politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A prolonged suspension of the campaign at this critical stage is bad for democracy
We are just two weeks and two days from the General Election and next week, with the Spring bank holiday, sees large numbers, particularly parents of school age children, going away.
For ALL the politicians. Labour in particular has had a ridiculously easy ride so far, I expect when the whistle blows to restart the campaign that'll end sharpish.
Yep. Keep Calm & Carry on. I'm sure the LotO attitude to terrorists and terrorism warrants scrutiny (much as some would prefer not to)....Meanwhile we need to have a chat with the cousins about their leaking to the US media.....
Fpt Well I'm back from having a loop recorder fitted this morning. Unsurprisingly the talk at the NNUH was all about last night's events. Just from reading this site and conversations there, the anger is palpable. It's not a sullen acceptance of the tragedy of evil it's a genuine anger that is going I think to now boil over. The country, the west, is at the point of no return and collectively saying enough. It's probably an unstoppable rage. Electorally it will of course have an effect. A dramatic one. Obviously some hold or have held positions that the majority will not be able to stomach. It is their right to hold those views, and our right to vote against them should we see fit.
For ALL the politicians. Labour in particular has had a ridiculously easy ride so far, I expect when the whistle blows to restart the campaign that'll end sharpish.
IFS were due to publish their costings this morning.
On the question of politics I suspect that even if this atrocity doesn't sway any votes the narrative will be that it has done.
Logic being that the polls released recently showing a Labour surge showed it coming from non-voters. Also the Tory wobble was coming to an end as the u-turn had happened. If as was predicted by many here before the attack Labour closing the gap was a polling error ... or as has normally happened there was a pro-Labour polling error again anyway ... then there will be a change between the polls last weekend and the final results. Even if not a vote is different due to last night.
But last night's atrocity will be a peg on which to blame any errors, to say it caused a swing. It will also be a peg for the left to blame any eventual defeat on (like many blame Britain winning the Falklands war still for the Tories winning 83).
Sensible to leave the Thursday and Friday Neil interviews as they are, and shunt Nuttall and whoever into next week. Just so long as we can all enjoy half an hour with Leanne via BBC Wales iPlayer...
It's barely been 12 hours since the attack, so anybody suggesting that the as yet very brief pause in the campaign is detrimental to our democracy needs to gain some perspective.
The campaign will resume before too long, but reserve and contemplation is called for in the immediate aftermath. Many nations would go much further and enter into a formal period of national mourning at a time such as this.
I agree with the header - enough time to express grief and support and mourn the victims, not a minute on behalf of the person / people who did this and their cause. Our democracy doesn't belong to them. The greatest tribute to those who've been killed and injured would be to put all the focus on honouring them, and to ignore completely the perpetrator.
I'd maybe restart tomorrow. We're already arguing the betting implications.
It's a fucking horrible tragedy - and I think it will affect us quite a lot, because of all the images and videos, and the youth of the victims - but we carry on, after a proper day or two of mourning.
Trouble is tomorrow the papers will be full of this story, given it happened after they went to press last night.
Yeah, I think campaigning and some semblance of normality needs to start as soon as possible. We need to show that tragiedies like these will not affect our way of life.
Mirror wrote a rather shall we say awkward article a few hours ago...Basically saying roger Moore said he couldn't do any campaigning for the Tories during this GE and the mirror put it down to him drawing the line at supporting dictator may.
Just from reading this site and conversations there, the anger is palpable. It's not a sullen acceptance of the tragedy of evil it's a genuine anger that is going I think to now boil over. The country, the west, is at the point of no return and collectively saying enough.
I was surprised to see something this stark from Spiked:
After the terror, the platitudes. And the hashtags. And the candlelit vigils. And they always have the same message: ‘Be unified. Feel love. Don’t give in to hate.’ The banalities roll off the national tongue. Vapidity abounds. A shallow fetishisation of ‘togetherness’ takes the place of any articulation of what we should be together for – and against...
It is becoming clear that the top-down promotion of a hollow ‘togetherness’ in response to terrorism is about cultivating passivity. It is about suppressing strong public feeling. It’s about reducing us to a line of mourners whose only job is to weep for our fellow citizens, not ask why they died, or rage against their dying...
They want us passive, empathetic, upset, not angry, active, questioning. They prefer us as a lonely crowd of dutiful, disconnected mourners rather than a real collective of citizens demanding to know why our fellow citizens died and how we might prevent others from dying. We should stop playing the role they’ve allotted us...
