations confidential, and amount to little more than an unscrupulous character assassination."

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/damian-green-porn-computer-pc-allegations-sexual-harassment-cabinet-office-amber-rudd-theresa-may-a8038891.html

    The Times running exactly what they ran yesterday in the Sunday Times.

    As I've said before, in theory I could send porn as an attachment to an e-mail to every Labour MP. Even if they deleted it, presumably Top Forensic Coppers could still, er, retrieve it from their recycle bin, open it - and lo, they have found porn on their computers.

    Now, I'm not suggesting that a well dodgy cop could send such an e-mail for Top Forensic Coppers to find. And lo! they can say they found porn on a House of Commons computer in the office of a specific MP. But given events around that time, nothing much would surprise me.
    https://simple.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam's_razor
    Which is also how we know that the Protocols of the Elders of Zion are not forgeries. Numpty.

    Is it also the case that 97% of porn scientists believe that there was pornography on the computer?
    You're welcome to believe the more complicated explanations, but I do think that will usually make you numptier.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,720

    Sean_F said:



    What Green actually said:

    "More importantly, the police have never suggested to me that improper material was found on my parliamentary computer, nor did I have a 'private' computer, as has been claimed.

    "The allegations about the material and computer, now nine years old, are false, disreputable political smears from a discredited police officer acting in flagrant breach of his duty to keep the details of police investigations confidential, and amount to little more than an unscrupulous character assassination."

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/damian-green-porn-computer-pc-allegations-sexual-harassment-cabinet-office-amber-rudd-theresa-may-a8038891.html

    The Times running exactly what they ran yesterday in the Sunday Times.

    As I've said before, in theory I could send porn as an attachment to an e-mail to every Labour MP. Even if they deleted it, presumably Top Forensic Coppers could still, er, retrieve it from their recycle bin, open it - and lo, they have found porn on their computers.

    Now, I'm not suggesting that a well dodgy cop could send such an e-mail for Top Forensic Coppers to find. And lo! they can say they found porn on a House of Commons computer in the office of a specific MP. But given events around that time, nothing much would surprise me.
    https://simple.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam's_razor
    When a person making an allegation has a very clear grudge, one should always treat the allegation with caution.
    Especially when they’ve lied in the past and had to retract/apologise on related matters.....
    As Mr. Justice Cantley/Peter Cook would have said about this accuser "He may still be telling the truth. That is entirely a matter for you."
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,255

    Starmer struggling on Corbyn receiving money from Iran.

    It does raise the issue as to when a possible PM has been paid money by a foreign power or it's state sponsored media.

    Also has Corbyn been challenged on his connections with Iran and his meetings,

    Seems as ever that Guido had info on this

    If this had been Trump and RT, my god the likes of CNN and BBC would have gone into meltdown.
    Corbyn should get the blame for her still being in an Iranian jail. Why has he not used his undoubted sway with Tehran? Is it because he would rather see her languish and Boris lose his job?

    (Tongue ever so slightly in cheek....)
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382

    Starmer struggling on Corbyn receiving money from Iran.

    It does raise the issue as to when a possible PM has been paid money by a foreign power or it's state sponsored media.

    Also has Corbyn been challenged on his connections with Iran and his meetings,

    Seems as ever that Guido had info on this

    Best regards BigG hope all goes well.
  • HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    Mr. NorthWales, hope the operation goes well.

    Thank you - I did have a repair in 1973 but it is beginning to fail and also a problem on the other side. I do remember the 1973 op largely as I was in hospital for 10 days whereas in two weeks it is a day operation.

    The main inconvenience is having 2 weeks plus without driving so some minor disruption for my odd occassion collecting my grandchildren from school
    The approach to hernia operations has changed dramatically since then. The traditional view that you need to rest up after such an operation has changed and now every attempt is (should be) made to get the patient physically active as soon as possible after the op. Being able to send people home early is a spin off benefit for the hospital, and the American private chain that pioneered the new approach made a lot of money out of it.
    Yes I agree. However, in 1973 they were dragging me out of bed the next day and it was very uncomfortable. They persisted despite my protestations for days but the irony was that a doctor in the next door bed refused to be cajooled ( as he was a doctor and knew best) only for him to suffer a deep vein thrombosis.

