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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight’s cartoon on the crazy staff changes in the Trump White House
Just trying to keep up with the ins and out in the Trump White House is becoming a huge challenge. In the past fortnight we’ve seen the exits Sean Spicer, the former press secretary, and Reince Priebus, the first chief of staff. Tonight’s news is that the President has removed Anthony Scaramucci from his Communications Director role after he’d served for just ten days.
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Long may it continue!
I suppose he has already sacked his wife and brought in a replacement - more than once.
I know it was mentioned a day or so ago (apols, I can't remember by whom) but if you haven't read it, this Spectator article is a good one.
https://www.spectator.co.uk/2017/07/the-myth-of-britains-decline/
It is well written and makes a strong argument against Brexit pessimism, which for a Remainer like me is interesting to read. It's (relatively) understated approach carries more power which I feel is a lesson for all of us with strong views either side of the political or Brexit divide.
Fist day? Sounds a bit dodgy ?!
None of the above are especially unlikely.
I'm stockpiling baked beans and fresh water.
Doesn't seem very hard to me.
I must be the luckiest cricket fan in the world. I was at Old Trafford in 1995 when Dominic Cork got a hat-trick against the West Indies, and I was at the Oval today when Moeen Ali got another one.
* It downplays things that contradict it ("...temporary dominance in manufacturing during the mid-19th century. This was a brief and unique episode..."),
* Ad hominems like crazy ("Since the 1880s, pessimists have always tended...")
* Exaggerates ("...We will be comparable, declinists scoff, to Albania or North Korea...")
* Submits contentious points as axioms ("...The recent overdue depreciation of an overvalued pound...")
* Makes some debatable assertions (Germany is an *ancient* rival?)
If you're going to talk about decline or otherwise, you need to build some sort of definition of decline, then build an index of power, then track it over time. He (Robert Tombs) talks a lot, but I'd've killed for a couple of graphs.
- no hat-tricks in the 1940s
- 3 hat-tricks in the 1950s
- 2 hat-tricks in the 1960s
- 1 hat-trick in the 1970s
- 2 hat-tricks in the 1980s (they were within a fortnight of each other - coincidentally both split over two innings, the first two times this happened in Tests)
- 7 hat-tricks in the 1990s (five in 1999, as many as there had been from 1960 to 1993 inclusive and the most there has ever been in one year)
- 11 hat-tricks in the 2000s
- 6 hat-tricks in the 2010s so far
They have jumped up from about two per decade, to almost (on average) annual occurrences, but you're still a very lucky man!
How many people have seen multiple instances of out for handling the ball? That's only happened seven times in Tests, three in ODIs, and that total is likely to be static since the rule is being abolished from October (it will be merged with "obstructed the ball", which has happened only once in Tests so rarer still!).
"it’s doubtful whether the empire was a source of wealth or power to Britain. Overall, it cost more than it brought in, especially after Britain turned to universal free trade in the 1840s, and colonies ceased to be an exclusive economic domain...."
The COMMMITTEE for the RELIEF of EXCLUDED, EXPENDABLE PUTINISTS
How PBers can donate: simply find the nearest hedge . . . and make your deposite in the fund!
Cheers,
Sea Shanty Irish
Having looked into the figures, Cricinfo records that historically only about 20% of players have batted left-handed (I'd expected it to be quite a bit more), in which case in the 43 hat-tricks recorded so far, you might expect - subject to various probabilistic assumptions - only 0.2³ × 43 = 0.344 to be all-leftie. So my intuition was quite wrong, we wouldn't have expected any by this stage, and in fact in the long-run expected less than 1% of hat-tricks to contains three LHBs. This puts the rarity of Moeen's accomplishment into perspective.
Still, he's incredibly lucky that Obamacare was not repealed. It would have massacred his supporters in the rust belt.
Sadly, the big sports story in USA right now is neither your hat tricks nor head bangers, but rather allegations that Pete Rose was guilty of statutory rape. Which MAY make him ineligible for Trumpski admin post until AFTER the Kremlin has cleared his pardon. Hard luck for him that he didn't play ice hockey!
Does the circus entertain you all?
Nearly half of all Dundee SNP councillors have second jobs working for other SNP politicians
https://www.thecourier.co.uk/fp/news/478781/line-to-come-from-snp-maybe-nearly-half-of-all-dundee-snp-councillors-have-second-jobs-working-for-other-snp-politicians/?utm_source=twitter
https://rwbblog.blogspot.co.id/2017/07/the-great-waspi-cover-up-part-3-not-in.html
The Mail reports: Just when Anthony Scaramucci's Monday didn't seem like it could get any worse, the ousted White House communications director was killed off by his alma mater.