If the massacre of children and their parents on a fun night out doesn’t make you feel rage, nothing will. The terrorist has defeated you. You are dead already.
I'd maybe restart tomorrow. We're already arguing the betting implications.
It's a fucking horrible tragedy - and I think it will affect us quite a lot, because of all the images and videos, and the youth of the victims - but we carry on, after a proper day or two of mourning.
Trouble is tomorrow the papers will be full of this story, given it happened after they went to press last night.
Even if it had been before they went to press they'd have had initial trauma pics yesterday, pics of the named victims published by the families today. There's lots of sharing of that picture of the 8 year old and the 15 year old who'd had a pic with Ariana going around and I'd be amazed if that or one like that is not on the front page of at least one paper.
Mirror wrote a rather shall we say awkward article a few hours ago...Basically saying roger Moore said he couldn't do any campaigning for the Tories during this GE and the mirror put it down to him drawing the line at supporting dictator may.
Sir Roger Moore has shared the screen with a lot of megalomaniac characters, but even he draws the line at Theresa May.
The Heckler can reveal the PM – noticeably short of cool celebrity fans – left the James Bond star unstirred when she first had aides approach him.
The campaign will resume before too long, but reserve and contemplation is called for in the immediate aftermath. Many nations would go much further and enter into a formal period of national mourning at a time such as this.
"My dear Norfolk, this isn't Spain. This is England!"
I'd maybe restart tomorrow. We're already arguing the betting implications.
It's a fucking horrible tragedy - and I think it will affect us quite a lot, because of all the images and videos, and the youth of the victims - but we carry on, after a proper day or two of mourning.
Trouble is tomorrow the papers will be full of this story, given it happened after they went to press last night.
The papers are gonna be full of this for weeks. People are still missing. Horrifying stories and videos and pictures will emerge. Some of the injured will probably die.
It's only just begun, it's not going to stop by Thursday. So, we have to crack on with our election, even as we rage and grieve.
Yeah, that's a fair point. Tomorrow just feels too soon.
Mirror wrote a rather shall we say awkward article a few hours ago...Basically saying roger Moore said he couldn't do any campaigning for the Tories during this GE and the mirror put it down to him drawing the line at supporting dictator may.
Yuk, what a sick rag of a paper – and now, £28million poorer after its own hacking scandal.
Mirror wrote a rather shall we say awkward article a few hours ago...Basically saying roger Moore said he couldn't do any campaigning for the Tories during this GE and the mirror put it down to him drawing the line at supporting dictator may.
Sir Roger Moore has shared the screen with a lot of megalomaniac characters, but even he draws the line at Theresa May.
The Heckler can reveal the PM – noticeably short of cool celebrity fans – left the James Bond star unstirred when she first had aides approach him.
I'd maybe restart tomorrow. We're already arguing the betting implications.
It's a fucking horrible tragedy, and a barbaric crime - and I think it will affect us quite a lot, because of all the images and videos, and the youth of the victims - but we carry on, after a proper day or two of mourning.
How long will the Evening Standard give it before trolling of the Conservatives recommences? Corbyn needs a hand more than ever
Really? Heart in the right place no doubt, but they didn't stop people shopping in the Arndale Centre only because they chose not to bomb the Arndale Centre (and I bet people bloody stopped shopping when they thought they had).
I expect that they'll be rescheduled for later in the campaign. Or they might just bump Nuttall out if campaigning's back on tomorrow (which'd feel a bit early, to my mind). UKIP clearly now below the other four in significance.
No chance. The BBC would not need that kind of controversy. Nuttall will get his turn, and so he should.
They could put him on BBC3?
"UKIP clearly now below the other four in significance."?? On the polling, you mean? I don't think the Beeb should react to short-term stimuli like that, esp. with pollsters being on probation from the last GE. Bumping him out after last night would be the biggest political present anyone could give him; nothing would reinvigorate his troops like a plausible claim that the establishment had conspired to prevent him telling it like it is about Manchester.
Partly, yes, it is polling but also:
- Not contesting even close to every seat: on a par with Greens. - Truly dismal local election results, which give credence to the polls. - Zero MPs and little prospect of winning any MPs.
To be treated like a big party, I'd suggest that you need either significant national support, which at the very least means an average of 5% across the whole country, given that that's deposit-losing level, but more probably something like 10%; or the likelihood of returning a parliamentary party which would have a significant presence in the House i.e. at least 10, perhaps 20.