    I intend being as active as possible but I cannot drive for between 2 and 4 weeks depending on medical approval so that means I may be able to add to my contributions to this forum
    Good luck from me too MrG
    Thank you - sure there will still be plenty to post on
    Best wishes Big G and look forward to your flood of posts during recovery.
  • Starmer struggling on Corbyn receiving money from Iran.

    It does raise the issue as to when a possible PM has been paid money by a foreign power or it's state sponsored media.

    Also has Corbyn been challenged on his connections with Iran and his meetings,

    Seems as ever that Guido had info on this

    Best wishes for the best outcome. Use your recovery time wisely.

    Like visiting Guido - so we don't have to!
    Thanks and I will keep visiting Guido - he is very forensic
  • Yorkcity said:

    Starmer struggling on Corbyn receiving money from Iran.

    It does raise the issue as to when a possible PM has been paid money by a foreign power or it's state sponsored media.

    Also has Corbyn been challenged on his connections with Iran and his meetings,

    Seems as ever that Guido had info on this

    Best regards BigG hope all goes well.
    Thanks so much. Sure it will, many are facing much more serious issues than not being able to drive for a few weeks
  • HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    Mr. NorthWales, hope the operation goes well.

    Thank you - I did have a repair in 1973 but it is beginning to fail and also a problem on the other side. I do remember the 1973 op largely as I was in hospital for 10 days whereas in two weeks it is a day operation.

    The main inconvenience is having 2 weeks plus without driving so some minor disruption for my odd occassion collecting my grandchildren from school
    The approach to hernia operations has changed dramatically since then. The traditional view that you need to rest up after such an operation has changed and now every attempt is (should be) made to get the patient physically active as soon as possible after the op. Being able to send people home early is a spin off benefit for the hospital, and the American private chain that pioneered the new approach made a lot of money out of it.
    Yes I agree. However, in 1973 they were dragging me out of bed the next day and it was very uncomfortable. They persisted despite my protestations for days but the irony was that a doctor in the next door bed refused to be cajooled ( as he was a doctor and knew best) only for him to suffer a deep vein thrombosis.

    I intend being as active as possible but I cannot drive for between 2 and 4 weeks depending on medical approval so that means I may be able to add to my contributions to this forum
    Good luck from me too MrG
    Thank you - sure there will still be plenty to post on
    Best wishes Big G and look forward to your flood of posts during recovery.
    Thanks Richard
  • As Bloomberg noted, it’s virtually impossible for the UK to meet the EU’s latest demands on the Irish border, which was almost certainly the point.

    The EU’s demands on Ireland in the memo are all but impossible for Britain, unless the whole U.K. stays in the customs union, which Prime Minister Theresa May has ruled out. Allowing Northern Ireland to stay in the customs union could mean putting a border between it and mainland Britain. That’s unthinkable for the U.K., and more so at a time when the Conservative government is propped up by the pro-U.K. Democratic Unionist Party from Northern Ireland. The DUP would quit before accepting a border in the Irish Sea.

    “We recognize the solutions to the unique circumstances in Northern Ireland must respect the integrity of the EU single market and customs union,” Davis’s department said in response. “But they must also respect the integrity of the United Kingdom.”


    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-11-10/eu-uses-sleazy-negotiating-tactics-extort-more-cash-brexit-talks
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,429
    Good luck with the OP Big_G! :smiley:
  • GIN1138 said:

    Good luck with the OP Big_G! :smiley:

    Thanks so much. Hope TM starts getting some good luck for a change.

    She is meeting European and UK business leaders in no 10 today and this must open a window of opportunity for her to persuade them to put equal pressure on the EU to resolve issues and move onto trade
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981

    Ishmael_Z said:



    What Green actually said:

    "More importantly, the police have never suggested to me that improper material was found on my parliamentary computer, nor did I have a 'private' computer, as has been claimed.

