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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The betting edges a notch from Trump and now its a 51% chance
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The betting edges a notch from Trump and now its a 51% chance that he won’t serve the full 4 year term
It is now 51% chance on Betfair that Trump will not serve a full term as President pic.twitter.com/sjK2z3sp3F
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https://twitter.com/davidschneider/status/892291363726925824
thats about it
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-40793887
This is very worrying. Vox have a video about its impact in the us and just how dangerous it is. An absolute tiny amount can result in an overdose.
You've been away just under 4 weeks.
Not that I would do anything like that.
But you shouldn't bet more than you can afford to lose, and right now I can't afford to lose anything
Or indeed tie anything up
But ye Trump to stay is good value I think.
The real economy is different from the stock markets.
The conversation is mostly Brexit, Brexit, Brexit with occasional divergence to house prices and Trump. The best bits were Dunkirk, the new female Doctor Who and which Hans Zimmer soundtrack is the best.
If you are still thinking of taking some, remember it also causes dry mouth.
Back to the present, today I did the Spa Valley Railway straddling the Kent/Sussex border, my first bit of new track since I did Windermere on 16th June.
...and then they had World War One. They weren't so stupid after that.
Of course, if you're wrong about its impact, you are never likely to hear the end of it!
Worth noting also that Emerson's paen to war was delivered before the horrors of the US civil war, and of course the before the two World Wars. He had never experienced war (nor even seen its effects on TV!). I very much doubt he'd have been so positive if he had seen the effects of industrialised war.
[smug mode on]
(11th July 2017 "Flights between the UK and the European Union will be cancelled for months after Brexit, unless replacements for EU airline agreements are struck before Britain leaves the bloc, Ryanair boss Michael O’Leary told the European Parliament yesterday.")
BTW: 528491
However, given the nature of the man and the shenanhigans we have seen so far, I can't help but think that at some point over the next two years we will see prices lower than the current 4.3 for 2018 and 6.4 for 2019 departure. So for me, the current value is betting on those two years as a trading opportunity
Army recruitment tends to be harder when there are no wars to fight too.
I saw one figure for American soldiers in World War Two that only a quarter ever experienced combat. For a lot of the rest, I bet it was a steady job after the Depression, as well as a chance to get out of Little Town, Iowa and see the world. In fact, I had two great-uncles actually on the front lines in France and Italy who said everything after the army did seem dull.
http://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/the-proms-embroiled-in-brexit-row-as-concertgoers-eu-flags-are-banned-a3601136.html
It's headquartered in Switzerland, and has 56 members from all over the world
Oh, and Eurovision did a very rapid u turn on the Welsh flag when it was pointed out how daft it was being. Sadly, Leavers aren't quite so nimble.
Is your attitude that the BBC not be able to report stories about potential problems which need to be sorted out prior to Brexit without inviting on a random cheerleader for 'balance' ?
Or perhaps you know of an airline boss who would have been happy to go on and say that they are entirely unconcerned about this ?
Both organisations were being risible.