We could argue the detail of both current criteria and relevance of historic record but there has to be a cut-off somewhere and to my mind, UKIP now fall below that level. Why, for example, is UKIP there but the Greens not?
I expect that they'll be rescheduled for later in the campaign. Or they might just bump Nuttall out if campaigning's back on tomorrow (which'd feel a bit early, to my mind). UKIP clearly now below the other four in significance.
No chance. The BBC would not need that kind of controversy. Nuttall will get his turn, and so he should.
They could put him on BBC3?
"UKIP clearly now below the other four in significance."?? On the polling, you mean? I don't think the Beeb should react to short-term stimuli like that, esp. with pollsters being on probation from the last GE. Bumping him out after last night would be the biggest political present anyone could give him; nothing would reinvigorate his troops like a plausible claim that the establishment had conspired to prevent him telling it like it is about Manchester.
Partly, yes, it is polling but also:
- Not contesting even close to every seat: on a par with Greens. - Truly dismal local election results, which give credence to the polls. - Zero MPs and little prospect of winning any MPs.
To be treated like a big party, I'd suggest that you need either significant national support, which at the very least means an average of 5% across the whole country, given that that's deposit-losing level, but more probably something like 10%; or the likelihood of returning a parliamentary party which would have a significant presence in the House i.e. at least 10, perhaps 20.
We could argue the detail of both current criteria and relevance of historic record but there has to be a cut-off somewhere and to my mind, UKIP now fall below that level. Why, for example, is UKIP there but the Greens not?
If the Greens flagship policy had just been voted for by a majority of the country in a referendum I'd let them have half an hour on the telly
Mirror wrote a rather shall we say awkward article a few hours ago...Basically saying roger Moore said he couldn't do any campaigning for the Tories during this GE and the mirror put it down to him drawing the line at supporting dictator may.
Sir Roger Moore has shared the screen with a lot of megalomaniac characters, but even he draws the line at Theresa May.
The Heckler can reveal the PM – noticeably short of cool celebrity fans – left the James Bond star unstirred when she first had aides approach him.
I think it’s a generational thing, ie, when you are first introduced to James Bond. - Mrs SSC would vote Connery every time, SSC Jnr would vote Brosnan. I judge on the Bond girls, Pussy Galore was best.
I expect that they'll be rescheduled for later in the campaign. Or they might just bump Nuttall out if campaigning's back on tomorrow (which'd feel a bit early, to my mind). UKIP clearly now below the other four in significance.
No chance. The BBC would not need that kind of controversy. Nuttall will get his turn, and so he should.
They could put him on BBC3?
"UKIP clearly now below the other four in significance."?? On the polling, you mean? I don't think the Beeb should react to short-term stimuli like that, esp. with pollsters being on probation from the last GE. Bumping him out after last night would be the biggest political present anyone could give him; nothing would reinvigorate his troops like a plausible claim that the establishment had conspired to prevent him telling it like it is about Manchester.
Partly, yes, it is polling but also:
- Not contesting even close to every seat: on a par with Greens. - Truly dismal local election results, which give credence to the polls. - Zero MPs and little prospect of winning any MPs.
To be treated like a big party, I'd suggest that you need either significant national support, which at the very least means an average of 5% across the whole country, given that that's deposit-losing level, but more probably something like 10%; or the likelihood of returning a parliamentary party which would have a significant presence in the House i.e. at least 10, perhaps 20.
We could argue the detail of both current criteria and relevance of historic record but there has to be a cut-off somewhere and to my mind, UKIP now fall below that level. Why, for example, is UKIP there but the Greens not?
Isn't it because they look over several national elections, not just the last one? And actual elections as well as polls.
I think it’s a generational thing, ie, when you are first introduced to James Bond. - Mrs SSC would vote Connery every time, SSC Jnr would vote Brosnan. I judge on the Bond girls, Pussy Galore was best.
Yes I think that's right. Objectively, I recognize that Brosnan's bond films had a lot of flaws, but it was his films I grew up watching, which makes it the benchmark you compare others against.
I expect that they'll be rescheduled for later in the campaign. Or they might just bump Nuttall out if campaigning's back on tomorrow (which'd feel a bit early, to my mind). UKIP clearly now below the other four in significance.
No chance. The BBC would not need that kind of controversy. Nuttall will get his turn, and so he should.
They could put him on BBC3?