    "The allegations about the material and computer, now nine years old, are false, disreputable political smears from a discredited police officer acting in flagrant breach of his duty to keep the details of police investigations confidential, and amount to little more than an unscrupulous character assassination."

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/damian-green-porn-computer-pc-allegations-sexual-harassment-cabinet-office-amber-rudd-theresa-may-a8038891.html

    The Times running exactly what they ran yesterday in the Sunday Times.

    As I've said before, in theory I could send porn as an attachment to an e-mail to every Labour MP. Even if they deleted it, presumably Top Forensic Coppers could still, er, retrieve it from their recycle bin, open it - and lo, they have found porn on their computers.

    Now, I'm not suggesting that a well dodgy cop could send such an e-mail for Top Forensic Coppers to find. And lo! they can say they found porn on a House of Commons computer in the office of a specific MP. But given events around that time, nothing much would surprise me.
    https://simple.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam's_razor
    Which is also how we know that the Protocols of the Elders of Zion are not forgeries. Numpty.

    Is it also the case that 97% of porn scientists believe that there was pornography on the computer?
    You're welcome to believe the more complicated explanations, but I do think that will usually make you numptier.
    Yes, that works well for the Protocols, and the Dreyfus affair, does it not? And any case where there is a real possibility of fabrication of evidence. In the present case, the competing explanations are actually of the same order of complexity: Green put it there, or someone else put it there. Where are the additional entities in theory b?


    morons on the internet don't know what Occam's Razor means
    .
  • Very big news from Catalonia. The ousted president, Carles Puigdemont, has told the Belgian press that there can be a solution to the Catalan crisis that does not involve independence. As blinks go that is a pretty major one:
    http://www.lavanguardia.com/politica/20171113/432861599332/puigdemont-posible-solucion-diferente-independencia-catalunya.html
  • Starmer struggling on Corbyn receiving money from Iran.

    It does raise the issue as to when a possible PM has been paid money by a foreign power or it's state sponsored media.

    Also has Corbyn been challenged on his connections with Iran and his meetings,

    Seems as ever that Guido had info on this

    Seems that CCHQ doesn't work weekends but has belatedly decided Boris and Gove need a smokescreen.
  • Ishmael_Z said:

    Ishmael_Z said:



    What Green actually said:

    "More importantly, the police have never suggested to me that improper material was found on my parliamentary computer, nor did I have a 'private' computer, as has been claimed.

    "The allegations about the material and computer, now nine years old, are false, disreputable political smears from a discredited police officer acting in flagrant breach of his duty to keep the details of police investigations confidential, and amount to little more than an unscrupulous character assassination."

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/damian-green-porn-computer-pc-allegations-sexual-harassment-cabinet-office-amber-rudd-theresa-may-a8038891.html

    The Times running exactly what they ran yesterday in the Sunday Times.

    As I've said before, in theory I could send porn as an attachment to an e-mail to every Labour MP. Even if they deleted it, presumably Top Forensic Coppers could still, er, retrieve it from their recycle bin, open it - and lo, they have found porn on their computers.

    Now, I'm not suggesting that a well dodgy cop could send such an e-mail for Top Forensic Coppers to find. And lo! they can say they found porn on a House of Commons computer in the office of a specific MP. But given events around that time, nothing much would surprise me.
    https://simple.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam's_razor
    Which is also how we know that the Protocols of the Elders of Zion are not forgeries. Numpty.

