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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » At last! Mr. Trump shakes hands with a leader who has worse leader ratings than he does – Mrs. May
One of the most worrying features for Mrs. May following her failed GE17 gamble and her determination to stay in the job has been the sharp move downwards in her leader ratings. Whether the format has been about favourability, satisfaction, approval or doing well/badly she has seen a very sharp reversal since June 8th.
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http://hastheresamayresignedyet.com
Not updated in nigh on a month.....
Meanwhile, at the G20:
http://www.thepoke.co.uk/2017/07/08/donald-trump-really-said-angela-merkel/
Oh well, two years of 'Theresa May is Rubbish.com' it is then.
I expect you and TSE will enjoy yourselves, at least.....
Shush! Theresa May is Rubbish Theresa May is Rubbish Theresa May is Rubbish Theresa May is Rubbish Theresa May is Rubbish Theresa May is Rubbish Theresa May is Rubbish Theresa May is Rubbish Theresa May is Rubbish Theresa May is Rubbish Theresa May is Rubbish Theresa May is Rubbish............
As Corbyn fans might one day discover.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/jul/08/after-andrew-tyrie-race-next-commons-inquisitor-general-treasury-select-committee
Get over it.
https://twitter.com/JournoStephen/status/883676624075542529
Although Vince didn’t cover himself with glory over Royal Mail privatisation. Which he shouldn’t have agreed to anyway!
Theresa May became PM a year ago to near universal acclaim. She was apparently the only grown up left standing whose reputation had not been destroyed by the disastrous referendum. Even those who held no special brief for her - George Osborne included - were saying she was the right, indeed only, choice to be PM. She must have had positive qualities (and luck) to have carried her as far as she had come. It is shallow and stupid to conclude that she is just "rubbish".
What has happened illustrates that the premiership is an order of magnitude leap from any other job in cabinet. Events, in Macmillan's immortal phrase, will seek out the individual's peculiar weaknesses and these will be the cause of his or her downfall. May was cold, controlling uncommunicative and unstrategic, Cameron was complacent and arrogamt, Brown an anti-social control freak, Blair a case of a messiah complex ... All of us must expect to be be found out if tested severly enough.
Mrs May is not uniquely bad but she was tested early, gave in to temptation and suffered an especially severe fall.
The issue is not that May is terrible - it is that the anti-Brexit crowd realise that the easiest way to avoid Brexit is if she can somehow be replaced with a remainer. OK, we get it, you don't like hard Brexit. But at the moment it is wish-fulfilment masquerading as analysis.
F1: my plan to wait for the classified markets on Ladbrokes didn't work, due to them still not appearing.
I can only imagine that a lot of people spotted the Vettel 8, Bottas 7, Perez 5 mistakes from last race and they're leaving them off for now, at least.
Bit frustrated, but there we are.
I'd contend that it was just common sense.
She's a broken reed. Only the absence of an obvious successor is keeping her in place.
I know that it's all about expectations on this site, but it isn't like that in the real world. This is a bit of a problem for the Tories. They think their leader is rubbish but she's just racked up more votes than any Tory leader in over 25 years. It would only make sense for someone to overthrow her if they had the guts to have another election in the autumn.
And for those reasons Hammond won't be PM.
This ought to be the moment when the opposition exposes a chaotic and purblind government. If Corbyn’s decision to go absent without leave during the referendum campaign did not convince you he wanted out of the EU because it stood in the way of the creation of socialism in one country, surely the feebleness of Labour opposition’s will convince you that no fight back is coming. Labour pretends with true Johnsonian dishonesty it can have its EU cake and eat it. It refuses to support leaving the EU but staying in the single market, because the great anti-racist party wants to bar EU migrants. Like May, it is not telling its anti-immigrant supporters the truth that leaving the single market will hit manufacturing workers the hardest and crush the aspirations of the young.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/jul/09/brexit-salvations-illusory
Home Secretary is mostly about stopping bad things happen so her need to control helped her there
Betting PostF1: offered two (or three, depending how you count things) tips on an intriguingly poised race in Austria. Will it be springtime for Verstappen, and winter for Massa and Stroll?
http://enormo-haddock.blogspot.co.uk/2017/07/austria-pre-race-2017.html
Labour manifesto - no one will be worse off, and the young/middle-aged will be better off. The fat cats take all the cream. We'll take some back
Tory manifesto - we're going to make you worse off, especially the old gits. The fat cats need their cream
Neither of these assertions was seriously challenged.
Corbyn is a friend of terrorists? Oh, that was years ago, long before the young 'uns were born. He's a Trot? Yeah, but that has a rebellious ring to it.
May is a boring robot who can't think on her feet? That came over very well, and she's a frit robot who runs from a challenge.
Only the privileged old 'uns voted Tory, the generation that grew up living in luxury.
On that basis, it's a small miracle that they won most seats. When Jezza can't win with a perfect storm like that, he'll never be PM.
Brexit?
Grammar schools?
Living wage?
Immigration?
Fox hunting?
They have no principles, May is their ideal leader.
I reckon a new leadership contest is less risky, but no one (except perhaps JRM) wants to be holding the poisoned chalice of Brexit.
A couple of things I'd add - she seems also to display pretty awful judgment when she finally gets around to making a decision, and her people skills are severely lacking.
Apart from all of that, she's fine....
After London Bridge the police were the heroes, and those videos of police complaining of cuts were viral.
Be careful who you make enemies of on the way up, you will meet them again on the way down.
However, she seems to be a decent person, unlike the toffs whom she succeeded, and a competent PM. She dealt correctly with the slimy GO. She has taken a sensible basic approach to achieve a proper Brexit, which requires the UK to be out of the single market and customs union, as the Labour party have agreed. She is though somewhat naive in expecting the EU27 to negotiate a fair deal.
I hope that she stays for 2 years until Brexit is delivered. The 2nd half of 2019 is the right time for a change in Tory leadership.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DEPndV9XUAAlnTp.jpg
(Message to picture ed-great photo)
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/07/09/us-want-armed-immigration-officers-british-airports-radical2/
"I promise you, the vetting will be so extreme..."
The impact that a lack of a majority may have on Brexit could have an impact, but most people don't really care. They just want to government to do what ever the government does and stop bothering them. They'll think about it again in 5 years time.
It's why the polls aren't really moving. At the moment, 40%+ think Theresa May is a bit meh, but better than the alternative. And a larger percentage say that Corbyn is not so bad/like the wish-fulfilling promises he makes/like to back a perceived "winner".
There is no reason for anything to change until the narrative does
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-4678616/DAN-HODGES-Moderates-pointless-thanks-Corbyn-s-bullies.html
The big change after the GE is at least the possibility of a route to no Brexit, as I have been arguing for some time. The LibDems are sufficiently typecast on Brexit that it doesn't do any harm for Vince to come out ahead of the curve.
* The right to live your life with a minimum of state interference
* An excellent education - the foundation of life
* Equality of opportunity - the government should smooth the pathway so that everyone can achieve the maximum they are capable of without any artificial barriers blocking their way
* Investment in infrastructure
* A safety net to help support those for whom something goes wrong (whether their fault or not) but with a focus to getting people back on their feet rather than perpetual handouts
* A prudent state; we have no right to burden from future generations