"UKIP clearly now below the other four in significance."?? On the polling, you mean? I don't think the Beeb should react to short-term stimuli like that, esp. with pollsters being on probation from the last GE. Bumping him out after last night would be the biggest political present anyone could give him; nothing would reinvigorate his troops like a plausible claim that the establishment had conspired to prevent him telling it like it is about Manchester.
Partly, yes, it is polling but also:
- Not contesting even close to every seat: on a par with Greens. - Truly dismal local election results, which give credence to the polls. - Zero MPs and little prospect of winning any MPs.
To be treated like a big party, I'd suggest that you need either significant national support, which at the very least means an average of 5% across the whole country, given that that's deposit-losing level, but more probably something like 10%; or the likelihood of returning a parliamentary party which would have a significant presence in the House i.e. at least 10, perhaps 20.
We could argue the detail of both current criteria and relevance of historic record but there has to be a cut-off somewhere and to my mind, UKIP now fall below that level. Why, for example, is UKIP there but the Greens not?
All good points, but a change at this juncture would make Nuttall a martyr and win UKIP votes. Better to let AN eviscerate him.
I expect that they'll be rescheduled for later in the campaign. Or they might just bump Nuttall out if campaigning's back on tomorrow (which'd feel a bit early, to my mind). UKIP clearly now below the other four in significance.
No chance. The BBC would not need that kind of controversy. Nuttall will get his turn, and so he should.
They could put him on BBC3?
"UKIP clearly now below the other four in significance."?? On the polling, you mean? I don't think the Beeb should react to short-term stimuli like that, esp. with pollsters being on probation from the last GE. Bumping him out after last night would be the biggest political present anyone could give him; nothing would reinvigorate his troops like a plausible claim that the establishment had conspired to prevent him telling it like it is about Manchester.
Partly, yes, it is polling but also:
- Not contesting even close to every seat: on a par with Greens. - Truly dismal local election results, which give credence to the polls. - Zero MPs and little prospect of winning any MPs.
To be treated like a big party, I'd suggest that you need either significant national support, which at the very least means an average of 5% across the whole country, given that that's deposit-losing level, but more probably something like 10%; or the likelihood of returning a parliamentary party which would have a significant presence in the House i.e. at least 10, perhaps 20.
We could argue the detail of both current criteria and relevance of historic record but there has to be a cut-off somewhere and to my mind, UKIP now fall below that level. Why, for example, is UKIP there but the Greens not?
If the Greens flagship policy had just been voted for by a majority of the country in a referendum I'd let them have half an hour on the telly
The Greens are quite fortunate that they're not getting half an hour with Neil.
Because I was like 6 months old at the time, was the 1979 election campaign suspended when Airey Neave was murdered?
I can't remember which one, but one of the 74 elections wasn't there major attacks of terrorism on polling day?
In 1992 the IRA bombed the City on the Friday (day after the election). I owe my life to alcohol abuse, because any other Friday I would have walked out of a pub at 8.30 straight into the blast; on that occasion I was so hungover from the night before I headed for home at 5.30.
I expect that they'll be rescheduled for later in the campaign. Or they might just bump Nuttall out if campaigning's back on tomorrow (which'd feel a bit early, to my mind). UKIP clearly now below the other four in significance.
No chance. The BBC would not need that kind of controversy. Nuttall will get his turn, and so he should.
They could put him on BBC3?
"UKIP clearly now below the other four in significance."?? On the polling, you mean? I don't think the Beeb should react to short-term stimuli like that, esp. with pollsters being on probation from the last GE. Bumping him out after last night would be the biggest political present anyone could give him; nothing would reinvigorate his troops like a plausible claim that the establishment had conspired to prevent him telling it like it is about Manchester.
Partly, yes, it is polling but also:
- Not contesting even close to every seat: on a par with Greens. - Truly dismal local election results, which give credence to the polls. - Zero MPs and little prospect of winning any MPs.
To be treated like a big party, I'd suggest that you need either significant national support, which at the very least means an average of 5% across the whole country, given that that's deposit-losing level, but more probably something like 10%; or the likelihood of returning a parliamentary party which would have a significant presence in the House i.e. at least 10, perhaps 20.
We could argue the detail of both current criteria and relevance of historic record but there has to be a cut-off somewhere and to my mind, UKIP now fall below that level. Why, for example, is UKIP there but the Greens not?
Clearly UKIP should be there.
After dementia & the massacre of the innocents, we need the national mood to lighten.
Step forward, Noble Laureate Professor Sir Paul Nutall.