    Is it also the case that 97% of porn scientists believe that there was pornography on the computer?
    You're welcome to believe the more complicated explanations, but I do think that will usually make you numptier.
    Yes, that works well for the Protocols, and the Dreyfus affair, does it not? And any case where there is a real possibility of fabrication of evidence. In the present case, the competing explanations are actually of the same order of complexity: Green put it there, or someone else put it there. Where are the additional entities in theory b?


    morons on the internet don't know what Occam's Razor means
    .
    Do you count yourself in that number?
    Remember all I posted was a link to an explanation of Occam's Razor. If you think that the simplest explanation is that the Police fitted up the Deputy PM then you are welcome to your opinion.
  • F1: missed this earlier, but Toro Rosso are on 53 points, Renault 49, and Haas 47. That's going to make the final race critical for those teams. Perhaps as much as tens of millions at stake for a few points.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,912

    Do you count yourself in that number?
    Remember all I posted was a link to an explanation of Occam's Razor. If you think that the simplest explanation is that the Police fitted up the Deputy PM then you are welcome to your opinion.

    This needs to be seen not only in its own context, but also that of plebgate, where the police federation reps out-and out lied. This is not only a problem for politicians, it is a problem for the police themselves.
  • Mr. Jessop, indeed. It's a very disturbing state of affairs when people legitimately have questions about whether they can trust the police.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,429
    edited November 2017

    GIN1138 said:

    Good luck with the OP Big_G! :smiley:

    Thanks so much. Hope TM starts getting some good luck for a change.

    She is meeting European and UK business leaders in no 10 today and this must open a window of opportunity for her to persuade them to put equal pressure on the EU to resolve issues and move onto trade
    Sadly it looks increasingly like the EU doesn't want a deal. Barnier's latest demands/deadline is completely ridiculous and unreasonable.
  • Starmer struggling on Corbyn receiving money from Iran.

    It does raise the issue as to when a possible PM has been paid money by a foreign power or it's state sponsored media.

    Also has Corbyn been challenged on his connections with Iran and his meetings,

    Seems as ever that Guido had info on this

    Seems that CCHQ doesn't work weekends but has belatedly decided Boris and Gove need a smokescreen.
    I do not think it is a smokescreen to be fair. Corbyn's involvement with the Iranian regime is of national interest and Guido alleges.

    He received £20,000 for appearing on Iranian state tv even after it had filmed and broadcast a torture victims confession

    Agreed with a Press TV caller that Britains national broadcaster were 'Zionist liars'

    Attended the regimes Al-Quds Day event calling for the 'destuction of Israel'

    Claims Iran does not want nukes

    And more.

    He needs to answer these allegations

  • Mr. Jessop, indeed. It's a very disturbing state of affairs when people legitimately have questions about whether they can trust the police.

    A lot of people will be saying, welcome to our world. Orgreave, Hillsborough, stop and search. Theresa May said something about it once.
  • Starmer struggling on Corbyn receiving money from Iran.

    It does raise the issue as to when a possible PM has been paid money by a foreign power or it's state sponsored media.

    Also has Corbyn been challenged on his connections with Iran and his meetings,

    Seems as ever that Guido had info on this

    Seems that CCHQ doesn't work weekends but has belatedly decided Boris and Gove need a smokescreen.
    I do not think it is a smokescreen to be fair. Corbyn's involvement with the Iranian regime is of national interest and Guido alleges.

    He received £20,000 for appearing on Iranian state tv even after it had filmed and broadcast a torture victims confession

    Agreed with a Press TV caller that Britains national broadcaster were 'Zionist liars'

    Attended the regimes Al-Quds Day event calling for the 'destuction of Israel'

    Claims Iran does not want nukes

    And more.

    He needs to answer these allegations

    And all of this was true last week and the week before so what has changed? Oh yes, CCHQ needs to distract attention from Gove and Boris.
  • Mr. L, Hillsborough is a fair point, stop and search less so. As stop and search has declined, crime has risen. Better for someone to be subject to a search than an acid or knife attack.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,849

    GIN1138 said:

    Good luck with the OP Big_G! :smiley:

    Thanks so much. Hope TM starts getting some good luck for a change.

