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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Russia really has compromising material against Trump and p
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Russia really has compromising material against Trump and planning to use it then there’s a few bets that need considering
Please not the footage of Trump and peeing hookers.
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Seconded. As someone who googled MILF in front of tittering teenage niece & nephew....
Whether it would in fact destroy his career I'm not sure. Conservative Americans are more robust about sexual misdemeanors than one might expect (cf. Clinton and indeed Trump with the pussy-grabbbing, which unlike the alleged golden shower is actually illegal non-consensual assault), and a bit of contrition goes a long way - saying he'd done some things before he went into politics that he now regrets might see him through.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/may-set-to-drop-manifesto-pledge-on-cutting-number-of-mps-hxrcr03np
@DPMcBride: Someone put a 'Draft Official Sensitive' watermark on their policy submission?! Yeah right. 'Written To Be Leaked' would be more accurate.
My personal record’s about 6,000’, but the mountains are somewhat bigger in Argentina than the UK.
https://twitter.com/claire_phipps/status/905302493499928576
Or are they simply trying to destabilise the US.
King Cole, quite.
Mr. Sandpit, quite.
F1: surprised there's no McLaren engine statement yet. I wonder if that's try to last minute wrangling with Renault, or could they really be thinking of sticking with Honda? I'd guess not, but if we don't hear something soon, that could be what's happening.
But I don't think the Kobach Commission is really looking to address that. Their job is to show that Trump really won the popular vote once those not allowed to vote are stripped out. A vanity project.
Very good news imho.
The 'gene pool' for Cabinet seems pretty stretched already without reducing MP numbers.
Russia often funds opposing groups in countries simultaneously.
Florida 2000 was hillarious as an outsider, why on Earth couldn’t they have recounted everything manually within 24 hours?
Don’t start me on voting machines though, the opinion of every independent IT guy is that paper and pencil, with humans counting votes, is the best election system.
If you look at what the Russian troll farms do, they move seamlessly from whipping up support for Trump, Brexit, LePen, Islamophobia.
They find plenty of useful idiots and fellow travellers in the West. They have got very good at it, and liberal powers (and internet companies in particular) seem unwilling to tackle it.
Having built Trump they will now destroy him, turning America into a laughing stock with permanent reputational damage.
Maybe a minor boundary change done in anticipation of a 2020 election is now the right way to go.
The fact is that inflation is very high as a result. What has changed is the definitions - the CPI does NOT measure inflation. However, the press and Government says it does so people think it is true. The CPI in fact measures the amount of money needed to maintain a hypothetical standard of living for a hypothetical individual. As long as you assume (and they do) that this individual can substitute cheaper goods and services if prices rise and that their standard of living is unaffected, actual price inflation can be happily ignored.
If there were any monetarists left, they would remind us that there is no difference between inflation in consumer prices and inflation in asset prices - they are both caused by an increase in the money supply. However, if every tax and policy incentive encourages people to inflate asset prices and not consumer prices, then that is where the inflation created by QE will go. Which is, unfortunately, exactly the problem that caused the GFC.
Star Wars: Episode IX director Colin Trevorrow quits
http://news.sky.com/story/star-wars-episode-ix-director-colin-trevorrow-quits-11022682
https://twitter.com/rafaelbehr/status/905181490019000320
That probably includes the story of the “golden shower”, which I doubt actually happened but the suggestion it might have done will upset a lot of conservative Americans who voted for Trump.
It is amusing that the powers are fine when wielded by the EU, but as soon as the democratically-elected UK government has them it is an utter disaster.
The Moggasm is more endogenous. Brexiteers are casting around to try to find someone who still believes in it to lead the faltering campaign. May's three Brexiteers have the competence and sense of imminent defeat of the French Third Republic in 1940.
(As an example let's say someone has surplus wealth of £1,000 that they don't need to convert into cash for any spending purposes.
It generates an income of £50 per year.
Then prices for investment assets triple, so the nominal value of their assets is £3,000. But it still only generates £50 a year of income and, if they sell it, they can only buy the same number of Amazon shares as before.
If they still don't need cash are they, in any practical sense, any richer?
The EU has never had the powers the Brexit bill gives ministers whose manifesto was rejected by the majority of voters at the last election.
Gove’s standing was only ever to keep Boris out anyway, and a bloody good job he did of it too!
Hmm. Might be worth a look anyway.
https://twitter.com/NickJTimothy/status/905113562514948097
As for your second point, a majority of votes isn't a requisite.
(is that a compliment or an insult, btw?
Though he also says as these are free votes the law would not change with him as PM
There are various ways to tackle this. One amendment being mooted is:
Scope of delegated powers
Any power to make, confirm or approve subordinate legislation conferred or modified under this Act and its Schedules must be used, and may only be used, insofar as is necessary—
(a) to ensure that retained EU law continues to operate with equivalent scope, purpose and effect following the United Kingdom’s exit from the EU; or
(b) for the purposes of implementing any obligations of the United Kingdom arising from the withdrawal agreement.
- with a Committee established to identify any changes that need scrutiny. Such a committee would probably have a government majority of 1, which would enable them to nod through anything routine but flag up anything that needs discussion. That seems a constructive approach to me, though it doesn't cope with deliberate or accidental omission.
Also looking at McLaren to score points in Singapore.
It takes two to negotiate.
If the EU have decided their future is at stake, and they may as well fight like a trapped rat, I'd still put my money on the farmer with the gun.
We'll just have to say to our negotiators ... No more Mr Nice Guy
Am I the only one here (apart from @Charles who may have had a hand in it) who thinks the civil partnership was a very elegant solution?
Can't we have some proper professional grown-ups and not nutters or incompetents?
Him saying he wants free votes on it insinuates he wants the option of removing those rights if he was PM
It really has got beyond a joke now. I am flicking though Wilson's autobiography. When you look at the talent and administrative abilities of his Cabinet compared to today's pols - it is very startling.
Even Russia, though i guess having a dictator in all but name helps
It's amazing how few Leavers understand how these things work - even those who have operated at the heart of government.
I'm sure other people had the same idea so - at best - I was one voice among many
He's said the law wouldn't change under him.
One of the great positives of the English legal system is that they were charged with murder rather than terrorism, as they were caught literally red handed
I'd suggest that it be an appointed committee of both houses as it is supposed to be practical. Worst outcome would be if it became politicised along Leave/Remain lines
Well done, Mr 619. you're finally seeing sense. And don't forget the Remainers, they don't like it up 'em.
Whether that makes him fit to be PM, or hold similar high office is another matter.