This 'now is not the time to talk politics' bollocks is exactly why people have such a low regard for politicians. If the slaughter of innocent children is not worth politics what is?
The reason that people say that is because they know that if people talked politics now then folk would reach conclusions that the political class don't want us to reach. It why had these 22 been murdered by a gunman in the US they'd be talking politics about gun-control but when a muslim blows up 22 young people we aren't supposed to talk about it.
Our political class have failed us. It's not just politicians like Corbyn and Abbott who have the blood of innocents on his hands; it's the entire lot of you. You were warned this would happen, you were told. Yet you stood by and did nothing. Thanks to your appeasement of Islam we are where we are and 22 young girls and boys are dead. Fuck all you politicians. Fuck you all.
Fine, provided we have the collective good sense not to do the first dumb thing that enters some President or prime minister's mind and end up making the situation we face ten times worse.
I must be a very bad person (or my laptop truly evil) because i cannot get past 3 or 4 posts on here without getting barred and not being able to find out why. But the dark events of last night prompt me to try again. So as I say hello I may as well also say goodbye.
Cyan has being doing some desperate cheerleading for Corbyn. Cyan says the Arndale bomb killed nobody. It killed two people. It was a 3000lb truck bomb - it could have killed dozens. Cyan says the only people who made a killing were developers. Nasty. In fact the Labour hegemony in Manchester had regularly refused private finance - hence resulting in developments like the Arndale which was known locally as 'the biggest lavatory wall in europe'. The scale of the wider Manchester redevelopment (driven by a desire to be a world city) brought in private finance.
Cyan says let Corbyn speak for himself. Well he has for over 30 years. Now he seeks to rewrite history - both his own and the history of the real facts.
'Uncle Joe' Corbyn had a choice if he was genuinely concerned for peace in NI - a choice between the SDLP and the IRA. He chose the IRA and thus stabbed a true democrat and peacemaker, Gerry Fitt, in the back... repeatedly.
The GE campaign has to recommence as soon as possible. There must be a time for reflection, a time to pay respects, but then life goes on. It has to. We must endure. That is how we win.
On Corbyn, he will be horrified and sickened to his core by what happened. It will revolt him. But there is no getting away from those he has chosen to associate with in the past. Forget the IRA. Think Stop the War. Remember what they have said after previous atrocities, remember who they have protested against and who they haven't. Remember what they have said about the deaths of British soldiers and civilians, and who they have blamed. Corbyn helped start Stop the War. He was its chair for over a decade. That cannot be brushed under the carpet. It has to be highlighted. Judge a man by the company he keeps. Always.
Apologies if the above upsets anyone; if it seems too raw a time to be bringing it up; if you judge it inappropriate. But I feel it has to be said. I will not argue the point. I'll say no more.
I must be a very bad person (or my laptop truly evil) because i cannot get past 3 or 4 posts on here without getting barred and not being able to find out why. But the dark events of last night prompt me to try again. So as I say hello I may as well also say goodbye.
Cyan has being doing some desperate cheerleading for Corbyn. Cyan says the Arndale bomb killed nobody. It killed two people. It was a 3000lb truck bomb - it could have killed dozens. Cyan says the only people who made a killing were developers. Nasty. In fact the Labour hegemony in Manchester had regularly refused private finance - hence resulting in developments like the Arndale which was known locally as 'the biggest lavatory wall in europe'. The scale of the wider Manchester redevelopment (driven by a desire to be a world city) brought in private finance.
Cyan says let Corbyn speak for himself. Well he has for over 30 years. Now he seeks to rewrite history - both his own and the history of the real facts.
'Uncle Joe' Corbyn had a choice if he was genuinely concerned for peace in NI - a choice between the SDLP and the IRA. He chose the IRA and thus stabbed a true democrat and peacemaker, Gerry Fitt, in the back... repeatedly.
It's nice to see that the Tycho Magnetic Anomaly 1 has a voice
‘Everyone calm down. Love is the answer.’ Where’s the rage? If the massacre of children and their parents on a fun night out doesn’t make you feel rage, nothing will. The terrorist has defeated you. You are dead already.
I do not feel rage. I feel determination that the loonies of ISIS will have no effect no matter how much they try. Starting the Jihad from this side of the fence is not an answer.
Marxism was an utter failure, Mr O'Neill seems to need a new target for his anger and vitriol.
Because I was like 6 months old at the time, was the 1979 election campaign suspended when Airey Neave was murdered?