    She is meeting European and UK business leaders in no 10 today and this must open a window of opportunity for her to persuade them to put equal pressure on the EU to resolve issues and move onto trade
    Your optimism regarding TMay is admirable but, I fear, sadly misplaced. I suspect when historians look back on this period they will view it as one of the most inept examples of government in our nation's history. :disappointed:

    However, on a more positive note, we still have a world class health service and I wish you every good fortune with your op!
  • Starmer struggling on Corbyn receiving money from Iran.

    It does raise the issue as to when a possible PM has been paid money by a foreign power or it's state sponsored media.

    Also has Corbyn been challenged on his connections with Iran and his meetings,

    Seems as ever that Guido had info on this

    Seems that CCHQ doesn't work weekends but has belatedly decided Boris and Gove need a smokescreen.
    I do not think it is a smokescreen to be fair. Corbyn's involvement with the Iranian regime is of national interest and Guido alleges.

    He received £20,000 for appearing on Iranian state tv even after it had filmed and broadcast a torture victims confession

    Agreed with a Press TV caller that Britains national broadcaster were 'Zionist liars'

    Attended the regimes Al-Quds Day event calling for the 'destuction of Israel'

    Claims Iran does not want nukes

    And more.

    He needs to answer these allegations

    And all of this was true last week and the week before so what has changed? Oh yes, CCHQ needs to distract attention from Gove and Boris.
    No - Corbyn has asked for Johnson's resignation and that is what has changed. Pleased you accept the truth of Guido's allegations
  • OGH discards the wild card - events, dear boy. And we have a lot of events at the moment.

    Assume that another 8 Tory MPs enter adulthood and write their letters. The 22 declares a leadership contest, and within 24 hours it's abundantly clear that May doesn't have the support. At which point a motion of no confidence in Her Majesty's Government is presented to the house. We either have the spectacle of MPs saying on alternative days that they have no confidence in the leader of the Conservative Party then saying they have confidence in the Prime Minister.

    Or the government loses the vote. For all that "because DUP" is used as the Tories firewall on here, they haven't had a penny yet, and Forster and her party have shown considerable political flexibility over the years as they see fit - they won't work with Corbyn apparently for 'supporting the IRA but were happy to work with the actual IRA and let a former brigade commander run schools...

    So there is a clear scenario where in the midst of a leadership challenge the government loses a confidence vote. The FTPA then gives the Commons 14 days to pass a confidence vote in a government or an election is called. That could be fun...

    I think that this is absolutely right: a change of leader might be enough to destabilise the situation and thus trigger an election.

    However, it also needs to be said that the converse is not necessarily true: the lack of a change of leader doesn't means that the government stays (becomes?) 'strong and stable'. The kind of dear-boy-events you describe can also happen if there's not a leadership challenge. The government doesn't look exactly secure as it is: buffeted by Brexit, the PM's credibility shot to pieces, ministers going off-piste, and a minority government in the first place.

    In the circumstances, I don't think we can be confident of any prediction. IMO the likelihood is that Theresa May staggers on from crisis to crisis, but the butterfly might flap its wings anytime.
  • Starmer struggling on Corbyn receiving money from Iran.

    It does raise the issue as to when a possible PM has been paid money by a foreign power or it's state sponsored media.

    Also has Corbyn been challenged on his connections with Iran and his meetings,

    Seems as ever that Guido had info on this

    Seems that CCHQ doesn't work weekends but has belatedly decided Boris and Gove need a smokescreen.
    I do not think it is a smokescreen to be fair. Corbyn's involvement with the Iranian regime is of national interest and Guido alleges.

    He received £20,000 for appearing on Iranian state tv even after it had filmed and broadcast a torture victims confession

    Agreed with a Press TV caller that Britains national broadcaster were 'Zionist liars'

    Attended the regimes Al-Quds Day event calling for the 'destuction of Israel'

    Claims Iran does not want nukes

    And more.