In its new directory, Harvard Law School added an asterisk to Scaramucci's name, politely signalling that he had died since the school's last directory was made in 2011.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4747810/Scaramucci-listed-dead-Harvard-Law-alumni-directort.html
http://www.politico.com/story/2017/07/31/kelly-scaramucci-trump-chaos-241183
I have little doubt he can deal effectively with the big egos in the White House (Scaramucci being escorted from the building by security will have had a salutary effect) - all except one.
Donald Trump does not do discipline, and the sight of someone else 'in charge' of the White House is eventually going to rankle. The moment he stops seeing Kelly as a complete subordinate, he's likely to be gone.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-dictated-sons-misleading-statement-on-meeting-with-russian-lawyer/2017/07/31/04c94f96-73ae-11e7-8f39-eeb7d3a2d304_story.html
Is this where it turns into Watergate?
Just went to the main site, as usual, and when I was doing something else it redirected me to some 'competition winner' page (I think it must have been some sort of advert wankery). Did a quick virus scan and it looks clean, but I really despise that sort of nonsense (had auto-playing audio too).
Meanwhile the German car scandal deepens with more accusations the German government hid the truth about diesel emissions so its car makers could sell diesel engines
http://www.faz.net/aktuell/feuilleton/medien/expertentweets-zur-automafia-benebelt-vom-diesel-15130491.html
In excess of 100,000 Europeans annually will have suffered a premature death because of diesel fumes with health care costs in the UK estimated at up to £3bn
The EU is doing nothing
At what point does this hit mainstream politics ?
http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/07/31/my-party-is-in-denial-about-donald-trump-215442
The fuss over not shaking the disabled boys hand is symbolic. It turns out he already had shaken the lad's hand, and the boy didn't want his hand shaken anyway. J.K.Rowling apologised to the family for her reaction, but refused to apologise to Trump ... because he was Trump. Nice objectivity.
He despises the MSM and they despise him. Both sides are spoilt children.
It does sound like a major scandal, but, as we saw with Osborne on a yacht, sometimes nonsense gets headlines and sometimes serious stuff does not.
That does of course make the scandal far worse (says the diesel driver) but remember, that many people a year died from smoking in the UK alone in the early 1980s (including passive smoking) and there was no concerted action until less than 15 years ago, which even then was fiercely opposed.
People don't always react the way you expect them to, or even the way they should do.
Publishing a book - now what might that mean... ?
Shame that we already have a President Flake.
Brexit set to raise UK banks’ costs 4% and capital needs 30% and see the loss of 40,000 jobs
Since this is an EU matter the silence from Brussels is deafening
"Hearts are not Trumps."
LOL
We're no longer opening an office in Paris because of Brexit.
We're opening one in Germany instead.
Hurrah for hurrah.
Disclosure - I drive a diesel car. Not a German one, though!
Indeed, campaigns to reduce speed limits like that by the former Chief Constable of North Wales on the A55 are often bitterly resented (admittedly in my experience slow driving is at least as dangerous as fast driving on some roads).
Edited extra bit: also, mail for you.
There was strong evidence about the toxicity of small diesel particulates years ago, but the politicians were too busy burnishing their green credentials ... petrol engines produce more carbon dioxide than diesel - encourage diesel. They can only have one scientific fact in their minds at a time.
I drive a diesel too - though not very much and most of the mileage is down out of towns and cities.
Though I did like my one Italian car I bought nearly a decade ago.
Yesterday I mentioned the BSE scandal which showed the EU in a very unflattering light. But a much bigger and longer running scandal was that for years the Dutch and Danish flagrantly breached animal welfare standards on pigs and calves for bacon and veal, keeping them in illegal cages because it was cheap. So naturally, they undercut those who were obeying the law - like the British - and damaged their home industry (in the case of veal, beyond repair, in pork, just very badly).
Now they have more or less cornered the market, they are slowly improving their standards - and raising their prices. All with at the very least the passive connivance of the EU.
When Jeremy Corbyn criticises the EU for being in hock to business, I have to admit I think he has a point - and that is something I seldom say about him.
That doesn't mean it doesn't do a lot of good too, but it does make the attempts of its more lunatic fringe of admirers, like that pompous crook Verhofstadt or the drink-sodden Juncker to pass it off as an unmitigated good both dishonest and extremely aggravating.
If that's the case then, despite everything appearing clean I *might* have a problem. *sighs*
Of course. After two months of endless shit luck, the 1st of August suggests it might be three in a row. Marvellous.
On a serious note, Mr Dancer, I hope your book sales are doing well.
I also like the German people.
Replied to you.
https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/892285141183344640
What should happen is prison for those involved.
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2017/07/170717110429.htm
So where do we go from here?
You will doubtless be pleased to hear I have work to do. Have a good morning!
That said, it is true that older diesel cars do pollute more than gasoline cars, because they don't have DPFs, and diesel cars in general emit far more nitrogen oxides, which cause smog and acid rain, the study also noted.
The rush to get everyone over to diesels was driven by a concern for global warming at the expense of air quality.