The HoC was still sitting doing washup and the GE campaign hadn't yet started.
Cheers.
Of course it was only a few days after the Vote of No Confidence.
The Guildford Pub Bombing happened 5 days before the October GE - I don't think there was any suspension - we made up for it by locking up the wrong people for 15 years.....
I have heard it suggested that the Police might advise against Corbyn continuing with his big rallies - at which he has been quite effective. That is unlikely I would have thought. Moreover until the 1990s most electioneering by party leaders during the campaign period consisted of addressing mass audiences at various City and Town Halls across the land. Back in the 1960s it was common to find hecklers at those meetings some of whom were effective at interrupting the speakers. This came to mind yesterday with the footage of an Anti – Fox Hunting demonstrator being carried off and arrested during May’s Wrexham visit on the grounds of a ‘breach of the peace’. Nobody tried to arrest those people hecking Harold Wilson , Alec Douglas Home, George Brown or Ted Heath at the 1964 /1966 elections.It seems unnecessary that the police authorities collude in the silencing of dissenters in this way. At the end of the day it is not their job to support the control freakery of today’s party leaders.
There was one incident at the 1964 election when a protester threw an egg at Alec Douglas-Home and the PM - a former first-class cricketer - caught it without breaking the shell.
Cyan has being doing some desperate cheerleading for Corbyn.
As a self proclaimed supporter of the 'radical left' he needs sympathy, when these events are only going to help their best and only hope of getting into power on his well deserved path to being dropped down a political oubliette.
I agree with OGH. I have every sympathy for those affected by Manchester but the election must go on as it is about making choices where there are differences. That's democracy. 99.99% of us would agree that today's outrage was barbaric. That's what makes us a civilized country. Now we should have the maturity to return to respectful debate where we diverge and do so with the same energy and passion as before yesterday evening.
‘Everyone calm down. Love is the answer.’ Where’s the rage? If the massacre of children and their parents on a fun night out doesn’t make you feel rage, nothing will. The terrorist has defeated you. You are dead already.
I do not feel rage. I feel determination that the loonies of ISIS will have no effect no matter how much they try. Starting the Jihad from this side of the fence is not an answer.
Marxism was an utter failure, Mr O'Neill seems to need a new target for his anger and vitriol.
"On Corbyn, he will be horrified and sickened to his core by what happened. It will revolt him. "
You seem very sure of that, Mr. Observer. Terrorists killing and maiming the young and innocent didn't put him off them in the past. If all the PIRA atrocities didn't weaken his resolve I am not sure how you can say that last night's attack will revolt him and that he will be horrified and sickened to his core.
‘Everyone calm down. Love is the answer.’ Where’s the rage? If the massacre of children and their parents on a fun night out doesn’t make you feel rage, nothing will. The terrorist has defeated you. You are dead already.
I do not feel rage. I feel determination that the loonies of ISIS will have no effect no matter how much they try. Starting the Jihad from this side of the fence is not an answer.
Marxism was an utter failure, Mr O'Neill seems to need a new target for his anger and vitriol.
Sir Roger definitely. He was also the star of my favourite thriller, the late sixties classic The Man Who Haunted Himself.
Lazeby is generally considered the worst Bond, but he did deliver the best line (in what was not a bad film) -- 'I feel a little stiffness coming on'.
Every series jumps the shark at some point. Things were going South by the time Moore joined in. The hidden base in a fake volcano in 'You only Live Twice' was the start.
Sad to see Sir Roger go, but he had a good innings. Hope it was peaceful.
‘Everyone calm down. Love is the answer.’ Where’s the rage? If the massacre of children and their parents on a fun night out doesn’t make you feel rage, nothing will. The terrorist has defeated you. You are dead already.
I do not feel rage. I feel determination that the loonies of ISIS will have no effect no matter how much they try. Starting the Jihad from this side of the fence is not an answer.
Marxism was an utter failure, Mr O'Neill seems to need a new target for his anger and vitriol.
This 'now is not the time to talk politics' bollocks is exactly why people have such a low regard for politicians. If the slaughter of innocent children is not worth politics what is?
The reason that people say that is because they know that if people talked politics now then folk would reach conclusions that the political class don't want us to reach. It why had these 22 been murdered by a gunman in the US they'd be talking politics about gun-control but when a muslim blows up 22 young people we aren't supposed to talk about it.