    He needs to answer these allegations

    And all of this was true last week and the week before so what has changed? Oh yes, CCHQ needs to distract attention from Gove and Boris.
    No - Corbyn has asked for Johnson's resignation and that is what has changed. Pleased you accept the truth of Guido's allegations
    You missed Gove on telly yesterday?
  • On topic, you can lay Jeremy Corbyn for next Prime Minister at 11/2. For the reasons OGH gives, this price is far too short.
  • GIN1138 said:

    Good luck with the OP Big_G! :smiley:

    Thanks so much. Hope TM starts getting some good luck for a change.

    She is meeting European and UK business leaders in no 10 today and this must open a window of opportunity for her to persuade them to put equal pressure on the EU to resolve issues and move onto trade
    Your optimism regarding TMay is admirable but, I fear, sadly misplaced. I suspect when historians look back on this period they will view it as one of the most inept examples of government in our nation's history. :disappointed:

    However, on a more positive note, we still have a world class health service and I wish you every good fortune with your op!
    I agree about historians likely view but it will almost certainly condemn all politicians on all sides to singularly fail to come together in the nations interest. I am sure history will be very unkind to TM but she has made some big mistakes and unless she is able to resolve Brexit she will not be able to recover her previous reputation
  • Mr. L, Hillsborough is a fair point, stop and search less so. As stop and search has declined, crime has risen. Better for someone to be subject to a search than an acid or knife attack.

    Correlation doesn’t imply causation.

    We’re at 2002 levels of stop and search but not 2002 levels of crime.
  • AlsoIndigoAlsoIndigo Posts: 1,852

    Starmer struggling on Corbyn receiving money from Iran.

    It does raise the issue as to when a possible PM has been paid money by a foreign power or it's state sponsored media.

    Also has Corbyn been challenged on his connections with Iran and his meetings,

    Seems as ever that Guido had info on this

    Seems that CCHQ doesn't work weekends but has belatedly decided Boris and Gove need a smokescreen.
    I do not think it is a smokescreen to be fair. Corbyn's involvement with the Iranian regime is of national interest and Guido alleges.

    He received £20,000 for appearing on Iranian state tv even after it had filmed and broadcast a torture victims confession

    Agreed with a Press TV caller that Britains national broadcaster were 'Zionist liars'

    Attended the regimes Al-Quds Day event calling for the 'destuction of Israel'

    Claims Iran does not want nukes

    And more.

    He needs to answer these allegations

    And all of this was true last week and the week before so what has changed? Oh yes, CCHQ needs to distract attention from Gove and Boris.
    I think they need no lessons from the party of A Good Day To Bury Bad News.
  • Starmer struggling on Corbyn receiving money from Iran.

    It does raise the issue as to when a possible PM has been paid money by a foreign power or it's state sponsored media.

    Also has Corbyn been challenged on his connections with Iran and his meetings,

    Seems as ever that Guido had info on this

    Seems that CCHQ doesn't work weekends but has belatedly decided Boris and Gove need a smokescreen.
    I do not think it is a smokescreen to be fair. Corbyn's involvement with the Iranian regime is of national interest and Guido alleges.

    He received £20,000 for appearing on Iranian state tv even after it had filmed and broadcast a torture victims confession

    Agreed with a Press TV caller that Britains national broadcaster were 'Zionist liars'

    Attended the regimes Al-Quds Day event calling for the 'destuction of Israel'

    Claims Iran does not want nukes

    And more.

    He needs to answer these allegations

    And all of this was true last week and the week before so what has changed? Oh yes, CCHQ needs to distract attention from Gove and Boris.
    No - Corbyn has asked for Johnson's resignation and that is what has changed. Pleased you accept the truth of Guido's allegations
    You missed Gove on telly yesterday?
    No I listened to Gove yesterday and he was fine.

  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    No I listened to Gove yesterday and he was fine.

    https://twitter.com/mortenmorland/status/929989370886742016
  • Scott_P said:
    I've been thinking about this.

    I think it's a dead cat.

    It's all about getting people to talk about *when* we leave, not *if*.

  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @bbclaurak: Stand out stat, there are ONE HUNDRED AND EIGHTY SIX pages of amendments to the withdrawal bill... gulp
  • RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679
    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    Lord Sugar says if he were May he would call a general election which would lead to Corbyn becoming PM and facing to deal with Brexit.

