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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The BES data that appears to show the impact of the CON manife
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The BES data that appears to show the impact of the CON manifesto/dementia tax and TMay skipping the debate
“Towards the end of the questionnaire, we asked our respondents a new question that we asked for the first time in wave 12: ‘has anything happened in the last few days that has changed your view of any of the main political parties?’ Most respondents had clearly made up their minds about the parties well in advance of the election, with only 13% answering ‘yes’ over the whole of the campaign, though as the graph below shows, this proportion increased markedly over the course of the campaign, starting out at about 7% in the first week before increasing to an average of about 15% for the final weeks of the campaign.
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There's not a single thing I can see (OK having viewed the soundcloud animating in slo-mo a few times there's a small "green" in there somewhere) relating to other parties. Just shows how dominant the Tory and Labour messages were, and how the smaller parties struggled to get a hearing.
https://order-order.com/2017/08/02/shadow-transport-spokesman-car-crash-interview/
*according to Jez
If they do want to move, on what basis is that a matter for us to pay?
It might be that this is a promise to be discarded, to show compromise. However, as Cameron (and Goldsmith) discovered, sometimes you're forced to make good on a promise that ought not have been made, and that can have rather poor consequences.
On a happier note, a little Kubica video. I think we may well see him in F1 again. http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/formula1/40803460
https://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=James+4:4
You adulterous people, don’t you know that friendship with the world means enmity against God? Therefore, anyone who chooses to be a friend of the world becomes an enemy of God.
We, the British, have told them to leave,. AIUI the EMA doesn’t want to leave, but, as an EU agency it has to be in an EU country.
We told them to go, so we have to pick up the tab.
One might say that the EU's behaviour is more like the behaviour of the wife in McCartney v McCartney, who had the most amazing sense of self-entitlement to her husband's very substantial wealth that the judge had ever seen.
There's a rather obvious answer (just grandfather in having the EMA in a non-EU country until the lease is up). But it does mean using common sense rather than the EU's gimpish bureaucratic approach.
The idea that the law applying equally to all the people in a country is a problem is a deranged and perverse perspective.
If the EU has a sensible proposal, we should consider it (or offer our own). If they expect us to pay them half a billion quid because they're hamstrung by their own stupid bureaucracy we should invite them to go forth and multiply.
A genuinely good piece of outside the box thinking from @williamglenn though, and the sort of thing we should be happy to go along with as part of the deal.
Which is what the comment about having and eating cake was getting at.
All if it helps grease the wheels of an overall sensible deal, and once outside the office they abide buy our law. If they want squillions because they fouled up the lease or never considered article 50 well that should be their problem per se, but again it's all in the pile to be negotiated.
There's nothing to prevent them from finding an assignee for the lease, in any case.
But I'm quite pragmatic about the deal, I think that for all the bluster coming from those involved and the media, something acceptable to the majority will be worked out in the end. It's in no-one's best interest for no deal to get done. In the best traditions of EU negotiations, it will probably get agreed at 3am after a 96 hour meeting sometime in March 2019.
It isn't - it's one of hundreds, and the time required to sort out this stuff is limited.
Our government doesn't seem to have thought out (or even given any thought to) any overarching principles which might facilitate such agreements ahead of the negotiations, so the likelihood of getting sensible deals on more than a proportion of such issues is slim.
was their any collusion between the french officials and the drug company? the trial result - brain damage and deaths of the human guinea pigs
Lando Norris - possibly the son of Star Wars fans ?
(Seems a pretty decent pilot.)
I have noticed the French chap, it is he, Leclerc!
Edited extra bit: don't normally mention my own tweets, but this is slightly relevant to that jest: https://twitter.com/MorrisF1/status/885191306913468416
But, surely, the answer is to find an assignee for the lease, rather than pay such an extortionate sum to exercise a break.
In my day, prescription reading carried a small, but essential, number of marks in one of our final exams.
Will they be struck out, because of the allied agreements with Germany (made to avoid the mistakes of the 1920s), or will they be seen not to have been in a position to agree to the terms of the end of the war and therefore still able to mount their own claim for reparations? Legally intriguing.
I brung you a massage: Morris Duncer seems have to groat sense of heemour.
See a piece in yesterday’s Guardian: https://www.theguardian.com/travel/2017/jul/31/why-brits-got-the-bug-for-holiday-sickness-scams?CMP=fb_gu
Please. Make it stop.
In a few years the value of trade with the EU will drop away. If we dont want chlorinated chicken from America then I guess we will no longer accept salmonella in eggs from the EU - https://www.egginfo.co.uk/news/new-eu-salmonella-report-good-news-uk-eggs. Will we still want food from Denmark and Holland, who don't meet current EU farming standards let alone matching ours?
I don't think it is worth paying these enormous demands in the hope of influencing the EU. If we do, will other countries start presenting bills for free trade?
I wonder what his odds are for a future world championship ?
If he does turn out to be *really* good, he'll get the car, eventually.
The loss of the EMA is a much bigger loss than haggling over who pays for the rest of the lease on the building. It's the centre of some very lucrative networks from which the UK has benefitted enormously. It is no wonder that other countries are already getting their elbows ready for the tussle to pick up this valuable plum that we are simply giving away.
1. The evacuation was not carbon neutral.
2.The personnel used were overwhelmingly white and male. What was the Ministry diversity and equality co-ordinator thinking of?
3. There is no evidence of a Health and Safety risk evaluation.
4.Why were not the ships diverted to Calais to rescue asylum seekers and economic migrants as a higher priority?
Alonso got his championship winning car(s); that he didn't win more titles is down to some really bad decisions.
In the same way Verstappen (if he can grow up a bit) will almost certainly get a winning car at some point - it's no secret that Mercedes are interested in signing him, for example.
Betting on random teenagers to be WC in the future is fraught with difficulty, we all thought the same of Jolyon Palmer a few seasons ago.
https://www.fnlondon.com/articles/ken-clarke-for-prime-minister-20170802
There are benefits from having the EMA in the UK though, and it was one of the strengths of the EEA solution that we might keep it for a number of years - but due to other factors EEA can only be applied now as a shadow interim agreement, and whatever we had planned the EMA would be leaving eventually anyway
As a Remainer I have to say this looks a bit pathetic and embarassing from the European Commission...
68% of EU citizens surveyed feel that they are EU citizens ?!
I see they didn't major on "40% of Europeans have a positive image of the EU (+5 points since autumn 2016)" But I guess that minority will increase a bit once they have got rid of the UK!
the german car industry has decided nohing serious needs to be done to fix their defective diesel engines
but they did say theyd offer a discount on defective diesel cars so germans could buy another defective diesel car
VW shares closed up
http://www.faz.net/aktuell/wirtschaft/diesel-affaere/fuenf-millionen-diesel-sollen-mit-neuer-software-sauberer-werden-15133606.html
BUT
There's a lot of issues still to be resolved, as was discussed on here a week or two ago. Charging infrastructure on main roads is probably the most urgent, followed by the same in areas of street parking in London and other major cities. There's also a lot of government policy to consider, such as power station capacity planning and massively falling tax revenues from regular cars (£50bn in fuel duty and VED last year, that's 10p on income tax if it disappears).