Our political class have failed us. It's not just politicians like Corbyn and Abbott who have the blood of innocents on his hands; it's the entire lot of you. You were warned this would happen, you were told. Yet you stood by and did nothing. Thanks to your appeasement of Islam we are where we are and 22 young girls and boys are dead. Fuck all you politicians. Fuck you all.
Your sadness and rage are understandable, but in political terms that's a cop out. To be meaningful you need to set out what you expect government to do by way of response. If it's the same list of "make life miserable for muslims" ideas that one PB'er advanced last night then, whilst you might feel better sitting in your armchair, another bunch of young people will sign up to ISIS's perverted cause and the threat we face simply escalates.
‘Everyone calm down. Love is the answer.’ Where’s the rage? If the massacre of children and their parents on a fun night out doesn’t make you feel rage, nothing will. The terrorist has defeated you. You are dead already.
I do not feel rage. I feel determination that the loonies of ISIS will have no effect no matter how much they try. Starting the Jihad from this side of the fence is not an answer.
Marxism was an utter failure, Mr O'Neill seems to need a new target for his anger and vitriol.
+1.
Feeling determination that x will be the case is fine and dandy, but it doesn't have much bearing on whether x turns out to be the case or not. The loonies of ISIS had quite an effect last night, irrespective of how you feel about it, and I'd like them to have the further effect of causing steps to be taken which will prevent recurrences of last night. What does "Starting the Jihad from this side of the fence" actually mean? Is the point you are making that we should not start slaughtering children in recrimination, or what?
Comments
http://politicalbetting.vanillaforums.com/discussion/comment/1579114/#Comment_1579114
For ALL the politicians. Labour in particular has had a ridiculously easy ride so far, I expect when the whistle blows to restart the campaign that'll end sharpish.
Roger Moore has popped his clogs...cancer.
Electorally it will of course have an effect. A dramatic one. Obviously some hold or have held positions that the majority will not be able to stomach. It is their right to hold those views, and our right to vote against them should we see fit.
There's a strange bug that creates multiple Vanilla articles.
Logic being that the polls released recently showing a Labour surge showed it coming from non-voters. Also the Tory wobble was coming to an end as the u-turn had happened. If as was predicted by many here before the attack Labour closing the gap was a polling error ... or as has normally happened there was a pro-Labour polling error again anyway ... then there will be a change between the polls last weekend and the final results. Even if not a vote is different due to last night.
But last night's atrocity will be a peg on which to blame any errors, to say it caused a swing. It will also be a peg for the left to blame any eventual defeat on (like many blame Britain winning the Falklands war still for the Tories winning 83).
The campaign will resume before too long, but reserve and contemplation is called for in the immediate aftermath. Many nations would go much further and enter into a formal period of national mourning at a time such as this.
https://twitter.com/Hasselschmuck/status/866982319055409152
Interesting observation from one of the TNS polling team
https://twitter.com/joelwilliams74/status/866984051898535936
https://twitter.com/joelwilliams74/status/866984855082553344
After the terror, the platitudes. And the hashtags. And the candlelit vigils. And they always have the same message: ‘Be unified. Feel love. Don’t give in to hate.’ The banalities roll off the national tongue. Vapidity abounds. A shallow fetishisation of ‘togetherness’ takes the place of any articulation of what we should be together for – and against...
It is becoming clear that the top-down promotion of a hollow ‘togetherness’ in response to terrorism is about cultivating passivity. It is about suppressing strong public feeling. It’s about reducing us to a line of mourners whose only job is to weep for our fellow citizens, not ask why they died, or rage against their dying...
They want us passive, empathetic, upset, not angry, active, questioning. They prefer us as a lonely crowd of dutiful, disconnected mourners rather than a real collective of citizens demanding to know why our fellow citizens died and how we might prevent others from dying. We should stop playing the role they’ve allotted us...
If the massacre of children and their parents on a fun night out doesn’t make you feel rage, nothing will. The terrorist has defeated you. You are dead already.
The Heckler can reveal the PM – noticeably short of cool celebrity fans – left the James Bond star unstirred when she first had aides approach him.
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/james-bond-legend-roger-moore-10478459
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/james-bond-legend-roger-moore-10478459
For this scene alone.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LE1evIbc3mw
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RaEU_A405zA&t=36s
That seems like the maximum...
- Not contesting even close to every seat: on a par with Greens.
- Truly dismal local election results, which give credence to the polls.
- Zero MPs and little prospect of winning any MPs.
