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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Euro2014 betting moves see UKIP out to evens and CON in to

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  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,845
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    ICM Guardian

    Lab 35 -1
    Con 32 -4
    LD 14 +1
    UKIP 10 +3
    Others 7 +1

    That looks like a pretty realistic snapshot. I very much like the Lab/LD combined score.

    SeanT is right about Labour, though. If that number falls further it will be very significant, even if Labour retains its lead. When was the last time ICM had Labour below 35?

    In May of this year Labour were on 34, once. But the last time ICM had them consistently below 35 was back in 2010, just after the election. The leisurely rise and fall of Labour's support since 2010 is obvious, surely, even to the afflicted.
    January 2012 ICM had Con 40 Lab 35
    Can you actually read, you lumbering halfwit? I said CONSISTENTLY.
    Come on Sean, you can do better than 'lumbering halfwit'. I mean, that's just tame.

    Or are you saving your good ammunition for better targets?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    I do hope Southam Observer will resist (in future) the temptation to give us the benefit of his wisdom about the England Cricket team. In other words I hope he will STFU.

    Why? The England bowlers have proved, once again, what I have consistently said about them: they are a top rate attack. They did the business with the ball and also added 100 or so runs with the bat this morning. If only our batting unit inspired such confidence; though now the pressure is off, it could be a runfest at the Oval. However, an Ashes win is an Ashes win. And it feels sooo good!!!

    On a difficult pitch for batting, Bell scored a fantastic century and Broad took six wickets in an innings..... One great batting performance and one great bowling performance...Why would anyone say that it was the bowlers that won it rather than a team effort, other than to stick to a narrative they had started?

  • MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    ICM Guardian

    Lab 35 -1
    Con 32 -4
    LD 14 +1
    UKIP 10 +3
    Others 7 +1

    That looks like a pretty realistic snapshot. I very much like the Lab/LD combined score.

    SeanT is right about Labour, though. If that number falls further it will be very significant, even if Labour retains its lead. When was the last time ICM had Labour below 35?

    In May of this year Labour were on 34, once. But the last time ICM had them consistently below 35 was back in 2010, just after the election. The leisurely rise and fall of Labour's support since 2010 is obvious, surely, even to the afflicted.
    January 2012 ICM had Con 40 Lab 35
    Can you actually read, you lumbering halfwit? I said CONSISTENTLY.
    And how does Yougov's Labour Sunday figure of 41% which you carefully neglected to post about fit in with your theory .
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