    The result would be such a disaster the Tories would be back in power in 5 years time
    https://mobile.twitter.com/Lord_Sugar/status/929986069545832449

    Too clever by half.
    Perhaps but there is an argument for saying it would have been better for the Tories had Kinnock become PM in 1992
    Possibly. I distinctly remember that the first thing Kinnock did after losing was to get a letter off to the Times criticising the Major government's ERM policy. He seems to have foreseen the problem that later wrecked the Tories' reputation for economic competence. I think it is entirely plausible that he would have avoided that pitfall.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,081
    edited November 2017
    Scott_P said:

    No I listened to Gove yesterday and he was fine.

    https://twitter.com/mortenmorland/status/929989370886742016
    I understand she has dual citizenship - UK and Iranian.

    I also understand this complicates the situation in diplomatic terms

    Boris is Boris has caught up with him and it has probably cost him any chance of leadership.

    However, the issue is being used politically by remainers to get him removed as they see him as a threat to their campaign to stay in Europe
  • Scott_P said:

    No I listened to Gove yesterday and he was fine.

    https://twitter.com/mortenmorland/status/929989370886742016
    Yes, definitely Boris’ fault;

    On 3 April 2016, members of Iran's Revolutionary Guard arrested her at the Imam Khomeini Airport as she and daughter were about to board a flight back to the UK. Her daughter's British passport was confiscated during the arrest, and the 3-year-old remains in Iran under the care of her maternal grandparents.

    The exact reason for her arrest was initially unclear, though according to Amnesty International it is believed related to the 2014 imprisonment of several Iranian technology news website employees. Zaghari-Ratcliffe used to work for the BBC Media Action international charitable project, which is linked to a BBC training course offered to Iranian journalists, some of who were convicted for participating in the foreign training course in 2014.

    On 10 September 2016, she was sentenced to five years in prison "for allegedly plotting to topple the Iranian regime."


    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nazanin_Zaghari-Ratcliffe
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    However, the issue is being used politically by remainers to get him removed as they see him as a threat to their campaign to stay in Europe

    He's a threat to our International reputation, in or out of the EU.

    That Brexiteers will overlook his unsuitability for office because he supports the cause is telling
  • Shocked by this, SHOCKED!

    Former EDL leader Tommy Robinson attends far-right rally that called for a ‘Jew free’ Poland.

    https://www.thejc.com/news/uk-news/former-edl-leader-tommy-robinson-attends-far-right-march-in-warsaw-where-demonstrators-called-for-a-jew-free-poland-1.447888
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,406

    Mr. Jessop, indeed. It's a very disturbing state of affairs when people legitimately have questions about whether they can trust the police.

    A lot of people will be saying, welcome to our world. Orgreave, Hillsborough, stop and search. Theresa May said something about it once.
    Stephen Lawrence, the Irish, Operation Countrymen, RUC Collusion etc...
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981


    Scott_P said:

    No I listened to Gove yesterday and he was fine.

    htps://twitter.com/mortenmorland/status/929989370886742016
    I understand she has dual citizenship - UK and Iranian.

    I also understand this complicates the situation in diplomatic terms

    Boris is Boris has caught up with him and it has probably cost him any chance of leadership.

    However, the issue is being used politically by remainers to get him removed as they see him as a threat to their campaign to stay in Europe
    Naah. Most arguments are not really about what they are ostensibly about, but this one is. Boris is a c-nt and should be sacked, is the beginning and end of it, and I voted remain but have zero tolerance for any plan to scupper the referendum result.
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,406

    Scott_P said:
    I've been thinking about this.

    I think it's a dead cat.

    It's all about getting people to talk about *when* we leave, not *if*.

    Could be.
    But if the govt doesn't have the votes to pass it... that will be quite awkward for TM won't it?
    Or will it let her claim there really are saboteurs?
This discussion has been closed.