To be treated like a big party, I'd suggest that you need either significant national support, which at the very least means an average of 5% across the whole country, given that that's deposit-losing level, but more probably something like 10%; or the likelihood of returning a parliamentary party which would have a significant presence in the House i.e. at least 10, perhaps 20.
We could argue the detail of both current criteria and relevance of historic record but there has to be a cut-off somewhere and to my mind, UKIP now fall below that level. Why, for example, is UKIP there but the Greens not?
I'm surprised he didn't go for Dalton...
I've always thought Timothy Dalton was very unlucky.
One or two maximum. Then back to normal.
"No, Mr Bond, I expect you to die....."
I laughed non stop for the rest of the movie.
Moore was rubbish as Bond, and the franchise became a joke.
However, whichever actor is playing Bond, I still don't have much of a clue what the plot is all about.
Moore as The Saint, however, was class.
I can't remember which one, but one of the 74 elections wasn't there major attacks of terrorism on polling day?
Brought the Mediterranean glamourous lifestyle to the Britain of the 1970s as we were enjoying our garlic-free dinners of a weekend...
Noone else has spotted anything in the manifesto ...?
I think this article sets out some important points that papers will be too afraid to publish.
http://www.spiked-online.com/newsite/article/after-manchester-its-time-for-anger/19849#.WSQ7LIXTWEd
Of course it was only a few days after the Vote of No Confidence.
After dementia & the massacre of the innocents, we need the national mood to lighten.
Step forward, Noble Laureate Professor Sir Paul Nutall.
The reason that people say that is because they know that if people talked politics now then folk would reach conclusions that the political class don't want us to reach. It why had these 22 been murdered by a gunman in the US they'd be talking politics about gun-control but when a muslim blows up 22 young people we aren't supposed to talk about it.
Our political class have failed us. It's not just politicians like Corbyn and Abbott who have the blood of innocents on his hands; it's the entire lot of you. You were warned this would happen, you were told. Yet you stood by and did nothing. Thanks to your appeasement of Islam we are where we are and 22 young girls and boys are dead. Fuck all you politicians. Fuck you all.
Cyan has being doing some desperate cheerleading for Corbyn. Cyan says the Arndale bomb killed nobody. It killed two people. It was a 3000lb truck bomb - it could have killed dozens.
Cyan says the only people who made a killing were developers. Nasty. In fact the Labour hegemony in Manchester had regularly refused private finance - hence resulting in developments like the Arndale which was known locally as 'the biggest lavatory wall in europe'. The scale of the wider Manchester redevelopment (driven by a desire to be a world city) brought in private finance.
Cyan says let Corbyn speak for himself. Well he has for over 30 years. Now he seeks to rewrite history - both his own and the history of the real facts.
https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2016/05/jeremy-corbyn-should-not-be-allowed-to-rewrite-the-history-of-his-support-for-the-ira/
'Uncle Joe' Corbyn had a choice if he was genuinely concerned for peace in NI - a choice between the SDLP and the IRA. He chose the IRA and thus stabbed a true democrat and peacemaker, Gerry Fitt, in the back... repeatedly.
Craig, Dalton and Connery are the only ones to have got it right, when given a decent script.
On Corbyn, he will be horrified and sickened to his core by what happened. It will revolt him. But there is no getting away from those he has chosen to associate with in the past. Forget the IRA. Think Stop the War. Remember what they have said after previous atrocities, remember who they have protested against and who they haven't. Remember what they have said about the deaths of British soldiers and civilians, and who they have blamed. Corbyn helped start Stop the War. He was its chair for over a decade. That cannot be brushed under the carpet. It has to be highlighted. Judge a man by the company he keeps. Always.
Apologies if the above upsets anyone; if it seems too raw a time to be bringing it up; if you judge it inappropriate. But I feel it has to be said. I will not argue the point. I'll say no more.
Marxism was an utter failure, Mr O'Neill seems to need a new target for his anger and vitriol.
"On Corbyn, he will be horrified and sickened to his core by what happened. It will revolt him. "
You seem very sure of that, Mr. Observer. Terrorists killing and maiming the young and innocent didn't put him off them in the past. If all the PIRA atrocities didn't weaken his resolve I am not sure how you can say that last night's attack will revolt him and that he will be horrified and sickened to his core.
Every series jumps the shark at some point. Things were going South by the time Moore joined in. The hidden base in a fake volcano in 'You only Live Twice' was the start.
Sad to see Sir Roger go, but he had a good innings. Hope it was peaceful.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UWr_1uLjqic